Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [1][5][29]. Core Views - The report highlights the significant growth in the public utility and environmental sectors, with the public utility index rising by 3.45% and the environmental index by 1.49% during the week [1][31]. - The report emphasizes the importance of green methanol production, which significantly reduces carbon emissions throughout its lifecycle, and outlines the two main production routes: biological methanol and electro-methanol [2][15]. - The report suggests that coal and electricity prices are expected to decline simultaneously, allowing thermal power profitability to remain reasonable, and recommends major thermal power companies such as Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [3][29]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.51%, while the public utility index rose by 3.45% and the environmental index by 1.49%, with respective relative returns of 3.97% and 2.00% [1][31]. - Within the power sector, thermal power increased by 7.83%, hydropower by 2.30%, and renewable energy generation by 3.72% [1][31]. Important Events - As of October 12, 2025, multiple provinces have released documents related to the "136 Document" and initiated or completed competitive pricing for new energy incremental projects [1][23]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends several companies across different sectors: - For thermal power: Huadian International and Shanghai Electric [3][29]. - For renewable energy: Longyuan Power, Three Gorges Energy, and regional offshore wind companies [3][29]. - For nuclear power: China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [3][29]. - For hydropower: Yangtze Power [3][29]. - For gas: Jiufeng Energy [3][29]. - For environmental services: China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [3][30]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, all rated as "Outperform" [5][8]: - Huadian International (Code: 600027.SH) - Longyuan Power (Code: 001289.SZ) - China Nuclear Power (Code: 601985.SH) - Yangtze Power (Code: 600900.SH) - Jiufeng Energy (Code: 605090.SH) Special Research - The report discusses the production routes for green methanol, emphasizing the need for renewable hydrogen and carbon sources [2][15]. - It also details the competitive pricing results for new energy projects across various provinces, highlighting specific prices and execution periods [23][26].

Group 1 - Zhongshan Public Utility Co., Ltd. has seen its stock price increase by 5.21% to 14.73 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 21.728 billion CNY and a trading volume of 741 million CNY, reflecting a 24.89% increase over the past five days [1] - The company's main business areas include environmental water services, solid waste treatment, sanitation services, engineering construction, market operations, port passenger transport, financial services, and equity investment, with revenue contributions from water supply and sewage treatment at 37.07%, engineering installation at 34.53%, sanitation and waste-to-energy at 18.79%, and others at 9.32% [1] Group 2 - Xiangcai Fund has a significant holding in Zhongshan Public Utility, with its Xiangcai Hongli Quantitative Stock Mixed A Fund holding 33,300 shares, representing 2.32% of the fund's net value, and has gained approximately 9,290 CNY during the recent five-day stock price increase [2] - The Xiangcai Hongli Quantitative Stock Mixed A Fund has a total asset size of 10.1874 million CNY and has achieved a year-to-date return of 10.68%, ranking 5,858 out of 8,234 in its category [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the environmental protection industry as "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [9]. Core Insights - The municipal water sector shows stable operations, with some companies benefiting from strategic expansions and adjustments in sewage treatment prices. However, the engineering business is expected to decline due to decreased demand [3]. - The waste incineration sector remains stable, with operational improvements despite a slowdown in new project construction and bidding. Different companies exhibit varied performance due to factors like historical revenue recognition and depreciation from new capacity [3]. - The sanitation market is stable, with an increase in orders for unmanned sanitation services, indicating a digital transformation in urban services [3]. - Equipment performance varies significantly across different sectors, with conventional equipment facing margin pressure due to intense competition, while power environmental equipment benefits from increased demand [3]. Summary by Category Municipal Water - Overall stable operations with some companies like Tianyuan Environmental and Zhongshan Public Utilities showing significant year-on-year net profit growth of 18% and 32% respectively for Q1-3 2025 [4]. Waste Incineration - The sector is experiencing steady operational improvements, with companies like Huanlan Environment and Green Power expected to see net profit growth of 16% and 15% respectively for Q1-3 2025 [4]. Sanitation - The sanitation market is stable, with companies like Yingfeng Environment and Yuhua Tian expected to see net profit growth of 3% and 5% respectively for Q1-3 2025 [4]. Equipment - Conventional equipment companies are expected to see a decline in net profit growth, with Jingjin Equipment projected to drop by 25% for Q1-3 2025. In contrast, Qingda Environmental is expected to see a significant increase of 255% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies with stable profitability and improving cash flows in the municipal environmental sector, including Zhongshan Public Utilities, Junxin Co., and Huanlan Environment [3]. - For unmanned sanitation, companies like Yingfeng Environment and Yuhua Tian are highlighted as key players in the digital transformation of urban services [3]. - The report also suggests focusing on SAF suppliers and green methanol producers as EU policies begin to take effect, with companies like Haineng Energy and Pengyao Environmental being potential beneficiaries [3].

Investment Rating - The report rates the environmental protection industry as "Overweight" for the third quarter of 2025, indicating an expectation for the industry to outperform the overall market [2][9]. Core Insights - Municipal water services are operating steadily, with some companies benefiting from strategic expansions and adjustments in sewage treatment pricing. However, the overall demand for sewage engineering is declining, leading to a forecasted slight decrease in engineering business [3]. - The waste incineration sector is stable, with operational improvements despite a slowdown in new project construction and bidding. Different companies are experiencing varied profit growth due to factors like historical electricity revenue recognition and depreciation from new capacity [3]. - The sanitation market remains stable, with an increase in orders for unmanned sanitation services, indicating a shift towards digital transformation in urban services [3]. - Equipment performance is diverging based on downstream influences, with conventional equipment facing margin pressure while power environmental equipment and water treatment equipment are expected to see significant profit growth [3]. Summary by Category Municipal Water Services - Overall operations are stable, with projected net profit growth for major companies: Tianyuan Environmental +18%, Xingrong Environment +5%, Hongcheng Environment +3%, and Zhongshan Public +32% for Q1-3 2025 [3][4]. Waste Incineration - The sector is expected to see varied profit growth among major companies: Hanlan Environment +16%, Green Power +15%, Junxin Co. +47%, Chengfa Environment +13%, and Yongxing Co. +8% for Q1-3 2025 [3][4]. Sanitation - Major companies are projected to have stable net profit growth: Yingfeng Environment +3% and Yuhua Tian +5% for Q1-3 2025 [3][4]. Equipment Products - Conventional equipment is expected to see a slight decline in net profit growth, with Jingjin Equipment projected at -25%. In contrast, power environmental equipment like Qingda Environmental is expected to grow by +255% [3][4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on municipal environmental companies such as Zhongshan Public, Junxin Co., Hanlan Environment, and others due to stable profitability and improving cash flow [3]. - For unmanned sanitation, companies like Yingfeng Environment and Yuhua Tian are highlighted for their potential in the digital transformation of urban services [3]. - The report also suggests monitoring suppliers of bio-aviation fuel and green methanol, as well as companies involved in reverse osmosis membrane technology due to ongoing market trends [3].

Core Insights - The environmental governance sector saw a 0.7% increase on October 10, with Zhonghuan Environmental leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.03, down 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13355.42, down 2.7% [1] Environmental Governance Sector Performance - Zhonghuan Environmental (300692) closed at 10.63, up 19.98% with a trading volume of 290,500 shares and a transaction value of 301 million [1] - Zhongshan Public Utilities (000685) closed at 14.00, up 8.95% with a trading volume of 1,025,300 shares [1] - Other notable performers included Weili (300190) up 4.95%, Gaon Environment (603588) up 4.82%, and Deepwater Haina (300961) up 4.82% [1] Decliners in the Sector - Huicheng Environmental (300779) saw a significant decline of 13.09%, closing at 142.40 with a trading volume of 121,700 shares [2] - Yihai Xidan (603200) dropped 10.00%, closing at 85.04 with a trading volume of 172,600 shares [2] - Other notable decliners included Fuzhijie Environmental (688335) down 3.91% and Qiaoyin Co. (002973) down 3.64% [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The environmental governance sector experienced a net outflow of 905 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 757 million [2][3] - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in Zhonghuan Environmental and Deepwater Haina, while significant outflows were noted in Zhongshan Public Utilities [3]

Core Insights - Zhongshan Public Utility achieved a trading volume of 1.333 billion RMB, marking the highest level since December 10, 2014 [2] - The latest stock price increased by 8.17%, with a turnover rate of 7.86% [2] - The previous trading day recorded a total trading volume of 971 million RMB [2] Company Overview - Zhongshan Public Utility Group Co., Ltd. was established on December 26, 1992, with a registered capital of 1.475 billion RMB [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongshan Public Utilities (000685.SZ) has made an early investment in Muxi Co., which is expected to have a positive impact on the company and validate its strategic vision for forward-looking industrial investments [1] Group 1 - The company has invested in Muxi Co. through a new energy fund [1] - The specific shareholding ratio can be referenced in the prospectus of Muxi Integrated Circuit (Shanghai) Co., Ltd [1] - The IPO of Muxi Co. is anticipated to bring positive effects to Zhongshan Public Utilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongshan Public Utility has shown significant stock price appreciation this year, with a year-to-date increase of 49.43% and a recent surge of 17.31% over the past five trading days [1] Company Overview - Zhongshan Public Utility Group Co., Ltd. is located at No. 18, North Building, Caixing Mansion, Xingzhong Road, Zhongshan City, Guangdong Province, established on December 26, 1992, and listed on January 23, 1997 [1] - The company's main business areas include environmental water services, solid waste treatment, sanitation services, engineering construction, market operations, port passenger transport, financial services, and equity investment [1] - The revenue composition of the main business is as follows: water supply and sewage treatment 37.07%, engineering installation 34.53%, sanitation and waste-to-energy 18.79%, others (supplementary) 9.32%, and new energy sector 0.28% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhongshan Public Utility achieved operating revenue of 2.121 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.64%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 719 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.57% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 4.529 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.251 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 19, 2025, the number of shareholders of Zhongshan Public Utility was 32,200, an increase of 1.20% from the previous period, with an average of 38,963 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 1.19% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 16.0905 million shares (a decrease of 597,200 shares), and Silver Hua Prosperity Theme Mixed A (180012), which is a new shareholder holding 8 million shares [3]

Group 1 - Zhongshan Public Utility's stock price increased by 5.01% to 12.99 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 355 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.21%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 19.162 billion CNY [1] - The stock has risen for three consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 10.35% during this period [1] - The company, established on December 26, 1992, and listed on January 23, 1997, operates in various sectors including environmental water services, solid waste treatment, sanitation services, engineering construction, market operations, port passenger transport, financial services, and equity investment [1] Group 2 - The main revenue composition of Zhongshan Public Utility includes: water supply and sewage treatment (37.07%), engineering installation (34.53%), sanitation and waste-to-energy (18.79%), other (supplementary) (9.32%), and new energy sector (0.28%) [1] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, a fund under Southern Fund increased its holdings in Zhongshan Public Utility by 336,400 shares, bringing its total to 6.9535 million shares, which accounts for 0.55% of the circulating shares [2] - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) has achieved a year-to-date return of 28.58% and a one-year return of 34.04%, ranking 2093 out of 4221 and 1521 out of 3848 respectively [2]

Group 1 - Zhongshan Public Utility's stock price increased by 5.01% to 12.99 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 354 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.20%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 19.162 billion CNY [1] - The stock has risen for three consecutive days, with a cumulative increase of 10.35% during this period [1] - The company, established on December 26, 1992, and listed on January 23, 1997, operates in various sectors including environmental water services, solid waste treatment, sanitation services, engineering construction, market operations, port passenger transport, financial services, and equity investment [1] Group 2 - The main revenue composition of Zhongshan Public Utility includes: water supply and sewage treatment (37.07%), engineering installation (34.53%), sanitation and waste-to-energy (18.79%), other (supplementary) (9.32%), and new energy sector (0.28%) [1] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, a fund under Yinhua Fund, Yinhua Rich Theme Mixed A (180012), entered the list in the second quarter, holding 8 million shares, accounting for 0.64% of circulating shares, with a floating profit of approximately 4.96 million CNY today and 9.28 million CNY during the three-day increase [2] - Yinhua Rich Theme Mixed A (180012) was established on November 16, 2006, with a latest scale of 10.706 billion CNY, reporting a year-to-date loss of 1.48% and a one-year loss of 2.87% [2]