Core Viewpoint - The small metals sector, including tungsten and rare earths, is experiencing significant price increases driven by supply changes and emerging demand growth, with a sustained upward price trend expected in the future [5][6]. Group 1: Price Trends and Data - As of August 21, the average price of cobalt is reported at 26.3 yuan/ton, up over 50% since the beginning of the year [5]. - Tungsten concentrate prices are at 218,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 52% increase year-to-date [5]. - The average price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is around 650,000 yuan/ton, also up over 50% since the start of the year [5]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Analysts indicate that the supply-demand imbalance in the small metals market is unlikely to change significantly in the near term, supporting continued price increases [5][6]. - The demand for small metals is expanding, while supply disruptions due to policy changes are contributing to the price rise [6]. Group 3: Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth is expected to see a year-on-year increase in net profit of over 2000% for the first half of the year [5]. - Shenghe Resources anticipates a year-on-year net profit growth of over 600% for the same period [5]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The market consensus is that the price centers for cobalt and antimony are expected to rise, supported by high penetration rates of dual-motor electric vehicles [5]. - The tungsten market is viewed positively in the short term due to demand for restocking and export recovery, while long-term supply issues are expected to drive tungsten prices higher [6].

Market Performance - On August 22, the small metals sector rose by 3.16%, with Zhangyuan Tungsten leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3825.76, up 1.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12166.06, up 2.07% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Zhangyuan Tungsten (002378) closed at 12.16, up 10.05% with a trading volume of 1.3577 million shares and a transaction value of 1.628 billion [1] - Northern Rare Earth (600111) closed at 47.95, up 7.51% with a trading volume of 3.9374 million shares and a transaction value of 18.594 billion [1] - Western Materials (002149) closed at 19.20, up 4.46% with a trading volume of 565,300 shares and a transaction value of 1.074 billion [1] - Anning Shares (002978) closed at 32.35, up 3.92% with a trading volume of 165,900 shares and a transaction value of 542 million [1] - Other notable stocks include Jin Aluminum (601958) at 14.29 (+3.48%), Zhongtung High-tech (000657) at 18.75 (+2.97%), and Xiamen Tungsten (600549) at 27.47 (+2.08%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The small metals sector saw a net inflow of 1.186 billion in main funds, while speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 923 million, and retail investors had a net outflow of 263 million [2] - Northern Rare Earth had a main fund net inflow of 147.5 million, while Zhangyuan Tungsten experienced a net outflow of 139 million from speculative funds [3] - Western Materials had a main fund net inflow of 122 million, with a net outflow of 51.7 million from speculative funds [3]

Group 1: ETF Performance - The Rare Metals ETF has a turnover rate of 5.68% with a transaction volume of 91.93 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - As of August 21, the Rare Metals ETF reached a new high in size at 1.587 billion yuan, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The latest share count for the Rare Metals ETF is 2.279 billion shares, marking a one-year high and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF experienced a net inflow of 13.6015 million yuan, with four out of the last five trading days showing net inflows totaling 96.658 million yuan [3] - Over the past year, the net value of the Rare Metals ETF has increased by 72.66%, placing it in the top 13.65% among 2,968 index equity funds [3] - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception is 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and a maximum increase of 29.68% [3] - The average return during rising months is 8.13%, and the ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized return of 10.60% over the last three months [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 55.85% of the index, including Northern Rare Earth, Salt Lake Co., and others [4] - The Democratic Republic of the Congo's recent suspension of cobalt product exports has led to a significant expectation of supply contraction in the global cobalt industry [4] - If the Congolese government implements export quota policies, cobalt supply could be reduced by 30% in 2026 and 2027, potentially leading to a sustained shortage and a price center above 350,000 yuan per ton [4] - In the short term, the domestic cobalt supply chain may continue to deplete before the export ban is lifted, with cobalt prices likely remaining strong until the end of the year [4] - The upward price cycle for cobalt is expected to continue until 2027 [4]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a strong upward trend on August 22, with technology stocks driving the ChiNext 50 index up over 5%, reaching a nearly three-and-a-half-year high [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index approached 3800 points, with a half-day trading volume of 1.51 trillion, down 56.9 billion from the previous trading day [1] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.67%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.32%, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 2.56% [1] Key Developments - DeepSeek launched its latest large language model, DeepSeek-V3.1, which enhances global AI market competition through a mixed reasoning architecture and improved agent capabilities [1] - The model utilizes UE8M0 FP8 Scale parameter precision, designed for the upcoming generation of domestic chips [1] Sector Performance Computing Power Chip Sector - The computing power chip sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Cambrian Technology surpassing 1100 yuan, and several others hitting their daily limit [3] - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1 is expected to accelerate the pace at which major model manufacturers introduce stronger products to the market by Q2 2025 [3] Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth and small metal sectors showed strength, with stocks like Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting their daily limit [4] - Rare earth prices have risen significantly, averaging over 100,000 yuan per ton since August, driven by domestic order growth and supply chain concerns due to trade conflicts [4] Digital Currency Sector - The digital currency sector remained active, with stocks like Yuyin Co. achieving four consecutive trading limits [5] - The upcoming China International Service Trade Fair will feature a digital RMB experience area, indicating a focus on digital currency [5] Institutional Insights - GF Securities suggests maintaining a bullish market stance with a focus on growth technology and industries with improving economic conditions [6] - According to Zhao Shang Securities, the current market style is characterized by a focus on technology growth and small-cap stocks, which is expected to continue [8] - Dongfang Securities warns of potential adjustment pressure near the 3800-point mark, emphasizing the need for investors to recognize market characteristics and avoid missing out on opportunities [9]

Core Viewpoint - The tungsten sector is experiencing significant price increases and heightened demand, driven by supply constraints and emerging applications in new energy technologies, particularly in photovoltaic and lithium battery industries [1][2][3]. Industry Overview - As of 2024, global tungsten reserves are estimated at 4.6 million metric tons, with China holding 2.4 million metric tons, accounting for 52% of the total [2]. - The demand for tungsten in the new energy sector is projected to grow, with the penetration rate of tungsten wire in photovoltaics expected to rise from 20% in 2024 to 40% in 2025, and lithium battery consumption anticipated to increase by 22% year-on-year, reaching 1,500 tons by 2025 [1][2]. Price Trends - Tungsten product prices have been on the rise, with 65% tungsten concentrate priced at 217,000 CNY/ton as of August 20, 2023, reflecting a 51.75% increase since the beginning of the year [2]. - The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT) has reached 311,500 CNY/ton, up 47.98% year-to-date, while tungsten powder is priced at 482.5 CNY/kg, marking a 53.91% increase [2]. Company Insights - Xiamen Tungsten is a leading integrated player in the tungsten industry, with nearly 50% of its revenue coming from tungsten and molybdenum businesses in 2024 [4]. - China Tungsten High-Tech is the top global player in hard alloys, with a resource self-sufficiency rate of 70% [4]. - Zhangyuan Tungsten ranks among the top three in domestic tungsten resource reserves, with over 60% self-sufficiency in tungsten concentrate [4]. - Xianglu Tungsten is a core supplier of hard alloys, producing ultra-fine tungsten powder with a purity of 99.99%, catering to high-end military and aerospace demands [4]. - Luoyang Molybdenum, the second-largest tungsten producer globally, is expected to reach a tungsten concentrate output of 12,000 tons by 2025, with reserves exceeding 300,000 tons [5].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for tungsten stocks is experiencing a strong performance, with significant price increases in tungsten products and notable stock price gains for companies in the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry has reached a daily limit increase of 10%, while China Rare Earth and Xianglu Tungsten Industry have risen over 4%, and Xiamen Tungsten Industry has increased by over 2% [1] - The total market capitalization of Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry is 13.9 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 80.03% [2] - China Rare Earth has a market capitalization of 50.9 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 71.12% [2] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry has a market capitalization of 3.615 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 77.94% [2] - Xiamen Tungsten Industry has a market capitalization of 43.3 billion, with a year-to-date increase of 44.32% [2] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry and Jiangxi Tungsten Industry have announced the guidance prices for tungsten products for the second half of August [1] - The guidance price for Jiangxi Tungsten Group's national standard first-class black tungsten concentrate is set at 213,000 yuan per standard ton, an increase of 19,000 yuan per standard ton, representing a rise of 9.79% [1] - The monthly increase in the price of black tungsten concentrate is 17.03% [1] Group 3: Price Trends - Recent industry data indicates that tungsten prices have surged by 5,000 to 10,000 yuan per ton [1] - The price of 65% black tungsten concentrate is 216,000 yuan per standard ton, up 51.1% since the beginning of the year [1] - The price of 65% white tungsten concentrate is 215,000 yuan per standard ton, reflecting a 51.4% increase since the beginning of the year [1] - The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT) is 320,000 yuan per ton, which is a 51.7% increase since the beginning of the year [1]

Group 1 - A-shares in the tungsten industry are experiencing a strong performance, with Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the daily limit, China Rare Earth rising over 4%, Xianglu Tungsten increasing by over 4%, and Xiamen Tungsten up by over 2% [1] - Jiangxi Tungsten Holdings Group has raised the guidance price for black tungsten concentrate to 213,000 yuan per standard ton for the second half of August, an increase of 19,000 yuan per standard ton, representing a 9.79% rise and a month-to-date increase of 17.03% [1] - Tungsten prices have surged recently, with daily increases ranging from 5,000 yuan to 10,000 yuan per ton, leading to a 51.1% increase in the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate compared to the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - Zhangyuan Tungsten has a market capitalization of 13.9 billion yuan and has seen an 80.03% increase year-to-date [2] - China Rare Earth has a market capitalization of 50.9 billion yuan with a year-to-date increase of 71.12% [2] - Xianglu Tungsten has a market capitalization of 3.615 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 77.94% [2] - Xiamen Tungsten has a market capitalization of 43.3 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 44.32% [2]

Group 1 - The small metal sector is experiencing renewed activity, with tungsten and rare earths leading the gains, particularly with Zhangyuan Tungsten hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies in the sector such as Huahong Technology, Xianglu Tungsten, China Rare Earth, Xiamen Tungsten, and Northern Rare Earth also saw significant price increases [1] - As of August 20, the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate reached 216,000 yuan per ton, and ammonium paratungstate surpassed 320,000 yuan per ton, marking an increase of over 40% since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - Domestic rare earth prices continue to rise, with praseodymium oxide priced at approximately 52,000 yuan per ton, reflecting an increase of 8.70%, and neodymium oxide also at about 52,000 yuan per ton, with an increase of 8.72% [1] - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is around 45,000 yuan per ton, showing a rise of 7.63% [1]

Group 1: Tungsten Price Trends - Tungsten prices have been on the rise throughout the year, with significant increases noted in recent weeks. As of August 20, the price of 65% tungsten concentrate reached 217,000 yuan/ton, up 3,000 yuan/ton from August 19, marking a 51.75% increase since the beginning of the year [5][8] - The price of ammonium paratungstate (APT) at 88.5% purity is reported at 311,500 yuan/ton, reflecting a 47.98% increase year-to-date, while tungsten powder is priced at 482.5 yuan/kg, up 53.91% since the start of the year [5][8] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The surge in tungsten prices is attributed to tightening supply and emerging demand. The Ministry of Natural Resources has set a control target for tungsten mining at 58,000 tons for 2025, a reduction of 4,000 tons or 6.45% from the previous year [8] - Major tungsten-producing regions, such as Jiangxi and Yunnan, have also seen reductions in mining output, contributing to a significant decrease in market circulation [8] - Demand for tungsten is growing in various sectors, including aerospace, defense, and electronics, with notable increases in the renewable energy sector, particularly in photovoltaic applications [8] Group 3: Market Performance and Stock Analysis - Tungsten-related stocks in the A-share market have generally performed well, with an average increase of 10.1% since August. Leading stocks include Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongtung High-tech, and Xianglu Tungsten, with respective gains of 22.48%, 18.99%, and 17.41% [10][14] - The valuation of some tungsten concept stocks remains low, with a median rolling P/E ratio of 30.24 times, and several stocks, including Shengtun Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum, having P/E ratios below 20 times [11][12] - Luoyang Molybdenum is expected to report a net profit of 8.2 to 9.1 billion yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 51.37% to 67.98% [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant increase in tungsten prices, with various companies adjusting their product prices upwards in mid-August [1][4] - Jiangxi Tungsten Holdings Group has set the guiding price for standard grade black tungsten concentrate at 213,000 yuan per standard ton, an increase of 19,000 yuan per standard ton, representing a rise of 9.79% from the previous half month, and a monthly increase of 17.03% [1] - Changyuan Tungsten Industry has also raised its prices for 55% black tungsten concentrate and 55% white tungsten concentrate to 211,000 yuan per standard ton, both up by 18,500 yuan per standard ton, while ammonium paratungstate (APT) is now priced at 310,000 yuan per ton, up by 27,000 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Industry data shows that tungsten prices have surged by 5,000 to 10,000 yuan per ton recently, with the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate reaching 216,000 yuan per standard ton, a 51.1% increase since the beginning of the year [4] - The price of 65% white tungsten concentrate is at 215,000 yuan per standard ton, reflecting a 51.4% increase year-to-date, while APT is priced at 320,000 yuan per ton, up 51.7% since the start of the year [4] - Market analysts attribute the current rise in tungsten prices to a combination of supply contraction, increased demand, supportive policies, and market sentiment, while cautioning against speculative behavior [4]