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山金国际:三季报点评:符合预期,持续受益金价上行
Tianfeng Securities· 2024-10-24 06:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price indicating an expected return of over 20% within the next six months [5][12]. Core Views - The company has shown strong performance in the first three quarters of 2024, with revenue reaching 12.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.14%, and a net profit of 1.727 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [1][4]. - The rising gold prices and stable production and sales of mineral products have contributed to the company's robust profitability [2][3]. - The company completed the acquisition of Osino in Namibia, which is expected to add significant gold production capacity starting in 2026, further enhancing growth prospects [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.566 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 120.65%, and a net profit of 652 million yuan, up 69.99% year-on-year [1]. - The gross margin for gold production was approximately 73.1% for the first three quarters, reflecting an improvement of 1.21 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [2]. - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, expecting net profits of 2.604 billion yuan, 3.416 billion yuan, and 3.963 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.94, 1.23, and 1.43 yuan per share [4][7]. Production and Cost Analysis - The company produced 6.28 tons of gold and 122.8 tons of silver in the first three quarters of 2024, with Q3 production showing slight declines in gold but stable silver production [2]. - The unit cost of gold production decreased to approximately 142.8 yuan per gram, while the gross margin for silver production was around 47.7%, reflecting a decline of 1.45 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [2]. Growth Strategy - The company aims to increase its gold production targets to 8 tons in 2024, 12 tons in 2025, and 15 tons in 2026, with a long-term goal of reaching 28 tons by 2030 [3].
山金国际:金价上行+降本增效,24Q3归母净利同增70%
Huaan Securities· 2024-10-23 09:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has benefited from rising gold prices, leading to a significant increase in gross profit margins for its mining operations [1] - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 12.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.727 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [1] - The company has successfully optimized its cost structure, with a period expense ratio of 2.81% in the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 0.87 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 2.22 billion yuan, 2.72 billion yuan, and 3.24 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 12.071 billion yuan, a 70.14% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.727 billion yuan, a 54.46% increase year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margin for gold mining increased to 73.10% in Q3 2024, up from 71.89% in H1 2024, primarily due to rising gold prices [1] - The average gold price on the Shanghai Gold Exchange in Q3 2024 was 569.4 yuan per gram, a year-on-year increase of 23.87% [1] Future Projections - The company expects to see continued revenue growth, with projected revenues of 11.793 billion yuan in 2024, 13.881 billion yuan in 2025, and 16.127 billion yuan in 2026 [2][3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 2.223 billion yuan in 2024, 2.721 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.243 billion yuan in 2026 [2][3] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 33.9% in 2024 to 35.7% in 2026 [2][3]
山金国际:矿山业务毛利维稳,看好金价高位下业绩兑现
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2024-10-23 00:37
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2][12]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's mining business maintains stable gross margins, and the investment income has turned positive, contributing significantly to profit performance. The report remains optimistic about the company's performance under high gold prices supported by inflation and geopolitical risks [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.566 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 120.65% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 49.17%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.652 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 69.99% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.04%. The basic earnings per share were 0.23 yuan, up 69.97% year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross margin for gold mining remained stable, with a unit cost of approximately 142.8 yuan per gram, down 2.55% from the first half of the year. The gross margin for gold was about 73.1%, an increase of 1.21% from the first half [1][6]. Mining Operations - The company reported gold production and sales of 2.12 tons and 2.1 tons respectively in Q3 2024, showing a slight decrease of 2.75% and 1.41% quarter-on-quarter. Silver production and sales were 40.58 tons and 47.95 tons, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 33.87% in production but an increase of 7.78% in sales [1][6]. Investment and Resource Expansion - The acquisition of Osino Resources Corp. in August 2024 added approximately 127.2 tons of gold resources to the company's reserves, marking a successful overseas resource expansion. Domestically, the company obtained exploration rights for new mining projects, further enhancing its resource base [1][4]. Market Outlook - The report indicates that gold prices are expected to remain high due to inflation and geopolitical risks. Recent economic data from the U.S. suggests a soft landing for the economy, which supports the outlook for gold prices. The report emphasizes the dual support for gold prices from inflation expectations and geopolitical risks [1][4]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 14.47 billion yuan, 15.14 billion yuan, and 15.98 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.28 billion yuan, 2.59 billion yuan, and 2.81 billion yuan for the same years, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.6, 20.8, and 19.2 [1][4][9].
山金国际:2024年三季报点评:业绩创新高,战略规划持续落地
Minsheng Securities· 2024-10-22 12:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in Q3 2024, with revenue of 12.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.727 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [2]. - The increase in gold prices and investment income are the main drivers of the company's performance growth [2]. - The company completed the equity transfer of the Namibia gold mine, which is expected to start production in early 2027, with an estimated annual gold output of 5 tons [2]. - The strategic planning is continuously being implemented, with significant growth potential projected for the future [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company produced 6.28 tons of gold, achieving 78.5% of its annual target, with a sales volume of 6.51 tons [2]. - The average gold price for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2,290 USD/ounce, an increase of 18.58% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross profit margins for gold, silver, lead, and zinc were 73.1%, 47.7%, 41.1%, and 40.4% respectively [2]. - The projected net profit for 2024-2026 is adjusted to 2.311 billion, 2.881 billion, and 3.335 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 19, and 16 [2][3].
山金国际:成本维稳,量增目标持续推进
GF SECURITIES· 2024-10-22 11:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 27.48 CNY per share based on a 30x PE valuation for 2024 [3][4]. Core Insights - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.57 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 121% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 652 million CNY, a 70% year-on-year increase and a 14% quarter-on-quarter increase [1]. - The average gold price in Q3 2024 was 565.44 CNY per gram, up 23% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, while the average silver price was 7559 CNY per kilogram, up 33% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company completed the acquisition of Osino, adding approximately 127 tons of gold resources, and secured mining rights for additional mineral resources [1]. Financial Summary - The company’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.92 CNY, 1.06 CNY, and 1.15 CNY respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 21, 18, and 17 [2]. - Revenue is expected to grow significantly in 2024, with a forecast of 15.04 billion CNY, reflecting an 85.5% increase compared to 2023 [2]. - The company’s debt-to-asset ratio as of Q3 2024 is 21.08%, which is an increase of 3.1 percentage points from the end of 2023 [1].
山金国际:矿山运营能力持续提升,强成长下的估值弹性有待释放
Dongxing Securities· 2024-10-22 10:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [5][12]. Core Views - The company's mining operation capabilities are continuously improving, with strong growth potential and valuation elasticity yet to be released [5]. - The company achieved a significant increase in revenue and net profit in Q3 2024, with revenue reaching 12.07 billion yuan, up 70.14% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.73 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [2][5]. - The company has made effective breakthroughs in mineral resource exploration, holding 15 exploration rights covering 175.42 square kilometers, with significant metal reserves [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company produced 6.28 tons of gold, with a production-sales ratio of 103.7%, indicating effective resource management [3]. - The gross profit margin for gold production improved to 73.1%, with production costs decreasing to 142.8 yuan per gram [3][5]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 13.58 billion yuan, 14.79 billion yuan, and 17.14 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits of 2.85 billion yuan, 3.42 billion yuan, and 4.13 billion yuan [5][6]. Growth Potential - The company is expected to increase its gold production to 8.6 tons in 2024, with a high probability of reaching a target of 15 tons by 2026 [3][5]. - The acquisition of Osino Resources is anticipated to add 127.2 tons of gold resources, further enhancing the company's resource reserves [2][3]. Market Position - The company ranks sixth in gold production among publicly listed gold mining companies in China and has a high gross profit margin [2][5]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) reached 16.26%, significantly above the industry average of 9.61%, indicating strong profitability and operational management [5].
山金国际:2024年三季报点评:金价上行、克金成本下滑带动业绩大幅提升
Huachuang Securities· 2024-10-22 09:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 21.8 CNY, compared to the current price of 19.40 CNY [1]. Core Views - The company's performance has significantly improved due to rising gold prices and decreasing production costs, leading to a substantial increase in revenue and profit [1]. - The report highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 12.071 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 70.14%, and a net profit of 1.727 billion CNY, up 54.46% year-on-year [1]. - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for the years 2024 to 2026, projecting figures of 2.256 billion CNY, 2.746 billion CNY, and 3.625 billion CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 58.4%, 21.7%, and 32% [1][3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 12.071 billion CNY, a net profit of 1.727 billion CNY, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.786 billion CNY, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 70.14%, 54.46%, and 64.21% [1]. - In Q3 2024 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 5.566 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 120.65%, and a net profit of 652 million CNY, up 69.99% year-on-year [1]. - The average domestic prices for gold and silver in Q3 were 569 CNY per gram and 7493 CNY per kilogram, reflecting year-on-year increases of 23.9% and 30.4% respectively [1]. Production and Cost Analysis - The company experienced a slight decline in gold and silver production in Q3 2024, with gold production at 2.1 tons and silver production at 40.6 tons, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3% and 34% respectively [1]. - The production cost per gram of gold decreased significantly to 123.8 CNY, down 9% from 2023, while the overall gross margin for gold reached 73.1%, an increase of 12 percentage points from the previous year [1]. Strategic Developments - The company completed the acquisition of the Osino project in August 2024, adding approximately 127.2 tons of gold resources to its reserves, and plans to commence construction of the Twinhills project, expected to start production in early 2027 [1]. - The report notes that the company is actively expanding its mineral resource reserves, which is anticipated to enhance future profitability [1].
山金国际:公司信息更新报告:成本控制能力显著,Q3业绩创新高
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2024-10-22 09:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has demonstrated significant cost control capabilities, achieving record high performance in Q3 2024. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 12.071 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 70.14%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.727 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [6] - The company has completed the privatization of Osino, increasing its mineral resource reserves by approximately 127.2 tons of gold. Additionally, new exploration and mining rights have been acquired, which will enhance silver, lead, and zinc production [8] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1-Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 12.071 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.727 billion yuan. In Q3 alone, revenue was 5.566 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.17%, and net profit was 0.652 billion yuan, up 14.04% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The company's gold production for Q1-Q3 2024 was 6.28 tons, with sales of 6.51 tons, aligning with annual production targets. The average cost of gold production was 142.80 yuan per gram, a decrease of 3.73 yuan per gram from the previous half-year report, resulting in a gross margin of 73.10% [7] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, expecting net profits of 2.315 billion, 2.883 billion, and 3.122 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.83, 1.04, and 1.12 yuan [6][9] Market Position and Valuation - The current stock price is 19.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of 53.896 billion yuan. The stock has a P/E ratio of 23.3 for 2024, 18.7 for 2025, and 17.3 for 2026 [3][9] - The company has a strong gross margin of 35.7% projected for 2024, with a net profit margin of 21.2% [9]
山金国际:三季报点评:三季报点评低成本优势突出,新项目收购完成交割
Guoxin Securities· 2024-10-22 08:03
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][19]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2023, with revenue reaching 12.071 billion yuan, up 70.14% year-on-year, and net profit of 1.727 billion yuan, up 54.46% year-on-year [5][8]. - The company has a strong cost advantage and profitability, with a gold production cost of 176.42 yuan per gram in 2023 and a gross margin of 60.76%, which is significantly higher than the industry average [8][16]. - The company aims for a clear development strategy focused on resource acquisition and global expansion, targeting a gold production of no less than 8 tons in 2024 and 12 tons by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [8][16]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2023, the company achieved a net profit of 1.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.46%, and a net cash flow from operating activities of 3.004 billion yuan, up 43.65% year-on-year [5][8]. - The company’s revenue for Q3 2024 was 5.566 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.17% [5][8]. Cost Management - The company has implemented effective cost control measures, resulting in a reduced gold production cost of 142.80 yuan per gram in the first three quarters of 2024, with a gross margin of 73.10% [8][16]. Strategic Developments - The company completed the acquisition of the Twin Hills gold mine, which has a gold reserve of 66.86 tons and a resource amount of 99.21 tons, with plans to start construction in July 2024 [8][16]. - The company’s long-term production goals include achieving a gold production of 28 tons by the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan [8][16]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 15.678 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 93.4%, and net profit is expected to be 2.391 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 67.9% [2][16].
山金国际:单季产销稳定,成本环比持续下行
HTSC· 2024-10-22 08:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 22.77 [6][9][8] Core Views - The company reported stable production and sales in Q3, with revenue reaching RMB 5.566 billion, a year-on-year increase of 120.65% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.17% [2][3] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was RMB 652 million, up 69.99% year-on-year and 14.04% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The report indicates that gold prices have long-term upward potential, and gold stocks still hold investment value [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 12.071 billion, a year-on-year increase of 70.14%, and a net profit of RMB 1.727 billion, up 54.46% year-on-year [2][3] - The production and sales of mined gold remained stable, with Q3 production and sales at 2.12 tons and 2.1 tons respectively [3][4] Cost Analysis - The report notes a continuous decline in costs quarter-on-quarter, with the unit cost for Q1-Q3 being RMB 142.80 per gram, and specific costs for Q1, Q2, and Q3 being RMB 156.32, RMB 136.05, and RMB 134.97 per gram respectively [3][4] Production Goals - The company aims for a total production of around 8 tons for the year 2024, with a long-term goal of reaching 12 tons by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [4][6] - The report suggests that achieving these production targets may require further external acquisitions [4] Market Outlook - The report highlights that the upcoming U.S. elections and rising inflation expectations are likely to support gold prices, which have recently reached historical highs [5][6] - The report anticipates that gold prices will continue to show strong fluctuations in the short term due to various economic factors [5]