其他家电 三花智控（002050.SZ） 买入-A(首次) 业绩预告靓丽，港股 IPO 顺利发行 2025 年 6 月 27 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 2025 年 6 月 24 日晚，三花智控发布了 2025 年半年度业绩预告，2025H1 实现营收 150.4-177.8 亿，同比增长 10%-30%，归属于上市公司净利润为 18.9-22.7 亿，同比增长 25%-50%。 事件点评 家电零部件高景气度，对业绩贡献度较大。根据奥维云网数据，今年 4-5 月空调零售额线下增速分别是 12.2%、38.7%，今年 4-5 月空调零售额线上增 速分别是 34.8%、46%，6 月份市场大促，再叠加夏季到来，预计空调的需 求仍旧较高，整体而言，在以旧换新背景下，Q2 空调零售数据较为出色， 公司作为龙头显著受益于市场的需求增长，预计增速较高。 汽车零部件受益于标杆客户的示范效应，订单不断拓展。近年来新能源 汽车发展趋势向好，汽车热管理系统的需求持续大幅增长，根据弗若斯特沙 利文的资料，全球新能源汽车销量从 2024 年的 2140 万辆预计到 2029 年增 加到 4720 万辆，复 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant progress in the solid-state battery sector, with major manufacturers entering pilot production and automotive companies commencing road tests, indicating an accelerated industrialization process [2] - As of June 26, 2025, the China Battery Theme Index has shown a 0.47% increase, with notable gains from component stocks such as Xingyuan Material (+6.79%) and Wenkang New Energy (+3.15%) [1] - The battery ETF, Jia Shi, has experienced a 17.39% increase in net value over the past year, with a significant growth in shares by 22.5 million [1] Group 2 - The solid-state battery industry in China has an expansion plan exceeding 50 GWh with a total investment of approximately 15 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Battery Theme Index account for 50.34% of the index, with Ningde Times and Sunshine Power being the most significant contributors [2][4] - The industry is expected to reach product finalization by the end of 2025, with vehicle testing starting in 2026 and a move towards large-scale cost reduction in 2027 [2]

花旗给予三花智控（002050）H股买进的初始评级，目标价37港元。 ...

Market Performance - A-shares saw a morning surge with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.15% to 3420.57 points, Shenzhen Component Index up 1.68%, and ChiNext Index increasing by 2.3%[1] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index closed up 2.06% at 24177.07 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index rising by 2.14% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increasing by 1.9%[1] - The total trading volume in the Hong Kong market reached 2404.815 billion HKD[1] U.S. Market Trends - All three major U.S. stock indices rose over 1%, with the Dow Jones up 1.19%, S&P 500 increasing by 1.11% to 6092.18 points, and Nasdaq rising by 1.43%[1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated a balanced stance on interest rate cuts, suggesting a wait-and-see approach regarding tariff impacts on the economy[8] Geopolitical Developments - A fragile ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran remains in place, but the fate of highly enriched uranium is still uncertain, with the International Atomic Energy Agency seeking to return to Iran for verification[8][11] Economic Policies - The People's Bank of China and six other departments issued guidelines to enhance financial support for boosting and expanding consumption, emphasizing structural monetary policy tools and credit support for key service sectors[11]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·家电零部件Ⅱ 三花智控（002050） 25 年半年报预告点评：Q2 业绩预告超预期， 人形静待量产节奏提速 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 24,558 | 27,947 | 31,755 | 38,828 | 56,366 | | 同比（%） | 15.04 | 13.80 | 13.62 | 22.28 | 45.17 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,921 | 3,099 | 3,809 | 4,622 | 6,470 | | 同比（%） | 13.51 | 6.10 | 22.89 | 21.36 | 39.98 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 1.11 | 1.56 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 36.48 | 34.39 | 27.98 | 23.06 | 16.47 | 执业证书：S0600 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong IPO market has shown remarkable performance in the first half of the year, with 31 listings and a total financing amount of 884 billion HKD, surpassing the total financing of the previous year, making Hong Kong the global leader in IPO financing [1] - Institutional innovations have activated the financing momentum of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with optimized listing rules and improved approval efficiency being key drivers for attracting companies to list [2] - Leading companies in new economy and technology sectors have significantly contributed to Hong Kong's position as the top IPO financing venue globally, with major firms like CATL and Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine leading the way [2][3] Group 2 - The trend of A-share listed companies, especially in new economy and biomedicine sectors, seeking international development through Hong Kong listings is increasing, as the Hong Kong Stock Exchange responds to the demand for high-quality economic development [3] - The liquidity of the Hong Kong market has improved significantly, with a notable reduction in the price gap between H-shares and A-shares, enhancing the attractiveness of IPOs [4] - The continuous release of institutional dividends, the accelerated gathering of new economy industries, and the increasing convenience of cross-border capital flows are expected to strengthen Hong Kong's competitive advantage in attracting global new economy enterprises [4]

Core Viewpoint - Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050.SZ) expects a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by growth in its refrigeration and automotive parts businesses [1] Financial Performance Summary - The company anticipates revenue between 15.044 billion and 17.779 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10% to 30% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be between 1.893 billion and 2.272 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 25% to 50% [1] Business Segment Growth - The expected performance improvement is primarily attributed to the growth in the refrigeration air conditioning components business and the automotive components business [1]

三花智控：预计2025年上半年归母净利润18.93亿元–22.72亿元，同比增长25%-50%。 ...

Group 1 - The automotive thermal management concept sector rose by 4.02%, ranking fourth among concept sectors, with 114 stocks increasing in value [1] - Notable gainers included Hengshuai Co., Huaming Intelligent, and others, with some stocks reaching the daily limit of 20% [1] - The top gainers in the sector were Jiangsu Leili, ZheJiang RongTai, and Fulin Precision, with increases of 17.23%, 13.99%, and 8.44% respectively [1] Group 2 - The automotive thermal management sector saw a net inflow of 2.146 billion yuan, with 75 stocks receiving net inflows, and 9 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflows [2] - The leading stock in terms of net inflow was Sanhua Intelligent Control, with a net inflow of 453 million yuan, followed by Jiangsu Leili and Zhejiang RongTai with net inflows of 229 million yuan and 206 million yuan respectively [2] - The net inflow ratios for leading stocks included Tongda Electric at 61.68%, Huaming Intelligent at 31.32%, and Sanhua Intelligent Control at 16.66% [3] Group 3 - The top stocks in the automotive thermal management sector based on net inflow included Sanhua Intelligent Control, Jiangsu Leili, and Zhejiang RongTai, with respective daily price increases of 4.90%, 17.23%, and 10.00% [4] - Other notable stocks included Midea Group with a 1.51% increase and Top Group with a 6.73% increase [4] - The overall trading activity in the sector was characterized by significant turnover rates, with some stocks showing high trading volumes [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Views - The company has successfully achieved an IPO on the Hong Kong stock market, raising HKD 9.177 billion to expand production capacity in refrigeration and automotive sectors, and to develop electromechanical actuators for bionic robotics [3][9]. - The company has shown excellent growth in both refrigeration and automotive sectors, with a revenue of RMB 16.56 billion in the refrigeration sector (YoY +13.1%) and RMB 11.39 billion in the automotive sector (YoY +14.9%) for 2024 [4][10]. - The company is expected to benefit from Chinese appliance renewal policies in 2025, with a strong order backlog in the automotive sector [4][10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 31.65 billion in 2025, RMB 36.28 billion in 2026, and RMB 41.65 billion in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 13%, 15%, and 15% respectively [2][4]. - Net profit is projected to be RMB 3.73 billion in 2025, RMB 4.34 billion in 2026, and RMB 5.07 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 20%, 17%, and 17% respectively [2][4]. - The diluted EPS is expected to increase from RMB 0.90 in 2025 to RMB 1.22 in 2027 [2][4]. Valuation - The company is assigned a target price of RMB 28.80 based on a 32x PE valuation for 2025, reflecting its growth potential in both existing and new markets [5][11].