Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the EU's anti-dumping duties on imported pork, which are expected to alleviate domestic supply pressures and stabilize prices in the pork market. The anti-dumping tax rates range from 4.9% to 19.8% and will take effect from December 17, 2025 [2][12] - The report highlights the ongoing adjustments in the pig breeding capacity, with a noted decrease in the number of breeding sows, which is expected to support price recovery in the pork market [2][12] - The report suggests that the commercialization of genetically modified seeds will accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key crop varieties and benefiting companies in the seed industry [11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has initiated inspections to ensure the safety of seeds for the upcoming spring and summer planting seasons, focusing on key crops such as corn, rice, soybeans, cotton, and vegetables [11] - The report identifies companies like Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development as beneficiaries in the planting sector, while companies with significant advantages in the seed industry include Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [11] Pig Breeding - The average price of live pigs is reported at 11.64 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.45%. The total number of breeding sows is 39.9 million, reflecting a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [2][12] - The report recommends focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including Li Hua Co., Muyuan Foods, and WH Group in the breeding sector, and Haida Group in the feed sector [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2351.76 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.26% [25] - Wheat: The average price is 2517.30 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.04% [28] - Soybeans: The average price is 4014.74 CNY/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14950.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.67% [44] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.62 CNY/kg, with no change week-on-week. The average price of chicken feed is 3.5 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.29% [51][53]

近期消费系列重要政策解读专题电话会议 20251221 摘要 扩大内需是应对挑战的关键，措施包括提高中等收入群体就业、社保和 收入，以及完善职业技能教育体系。供给端则注重质量与效率，创新消 费业态与模式，服务消费成为新增长点。 消费行业负贝塔效应减弱，CPI 数据转正，餐饮和社会零售数据改善。 政策预期商品消费向服务消费倾斜，市场期待业绩估值双重弹性，2026 年或是业绩兑现窗口期。 海南自贸港封关遵循一线放开、二线管住、岛内自由原则。免税商品种 类大幅增加，离岛免税新政包括即购即提、新增国产品类及扩展适用人 群，利好中免公司。 中免公司销售数据持续改善，12 月封关首日销售额同比增长超 90%， 得益于旅游宣传和消费券发放。尽管毛利率较低，但连续增长的数据对 业绩有积极作用，值得关注。 家电板块受益于刺激消费政策，包括延续国补和以旧换新，并可能扩大 规模。政策推动绿色智能家电转型，提升能效标准，优化产业环境，利 好美的集团、海尔智家等企业。 Q&A 康养经济与服务消费成为经济新增长点，企业通过 IP 打造附加值，跨行 业融合。泰迪威尼授权业务表现出色，今年实收已达 10 亿元，预计明 年继续保持增长。 生猪 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the pig price is supported by both supply and demand factors as the year-end approaches, with expectations for an upward trend in prices before the Spring Festival [3][4] - The report highlights that the pig farming sector is experiencing losses, which may accelerate the reduction of stock, while the pet sector is seeing a rise in domestic brands due to consumption upgrades and tariff barriers [5][29] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - As of December 21, 2025, the national average price of live pigs is 11.41 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.15 yuan/kg and a year-on-year decrease of 3.71 yuan/kg [3][13] - The average weight of pigs sold is 130.18 kg per head, with a week-on-week increase of 0.55 kg [3][13] - The supply of pork may be tight leading up to the Spring Festival, with expectations for prices to rise [3][13] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing increasing losses, and the reduction of stock may accelerate due to various factors including policy and disease [5][24] - Recommendations include companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others in the pig farming sector [5][24] Market Performance (December 15-19) - The agricultural index increased by 0.87%, outperforming the market by 0.84 percentage points [6][30] - Leading stocks include Zhongxing Junye (+18.42%), Xibu Muye (+14.64%), and Xiwang Food (+13.84%) [6][30] Price Tracking (December 15-19) - The average price of live pigs is 11.58 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.10 yuan/kg [7][37] - The average price of piglets is 19.02 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.02 yuan/kg [7][37] - The average price of white feathered chickens is 7.35 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.27 yuan/kg [7][37] Key News (December 15-19) - The Ministry of Commerce announced anti-dumping duties on imported pork and related products from the EU starting December 17, 2025 [35]

创新是引领发展的第一动力。2025年中央经济工作会议部署了明年经济工作要抓好的"八个坚持"重点任务，其中之一就是坚持创新驱动，加紧培育壮大新动 能。学习贯彻中央经济工作会议精神，做好明年经济工作，要紧紧围绕发展新质生产力，推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合，扎实推动高质量发展。 研发人员总量世界第一，全球创新指数排名跻身前十，"三新"经济增加值占国内生产总值比重达18%……神州大地，新质生产力拔节生长，新技术赋能传统 产业，是"世界工厂"也是"创新实验室"，各行各业迸发出巨大的转型升级和创新创造动能。一系列政策举措将催生更大规模的市场与新经济增长点。 10:01 ■新质生产力培育壮大中涌动着创新活力 在创新引领和需求释放的双重作用下，以人形机器人为代表的具身智能产业规模，正在以超50%的增速跨越式发展。 今年12月初，一家具身智能机器人卖场"机器人大世界"在四川成都春熙路商圈开业。该卖场一期面积超800平方米，集"展示、销售、体验、服务"于一体， 集合了来自国内外的120多款机器人，打造机器人一站式采购平台。 ■努力把人才的"底气"转化为创新的"朝气" 抓科技创新，要着眼建设现代化产业体系，坚持教育、科技、人才一 ...

Group 1 - Innovation is identified as the primary driving force for development, with a focus on fostering new momentum through technology and industry innovation to achieve high-quality growth [1] - The new quality productivity is experiencing significant growth, with China ranking first in the number of R&D personnel and among the top ten in the global innovation index, while the "three new" economy contributes 18% to the GDP [3] - The humanoid robot industry is rapidly expanding, with a growth rate exceeding 50%, driven by innovation and demand [3] Group 2 - The integration of education, technology, and talent is essential for transforming scientific achievements into tangible productivity [5] - A humanoid robot sales venue named "Robot World" has opened in Chengdu, covering over 800 square meters and featuring more than 120 robot models for a one-stop purchasing experience [6] - The production of ultra-thin copper foil, crucial for lithium batteries, is being addressed through collaboration between local industries and universities to tackle industry challenges [7][9] Group 3 - The focus on the real economy is emphasized, with efforts to deepen the integration of technological and industrial innovation as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [11] - The pork industry is highlighted, with Muyuan Foods accounting for about 10% of China's annual pig production, showcasing advanced "smart pig farming" techniques that have significantly reduced costs [13] - Technological advancements have enabled Muyuan Foods to lower the cost of raising pigs to below 11.6 yuan per kilogram, which is below the industry average [13][15]

Group 1: Market Overview - The total trading amount for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 940.49 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 1,048.92 billion [2] - The top traded stocks on the Shanghai Stock Connect included Zhaoyi Innovation with 23.86 billion, followed by Sanfang Qianhe and Luoyang Copper with 16.87 billion and 15.55 billion respectively [3] - On the Shenzhen Stock Connect, the leading stock was Zhongji Xuchuang with 26.44 billion, followed by Sunshine Power and New Yisheng with 26.09 billion and 25.89 billion respectively [3] Group 2: Sector Performance - Sectors such as Hainan, dairy, and retail showed significant gains, while precious metals and semiconductors experienced declines [4] - The mechanical equipment sector led in net inflow of funds with 38.67 billion, followed by non-ferrous metals and transportation equipment with 35.32 billion and 31.28 billion respectively [5] - The electronic sector had the highest net outflow of funds at -57.70 billion, followed by semiconductors and pharmaceuticals with -30.20 billion and -17.73 billion respectively [6] Group 3: Individual Stock Activity - The top stocks with net inflow included Xue Ren Group with 13.84 billion, followed by N Youxun and Shanzi Gaoke with 13.69 billion and 10.55 billion respectively [7] - The stocks with the highest net outflow were Meinian Health at -9.05 billion, followed by Shenwei Electronics and C Muxi-U with -6.98 billion and -6.81 billion respectively [8] Group 4: ETF Trading - The top ETFs by trading amount included A500 ETF Huatai Baichuan with 133.655 billion, and Hong Kong Securities ETF with 104.353 billion, showing increases of 7.50% and 18.61% respectively [9] - The ETFs with the highest growth in trading amount compared to the previous trading day included Hengsheng Dividend Low Volatility ETF with 183.92% increase and Industrial Nonferrous ETF with 140.82% increase [10] Group 5: Futures Market - In the futures market, all four major index contracts (IH, IF, IC, IM) saw both long and short positions increase, with IF and IM contracts showing a higher number of short position increases [11] Group 6: Institutional and Retail Activity - Institutional activity showed a decrease compared to the previous day, with notable purchases in Aerospace Intelligence and Shanzi Gaoke, while significant sales were observed in Meinian Health and Xue Ren Group [12][13] - Retail investors were active, with significant buying in Xue Ren Group and Shanzi Gaoke, while selling was noted in Huaren Health and other stocks [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The company has transformed traditional pig farming into a green benchmark through innovation and persistence, emphasizing that environmental protection is essential for survival and development [1]. Group 1: Technological Innovations - The company initiated its journey by developing the first generation of odor removal technology, achieving only a 30% effectiveness, which led to a series of upgrades and innovations [1]. - By 2019, the tenth generation of the filler ball technology achieved a 90% odor removal rate and a 99% sterilization rate, reducing costs from 13 yuan to 6 yuan per pig [2]. - Continuous iterations led to the fifteenth generation of technology, implementing a three-tier purification system to effectively eliminate odor components [2]. Group 2: Environmental Impact - The company aims to reduce ammonia emissions by 31,700 tons in 2024, equivalent to a reduction of 0.8 kg per pig, through an intelligent ammonia reduction process [4]. - The internal "five-step" environmental protection mechanism ensures effective results, transforming odor management from a burden into a driving force for high-quality development [4]. - The company has developed a "pig farming and crop cultivation" circular model, utilizing biogas from manure fermentation to generate electricity and provide quality fertilizers for crops [5]. Group 3: Economic Benefits - In 2024, the company's water and fertilizer solutions will benefit 4.72 million acres of farmland, helping farmers increase income by 1.353 billion yuan, with a cumulative benefit exceeding 5 billion yuan over five years [5]. - The company’s ammonia reduction plan has been recognized as an industry standard and has been implemented in various poultry farms, enhancing the overall environmental standards in the industry [5]. Group 4: Monitoring and Transparency - A third-party regulatory department has been established to ensure transparency in environmental governance, utilizing a smart system for real-time monitoring and feedback [5]. - The dual verification mechanism ensures that data is accurate and traceable, contributing to the credibility of the company's environmental efforts [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the technological advancements and innovative practices of Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. in the pig farming industry, emphasizing its significant contribution to China's pork supply and its leadership in global pig production. Group 1: Company Overview - Muyuan Foods was founded in 1992 by Qin Yinglin and Qian Ying, starting with 22 pigs and growing to become the world's largest pig producer, with an annual output of over 70 million pigs [1][2]. - The company has focused on "raising good pigs" through technological innovation, addressing key challenges in pig breeding, housing, and production cycles [1][12]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company's pig farming complex features advanced technology, including automated monitoring systems and health assessment robots that conduct health checks on pigs and provide real-time data to farmers [5][6][9]. - Over 330,000 smart devices are deployed across more than 1,000 farms, monitoring over 4,500 indicators and generating over 2 billion data points daily [8][9]. Group 3: Breeding and Cost Reduction - Muyuan has developed a unique breeding model that eliminates reliance on foreign breeds, creating a more suitable breeding system for China [12][13]. - The company has achieved significant cost reductions, with a focus on feed efficiency, reducing soybean meal usage from 13% to 5% through the use of synthetic amino acids [20][21][23]. Group 4: Industry Impact and Expansion - The company has fostered a robust ecosystem, leading to the establishment of over 4,000 related enterprises in its region, enhancing local economic development [25][26]. - Muyuan is expanding into the biopharmaceutical sector, utilizing pig by-products for medical applications, thus transforming the pig farming industry into a source of valuable biological materials [29][30].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the technological advancements and innovative practices of Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. in the pig farming industry, emphasizing its significant role in China's pork supply and its commitment to improving pig health and production efficiency through smart farming technologies [1][4][17]. Group 1: Company Overview - Muyuan Foods was founded in 1992 by Qin Yinglin and Qian Ying, starting with 22 pigs and growing to become the world's largest pig producer, with an annual output of over 7 million pigs [1]. - The company has invested over 20 billion yuan in research and development, employing over 1,200 algorithm engineers and more than 40,000 staff with higher education [5][6]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company utilizes advanced technologies such as AI-driven health monitoring systems, automated feeding, and air filtration systems to enhance pig health and reduce disease risks [4][10]. - Over 3.3 million smart devices are deployed across more than 1,000 farms, monitoring over 4,500 indicators daily and generating over 2 billion data entries for analysis [4][5]. Group 3: Breeding and Cost Reduction - Muyuan Foods has developed an independent breeding system, breaking away from traditional breeding methods and establishing a two-way crossbreeding model to enhance genetic quality [7][8]. - The company has successfully reduced feed costs by implementing a "no soybean" feeding strategy, decreasing soybean meal usage from 13% to 5% and achieving a cost reduction of over 300 yuan per pig since 2020 [11][12][13]. Group 4: Industry Impact and Expansion - The company has fostered a significant ecosystem around its operations, leading to the establishment of over 4,000 related enterprises in its region, contributing to local economic growth [14][15]. - Muyuan Foods is expanding into the biopharmaceutical sector, utilizing pig by-products for medical applications, thus transforming the pig farming industry into a source of valuable biological materials [16][17].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing challenges in China's pig farming industry, highlighting the prolonged downturn in pig prices and the impact of the pig cycle on the market dynamics [3][4][11]. Group 1: Pig Price Trends - Since April 2022, the current pig cycle has been marked by a prolonged low point, with the average purchase price of live pigs dropping to 13.11 yuan per kilogram by late November 2025, reflecting a 0.9% decrease month-on-month and a 27% decrease year-on-year [4][9]. - The lack of seasonal demand during the year-end peak indicates a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the market [4]. Group 2: Industry Responses - Major pig farming companies like Tian Kang Biological, Shennong Group, and others have halted their pig farming projects, while leading firms such as Muyuan, Wens, and others have also suspended multiple projects due to cash flow pressures [5][6]. - The overall asset-liability ratio of listed pig companies has increased, indicating heightened financial stress within the industry [6]. Group 3: Smallholder Challenges - Traditional small-scale pig farmers face dire circumstances due to their limited purchasing power for feed and veterinary supplies, resulting in higher production costs compared to large-scale operations [7]. - The cost of raising pigs for smallholders has significantly increased, with a notable difference in costs compared to large-scale farmers, leading to greater financial losses during the current price downturn [7]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The number of breeding sows in China has remained above the normal level of 39 million, with recent figures showing around 40.4 million, contributing to the oversupply in the market [8][9]. - The prolonged low prices are attributed to the high number of breeding sows and the inability of the market to absorb the excess supply, exacerbated by competition from alternative proteins like chicken and beef [14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The current pig cycle is seen as a potential turning point, not in terms of price recovery, but in the structural changes within the pig farming industry due to increased scale and consolidation [15]. - Companies are shifting from merely raising pigs to integrating downstream operations such as slaughtering and meat processing to mitigate cyclical risks and enhance profitability [17][18].