智通财经APP获悉，汇丰发布研报称，2025年一季度A股盈利同比增长3.8%，材料(+40.3%)和信息技术(+24.7%)板块领涨，成长风格持续跑赢市 场。基于AI渗透率提升、全球化贸易突破及周期性行业复苏三大投资主题，重点推荐小米集团-W(01810)、深信服(300454.SZ)、掌趣科技 (300315.SZ)、和铂医药-B(02142)、立讯精密(002475.SZ)、安克创新(300866.SZ)、巨星科技(002444.SZ)、苏州银行(002966.SZ)、珀莱雅 (603605.SH)、顺丰控股(002352.SZ)等10只买入评级股票。 汇丰主要观点如下： 汇丰重点关注三大投资主题：人工智能(AI)、全球化、周期性复苏 2025 年一季度 A 股盈利同比增长 3.8%，材料和信息技术板块领涨成长风格预计将继续跑赢市场，2025 年一季度和 2024 年的盈利增长强劲支撑这 一趋势。 2025 年一季度及 2024 年业绩关键要点： 2025 年一季度 A 股盈利同比增长 3.8%，但 2024 年同比下降 2.3%; 分行业来看，2025 年一季度材料(+40.3%，有色金属和钢铁价格回升 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The logistics industry is showing positive trends, but the warehousing rental market is adopting a "price - for - volume" strategy due to supply shocks. The current high - rent period of Southern SF Logistics REIT is a window of opportunity for investment, and investors who meet the income conditions can consider allocating it at an appropriate time [1][4]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Logistics activities are improving, but warehousing facilities are rented at the expense of price for volume - **Logistics industry boom has significantly increased, and the proportion of logistics storage costs has been stable with a slight increase**: In April 2025, China's Logistics Prosperity Index was 51.1%, remaining in the expansion range. The warehousing logistics industry is cyclical, affected by e - commerce promotions and manufacturing business peaks. In 2024, the total social logistics cost was 19.0 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.1%, and the storage cost was 6.4 trillion yuan, accounting for 34% of the total social logistics cost [11][15]. - **The domestic high - standard warehouse industry has a "one - super - many - strong" pattern, and the supply shock will continue**: The domestic high - standard warehouse industry is highly concentrated, with GLP having a leading market share. Different development entities have increased the supply of high - standard warehouses. Due to the slowdown of macro - economic recovery and continuous supply release, the market generally adopts a "price - for - volume" strategy, but still faces short - term challenges of falling rents and rising vacancy rates [20][24]. - **Domestic warehousing logistics REITs are also facing a "price - for - volume" situation, and rents have declined**: As of May 16, 2025, 9 warehousing logistics REITs have been listed in China, involving 31 underlying assets. In 2025, the operating occupancy rates and rent levels of these REITs are still under pressure, and many projects will adopt a more aggressive "price - for - volume" strategy [31][35]. 3.2 SF Hong Kong REIT performs well and is an effective reference for domestic REITs - **SF Holdings adopts a self - operated logistics model, providing stable demand for Hong Kong and Shenzhen REITs**: SF Holdings is the largest comprehensive logistics service provider in China and Asia and the fourth - largest in the world. It has many key site resources such as logistics industrial parks, which can provide potential rental demand and expansion assets for its REITs [41][44]. - **SF Hong Kong REIT has been in operation for many years, with a high proportion of related tenants but stable performance**: Since its listing in 2021, SF REIT has been operating stably. Its first - largest tenant is the SF Holdings Group, and the rental area of SF Group tenants in 2024 accounted for 80.3% of the rentable area. The overall occupancy rate of its 4 properties has remained above 98% in the past three years [51][66]. - **The valuation of SF Hong Kong REIT has been adjusted downward, and the downward pressure on warehousing logistics assets still exists**: Affected by the decrease in occupancy rate and rent, the valuation of SF REIT decreased by 8.9% in 2024. It will face the renewal test of related tenants in 2026, and the subsequent lease term, rent, and increase rate need to be evaluated [68][70]. - **SF Hong Kong REIT has experienced multiple market cycles, and the low stock price has led to a dividend yield of over 7%**: Since its listing, SF REIT has experienced multiple market cycles and has been in a discounted state for a long time. From 2021 - 2024, its annualized distribution yields were 7.9%, 9.5%, 10.7%, and 8.8% respectively [73][74]. 3.3 Southern SF Logistics REIT, cherish the window period of the current high - rent period - **The underlying assets of SF's domestic REIT are sorting centers, which are important sites for express delivery services**: The underlying assets of Southern SF Logistics REIT include three projects in Shenzhen, Wuhan, and Hefei, with a total asset valuation of about 3.041 billion yuan. The sorting center area accounts for about 55% of the total rentable area, and the income accounts for a relatively high proportion [79][82]. - **The asset competition between the Hong Kong and Shenzhen REITs has eased, and each has its own regional focus**: SF REIT has the pre - emptive right to purchase SF Group's assets. In the future, SF Holdings will fully negotiate when selling assets to the two REITs. SF REIT will focus on South China and Southwest China, while Southern SF Logistics REIT will focus on the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing - Tianjin - Hebei, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River [88][89]. - **It highly depends on SF Group tenants, and the occupancy rate is expected to be generally stable**: As of September 30, 2024, the related - party rental area of Southern SF Logistics REIT accounted for 84.29% of the rented area, and the related - party contributed 88.45% of the monthly rent and management fee income. Although the high concentration of tenants has both advantages and disadvantages, the occupancy rate is expected to be generally stable [91]. - **The valuation has considered the risk of rent decline, and the current distribution rate is a good allocation period**: As of May 16, 2025, the market value of Southern SF Logistics REIT was 3.766 billion yuan, and the expected cash distribution rate in 2025 was 3.98%, ranking in the upper - middle level among the 9 listed warehousing logistics REITs. The current high - rent period before 2027 is a window of opportunity for investment [4].

Group 1: Market Overview - The logistics industry in China has shown significant improvement, with the logistics industry prosperity index at 51.1% in April 2025, indicating expansion[1] - The average effective rent in major city clusters has declined, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region down 3.7%, Yangtze River Delta down 6.1%, and the Pearl River Delta down 0.3%[2] - As of May 16, 2025, there are 9 listed logistics REITs in China, with 31 underlying assets, facing pressure on rental rates and occupancy[2] Group 2: REIT Performance - SF Hong Kong REIT, initiated by SF Holding, has been stable since its listing in May 2021, with a valuation drop to HKD 6.7 billion in 2024, down 8.9%[3] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT, listed in April 2025, focuses on high-quality assets in the South China and Southeast Asia regions, with a market value of CNY 3.766 billion and an expected cash distribution rate of 3.98% in 2025[4] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT's rental rates are currently above market averages, but there is a risk of downward adjustment upon lease renewals[4] Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The high-standard warehouse sector in China is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" market structure, with Prologis leading in market share[2] - The logistics REITs are adopting a "price for volume" strategy to maintain occupancy amid supply shocks, leading to rental declines and rising vacancy rates[2] - The average vacancy rates in major city clusters are high, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region at 28.6% and the Yangtze River Delta at 25.4%[2] Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The logistics sector is expected to face continued pressure from rental declines and increased vacancy rates due to ongoing supply releases[2] - The Southern SF Logistics REIT is positioned to benefit from the current high rental period before potential adjustments in 2027[4] - Risks include unexpected policy changes regarding public REITs and operational risks associated with infrastructure projects[5]

Group 1: Stock Recommendations - The report highlights a selection of stocks for May, including SF Holding (002352.SZ), Jitu Express (1519.HK), and Royal Technology (603181.SH) among others [1] Group 2: Macroeconomic Insights - In April, the public fiscal revenue reached CNY 20,427 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.9%, which is an acceleration of 1.6 percentage points compared to March [7] - The land revenue in April also saw a year-on-year increase, supporting the improvement of local government fund income [8] - The consumer confidence index and dining data showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, with retail sales in the dining sector growing by 5.6% year-on-year [18] Group 3: Real Estate Market Analysis - In April, new home prices in 70 major cities decreased by 0.1% month-on-month, while second-hand home prices fell by 0.4%, indicating a continued downward trend in the housing market [10][11] - The number of cities experiencing a decline in new home prices increased to 45 in April, with an average decline of 0.30% [11] - First-tier cities saw a shift in second-hand home prices from an increase to a decrease, with Beijing and Shenzhen both reporting declines [12] Group 4: Alcohol Industry Overview - The white liquor industry is currently in a bottom adjustment phase, with major companies maintaining stable operations while smaller firms face challenges [16] - In Q1 2025, the revenue growth for listed liquor companies was 1.6%, with net profit growth at 2.3%, showing a recovery compared to Q4 2024 [18] - The sales gross margin for the white liquor sector was 81.5% in Q1 2025, slightly down from 81.8% in 2024, indicating pressure on profit margins [19]

今年以来，快递行业发展成绩亮眼。1月至4月，我国快递业务量累计完成614.5亿件，同比增长20.9%。 但是，顺丰控股（002352）、圆通速递（600233）、韵达股份（002120）等上市快递公司今年以来的经 营数据显示，快递单票收入持续下滑，市场竞争愈加激烈。面对"量增价跌"的局面，快递企业积极行 动，将目光放在散件、逆向物流、行业定制化解决方案等新增量上，试图通过降本增效，突出重围。 (上海证券报) ...

Summary of SF Express Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: SF Express (顺丰控股) - **Industry**: Logistics and Express Delivery Key Points and Arguments 1. **Operational Adjustments**: SF Express is enhancing customer acquisition and collection efficiency through organizational restructuring and employee incentives, which could lead to revenue growth and profit elasticity if domestic consumption improves [2][4] 2. **Valuation Comparison**: The company's EV/EBITDA is approximately 5x for Hong Kong shares and under 7x for A-shares, compared to 7-8x for international peers like UPS, FedEx, and DHL, indicating potential for valuation recovery with target price increases of 30% for Hong Kong shares and 20% for A-shares [2][5] 3. **Business Transformation**: SF Express is transitioning from traditional express delivery to comprehensive logistics services, with traditional express revenue now accounting for less than half of total revenue, establishing a diversified logistics network [2][6][7] 4. **Market Position**: The company is focusing on the Asian logistics market, which is the largest and fastest-growing globally, while gradually expanding internationally, particularly in express and supply chain services [2][7] 5. **Cost Efficiency**: The use of Ezhou Airport as a central hub is reducing rental costs and the number of distribution centers, improving asset utilization and lowering fixed capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue, thus enhancing gross margins [2][15][16] 6. **Revenue and Profit Growth**: Projected revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is about 8% over the next two years, with net profit CAGR expected to reach 16%, forecasting net profits of 11.7 billion yuan in 2025 and 13.7 billion yuan in 2026 [2][11][17] 7. **Shareholder Returns**: The company is enhancing shareholder returns through regular dividends and share buybacks, which are expected to accelerate revenue growth and act as catalysts for both short-term and long-term performance [3][18] Additional Important Insights 1. **Profitability Fluctuations**: Past profitability fluctuations were primarily due to mismatches between capacity and demand cycles, but improvements in network infrastructure and capital expenditure ratios are enhancing cash flow visibility [4] 2. **Market Dynamics**: The global logistics market is valued at approximately $11 trillion, with Asia accounting for $5 trillion and China for $2.6 trillion, representing about 13-14% of GDP [6][7] 3. **Segment Performance**: Different business segments are expected to show varied growth rates, with express services projected to grow around 9% from 2022 to 2023, and international supply chain services expected to grow over 20% in 2024 [12][13] 4. **Core Competencies**: SF Express's strengths include a direct sales model, comprehensive service capabilities, and a strong independent third-party market position, supported by a large customer base of 700 million users [10] 5. **Future Directions**: The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and resource integration while expanding its international market presence, particularly in Asia, to achieve long-term stable growth [8][14]

机构专用席位买入额排名：比亚迪(7200万元)、顺丰控股(6556.5万元)、东北证券(6446.7万元)、北新建 材(6285.6万元)、东鹏饮料(6127.74万元)、西高院(3100万元)、招商公路(3009.5万元)、星湖科技(1916.88 万元)、凯因科技(807.36万元)、浩辰软件(506.04万元)、牧原股份(399.9万元)、诺禾致源(388.5万元)、威 士顿(285.74万元)、富吉瑞(219.7万元)、华大九天(209.36万元)、圣邦股份(202.63万元)、国轩高科 (202.54万元)、立讯精密(202.36万元)、恩捷股份(201.89万元)。 机构专用席位卖出额排名：比亚迪(7200万元)、顺丰控股(6556.5万元)、东北证券(6446.7万元)、北新建 材(6285.6万元)、招商公路(3223.7万元)、川恒股份(2026.62万元)、顺络电子(2017.5万元)、龙旗科技 (776.2万元)、牧原股份(399.9万元)。 今日(5月21日)A股共52只个股发生大宗交易，总成交15.87亿元，其中紫金矿业、招商银行、红相股份 成交额居前，成交额依次为3.3亿元、1.1 ...

南方财经全媒体记者谭海燕 广州报道 活动现场还举行了供应链企业签约仪式。顺丰物流在茂名设置了超1500个揽收点，此外，企业还在线上 分会场举办2025年顺丰茂名荔枝文化消费嘉年华线上直播活动，讲述茂名荔枝的种植、采摘、保鲜、寄 递的故事。 5月20日上午，2025年"十万电商卖荔枝"暨顺丰茂名荔枝文化消费嘉年华活动在高州市启幕。作为广东 首场"荔香四海·产销共赢"系列活动，现场荔枝产销对接热度高涨。 同时，"十万电商卖荔枝"暨全国高校电商直播大赛也在活动上正式启动，这意味着"520我爱荔"这场 "甜 蜜盛宴" 正式驶入 "实战赛道"。据悉，茂名已连续5年举办"十万电商卖荔枝"活动，今年茂名联合全国 101所高校超600支年轻团队助力荔枝电商销售，并在此基础上以整合供应链企业、强化产业对接等方式 打开荔枝销路。 系列活动不仅形成市场接力态势，还在渠道建设上精准发力。目前已整合华润万家、盒马鲜生等商超渠 道，京东、拼多多等电商平台，以及顺丰物流等全产业链资源，构建立体营销网络，为岭南佳果开辟多 元销售通路。活动现场举行了供应链企业签约仪式，多家优质产销企业达成了合作协议，为今年的荔枝 销售和流通提供了坚实保障。 ...

首选股票：中国国航(00753)、东方航空(00670)、南方航空(01055)、春秋航空(601021.SH) 国泰航空(00293)：全球贸易关税动态对货运前景影响显著;评级：Equal-weight(与大市同步) 股票推荐：广州白云机场(600004.SH/增持)> 上海机场(600009.SH/增持)> 北京首都机场(00694/与大市同 步)> 海南美兰机场(00357/与大市同步) 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，中国交运板块结构性机会分化，建议把握航空复苏、航运 细分机会及快递龙头优势三大主线。航空业受益中美贸易缓和及供需改善，定价能力提升，推荐中国国 航(00753)、东方航空(00670)等;机场受消费压力拖累，广州白云机场(600004.SH/增持)因低免税依赖及 高股息成防御首选。航运方面，油轮板块或随OPEC+增产及监管收紧受益，增持招商轮船(601872.SH) 和中远海能(01138)。快递行业加速整合，最看好中通(ZTO.US)，顺丰利润顺丰控股(002352.SZ)增长潜 力突出。 相对而言，考虑到对免税业务敞口较小且股息率较高，大摩更倾向于将广州白云机场作为宏观经济 ...

旅客到达杭州机场后，可以通过微信小程序或机场相关服务柜台，实现多渠道便捷下单。服务柜台 分别位于T3出发大厅9号门斜对面顺丰速运柜台和T4出发大厅J值机岛东侧顺丰速运柜台，价格为首件 50元/件，续件20元/件。线上线下融合的服务模式，让旅客可以根据自身需求灵活选择办理方式，享 受"随时预约、随地办理"的便捷寄送体验。 "这项服务很不错！"来自广州的旅客方先生办理完手续后说，"行李寄送以后，我也能解放双手， 更好地去玩一玩。" 本次推出的"轻松游"行李寄送服务，创新构建"行李跟人走"动态多场景托运体系。该服务突破了传 统静态寄存的局限，实现了机场、酒店、景区和高铁站之间的行李智能流转，为旅客提供"一达三通"的 便捷体验。 旅客只需在杭州机场T3、T4航站楼的"轻松游"服务柜台办理简单手续，即可将行李直接寄送至杭 州市区酒店、高铁站或指定景点。这项创新服务让旅客在下机后能够轻装出行，直接前往目的地，而无 需随身携带行李。对于需要换乘高铁的旅客，"轻松游"更是实现了"空铁联运"的无缝衔接，大大提升了 出行效率。 近日，杭州机场联合顺丰速运推出的"轻松游"行李寄送服务，通过高效、便捷的行李托管与转运服 务，让旅客彻 ...