Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry in China is expected to undergo a revaluation due to anti-involution measures, which may lead to a significant slowdown in global chemical capacity expansion. This shift could enhance the cash flow and dividend yield of Chinese chemical companies, transforming them from cash-consuming entities to profit-generating ones [6][29] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to rise significantly due to increased orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines in Europe and the US, leading to a projected shortfall of 250,000 tons by 2028, which is about 23% of the total annual production [6] - The report highlights four key investment opportunities: low-cost expansion, improving industry conditions, new materials, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [7][8] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 51.0% over the past 12 months, compared to 42.5% for the CSI 300 index [4] Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for low-cost expansion in major companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, alongside sectors like tires and fertilizers [7] - It also points out the improving conditions in various segments, including chromium salts, phosphate rock, and agricultural chemicals [8] Key Products Analysis - Recent price increases were noted for acrylic acid and esters, with butyl acrylate priced at 7,600 RMB/ton, reflecting a 3.40% increase [10] - The report also mentions the price of polymer MDI in East China at 15,550 RMB/ton, up by 1.97% [10] Company Tracking and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for many, with several companies rated as "Buy" [30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the chemical industry [6][12]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic judgment indicates that non-OPEC countries are expected to lead an increase in oil production, with a significant overall supply growth anticipated. Global GDP growth is projected to remain at 2.8%, with stable oil demand, although the growth rate may slow due to tariff policies [6][7]. - The expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is likely to boost demand during the peak season of September and October. Additionally, the leakage incident of GFL R32 in India may enhance China's export opportunities [6][12]. - The report highlights the ongoing investigation into anti-dumping practices against imported semiconductor chips from the U.S., which may benefit domestic semiconductor materials [6][12]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Analysis - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable despite potential slowdowns due to tariffs. Geopolitical factors, including U.S.-China tariff relief and the Russia-Ukraine situation, are influencing oil prices [6][7]. - Coal prices are anticipated to stabilize at a low level, and natural gas export facilities in the U.S. may accelerate, leading to lower import costs [6][7]. Chemical Sector Configuration - The report suggests a strategic focus on four areas: textile and apparel chain, agricultural chemicals, export chain, and sectors benefiting from "de-involution" policies. Specific companies are recommended for investment based on their market positions and growth potential [6][12]. Key Material Focus - Emphasis is placed on the importance of self-sufficiency in key materials, particularly in semiconductor and panel materials, with specific companies highlighted for their potential in these sectors [6][12]. Price Trends - Recent data indicates fluctuations in various chemical prices, with PTA prices down by 0.3% and MEG down by 2.0%. The report notes that the overall industrial product PPI has shown a year-on-year decline of 2.9% [12][13][16]. Company Valuations - A detailed valuation table is provided, showcasing various companies in the agricultural chemicals and chemical sectors, with ratings ranging from "Buy" to "Increase" based on their market performance and projected earnings [20].

Core Viewpoint - The PU sole industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with the market size expected to reach 1.38 trillion yuan in 2024, a 15% increase year-on-year, and projected to reach 1.8 trillion yuan by 2025 due to rising consumer demand for high-quality products and the rapid development of e-commerce [1][7]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The PU sole is made from polyurethane, offering advantages such as lightweight, durability, and improved performance compared to traditional rubber soles [3][5]. - The industry has evolved through three stages: initial development (1980-1990), rapid expansion (1990-2000), and maturity (2010-present), with China becoming the largest producer and consumer of PU soles globally [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The PU sole market is characterized by intense competition, with both international giants like Lubrizol and domestic companies such as Huafeng Chemical and Anli Materials actively participating [9][10]. - The production process involves various methods, including low-pressure and high-pressure casting, which contribute to the quality and performance of the soles [4]. Group 3: Industry Trends - Technological innovation is driving product upgrades, with advancements in materials science leading to enhanced functionality, such as improved wear resistance and adaptability to environmental conditions [10][11]. - There is a growing demand for eco-friendly and sustainable PU sole materials, with companies increasingly focusing on the use of bio-based and recycled materials [11][12]. - The trend towards personalized products is rising, particularly among younger consumers, prompting companies to explore customization options and data-driven design solutions [12].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600810 | 神马股份 | 10.32 | -2.37% | 41.01万 | 4.25 Z | | 002998 | 优彩资源 | 8.19 | -0.24% | 4.27万 | 3479.92万 | | 836077 | 吉林碳谷 | 15.32 | -0.20% | 6.58万 | 9953.78万 | | 603225 | 新凤鸣 | 16.15 | 0.00% | 15.09万 | 2.42亿 | | 600370 | 三房巷 | 2.06 | 0.00% | 23.58万 | 4809.03万 | | 000677 | 恒天海龙 | 5.37 | 0.00% | 16.01万 | 8558.47万 | | 002206 | 海利得 | 6.36 | 0.00% | 23.49万 | 1.48亿 | | 603406 | 天富龙 | 44.46 | 0.02% | 2.38万 | 1.05亿 | | 300876 | 蒙泰高新 | 4 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector experienced fluctuations on September 11, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a slight decline of 0.14% as of the report time [1] - Certain stocks within the chemical sector, such as lithium battery and synthetic resin companies, saw significant gains, with Lianhong Xinke hitting the daily limit and Enjie shares rising nearly 6% [1] - Conversely, stocks in the phosphate fertilizer, petrochemical, and nitrogen fertilizer sectors underperformed, with Hongda shares dropping over 2% [1] Group 2 - The chemical ETF (516020) has attracted substantial investment, with a total inflow of 560 million yuan over the past five trading days and over 1 billion yuan in the last ten trading days [1] - The pesticide industry is experiencing a reduction in inventory, with the total inventory-to-asset ratio for the pesticide sector at 13.94% as of June 30, 2025, down 0.12 percentage points from March 31 [3] - The chemical ETF's underlying index has a price-to-book ratio of 2.26, indicating a relatively low valuation compared to the past decade, suggesting a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3] Group 3 - Future policies are expected to address industry challenges, potentially leading to a recovery in the currently struggling chemical sector [4] - Domestic policies frequently mention supply-side requirements, while international factors such as rising raw material costs and capacity reductions in Europe and the U.S. add uncertainty to chemical supply [5] - The chemical ETF (516020) provides a diversified investment approach, covering various sub-sectors within the chemical industry, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks [5]

最近一年走势 2025 年 09 月 08 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 liyl03@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 dongbj@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 杨丽蓉 S0350524090008 yanglr@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 底部成本优势明显，静待氨纶、己二酸拐点 ——华峰化学（002064）公司动态研究 2025H1，公司实现营业收入 121.37 亿元，同比下滑 11.70%；实现归 母净利润 9.83 亿元，同比下滑 35.23%；实现扣非后归母净利润 9.04 亿元，同比下滑 37.83%；经营活动产生的现金流量净额为 13.52 亿元， 同比增长 82.59%。公司业绩下滑主要由于行业周期下行，氨纶、己二 酸价格同比下降。分产品板块来看，化学纤维板块（氨纶）实现营业 收入 42.15 亿元，同比-9.43%，毛利率为 18.65%，同比提升 3.68 个 pct，展现较强盈利韧性，主要由于公司氨纶降本效果显著；化工新材 料板块（聚氨酯原液）实 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector continues to show strong performance, with the chemical ETF (516020) experiencing a price increase of 2.34% as of the latest report, following a brief period of fluctuation [1][3] - Key stocks in the sector, including Tianqi Lithium and Huaneng Chemical, have seen significant gains, with Tianqi reaching the daily limit and others like Enjie and Huafeng Chemical rising over 6% [1][3] - The chemical ETF has attracted substantial investment, with a total inflow of 4.42 billion yuan over the last five trading days and over 9.8 billion yuan in the last ten days [3] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation have jointly released a plan aimed at stabilizing growth in the electronic information manufacturing industry, which includes measures to reduce competition in the lithium battery sector [3][4] - The policy shift from "encouragement" to "guidance" indicates potential for mandatory capacity replacement and stricter environmental regulations, suggesting a transition from price competition to policy-driven supply adjustments [3][4] - The valuation of the chemical ETF is currently at a relatively low level, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.23, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3] Group 3 - Domestic policies frequently emphasize supply-side requirements to combat "involution," while international factors such as rising raw material costs and capacity exits in Europe and the U.S. add uncertainty to chemical supply [4][5] - The "anti-involution" policy is seen as a significant guiding principle for the manufacturing sector, aiming to eliminate unfair competition and improve the overall market environment [5] - The chemical ETF (516020) provides a diversified investment approach, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks and the remainder in leading companies across various chemical sub-sectors [5]

Market Performance - The basic chemical index increased by 1.11% from August 23 to August 29, while the CSI 300 index rose by 2.71%, indicating that the basic chemical sector underperformed the CSI 300 by 1.60 percentage points, ranking 11th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included nylon (5.68%), rubber additives (5.44%), potassium fertilizer (4.65%), food and feed additives (2.99%), and fluorochemicals (2.99%) [1][2] Chemical Product Price Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were NYMEX natural gas (11.11%), crude phenol (7.12%), niacinamide (5.78%), phenol oil (5.16%), and hydrofluoric acid (5.00%) [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines included liquid chlorine (-75.00%), sodium (-6.78%), coal tar (-4.17%), anthracene oil (-4.11%), and lithium carbonate (industrial grade) (-4.09%) [3] Industry Dynamics - In the first half of 2025, the basic chemical sector achieved operating revenue of 1,123.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.03%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 69.72 billion yuan, up 4.43% year-on-year [4] - In Q2 2025, the sector reported operating revenue of 587.10 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.80% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.38%, with a net profit of 35.72 billion yuan, down 2.66% year-on-year but up 5.03% quarter-on-quarter, indicating an improving trend in quarterly profitability [4] Company Performance Highlights - In the refrigerant sector, Juhua Co. reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, up 10.36% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.05 billion yuan, up 145.84% year-on-year [6] - Sanmei Co. achieved H1 2025 operating revenue of 2.83 billion yuan, a 38.58% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 999.5 million yuan, up 159.22% year-on-year [6] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, Yara International reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, a 48.54% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 855 million yuan, up 216.64% year-on-year [7] - Salt Lake Co. reported H1 2025 operating revenue of 6.78 billion yuan, down 6.30% year-on-year, but a net profit of 2.52 billion yuan, up 13.69% year-on-year [7] Investment Recommendations - Current investment focus includes the refrigerant sector, with recommendations for companies like Jingshi Resources, Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., and Yonghe Co. [9] - The chemical fiber sector is also highlighted, with recommendations for Huafeng Chemical, Xin Fengming, and Taihe New Materials [9] - Other recommended companies include Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [9] - The tire sector includes recommendations for Sailun Tire, Senqilin, and Linglong Tire [9] - In the agricultural chemicals sector, recommended companies include Yara International, Salt Lake Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, and Yangnong Chemical [9] - High-quality growth stocks to watch include Blue Sky Technology, Shengquan Group, and Shandong Heda [9] Industry Rating - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [10]

Industry Overview - The rare earth magnetic materials industry saw a significant increase of 15.32% last week, outperforming the benchmark (CSI 300) by 12.61 percentage points [3] - The industry valuation (TTM P/E ratio) increased by 5.29 times to 105.19 times, currently at the 98th percentile of its historical range [3] Price Trends - Last week, the prices of rare earth concentrates generally declined, with specific decreases of 2.38%, 5.41%, and 6.25% for various domestic rare earth mines [4] - The average price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide fell by 4.02%, while the metal price decreased by 2.24% [4] - Dysprosium prices experienced a slight decline of 0.62%, and terbium prices remained weak due to insufficient terminal demand [4] - The price of sintered neodymium-iron-boron remained stable, with H35 grade increasing by 1.42% [6] Investment Recommendations - The supply of rare earths is expected to remain tight, with policies strengthening control over the entire industry chain, leading to an increase in the short-term supply gap for praseodymium-neodymium [7] - Demand is anticipated to improve, particularly in emerging sectors such as new energy vehicles and wind power, with major magnetic material manufacturers operating at full capacity [7] - The report maintains an "overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting that upstream rare earth resource companies may benefit from rising prices [8] Mechanical Industry Insights - The company reported a slight revenue increase of 1.7% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 1.29 billion yuan [10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 27.0%, indicating pressure on profitability [10] - The company is focusing on precision reducer business, which is expected to grow due to the demand in intelligent manufacturing and automation [13] Chemical Industry Outlook - The supply-demand dynamics for spandex are expected to improve as outdated production capacities exit the market and new capacities face delays [17] - The demand for spandex is projected to grow with consumption upgrades, leading to a favorable supply-demand balance in the future [19]

Meeting Information - The company will hold its second extraordinary general meeting of shareholders for 2025 on September 18, 2025 [1] - The meeting will be convened by the company's board of directors and has been approved in the 13th meeting of the 9th board [1][8] - The meeting will take place at the administrative building, Room 205, 1688 Development Avenue, Ruian Economic Development Zone, Zhejiang Province [8] Voting Details - The meeting will combine on-site voting and online voting [3] - On-site voting will include personal attendance and proxy attendance with a power of attorney [4] - Online voting will be available through the Shenzhen Stock Exchange trading system and the internet voting system on September 18, 2025, from 9:15 AM to 3:00 PM [2][12] Registration Information - The equity registration date for the meeting is September 15, 2025 [5] - Eligible attendees include ordinary shareholders or their agents registered by the close of trading on the registration date [6] - Registration for personal shareholders requires identification and proof of shareholding, while corporate shareholders must provide additional documentation [9] Agenda and Proposals - The meeting will review proposals that have been approved by the 13th meeting of the 9th board and the 11th meeting of the 9th supervisory board [8] - Certain proposals require a two-thirds majority of the voting rights held by attending shareholders to pass [8] - Separate counting of votes for small and medium investors will be conducted [8] Contact Information - For inquiries, shareholders can contact Zhu Gewai at 0577-65178053 or via email at hfal002064@huafeng.com [10]