Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hikvision, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [5]. Core Views - Hikvision's innovative business is experiencing rapid growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue, which reached 224.84 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 24.31% of total revenue [2]. - The domestic business is under pressure due to reduced government investment, leading to a decline in traditional sectors such as public security and traffic management [2]. - The overseas business has become a stable profit contributor, with revenue of 259.89 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 8.39% year-on-year [3]. - The company is committed to embracing AI and increasing R&D investment, with a R&D expense ratio of 12.83% in 2024 [3]. - In Q1 2025, the company demonstrated strong operational resilience by significantly reducing accounts receivable while still achieving revenue growth [4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, Hikvision reported total revenue of 92,496 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 11,977 million yuan, a decrease of 15.10% [1]. - The company expects to achieve revenues of 97,962 million yuan, 105,770 million yuan, and 115,839 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 13,277 million yuan, 14,941 million yuan, and 16,797 million yuan [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be 1.44 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 times [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Hikvision (002415.SZ) with a current stock price of 28.37 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 92.496 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 3.53%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.10% to 11.977 billion yuan [3][6]. - Hikvision's overall gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 43.83% and 14.21%, respectively, showing slight declines compared to the previous year [6]. - The report highlights the company's strong focus on technological innovation and the establishment of a flexible and efficient manufacturing system, with a total R&D investment of 47.702 billion yuan over the past five years [7][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Hikvision achieved a revenue of 92.496 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth of 3.5% projected for 2025 [5][11]. - The net profit for 2024 was reported at 11.977 billion yuan, with a forecasted increase to 13.247 billion yuan in 2025 [5][11]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to stabilize around 43.5% from 2025 to 2027, while the net margin is projected to gradually improve [11]. Business Segments - Domestic business segments showed a decline, with the Public Service Business Group (PBG) revenue at 13.467 billion yuan, down 12.29%, and the Enterprise Business Group (EBG) revenue at 17.651 billion yuan, down 1.09% [6]. - International business revenue increased by 8.39% to 25.989 billion yuan, while innovative business revenue grew by 21.19% to 22.484 billion yuan, accounting for 24.31% of total revenue [6][8]. R&D and Innovation - The company has established multiple R&D centers both domestically and internationally, focusing on a wide range of technologies including AI and IoT [7][8]. - Hikvision's innovative business, particularly in industrial IoT and smart logistics, is positioned to drive future growth, with a comprehensive service capability in AIoT [8]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, with projections of 13.247 billion yuan, 14.777 billion yuan, and 16.402 billion yuan, respectively [9]. - The company is recognized as a global leader in security monitoring products, with a strong presence in overseas markets and a growing innovative business segment [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with projected earnings multiples of 18.7X, 15.4X, and 13X for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [3]. Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 6.6%, 9.5%, and 10.8% from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 986.0 billion, 1,079.9 billion, and 1,195.9 billion RMB respectively [3]. - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is 139.9 billion, 169.7 billion, and 201.5 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 21.3%, and 18.7% [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue for 2024 is reported at 924.96 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while the net profit is 119.7 billion RMB, showing a decline of 15.1% [9]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 185.32 billion RMB, a growth of 4.01%, and a net profit of 20.39 billion RMB, up 6.41% year-on-year [9]. Business Segmentation - The overseas and innovative business segments are performing well, with revenues of 224.84 billion and 259.89 billion RMB in 2024, representing growth rates of 21.19% and 8.39% respectively [9]. - Domestic business segments, including PBG, EBG, and SMBG, reported revenues of 134.67 billion, 176.51 billion, and 119.71 billion RMB, showing declines of 12.29%, 1.09%, and 5.58% respectively [9]. Cost Management and Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 43.83% and 44.92%, indicating stability despite a challenging demand environment [10]. - The company has begun to see the effects of cost control measures, with a focus on improving efficiency and profitability [10]. Research and Development Investment - Over the past five years, the company has invested a total of 477.02 billion RMB in R&D, enhancing its competitive edge in AI, big data, and software [11]. Dividend Policy - The company has maintained a high dividend payout, with a cash dividend rate exceeding 48% since 2015, reaching 53.73% in 2024 [12].

Summary of Hikvision Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hikvision - **Industry**: AI and Security Technology Key Points Financial Performance - **2024 Revenue**: 924.96 billion CNY, up 3.53% YoY; **Net Profit**: 119.77 billion CNY, down 15.10% YoY due to domestic business pressure [3][5] - **Q1 2025 Revenue**: 185.32 billion CNY, up 4.01% YoY; **Net Profit**: 20.39 billion CNY, up 6.41% YoY [6][9] - **Cash Return Plan**: Cash buyback plan of 20-25 CNY per share and a dividend of 7 CNY per 10 shares, totaling over 84 billion CNY in shareholder returns [3][7] AI and Digital Transformation - **AI Model Development**: Focus on AI large models across cloud, edge, and terminal levels, enhancing perception intelligence and reducing false alarm rates [3][4][8] - **Market Potential**: Anticipated significant growth in the smart IoT sector driven by increasing demand for digitalization across industries [4][8] - **Product Integration**: AI models integrated with edge computing to improve product performance in security applications [3][11] Business Segments - **Overseas Revenue**: 259.89 billion CNY, up 3.89% YoY, benefiting from localized strategies [3][5] - **Innovative Business Growth**: Innovative segments, including Hikrobot and Ezviz, achieved 224.84 billion CNY in revenue, up 21.19% YoY [3][5] Operational Efficiency - **Cost Management**: Effective control of operating expenses, with stable R&D and management costs, and slight increase in sales expenses [6][9] - **Accounts Receivable**: Decrease of approximately 132 billion CNY in accounts receivable and financing, indicating improved cash flow management [6][9] Future Strategies - **Business Incubation**: Focus on integrating spectral technology and enhancing traditional security with AI models [10][13] - **Employee Incentives**: Adjustments in profit targets and compensation structures to align employee motivation with long-term goals [10] - **Low Inventory Strategy**: Continued emphasis on low inventory to adapt to market conditions and improve profitability [22] Market Challenges and Opportunities - **Domestic Market**: Challenges persist due to economic fluctuations, but there are signs of improvement in Q1 2025 compared to Q4 2024 [18] - **Impact of Tariffs**: Minimal impact from US tariffs as Hikvision has reduced its market presence in the US to 3-4% of overseas revenue [15] - **AI Agent Technology**: The emergence of AI agents is expected to enhance operational efficiency and quality in R&D and marketing [15][19] Product Development and Innovation - **New Product Launches**: Introduction of various AI model products aimed at enhancing performance in video surveillance and other applications [11][12] - **Market Adaptation**: Adjustments in product lines and marketing strategies to meet diverse customer needs across different regions [29][30] Global Expansion - **Overseas Market Strategy**: Established over 80 offices globally, adapting strategies based on local market conditions and consumer demands [27] - **Non-Video Business Growth**: Significant growth in non-video products in overseas markets, with a focus on alarms, access control, and intercom systems [30][31] Future Outlook - **Innovation Focus**: Continued investment in AI and digital transformation, with a cautious approach to R&D spending due to economic conditions [23][24] - **Automotive Electronics**: Plans to expand sensor technology applications in the automotive sector, including infrared sensors [25][26] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Hikvision's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and market positioning within the AI and security technology industry.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with projected earnings multiples of 18.7X, 15.4X, and 13X for the years 2025 to 2027 respectively [3] Core Views - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 6.6%, 9.5%, and 10.8% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with projected revenues of 986.0 billion, 1,079.9 billion, and 1,195.9 billion RMB [3] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is 139.9 billion, 169.7 billion, and 201.5 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 16.8%, 21.3%, and 18.7% [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company achieved a revenue of 924.96 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 119.7 billion RMB, a decline of 15.1% [9] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 185.32 billion RMB, up 4.01% year-on-year, and a net profit of 20.39 billion RMB, an increase of 6.41% [9] Business Segmentation - The overseas and innovative business segments showed strong growth, with revenues of 224.84 billion and 259.89 billion RMB in 2024, marking increases of 21.19% and 8.39% respectively [9] - Domestic business segments, including PBG, EBG, and SMBG, reported revenues of 134.67 billion, 176.51 billion, and 119.71 billion RMB, with year-on-year declines of 12.29%, 1.09%, and 5.58% [9] Cost Control and Profitability - The company maintained a gross margin of 43.83% for 2024 and 44.92% for Q1 2025, indicating stability in a challenging demand environment [10] - The company has begun to see the effects of cost control measures, with a reduction in various expense ratios in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year [10] Research and Development Investment - Over the past five years, the company has invested a total of 477.02 billion RMB in R&D, focusing on AI, multi-dimensional perception, big data, and software [11] Dividend Policy - The company has consistently maintained a high dividend payout ratio, with cash dividends exceeding 48% since 2015, reaching 53.73% in 2024 [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hikvision (002415) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 92.496 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.53%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.10% to 11.977 billion yuan [6] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 18.532 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.01%, and a net profit of 2.039 billion yuan, up 6.41% year-on-year [6] - The growth in Q1 2025 was slightly above expectations, driven by strong performance in overseas and innovative businesses [6] - The revenue from innovative businesses reached 22.5 billion yuan in 2024, growing by 21.2%, while overseas revenue was 26 billion yuan, up 8.39% [6] - Traditional domestic security business is under short-term pressure, with declines in various segments, but new demand points are emerging from EBG+AI projects [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 97.923 billion yuan, with a net profit forecast of 13.615 billion yuan [5][9] - The projected revenue for 2026 and 2027 is 107.949 billion yuan and 120.215 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 15.146 billion yuan and 16.192 billion yuan [5][9] - The gross margin for 2024 was 43.83%, showing resilience despite a slight decline [6] - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in performance due to macroeconomic support policies and inventory adjustments [6]

Financial Performance - In 2024, Hikvision achieved total revenue of CNY 92.496 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.53% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 11.977 billion, a decrease of 15.10% compared to the previous year [4] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 43.83%, remaining stable [6] - In Q1 2025, revenue reached CNY 18.532 billion, a year-on-year growth of 4.01%, with net profit of CNY 2.039 billion, up 6.41% [7] Business Segments - Domestic main business faced significant pressure, with the Public Service Group (PBG) revenue at CNY 13.467 billion, down 12.29% [5] - The Enterprise Business Group (EBG) generated CNY 17.651 billion, a slight decline of 1.09% [5] - The Small and Medium Business Group (SMBG) reported revenue of CNY 11.971 billion, down 5.58% [5] - Overseas revenue reached CNY 25.989 billion, an increase of 8.39% [5] - Innovation business revenue was CNY 22.484 billion, growing by 21.19% [5] Shareholder Returns - A cash repurchase plan of CNY 2-2.5 billion was announced, with a dividend proposal of CNY 7 per 10 shares, totaling CNY 6.435 billion, which is 53.73% of the net profit [7] - Total shareholder returns from repurchase and dividends are expected to exceed CNY 8.4 billion, over 70% of the net profit for 2024 [7] AI and Innovation - The company is focusing on AI large model technology, which has significantly improved product performance, such as reducing false alarm rates by 90% in perimeter security applications [9] - The integration of AI models is expected to enhance operational efficiency and product capabilities, with ongoing investments in AI technology [28] - The company aims to transition from revenue growth to high-quality growth, emphasizing innovation and operational efficiency [8] Market Strategy - Hikvision's overseas business is diversified across over 180 countries, with developing countries accounting for over 70% of overseas revenue [5] - The company is adjusting its marketing strategies to focus on profit rather than inventory pressure, moving away from traditional stockpiling methods [26] - The impact of U.S. tariffs is minimal, as U.S. business accounts for less than 1% of total revenue [18] Cost Management - The company is implementing strict cost control measures, with Q1 2025 operating expenses growing slower than revenue [6] - Inventory levels are stable, and there will be increased scrutiny on inventory and accounts receivable in 2025 [6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates challenges in the domestic market but remains optimistic about the potential of AI and digital transformation in various sectors [22] - The focus will be on enhancing the technology platform to support specific customer needs and improve operational efficiency [21]

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 19 年 月 日 海康威视（002415.SZ） 海外业务与创新业务为公司提供持续增长动力。2024 年，创新业务全年 营收 224.84 亿元，同比增长 21.19%，其中机器人(+20.00%)、热成像 (+27.59%)、汽车电子(+44.81%)、存储(+19.83%)等均实现快速增长。 2024 年，公司境外业务营收 259.89 亿元，同比增长 8.39%，增长稳健。 毛利率保持韧性，展望 25 年全年有望维持稳定。2024 年公司整体毛利率 为 43.83%，虽然同比 23 年微降 0.50 个 pct，但仍然高于 2022 年水平， 充分体现出公司毛利端的韧性。其中，国内毛利率 42.63%（-1.10pct）， 为毛利率压力的主要来源，而境外毛利率 46.12%（（+0.52pct），创新业务 毛利率 40.10%（+0.62pct），则为毛利率端带来较为积极的因素。 2025Q1 收入端、利润端持续成长，彰显公司业务稳健性。2025Q1，公 司实现收入 185.32 亿元，同比增长 4.01%；实现归母净利润 20. ...

4月18日，海康威视发布2024年报及2025年一季度报。数据显示，2024年，海康威视总营收924.96亿 元，同比增长3.53%。 2025年一季度营收185.32亿元，同比增长4.01%；归属上市公司股东净利润20.39 亿元，同比增长6.41%。2025年一季度，海康威视实现营收与净利润双增长，营业费用增速已低于收入 增速。 海康威视表示，2024年，公司坚持稳扎稳打，以积极、审慎的态度应对各种不确定性，在国内市场保持 安防领先地位的同时，从海外市场和创新业务中寻找增长；以利润为中心，推动组织变革和精细化管 理，努力实现长期有效益的增长。2024年，海外主业收入与创新业务收入之和占公司营业收入的比重首 次超过50%。同时，场景数字化业务已成为公司第二增长曲线。 保持安防领先地位，推动场景数字化业务逐步落地 海康威视在年报中表示，2024年，经营环境依然复杂多变，公司积极应对挑战，一方面挖掘国内安防市 场的潜力，更加积极开拓海外可拓展的安防市场；另一方面，持续拓展场景数字化业务，并积极发展创 新业务。 从数据来看，2024年，海康威视境内营收440.22亿元，占公司整体收入47.59%；境外营收259. ...

| | 2024 年 | 2023 年 | 本年比上年 | | 2022 年 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 增减 | | | | | | 调整前 | 调整后 | 调整后 | 调整前 | 调整后 | | 营业收入(元) | 92,495,525,118.30 | 89,339,856,855.68 | 89.341,177,610.40 | 3.53% | 83,166,321,681.14 | 83,167,244,665.69 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润(元) | 11.977,327,023.54 | 14,107,621,359.66 | 14.107,726,276.26 | -15.10% | 12,837,704,462.49 | 12,837,782,699.68 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的 净利润(元) | 11.814.861.641.16 | 13.665.962.325.65 | 13.665.962.325.65 | -13.55% | 12.331.058,280.04 ...