Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Volume Timing Signal - **Model Construction Idea**: The model uses volume-based signals to determine market timing, identifying bullish or cautious market views based on volume trends[23][24] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Analyze the volume trends of major broad-based indices 2. Assign a "bullish" or "cautious" signal based on the volume dynamics 3. For example, as of April 11, 2025, the Beixin 50 index showed a "bullish" signal, while other indices like the Shanghai Composite and CSI 300 showed "cautious" signals[23][24] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a straightforward and intuitive approach to market timing but may lack robustness in highly volatile markets[23][24] 2. Model Name: Momentum Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model captures market sentiment by analyzing the proportion of stocks with positive returns in the CSI 300 index over a specific period[24][25] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the proportion of CSI 300 constituent stocks with positive returns over the past N days $ \text{CSI 300 N-day Upward Proportion} = \frac{\text{Number of stocks with positive returns in N days}}{\text{Total number of stocks in CSI 300}} $ 2. Smooth the indicator using two moving averages with different windows (N1 and N2, where N1 > N2) 3. Generate signals: - If the short-term moving average (fast line) exceeds the long-term moving average (slow line), the market is considered bullish - If the fast line falls below the slow line, the market sentiment is turning cautious[27] - **Model Evaluation**: The indicator is effective in capturing upward opportunities but may fail to avoid risks in declining markets[25][27] 3. Model Name: Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - **Model Construction Idea**: This model uses an eight-moving-average system to assess the trend state of the CSI 300 index[32][33] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the closing prices of the CSI 300 index for eight moving averages (parameters: 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233) 2. Assign values to the indicator based on the number of moving averages above or below the current price: - If the current price exceeds five or more moving averages, the market is considered bullish - Otherwise, the market is neutral or bearish[32][33] - **Model Evaluation**: The model provides a clear trend-following signal but may lag in rapidly changing markets[35] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Volume Timing Signal - Beixin 50 Index: Bullish signal[23][24] - Other indices (e.g., Shanghai Composite, CSI 300): Cautious signal[23][24] 2. Momentum Sentiment Indicator - CSI 300 Upward Proportion: Approximately 53% in the most recent week[25] 3. Moving Average Sentiment Indicator - CSI 300 Index: Currently in a non-bullish sentiment zone[35] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Cross-Sectional Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the dispersion of stock returns within an index to assess the alpha environment[37] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the cross-sectional volatility of constituent stocks in indices like CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 2. Compare the recent quarter's average volatility with historical periods to determine the alpha environment[41] - **Factor Evaluation**: Higher cross-sectional volatility indicates a better alpha environment for stock selection[37][41] 2. Factor Name: Time-Series Volatility - **Factor Construction Idea**: Measures the volatility of index returns over time to assess the alpha environment[41][44] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the time-series volatility of indices like CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 2. Compare the recent quarter's average volatility with historical periods to evaluate the alpha environment[44] - **Factor Evaluation**: Higher time-series volatility suggests a favorable alpha environment for active strategies[41][44] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Cross-Sectional Volatility - CSI 300: 1.90% (recent quarter), 77.80% of the past six months' percentile[41] - CSI 500: 2.16% (recent quarter), 42.06% of the past six months' percentile[41] - CSI 1000: 2.52% (recent quarter), 64.54% of the past six months' percentile[41] 2. Time-Series Volatility - CSI 300: 0.63% (recent quarter), 78.84% of the past six months' percentile[44] - CSI 500: 0.48% (recent quarter), 55.56% of the past six months' percentile[44] - CSI 1000: 0.29% (recent quarter), 70.12% of the past six months' percentile[44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on innovation in optical imaging components and accelerating its layout in Southeast Asia [1]. - The revenue growth guidance for 2025 is set between 0% to 30% [6]. - The company has successfully entered key supply chains and is transitioning from a manufacturing advantage to a research and development advantage [6]. Financial Performance - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,076 million in 2023 to 8,074 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.5% [5][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 600 million in 2023 to 1,491 million by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 34.5% [5][8]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 30% from 2025 onwards, with a slight increase to 30.9% by 2027 [5][6]. Business Segments - The optical components segment generated revenue of 28.84 billion in 2024, up 17.92% year-on-year, with significant advancements in coating filter technology and micro-prism module production [6]. - The film optical panel segment saw revenue of 24.72 billion in 2024, a 33.69% increase year-on-year, as the company expands beyond mobile applications [6]. - The automotive electronics segment achieved revenue of 3.00 billion in 2024, establishing a leading position in the AR-HUD market [6]. Growth Strategies - The company is pursuing three growth curves: focusing on consumer electronics, expanding into automotive optics, and strategic positioning in AR/VR technologies [6]. - The company aims to overcome global mass production challenges in reflective waveguide technology within the next couple of years [6].

Summary of Crystal Optoelectronics Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Crystal Optoelectronics - **Date**: April 11, 2025 - **Key Financials**: - Net profit growth rate exceeded sales growth by 48% - Gross margin reached 31.1%, up 3.3 percentage points year-on-year - Net profit margin at 16.4%, up 4.6 percentage points year-on-year - Revenue for 2024 was 6.3 billion RMB, a 24% year-on-year increase [2][3] Core Business Segments - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Optical components: 4.7 billion RMB, 18% increase, 47% of total revenue - Optical panels: 2.5 billion RMB, 34% increase, 40% of total revenue - Semiconductor optics: 100 million RMB, 20-fold increase, 2% of total revenue - Automotive electronics L3: 300 million RMB, 3-fold increase, 5% of total revenue - Reflective materials: 400 million RMB, 37-fold increase, 6% of total revenue [2][5] Market Position and Strategy - **Export and Market Reach**: - 75% of sales are exports, with less than 0.1% directly to the U.S., minimizing tariff impact - Major export markets include Taiwan, Singapore, Vietnam, and other East Asian countries [2][7][8] - **Future Growth Plans**: - Targeting 10% revenue growth in 2025 through customer relationship deepening, strategic business layout, and cost reduction [2][10] - Capital expenditure expected to be 10%-15% of revenue, focusing on new projects and headquarters development [10] Competitive Advantages - **Unique Market Position**: - Positioned uniquely in the global market with significant price advantages, breaking North American market monopolies [2][12][13] - **Technological Leadership**: - Committed to becoming a leader in the optical solutions for the metaverse, focusing on AR/VR and AI applications [20][45] Financial Performance and Profitability - **Profitability Metrics**: - Non-GAAP net profit increased by 83% year-on-year [2][5] - Gross margins improved across all business segments, with optical components at 36.3% and semiconductor optics at 40% [6] Risk Management and External Factors - **Impact of Tariffs**: - Minimal direct impact from U.S. tariffs due to low export volume; no significant order fluctuations reported from key clients [8][17] - **Response to Macro Uncertainty**: - Implementing structural adjustments and cost reduction strategies to enhance resilience against market volatility [15][47] Future Outlook - **Growth Projections**: - Anticipating continued growth driven by high-demand sectors such as consumer electronics and automotive [14][45] - **Investment in Innovation**: - Focused on R&D in AR optics and automotive HUD technologies, with plans for mass production in emerging markets [23][25][30] Shareholder Returns - **Dividend Plans**: - Proposed cash dividend of 2 RMB per ten shares, with no stock bonuses or capital increases [11] Conclusion - **Vision for the Future**: - Aiming to solidify its position as a global leader in optical solutions for the metaverse while maintaining strong relationships with major clients and adapting to market changes [45][48]

Group 1: Company Insights - BoShi Fund conducted research on six listed companies, focusing on their strategic initiatives and market performance [1][2][3][4][5][6] - Jerry Holdings is executing an international strategy with significant achievements in overseas markets, particularly in the Middle East, and plans to enhance cash flow management and cost reduction in 2024 [1] - Luxshare Precision has a limited impact from U.S. tariffs due to a small proportion of exports to the U.S., and it is observing the situation while emphasizing global capacity layout opportunities [2] - SuShi Testing anticipates a decline in main business revenue and net profit in 2024, with a focus on controlling capital expenditure in traditional areas while exploring emerging sectors [3] - Aerospace Rainbow has made significant progress in drone and missile businesses, with optimistic market expectations for exports and ongoing development of new products [4] - Crystal Optoelectronics is committed to a global and technology-driven strategy, with growth in AR and automotive sectors, while managing production adjustments and maintaining profitability [5] - Guanghe Technology is experiencing steady revenue growth driven by market opportunities and technological innovation, with a focus on AI products and maintaining high production capacity [6] Group 2: Financial Performance - Jerry Holdings reported a cash flow from operating activities of 2.594 billion, a year-on-year increase of 147.3% [1] - SuShi Testing expects a main business revenue of 1.920 billion, a decrease of 4.56%, and a net profit of 229.41 million, down 27% [3] - Aerospace Rainbow's drone export revenue is approximately 1.3 billion, with a gross margin of about 36% [4] - Guanghe Technology achieved an operating income of 3.734 billion, a year-on-year increase of 39.43%, and a net profit of 676 million, up 63.04% [6]

Group 1: Company Overview - Crystal Optoelectronics is committed to a global, technology-driven, and open cooperation strategy, focusing on major clients and a dual circulation layout [1] - The company is advancing its production base adjustments and the construction of its Singapore operations center [1] - The automotive business is growing rapidly, with an increase in AR-HUD shipments, although price declines are impacting gross margins [1] Group 2: Market Position and Product Development - The company has achieved significant progress in mass production of reflective waveguides for AR, with future potential for expansion outside of China, although current core efforts remain domestic [1] - Crystal Optoelectronics is seeing an increase in market share for Android prisms and is optimistic about the penetration trend in long-focus photography [1] - Breakthroughs in coating filter technology are expected to capture a larger market share in the future [1] Group 3: Financial Performance and Production Plans - The non-mobile thin film optical panel business is set to enter normal production status by the end of the year, with the second phase in Vietnam expected to start mass production in the second half of this year [1] - A normal decline in gross margin is observed in Q4, with a significant year-on-year improvement attributed to new product orientation, indicating future growth potential [1] - The stable market share of micro-prism products is noted, with future growth dependent on increased penetration rates [1]

Group 1: Luxshare Precision (立讯精密) - The company stated that the impact of the US tariffs on its exports is limited, as the proportion of finished products exported to the US is relatively small [1] - Luxshare expects customers to request the relocation of products exported to the US to regions with lower tariffs, with Vietnam being a key area due to its advantages in logistics, supply chain, and talent [1] - The company believes that the competitive landscape in the consumer electronics industry will not change significantly due to tariffs, as the supply chain structure primarily depends on corporate competitiveness [1] Group 2: Crystal Optoelectronics (水晶光电) - The company is committed to a global, technology-driven, and open cooperation strategy, continuing to embrace major clients and firmly establishing a dual circulation layout [2] - Crystal Optoelectronics is advancing its production base adjustments and the construction of its Singapore operations center, with AR being identified as a third growth curve [2] - The company has achieved breakthroughs in coating filter technology and expects to capture a significant market share in the future, with the second phase of its Vietnam factory expected to commence mass production in the second half of this year [2]

本报记者邬霁霞 4月9日晚间，浙江水晶光电科技股份有限公司（以下简称"水晶光电"）发布2024年年度报告。报告期 内，公司实现营业收入62.78亿元，同比增长23.67%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润10.30亿元，同比增 长71.57%。 水晶光电董事长林敏表示："尽管面临外部环境的不确定性与巨大挑战，公司依旧实现了盈利提升、规 模增长、毛利率上升以及净利润超额完成的佳绩。过去一年，公司多个战略项目成功落地，产品和市场 结构持续优化，业务规模迈上新台阶，盈利能力不断增强，为未来的可持续发展筑牢了根基。" 在4月10日召开的业绩说明会上，水晶光电进一步披露了经营细节与未来规划。水晶光电财务总监郑萍 介绍："公司各业务板块销售均呈现增长态势，其中光学元器件业务和光学面板业务占据主导地位。" 具体来看，光学元器件作为水晶光电的传统优势业务，2024年实现收入28.84亿元，同比增长17.92%。 报告期内，公司加大产品研发，拓展客户群，优化产品与利润结构。在涂布滤光片上导入新技术，市场 份额稳步扩大；微棱镜模块迭代项目完成量产，产品份额显著提升；单反相机业务通过布局新品、开拓 新客户，维持了较高市场占有率。 而薄膜 ...

证券代码：002273 证券简称：水晶光电 浙江水晶光电科技股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025010 | 投资者关系活动 | 特定对象调研 分析师会议 媒体采访 业绩说明会 | | --- | --- | | |  | | 类别 | 新闻发布会 路演活动 | | | 现场参观 其他 | | | 申万宏源证券有限公司；华福证券有限责任公司；上海证券有限责任公司；世纪证 | | | 券有限责任公司；开源证券股份有限公司；国盛证券有限责任公司；东方证券股份 | | | 有限公司；诚通证券股份有限公司；东北证券股份有限公司；华泰证券股份有限公 | | | 司；西部证券股份有限公司；中原证券股份有限公司；西南证券股份有限公司；华 | | | 创证券有限责任公司；东方财富证券股份有限公司；东吴证券股份有限公司；财通 | | | 证券股份有限公司；国元证券股份有限公司；国信证券股份有限公司；浙商证券股 | | | 份有限公司；华西证券股份有限公司；中泰证券股份有限公司；中航证券有限公司； | | | 华源证券股份有限公司；南京证券股份有限公司；江海证券有限公司；中国国际金 | | | 融股份有 ...

C R Y S T A L - O P T E C H 水晶光电 2024年年度业绩交流会 1 | | 1 | 2024年年度报告解读 | 郑 萍 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 议 程 | 2 | 关于美国关税对于公司的影响分析 | 韩 莉 | | AGENDA | 3 | 问答环节 | | | | 4 | 董事长总结发言 | 林 敏 | 2 前瞻性陈述 Forward-looking Statement 本文件由浙江水晶光电科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公司"）编制，仅供在本公司的业绩发布 会上使用。 本文件所载数据未经独立核实。本资料应与2024年年度报告一并阅读，所涉信息及释义以2024年年度报告披露 为准。本文件并无以明示或暗示方式作出任何陈述或保证，阁下不得依赖本文件所载数据的准确性、公正性或完整 性。本文件所载信息及意见乃于本会举行当日的说明及看法，如有更改恕不另行通知，且不会更新或修订，以反映 简介会举行当日后可能出现的任何事态发展。本公司或其任何联属公司概不就因本文件所载的任何数据的提供和使 用所引起的任何实际或间接损失或损害赔偿承担任何责任。本公司可以 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved record high performance in 2024, with revenue reaching 6.278 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.67%, and a net profit of 1.03 billion yuan, up 71.57% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on three main sectors: consumer electronics, automotive optics, and AR/VR, enhancing collaboration with industry leaders and increasing customer stickiness [1][3] - The company has optimized its product and market structure, resulting in significant cost reduction and efficiency improvements, with gross margin increasing by 3.28 percentage points to 31.1% in 2024 [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the optical components business generated revenue of 2.88 billion yuan, up 17.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 36.3%, an increase of 5.7 percentage points [2] - The thin-film optical panel segment reported revenue of 2.47 billion yuan, a 33.7% increase, with a gross margin of 26.7% [2] - The semiconductor optics segment achieved revenue of 130 million yuan, a 19.5% increase, with a gross margin of 40.3% [2] Business Segments - The automotive electronics segment generated revenue of 300 million yuan, a 3.0% increase, with a gross margin of 13.5% [2] - The company secured over ten key projects in the automotive optics sector, with HUD shipments nearing 300,000 units, indicating steady market share growth [3] - In the AR/VR sector, the company has developed a one-stop optical solution capability and is addressing mass production challenges [3][4] Research and Development - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, with expenses rising from 160 million yuan in 2019 to 420 million yuan in 2023, and a total of 1.165 billion yuan allocated from 2022 to 2024 [4] - The focus of R&D has shifted to AR reflective waveguides, with efforts to resolve mass production issues [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 7.593 billion yuan, 9.020 billion yuan, and 10.355 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.269 billion yuan, 1.574 billion yuan, and 1.829 billion yuan [5][4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19, 15, and 13 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]