证券日报网讯 1月30日，德明利在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司业绩表现受行业景气度、业务 开拓、研发创新等多重因素综合影响。公司深耕存储行业多年，具备应对行业周期变化做好供应链管控 与库存管理的核心运营能力。公司未来将进一步把握行业发展机遇，依托在存储领域的技术、供应链及 市场布局等核心优势努力提升经营效益，具体业绩情况请以公司披露的定期报告为准。 （编辑 袁冠琳） ...

Core Viewpoint - Several storage companies have reported significant profit increases for 2025, driven by a price surge in the industry [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Jiangbolong announced an earnings forecast for 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.25 billion to 1.55 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 150.66% to 210.82% [1] - Other storage companies, including Baiwei Storage, Zhaoyi Innovation, Demingli, and Langke Technology, are also expected to report profit increases due to the same price surge [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry [5] Core Insights - The ongoing shortage of niche storage is expected to continue, with AI demand opening up incremental growth opportunities [2][8] - AI demand is anticipated to drive the need for niche storage, particularly in applications such as automotive, industrial, and security [7] - Domestic manufacturers are positioned competitively in the niche storage market and are likely to benefit from the supply constraints caused by international suppliers exiting this segment [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include domestic storage chip design companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin, Beijing Junzheng, and Hengshuo [3][8] - Other relevant companies include domestic storage module manufacturers like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Baiwei Storage, as well as semiconductor equipment firms such as Zhongwei, Jingzhida, and Beifang Huachuang [3][8] - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations include Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology, and Aojie Technology [3][8] Market Dynamics - The supply of niche storage products is being significantly reduced as major international suppliers focus on mainstream storage products, leading to a substantial contraction in supply [7] - For instance, the global MLC NAND Flash capacity is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to supply shrinkage, which is expected to drive prices significantly higher [7] - Domestic firms are gaining market share in niche storage, with Zhaoyi Innovation holding approximately 18.5% of the NOR Flash market in 2024, ranking second globally [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronics industry [1][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights a transition from structural shortages to widespread price increases in the electronics sector, driven by sustained high demand for AI computing and storage capabilities. This inflationary trend is expected to enhance the earnings outlook for related companies [1]. - The report expresses optimism for 2026, predicting it to be a year of significant growth for domestic hard technology, driven by innovations in AI smartphones, AI glasses, and foldable screens [1]. - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in self-controllable manufacturing (foundry and equipment) and those in the overseas storage and computing supply chain [1]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the electronics sector increased by 1.39%. Sub-sectors such as optical optoelectronics saw a rise of 3.21%, whereas consumer electronics declined by 0.69% [1][13]. - Global AI computing and storage demand continues to drive resource competition within the electronics supply chain, leading to price increases across various components [1]. Semiconductor and Storage - The report notes a significant increase in storage prices, with NAND Flash prices rising by 18% and DRAM prices by 33% over the past month. This has led to increased cost proportions for PC manufacturers [3]. - Companies like 德明利 (Demingli) and 江波龙 (Jiangbolong) are expected to see substantial profit growth due to the ongoing storage cycle [3]. PCB Industry - The report indicates that rising raw material prices and demand growth are positively impacting the performance of PCB upstream manufacturers. Companies in this sector are expected to exceed market expectations [4]. - Recommendations include companies like 生益科技 (Shengyi Technology) and 芯碁微装 (Xinqi Micro) [4]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including 蓝特光学 (Lante Optics), 翱捷科技 (Aojie Technology), and 中芯国际 (SMIC), among others, based on their potential in the current market environment [1][9].

Core Insights - The storage chip industry is experiencing significant growth driven by rising product prices and increased demand from AI and computing sectors, with expectations of continued high prosperity through 2026 [1][4][5] - Major companies in the storage sector, including both global leaders and domestic firms, are actively expanding production capacities to capitalize on this favorable market cycle [1][6] Group 1: Industry Performance - As of January 27, 2025, 34 storage-related companies in the A-share market have released earnings forecasts, with 19 companies reporting profitability, and 17 showing year-on-year profit growth, indicating a robust performance across the sector [2] - Notably, Bawei Storage is projected to achieve a revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.36% to 79.23%, and a net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 427.19% to 520.22% [2] - Demingli, another leading company, anticipates revenues between 10.3 billion to 11.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 115.82% to 136.77%, and a net profit of 650 million to 800 million yuan, marking an increase of 85.42% to 128.21% [2] Group 2: Price Dynamics - The primary driver of the high growth in the storage chip industry is the entry into a prosperous cycle and the increase in product prices, particularly influenced by AI demand and supply constraints [4] - Starting from the second quarter of 2025, the global storage industry began to rebound, with major companies like SanDisk initiating price increases, prompting others such as Samsung and Micron to follow suit [4] Group 3: Future Outlook - Industry experts predict that the core cycle of rising storage prices will last until the end of 2026, with high prosperity expected to continue at least until 2027, and the HBM segment may not see a price turning point until early 2028 [5] - A recent example includes Kioxia, which reported that its NAND flash memory capacity for 2026 is fully sold out, indicating a tight supply situation expected to persist until at least 2027 [5] Group 4: Expansion Strategies - In response to the ongoing high demand, both international and domestic manufacturers are ramping up production, focusing on HBM and high-end NAND sectors, with capacity expansions planned for 2026 to 2028 [6] - Companies like Kioxia and Micron are making significant investments to enhance their production capabilities, with Kioxia planning to double its NAND capacity over the next five years and Micron investing $24 billion to expand its Singapore facility [6][7] - Domestic firms such as Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies are also advancing their production capabilities, while companies like Bawei Storage and Demingli are pursuing capital increases to fund expansion projects [6][7]

Core Viewpoint - The profitability growth of storage chip companies is driven by the booming AI and computing industries, leading to a high prosperity cycle and continuous price increases in products [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - As of January 27, 2025, 34 storage concept companies in A-shares have released performance forecasts, with 19 companies achieving profitability, and 17 companies showing year-on-year profit growth, representing a 50% success rate [2] - Notably, 8 companies have projected profit growth exceeding 100%, with Baiwei Storage leading the growth [2] - Baiwei Storage expects revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.36% to 79.23%, and net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 427.19% to 520.22% [2] Group 2: Price Increases - The primary reason for the high growth in the storage chip industry is the entry into a high prosperity cycle and product price increases [4] - Baiwei Storage indicated that from Q2 2025, as storage prices stabilize and rise, the company's sales revenue and gross margin will gradually improve [4] - The global storage industry began to rebound from Q2 2025, with major manufacturers like SanDisk initiating price increases, followed by others like Samsung and Micron [4] Group 3: Future Trends - The core factors behind the current price increases in storage chips are the explosive demand from AI and supply contractions, leading to structural supply-demand mismatches [5] - Industry experts predict that the core cycle of rising storage prices will last until the end of 2026, with high prosperity expected to continue at least until 2027 [5] Group 4: Expansion Strategies - Companies are actively expanding production to seize opportunities during the high prosperity cycle [6] - International manufacturers are focusing on expanding HBM and high-end NAND production capacities, with plans to gradually release these capacities from 2026 to 2028 [6] - Domestic manufacturers like Yangtze Memory and Changxin Technology are also accelerating their production expansion and technological upgrades [6] Group 5: Specific Company Actions - De Ming Li plans to raise no more than 3.2 billion yuan for SSD and DRAM expansion projects and to support its smart storage management and R&D headquarters [7] - Pu Ran Co. is enhancing its core competitiveness in the storage chip field through the acquisition of Noah Chang Tian, which allows it to take over SK Hynix's 2D NAND-related business [7]

Core Insights - The storage chip industry is experiencing significant profitability growth driven by the demand from AI and computing sectors, leading to a high prosperity cycle and continuous product price increases [1] - The high prosperity in the storage chip industry is expected to persist into 2026, with price increases anticipated throughout the year, particularly in the HBM segment, which may remain robust until 2028 [1] Group 1: Company Performance - As of January 27, 2025, 34 storage concept companies in the A-share market have released performance forecasts, with 19 companies reporting profitability, and 17 companies showing year-on-year profit growth, indicating a 50% success rate [2] - Among these, Bawei Storage is leading with an expected revenue of 10 billion to 12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.36% to 79.23%, and a projected net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 427.19% to 520.22% [2] - Leading companies like Demingli and Zhaoyi Innovation are also reporting strong performance, with Demingli forecasting revenues of 10.3 billion to 11.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 115.82% to 136.77%, and net profits of 650 million to 800 million yuan, up by 85.42% to 128.21% [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The primary driver of the high growth in the storage chip industry is the entry into a high prosperity cycle and product price increases, with companies like Bawei Storage and Demingli reporting improvements in sales revenue and gross margins due to stabilizing storage prices [4] - The global storage industry began to rebound from the second quarter of 2025, with major manufacturers like SanDisk initiating price increases, followed by others such as Samsung and Micron [4] - The current price increase cycle is attributed to a structural supply-demand mismatch caused by an explosion in AI demand and supply constraints, with expectations that the price increase cycle will last until the end of 2026 and high prosperity until at least 2027 [5] Group 3: Expansion Strategies - In response to the ongoing high prosperity and rising product prices, storage companies are announcing expansion plans to capitalize on the industry cycle [6] - International manufacturers are focusing on expanding HBM and high-end NAND production capacities, with companies like Kioxia planning to double its NAND capacity over the next five years to meet growing AI data center demands [6] - Domestic companies such as Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies are also ramping up production, with Bawei Storage and Demingli pursuing capital increases for expansion projects [7]

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip industry is experiencing significant growth driven by AI demand and rising product prices, leading to a high profitability forecast for various companies in the sector [1][5][6]. Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Baiwei Storage expects a net profit of 8.5 billion to 10 billion, representing a growth of 427.19% to 520.22% [1][3]. - Demingli anticipates a net profit of 6.5 billion to 8 billion, with a growth rate of 85.42% to 128.21% [3][4]. - 34 storage concept companies have released 2025 performance forecasts, with 19 companies showing profit growth, indicating a 50% success rate [3]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Drivers - The storage chip industry is projected to maintain high profitability through 2026, particularly in the HBM segment, driven by AI demand [2][6]. - The price increase in storage products is attributed to a high demand from AI applications and a supply contraction, leading to a structural supply-demand mismatch [6][7]. - Major companies like Samsung and Micron are expanding production capacities to meet the growing demand, with specific plans to increase DRAM and NAND production [7][8]. Group 3: Expansion and Investment Strategies - Domestic companies such as Changjiang Storage and Changxin Technology are ramping up capital expenditures and production capacity to capitalize on the industry's growth [2][7]. - Baiwei Storage and Demingli are actively pursuing expansion through fundraising and mergers to enhance their core competencies in the storage chip market [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electronics industry [1][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights a transition from structural shortages and price increases to a more widespread inflation across the electronics industry, driven by sustained high demand for AI computing and storage capabilities [1]. - It emphasizes the optimistic outlook for 2026 as a year of significant growth in domestic hard technology, driven by innovations in AI smartphones, AI glasses, and foldable screens [1]. - The report recommends focusing on companies involved in self-controllable manufacturing and the overseas supply chain for storage and computing [1]. Summary by Sections Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the electronics sector increased by 1.39% over the past week, with optical electronics up by 3.21% and consumer electronics down by 0.69% [1][13]. - Global AI computing and storage demand continues to drive resource competition within the supply chain, leading to price increases across various components [1]. Semiconductor Developments - Alibaba's AI chip subsidiary, Pingtouge, is preparing for an independent IPO, indicating a strong trend towards domestic alternatives in computing chips [2]. - The report expresses confidence in the growth of domestic GPU and ASIC companies, such as Cambricon and Aojie Technology [2]. Storage Market Dynamics - NAND Flash prices have risen by 18% and DRAM prices by 33% in the past month, leading to increased cost proportions for PC manufacturers [3]. - Companies like Demingli and Jiangbolong are expected to see significant profit growth due to the ongoing storage cycle [3]. PCB Industry Insights - The report notes that rising raw material prices and increasing demand are positively impacting the performance of PCB upstream manufacturers [4]. - Companies such as Shenghong Technology and Jinan Guojiji are highlighted for their strong performance and market expectations [4]. Key Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across different segments, including: - Optical Electronics: Lantech Optical, Aojie Technology, and others [1]. - Storage: Demingli, Jiangbolong, and others [3]. - PCB: Shengyi Technology and others [4]. - A focus on semiconductor companies like SMIC and Aojie Technology is also advised [9].

Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a fluctuating and differentiated pattern last week, with major indices showing mixed performance and active rotation among hot sectors [1][7] - Institutions generally hold an optimistic outlook, believing the market is likely to trend upward [1][7] - As of January 25, over 950 companies have disclosed their 2025 earnings forecasts, with around 40% of these companies showing positive performance [1][7] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry, particularly companies related to artificial intelligence, data center construction, and domestic substitution, is expected to see strong earnings growth in 2025 [1][8] - Notable companies include: - Zhongwei Semiconductor expects revenue of approximately 1.122 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 23%, and a net profit of 284 million yuan, up approximately 107% [8] - Juchip Technology anticipates revenue of 922 million yuan, a 41.44% increase, and a net profit of 204 million yuan, up 91.40% [2] - Baiwei Storage forecasts revenue between 10 billion to 12 billion yuan, a growth of 49.36% to 79.23%, and a net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 427.19% to 520.22% [3][9] Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a "polarized" performance, with over 60 companies disclosing earnings forecasts, about half of which are positive [1][9] - Key performers include: - Zhaoyan New Drug expects a net profit of approximately 233 million to 349 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 214% to 371% [10] - Shanghai Yizhong anticipates a net profit of 6 million to 7 million yuan, a growth of 760.18% to 903.54% [10] - However, companies like Zhifei Biological are projected to incur significant losses, with an expected net loss of 10.7 billion to 13.7 billion yuan [10][5] Banking Sector - As of January 25, eight listed banks have released earnings reports, with all showing year-on-year growth in net profit [5][11] - Key statistics include: - China Merchants Bank's total assets surpassing 13 trillion yuan, and Industrial Bank exceeding 11 trillion yuan [11] - The highest net profit growth among these banks is from Hangzhou Bank at 12.05%, followed by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank at 10.52% [11] - The growth drivers for banks include improved cost of liabilities and rapid growth in intermediary business income, with Ningbo Bank's net income from fees and commissions increasing by 30.72% [12]