预计存储芯片短缺和涨价将维持数年。 作者 | 萧瑟 编辑 | 小白 从谷歌Gemini 3.0到阿里灵光、字节豆包手机助手，大模型的持续更新迭代依然是驱动全球AI产业前 行的核心引擎。而作为AI算力设施的核心元件，存储芯片的战略地位日益凸显，市场需求亦水涨船 高。 进入2025年以来，来自三星、SK海力士、美光、闪迪等国际存储大厂的涨价函源源不断。与此同 时，行业的高景气同样蔓延到了国内市场。 近期风云君注意到，A股知名存储链公司——德明利（001309.SZ）抛出了一份32亿的定增计划，用 于产能和研发中心的建设。 这究竟是一场大胆押注，还是产业趋势下的因时施宜？我们今天就一起来看下。 （来源：德明利中报） （来源：德明利中报） 其中固态硬盘（SSD）在过去很长一段时间内都是公司业务的压舱石。2025年上半年，该品类实现收 入15.34亿，同比增长64.6%，营收占比为37.3%。 存储领域的 技术方案整合者 在存储产业链中，德明利的位置更多是中游模组环节，负责对来自上游供应商的原始存储芯片进行封 装、测试，并组合成标准化或定制化的模组产品。 这家公司的差异化优势在于，其自身还具备存储模组主控芯片的设计能力 ...

12月5日，德明利大宗交易成交7.72万股，成交额1421.95万元，占当日总成交额的0.72%，成交价184.19 元，较市场收盘价202.2元折价8.91%。 | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2025-12-05 | 001309 | 德明利 | 184.19 | 1.20 | 221.03 | 机构专用 | 中国银河证券股份 | | | | | | | | | 有限公司深圳龙华 | | | | | | | | | 证券营业部 | | 2025-12-05 | 001309 | 德明利 | 184.19 | 6.52 | | 1,200.92 中信证券股份有限 | 中国银河证券股份 | | | | | | | | 公司徐州建国西路 | 有限公司深圳龙华 | | | | | | | | 证券营业部 | 证券量非部 | ...

证券日报网讯12月4日，德明利（001309）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，2025年12月1日并非定期 持有人名册下发日，公司无法获悉当天股东人数。截至最近一期定期持有人名册下发日，即2025年11月 28日公司含信用账户合并股东名册的股东数为53895户。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The AI storage market is experiencing significant growth, prompting companies to accelerate their investment and development efforts in high-end storage solutions to meet increasing demand driven by AI technologies [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - Jiangbolong plans to raise up to 3.7 billion yuan for R&D and industrialization of high-end storage solutions targeting the AI sector, semiconductor storage control chips, and high-end packaging and testing [1]. - Demingli aims to raise up to 3.2 billion yuan for expanding SSD and DRAM production, as well as establishing a smart storage management and R&D headquarters [2]. - Zhaoyi Innovation reported rapid market share gains for its DDR4 8Gb products and plans to mass-produce self-developed LPDDR4 series products next year [3]. Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for storage is being driven by the exponential growth of generative AI and large model technologies, leading to a significant increase in data processing needs [1]. - DRAM spot prices surged, with DDR5 chips increasing by 30% in one week due to tight supply and limited shipments from major module manufacturers [2]. - The storage industry is expected to enter a prolonged "super cycle" due to AI-driven supply shortages, with market demand continuing to rise [1][2]. Group 3: Industry Standards and Collaboration - The establishment of the Future Storage working group aims to develop AI storage standards and promote a technical framework for storage architecture and performance evaluation [3][4]. - The working group will focus on key technologies such as KV Cache optimization and storage acceleration for AI inference [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronic industry [1][9]. Core Viewpoints - The electronic sector is expected to benefit from high growth in overseas AI computing demand, with a focus on innovative products such as AI smartphones, AI glasses, and foldable screens anticipated to drive market activity in early 2026 [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of patience in investment strategy, suggesting that time can create space for better opportunities in the sector [2]. - The report highlights the potential for domestic companies in the ASIC market, particularly with Google's plans to expand its TPU business, which could enhance market size for cloud inference solutions [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.40%, while the electronic sector increased by 6.05% over the past week, with components up by 8.10% and electronic chemicals up by 3.93% [2][10]. - The report notes that the electronic sector's recent underperformance was primarily due to the reduction of national subsidies, export rush in Q2, and price increases in memory shortages [2]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including: - Aojie Technology - Jiangbolong - Demingli - Lens Technology - Luxshare Precision - Lantech Optical - Hengxuan Technology - Lanke Technology - SMIC - Saiwei Electronics - Tianyue Advanced [2]. Product Innovations - Quark's smart glasses S1 were officially launched, featuring a dual-chip architecture and advanced optical solutions, indicating a significant opportunity in the AR glasses market [3]. - Longxin Storage showcased new DDR5 and LPDDR5X products, with expectations for growth driven by domestic production and price recovery in the storage sector [4]. Global Smartphone Market Outlook - The global smartphone shipment is projected to grow by 3.3% in 2025, with Apple expected to capture a 19.4% market share, making it the leading smartphone brand for the first time since 2011 [5][7]. - The report continues to recommend companies within Apple's supply chain, including Luxshare Precision and Industrial Fulian [7]. Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for key companies, with most rated as "Outperform" and showing positive EPS growth projections for 2025 and 2026 [9].

Core Viewpoint - The storage market experienced a significant downturn in late November due to concerns over the AI bubble, but has shown signs of recovery as of December 1, with a notable increase in the storage index and individual company performances [1][2]. Market Performance - As of December 1, the storage index (8841241.WI) closed at 3416.39 points, marking a daily increase of 1.99% and a consecutive four-day rise [2]. - Year-to-date, the storage sector has seen a remarkable increase of 97.7% in market capitalization weighted average, with leading companies like Dongxin Co. (688110.SH), Demingli (001309.SZ), and Jiangbolong (301308.SZ) achieving gains of 382.73%, 244.60%, and 189.63% respectively [2]. Industry Dynamics - The market's volatility is attributed to concerns over the mismatch between accelerated capital expenditures and delayed revenue recovery in the AI sector, although analysts argue that fears of an AI bubble are unfounded [5]. - The demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is surging, driven by major companies like NVIDIA and OpenAI securing significant contracts, which has led to a squeeze on consumer-grade NAND Flash and DRAM production [5][6]. Structural Changes - The semiconductor industry is undergoing a strategic shift, with companies like SK Hynix expanding production to meet the demands of large tech firms, indicating a focus on high-margin products [6]. - The storage industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices for DDR4 memory doubling and supply constraints affecting DDR5 and SSD pricing [7]. Regional Development - Guangdong province is solidifying its dominant position in the storage and AI hardware industry, with a significant number of storage index component companies based in the region [9]. - The industrial layout in Guangdong is evolving towards a multi-polar development model, with companies like Jiangbolong expanding their manufacturing bases beyond Shenzhen to optimize costs and leverage regional advantages [9][10]. Market Demand - The demand for storage is expected to remain robust, driven by increasing requirements in mobile devices and data centers, with projections indicating that relief from supply constraints may not occur until late 2026 [7][8]. - Major tech firms in Guangdong, including Huawei and OPPO, contribute to a diverse market demand that supports the region's supply chain advantages [11][12]. Conclusion - The storage industry is poised for a prolonged upward cycle driven by AI advancements and regional industrial collaboration, with Guangdong's strategic advantages providing a solid foundation for companies to navigate market fluctuations [12][13].

不过，据南方财经记者观察，在经历"寒潮"之后，该板块已呈现回暖趋势。 记者丨 朱治宣 孙静芳 实习生钟宸 存储器市场在11月中下旬突遇"寒潮"，作为AI浪潮下的受益板块之一，存储器概念此前的上涨态势随着AI泡沫论等担忧受到剧烈影响，11月底 的板块骤降反映出市场的敏感性。 | 3368.25 昨收 3416.39 成交额 244.46亿 -48.14 -1.41% | 今开 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 上涨 == 2 | 平盘 1 - 下跌 = 26 | | | 最高价 3403.55 | 市盈率 | | | 3366.28 | | 最低价 | | 分时 五日 日K 周K 月K 更多 ◎ | | | | 叠加 设均线 MA 5:3414.54↓ 10:3423.09↑ 20:3035.32↑ | | | | 4024.07 | | | | 3814.95 > 1 | | | 截至12月1日，万得存储器指数（8841241.WI）收盘报3416.39点，当日涨幅达1.99%，已连续四个交易日上涨。存储器板块年初至今涨幅达到 97.7%（流通市值加权平均），东芯股份（688110.SH）、 ...

Core Viewpoint - In November 2025, A-share listed companies in China executed 9 private placements, a decrease of 36% year-on-year, while the actual fundraising amount reached approximately 34.461 billion yuan, an increase of 147% year-on-year [1][2]. Group 1: Fundraising Activities - A total of 9 private placements were completed in November 2025, with a total fundraising amount of approximately 34.461 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 147% but a month-on-month decrease of 8% [2][4]. - The top three companies by fundraising amount were: - Yuanda Environmental Protection raised 23.576 billion yuan by issuing 359,938.93 million shares at 6.55 yuan per share [4][5]. - Hushi Silicon Industry raised 6.716 billion yuan by issuing 44,740.55 million shares at 15.01 yuan per share [4][5]. - Hubei Energy raised 2.9 billion yuan by issuing shares at 4.85 yuan per share [4][5]. Group 2: Planned Fundraising - In November 2025, 29 private placement proposals were disclosed, with a planned fundraising amount of approximately 28.779 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 34.53% [1][6]. - The companies with the largest planned fundraising amounts included: - Energy-saving Wind Power with a maximum of 3.6 billion yuan for green power projects [9][11]. - Shengxin Lithium Energy and Demingli, each planning to raise 3.2 billion yuan for various projects [9][11]. Group 3: Industry Distribution - The industrial sector led the fundraising activities with 3 completed placements totaling approximately 23.919 billion yuan [6][7]. - The consumer discretionary sector also had 3 placements, but with a significantly lower total of 6.07 million yuan [6][7]. - The information technology sector followed with 2 placements, raising a total of 7.036 billion yuan [6][7].

Group 1 - The overall NAND Flash demand is expected to be driven by AI applications and strong orders for Enterprise SSDs, with average monthly price increases of 20% to over 60% across various products in November 2025 [1] - The demand surge is attributed to the rapid increase in high-capacity storage needs driven by AI applications, coupled with HDD supply constraints, leading cloud service providers to shift towards NAND systems, creating a structural gap rather than a short-term market fluctuation [1] - Capital expenditures among major manufacturers are becoming more cautious due to previous market fluctuations, with a focus on advanced process iterations and Hybrid Bonding technology rather than new capacity expansion, resulting in significant limitations on supply growth [1] Group 2 - QLC technology is being adopted at an unprecedented rate for AI warm/cold data storage layers, with a 33% higher storage capacity per die compared to TLC, significantly reducing the unit cost of storing large AI datasets [2] - By 2026, the market penetration rate of QLC SSDs in the Enterprise SSD segment is expected to reach 30% [2] - Companies like Demingli are accelerating their focus on high-capacity, high-performance SSD products, particularly in the enterprise SSD and QLC NAND application areas [2] - Jiangbolong plans to achieve mass production of QLC eMMC products in 2024, leveraging self-developed eMMC controller chips and firmware technology, positioning itself as one of the few companies capable of mass-producing QLC eMMC products [2]

Group 1 - As of November 28, the total market financing balance reached 2.46 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.48 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking four consecutive days of growth in financing balance [1] - The financing balance in the Shanghai market was 1.24 trillion yuan, up by 17.44 million yuan; in the Shenzhen market, it was 1.21 trillion yuan, increasing by 1.43 billion yuan; and in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 7.53 billion yuan, rising by 38.84 million yuan [1] - On November 28, a total of 1,680 stocks received net financing purchases, with 387 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan, and 20 stocks with net purchases over 100 million yuan [1] Group 2 - The top net financing purchase on November 28 was NewEase, with a net purchase of 1.17 billion yuan, followed by Zhongji Xuchuang and Xiangnong Xinchuan with net purchases of 860 million yuan and 463 million yuan, respectively [2] - In terms of industry, the highest concentration of stocks with net purchases exceeding 100 million yuan was in the electronics, communications, and power equipment sectors, with 6, 3, and 3 stocks respectively [1][2] - The average ratio of financing balance to circulating market value for stocks with significant net purchases was 4.74%, with Yongtai Technology having the highest ratio at 8.02% [2]