公司会定期复盘产能，结合预期签订订单量、在手订单交付需求及时间等综合判断是否进一步扩产；产 品销售价格由市场决定。国内市场方面，国家电网"十五五"期间固定资产投资计划将创历史新高，新能 源市场希望继续保持旺盛需求。 公司在沙特与Al Sharhan Energy合资建厂是应对客户本地化需求且经审慎评估，海外建厂保持审慎及开 放态度以提供更满足需求的产品和服务。关于烯晶碳能2025年商誉减值，公司已聘请有资质评估机构， 将尊重评估及审计机构专业意见，具体结果将在年度报告中披露。 调研详情如下： 一、互动问答 2026年1月19日，思源电气披露接待调研公告，公司于1月16日接待淡水泉投资、高盛、安本投资、 Eastspring Investments、BNP Paribas Asset Management、东方证券自营等17家机构调研。 调研情况显示，大宗商品价格波动对思源电气产品成本有影响但总体可控，公司通过铜期货套期保值对 冲铜价波动，并复盘策略以更好匹配业务需求。变压器新建车间及设备正陆续安装、调试、试生产并投 入批量生产，目前能按客户要求交货。 A3：公司会定期的复盘产能情况，并根据预期将要签订的订单量 ...

西部证券研报指出，思源电气全年业绩表现强劲，显著超出市场预期。公司2025年实现营业总收入 212.05亿元，同比增长37.18%；实现归母净利润31.63亿元，同比增长54.35%；利润端增速显著快于收 入端，表明公司盈利能力持续增强。国内电网投资需求超预期，公司表现强劲。海外需求强劲，北美 AIDC需求有望支撑业绩高增长。另外，公司与宁德时代签署战略合作协议，储能业务有望在海外市场 实现增长。维持"买入"评级。 ...

证券代码：002028.SZ 证券简称：思源电气 思源电气股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2026-001 | 投资者关系活 | ☑特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 | | --- | --- | | 动类别 | □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | | 高盛、淡水泉投资、安本投资、Eastspring Investments、BNP Paribas Asset | | 参与单位名称 | Management、东方证券自营、禾其投资、中投公司、Kadensa Capital、Capital | | 及人员姓名 | Group、VG Investment、Ariose Capital、Marshall Wace、摩根士丹利投资 | | | 管理、Schonfeld Strategic Advisors、Ishana Capital、East Capital | | 时间 | 2026 年 1 月 16 日 15:30-16:30 | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | 上市公司接待 | 董事会秘书兼财务总监 杨哲嵘先生 | | 人员 ...

Market Overview - On January 19, A-shares experienced a contraction in trading volume with mixed performance across major indices. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% to close at 4114.00, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% to 14294.05. In contrast, the ChiNext Index fell by 0.7% to 3337.61, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index decreased by 0.21% to 1851.07 [2][3]. Sector Performance - The electric grid equipment sector saw a significant surge, with over 20 stocks hitting the daily limit up. Notable performers included China West Electric and Jicheng Electronics [4]. - The top gainers in the electric grid equipment sector included: - YN Power: +29.96% to 24.51 - Guanjie Electric: +20.00% to 14.82 - Caneng Power: +17.72% to 28.10 [5]. Trading Volume and Market Activity - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.71 trillion yuan, a decrease of 317.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 3500 stocks rose across the market [6][7]. Capital Flow - Main capital inflows were observed in the electric grid equipment, tourism, and automotive sectors, while semiconductor, communication, and media sectors experienced net outflows [8]. - Specific stocks with significant net inflows included: - TBEA: 2.408 billion yuan - China West Electric: 1.807 billion yuan - Haiguang Information: 1.091 billion yuan [9]. - Conversely, net outflows were noted in: - Industrial Fulian: 1.578 billion yuan - CATL: 1.464 billion yuan - Xiangshan Chip: 1.337 billion yuan [10]. Institutional Insights - Jin Yuan Securities emphasized the importance of focusing on company performance growth and safety margins during the annual report window [11]. - Guotai Junan expressed optimism about the spring market, highlighting opportunities in sectors supported by performance [12]. - Wanlian Securities anticipated that policies would continue to promote comprehensive reforms in capital market financing, reinforcing the market's stabilization and positive momentum [13].

Market Performance - The market saw a surge in high-voltage power transmission and aerospace-related stocks, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit up, while sectors like oil and gas, and tourism also performed well [1] - The A-share market experienced a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.29% and the ChiNext Index falling by 0.7% [3] Stock Highlights - Notable gainers included YN Power (+29.96% to 24.51), Double杰 Electric (+20.00% to 14.82), and Can Energy (+17.72% to 28.10) [2] - Gold stocks collectively strengthened, with Sichuan Gold and Zhaojin Gold both hitting the daily limit up [4] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.71 trillion, a decrease of 317.9 billion from the previous trading day, with over 3,500 stocks rising [4] - Main capital inflows were observed in sectors such as power grid equipment, tourism, and automotive, while semiconductor and communication sectors experienced net outflows [6] Institutional Insights - Jin Yuan Securities emphasized the importance of focusing on company performance growth and safety margins during the annual report window [7] - Guotai Junan expressed optimism about the spring market, highlighting opportunities in sectors supported by performance [8]

Group 1 - The strong performance of the UHV (Ultra High Voltage) sector is driven by a significant investment plan of 4 trillion yuan by the State Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [1] - The UHV sector index rose by 5.06% to 2361.96 points, with total trading volume reaching 78.6 billion yuan, and several stocks, including Electric Power Research Institute and Hancable, hitting the daily limit [1] - The investment will enhance system regulation capabilities, optimize pumped storage station layouts, and support large-scale development of new energy storage, improving the integration and consumption of renewable energy [1] Group 2 - A global shortage of electrical grid equipment is exacerbated by the rising demand from AI data centers, with a 30% supply gap for large power transformers, particularly in North America and the Middle East [2] - The global market for transformers related to AI data centers is projected to reach approximately 6 billion yuan in 2024 and 26.4 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 64% [2] - Chinese companies are leveraging their full industry chain advantages to fill the global supply gap, with recent contracts indicating a focus on supplying products for overseas AI computing power parks [2] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs has initiated coverage on Chinese companies like Suyuan Electric and Huaming Equipment, noting that the global equipment shortage is accelerating the overseas expansion of these firms [3] - The investment in new power systems and UHV technology is expected to continue increasing over the next 3 to 5 years, with about 40% of the investment from the State Grid and Southern Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan directed towards upgrading and expanding transmission and transformation equipment [3] - The demand for large-capacity power transformers and converter transformers is expected to rise significantly due to the construction of UHV AC ring networks and DC channels [3]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **Chinese power grid industry**, specifically focusing on the **State Grid Corporation of China** and its investment plans during the **15th Five-Year Plan (FYP)** period from **2026 to 2030**. [1][3] Key Points and Arguments 1. **Investment Targets**: The State Grid aims for a fixed-asset investment of **Rmb 4 trillion** during the 15th FYP, a **40% increase** from the **Rmb 2.8 trillion** during the 14th FYP. This indicates an annual investment of at least **Rmb 800 billion**, translating to a **CAGR of at least 6%**. [1][8] 2. **Growth Segments**: The **Ultra High Voltage (UHV)** segment is expected to grow the fastest at **24% year-on-year** in **2026E**. Investments will shift towards smart grid infrastructure from **2028E to 2030E** due to the increasing share of renewable energy. [2] 3. **Distribution vs. Transmission**: Over the 2026E-2030E period, distribution investments are projected to grow faster than transmission, increasing its contribution to total investment from **57% to 59%**. [2] 4. **Power Transmission Capacity**: The State Grid plans to enhance cross-regional and cross-provincial power transmission capacity by over **30%** compared to the end of the 14th FYP. [3] 5. **Renewable Energy Integration**: By **2030**, renewable energy is expected to account for approximately **30%** of total power generation, supporting the integration of up to **900 GW** of distributable renewable energy capacity. [7] 6. **Market Dynamics**: The competition landscape shows market share consolidation among top players like **Sieyuan**, **Pinggao**, and **TBEA**. [10][29] Additional Important Insights - **Investment Trends**: In **2025**, the disclosed grid investment reached **Rmb 560.4 billion**, marking a **6% year-on-year** increase, with expectations of achieving **11% year-on-year** by year-end. [10][12] - **Equipment Tendering**: Transmission equipment tendering grew by **26% year-on-year** in 2025, with primary equipment at **27%** and secondary equipment at **20%**. However, UHV equipment tendering declined by **12% year-on-year** due to fewer new lines starting construction. [10][14][22] - **Future Expectations**: Five new UHV lines are expected to start construction in **2026E**, with UHV investments anticipated to peak in **2027E**. [25] - **Consolidation in Product Categories**: There is noted consolidation in product categories such as **GIS**, **disconnectors**, and **power transformers**, with significant market shares held by leading companies. [29] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the Chinese power grid industry, highlighting investment plans, growth segments, and market dynamics.

Sieyuan Electric (002028.SZ) Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Sieyuan Electric - **Ticker**: 002028.SZ - **Industry**: Grid Equipment Key Financial Highlights - **FY25 Revenue**: Rmb 21,205 million, representing a **37% year-over-year increase** and a **2% increase** from previous estimates [4] - **FY25 Net Income**: Rmb 3,163 million, reflecting a **54% year-over-year increase** and a **1% increase** from previous estimates [4] - **4Q25 Implied Revenue**: Rmb 7,378 million, up **46% year-over-year** [4] - **4Q25 Implied Net Income**: Rmb 971 million, up **74% year-over-year** [4] - **Net Profit Margin (NPM)** for 4Q25: 13.2%, which is **2.7 percentage points lower** than the first three quarters of FY25 [4] Growth Projections - **Revenue CAGR (2025-2030)**: Expected to be **23%** [5] - **Net Profit CAGR (2025-2030)**: Expected to be **28%** [5] - **Overseas Revenue CAGR (2025-2030)**: Expected to be **36%**, increasing its contribution from **33% to 56%** of total revenue [5][6] Market Position and Strategy - Sieyuan is positioned among the **top 1-3** in various product categories within the Chinese grid equipment market [6] - The company is expected to benefit from a **global grid upgrade cycle** driven by aging infrastructure, economic development, and renewable energy [6] - Market share in switchgear is projected to grow from **6% in 2025** to **8% in 2030**, and in power transformers from **1% to 6%** [6] Valuation and Price Target - **12-month Price Target**: Rmb 195.6, based on a **2028E P/E of 25x**, discounted to 2026E at a **cost of equity (CoE) of 9.5%** [6][7] - Current Price: Rmb 185.9, indicating an **upside potential of 5.2%** [9] Risks - Key risks include: 1. **Overseas execution risk** [8] 2. Potential for margins to fall below expectations [8] 3. A slowdown in data center construction pace [8] Additional Insights - The company has a **multi-product portfolio** that enhances its competitive advantages and execution capabilities overseas [6] - Sieyuan's unique positioning is attributed to its ability to combine high quality with a long-term commitment to rigorous certification processes and sustained investments [6] Conclusion - Sieyuan Electric is well-positioned for growth in the grid equipment sector, with strong financial projections and a clear strategy to enhance its market share both domestically and internationally. The investment thesis remains positive, supported by robust growth forecasts and a solid valuation framework.

Core Viewpoint - The power grid concept stocks have shown strong performance in early trading, with significant gains in several companies, indicating a positive market sentiment towards the power equipment sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Xuji Electric has risen over 8%, while Guodian NARI and Hengtong Optic-Electric have increased by more than 7%. Other companies like Tebian Electric, Siyuan Electric, and Zhongtian Technology have also seen gains exceeding 4% [1]. - The power equipment ETF and the grid ETF have both increased by over 5% [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to brokerages, the new energy sector is expected to maintain a positive trend through 2026, supported by the National Energy Administration's commitment to enhance offshore wind power development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2]. - The anticipated increase in overseas high-value orders is expected to expand China's wind power export potential, alongside domestic grid investment growth, which is likely to drive demand for power equipment [2]. - The power equipment sector is projected to sustain high prosperity levels due to these factors [2].

Core Insights - The article discusses the performance forecasts and reports of 20 companies that released their earnings reports for the year 2025, highlighting the accuracy of earnings quick reports compared to earnings forecasts [1] Group 1: Revenue Performance - The highest revenue among the companies that released earnings quick reports is from CITIC Bank, achieving a revenue of 212.475 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.55% [1] - Following CITIC Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Yangtze Power reported revenues of 173.964 billion yuan and 85.882 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Out of the 20 companies, 14 reported a year-on-year increase in revenue, with the highest growth rate recorded by Siyuan Electric, which achieved a revenue of 21.205 billion yuan, marking a growth of 37.18% [2] - CITIC Securities and Beiding Co. followed with revenue growth rates of 28.75% and 26.04%, respectively [2] Group 2: Profit Performance - All companies that released earnings quick reports reported profits, with five companies achieving net profits exceeding 10 billion yuan [2] - CITIC Bank led in net profit with 70.618 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.98% [2] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank and Yangtze Power reported net profits of 50.017 billion yuan and 34.167 billion yuan, respectively [2] - Among the companies, 13 reported a year-on-year increase in net profit, with the highest growth seen in Quanyuan Spring, which achieved a net profit of 0.015 billion yuan, up by 147.89% [2] - Beiding Co. and Siyuan Electric also showed significant net profit growth rates of 59.05% and 54.35%, respectively [2]