据招股书，牧原股份(002714.SZ)是一家科技驱动的猪肉龙头企业，是智慧生猪养殖的领航者。公司采 取的垂直一体化商业模式已覆盖生猪育种、生猪养殖、饲料生产、屠宰肉食的生猪全产业链条。公司以 生猪业务下销售商品猪作为主要产品。于2022年、2023年、2024年以及截至2024年及2025年6月30日止 六个月，来自商品猪的收入(分部间抵销前)分别占总收入的92.8%、96.5%、95.2%、93.0%及92.7%。 招股书显示，东鹏饮料是中国第一的功能饮料企业，收入增速在全球前20大上市软饮企业中位列第一。 根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，按销量计，东鹏饮料在中国功能饮料市场自2021年起连续4年排名第一，市 场份额从2021年的15.0%增长到2024年的26.3%。按零售额计，东鹏饮料是2024年第二大功能饮料公 司，市场份额为23.0%，领先地位持续夯实。 智通财经APP获悉，据报道，东鹏饮料(605499.SH)与牧原股份(002714.SZ)计划最快于本周开始香港上 市前推介。市传东鹏计划集资10亿美元(约78亿港元)；牧原则拟筹15亿美元(约117亿港元)。据报，东鹏 预计在1月26日当周建簿。至于牧 ...

据招股书，牧原股份(002714.SZ)是一家科技驱动的猪肉龙头企业，是智慧生猪养殖的领航者。公司采 取的垂直一体化商业模式已覆盖生猪育种、生猪养殖、饲料生产、屠宰肉食的生猪全产业链条。公司以 生猪业务下销售商品猪作为主要产品。于2022年、2023年、2024年以及截至2024年及2025年6月30日止 六个月，来自商品猪的收入(分部间抵销前)分别占总收入的92.8%、96.5%、95.2%、93.0%及92.7%。 招股书显示，东鹏饮料是中国第一的功能饮料企业，收入增速在全球前20大上市软饮企业中位列第一。 根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，按销量计，东鹏饮料在中国功能饮料市场自2021年起连续4年排名第一，市 场份额从2021年的15.0%增长到2024年的26.3%。按零售额计，东鹏饮料是2024年第二大功能饮料公 司，市场份额为23.0%，领先地位持续夯实。 智通财经APP获悉，据报道，东鹏饮料(605499.SH)与牧原股份(002714.SZ)计划最快于本周开始香港上 市前推介。市传东鹏计划集资10亿美元(约78亿港元)；牧原则拟筹15亿美元(约117亿港元)。据报，东鹏 预计在1月26日当周建簿。至于牧 ...

证券之星消息，1月13日养殖业板块较上一交易日下跌1.9%，京基智农领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4138.76，下跌0.64%。深证成指报收于14169.4，下跌1.37%。养殖业板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600965 | 福成股份 | 6.36 | 0.16% | 55.32万 | | 3.58亿 | | 002124 | 天邦食品 | 2.75 | 0.00% | 45.61万 | | · 1.25亿 | | 600975 | 新五丰 | 5.96 | -0.33% | 18.71万 | | 1.12亿 | | 001201 | 东瑞股份 | 14.73 | -0.41% | 4.17万 | | 6178.39万 | | 002321 | 华英农业 | 2.41 | -0.41% | 52.48万 | | 1.27亿 | | 002746 | 仙坛股份 | 6.14 | -0.49% | 16.86万 | | 1.04亿 | | 60 ...

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline, with a current trading price of 48.36 yuan per share, reflecting a year-to-date drop of 4.39% and a 5-day drop of 5.88% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of January 13, the stock price of Muyuan Foods fell by 2.01%, with a trading volume of 1.776 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.95% [1] - The company has seen a net outflow of 295 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1] - The stock has declined by 4.39% year-to-date, 5.88% over the last five trading days, and 4.46% over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Muyuan Foods reported a revenue of 111.79 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.52% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 14.779 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 41.01% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Muyuan Foods was 185,600, a decrease of 11.19% from the previous period [2] - The average number of circulating shares per shareholder increased by 12.60% to 20,534 shares [2] - The company has distributed a total of 26.576 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 16.594 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]

Core Insights - The leading pig farming companies in China have not achieved significant results in reducing production capacity despite calls for it over the past year or two. In 2025, major listed pig companies reported a total pig sales volume of 144.54 million heads, an increase of 22.08 million heads compared to 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Data and Growth - In 2025, Muyuan Foods sold 77.98 million pigs, an increase of 6.38 million heads from 2024. Wens Foodstuff Group sold 40.48 million pigs, with a notable growth of 34.11%, exceeding its annual operational plan of 33-35 million heads [1]. - New Hope reported a pig sales volume of 17.55 million heads, aligning with its previous operational targets, while Zhengbang Technology sold 8.54 million heads, marking a 105.87% year-on-year increase [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Price Dynamics - The overall pig output from 19 listed companies in 2025 is projected to reach 198.67 million heads, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.9%. Companies like Zhengbang Technology and Dongrui Co. saw output growth exceeding 60% [2]. - The increase in supply has led to a decline in pig prices, with the average price dropping to 12.17 yuan/kg by January 2026, a decrease of 1.78% week-on-week and 23.51% year-on-year [3]. Group 3: Capacity Management and Industry Recommendations - The "China Pig Industry High-Quality Development White Paper" indicates that the overcapacity issue stems from rapid expansion by large enterprises seeking scale effects. It suggests that market share for individual groups should not exceed 10%, and the top three companies should not exceed 30% [4]. - The report emphasizes the need for leading companies to stabilize the market by actively reducing production during periods of oversupply and releasing capacity in times of shortage [4]. Group 4: Structural Changes and Future Outlook - The current structure of pig farming is shifting towards larger enterprises, with only Muyuan Foods maintaining a market share around 10%. Analysts suggest a balanced development involving family-run farms, which currently account for about 30% of output [6]. - The number of breeding sows is crucial for determining pig output, and adjustments to the target breeding sow population are recommended to align with market conditions [7][8].

2025年度，温氏股份经营业绩再度承压。近日，温氏股份发布2025年度业绩预告，公司预计全年实现归 母净利润50亿元—55亿元，较上年同期下降40.73%—46.12%；预计实现扣非净利润48亿元—53亿元， 较上年同期下降44.64%—49.86%。 2025年前三季度，温氏股份的经营业绩就表现出下滑趋势，当期营业收入约为758亿元，与上年同期基 本持平，但归母净利润下降约18%，为52.56亿元。 对比发现，业绩大滑坡出现在第四季度，如果最终经审计的归母净利润为预计数的下限，那么，2025年 第四季度，公司会出现亏损。 长江商报消息●长江商报记者 沈右荣 养殖巨头温氏股份（300498.SZ）抵御行业周期波动依旧乏力。 温氏股份的产品销量是增长的。2025年，公司销售生猪4047.69万头、肉鸡13.03亿只，分别较上年同期 增加逾千万头、上亿只。 增量不增利，核心因素是产品销售价格下降。2025年，公司的生猪和肉鸡销售价格同比均出现了下降。 过去一年，温氏股份股价表现萎靡，截至1月12日市值为1134亿元，较"猪茅"牧原股份少1562亿元。 增量不增利再现 养殖行业首份年度业绩预告出炉。温氏股份的业绩再 ...

Group 1 - The company, Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (牧原股份), successfully issued the first phase of its 2026 technology innovation bonds [1] - The bond issuance took place on January 7, with a total scale of 500 million RMB, and the funds were fully received by January 9 [1] - The bond, named "26 Muyuan Foods MTN001 (科技创新债)", has a term of 2 years, with an interest rate of 2.23% and a face value price of 100 RMB per 100 RMB [1] Group 2 - The main underwriter for the bond issuance was CITIC Bank, with joint lead underwriters being China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Wens Foodstuff Group, is facing significant pressure on its operating performance for the fiscal year 2025, with expected net profit declines of 40.73% to 46.12% compared to the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - For 2025, Wens expects a net profit of 5 billion to 5.5 billion yuan, down from 9.28 billion yuan in the previous year, indicating a decrease of approximately 42.8 billion to 37.8 billion yuan [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 758 billion yuan, which is nearly flat year-on-year, but net profit fell by about 18% to 5.256 billion yuan [1][4]. - The fourth quarter is projected to be particularly challenging, with a potential net loss if the lower end of the profit forecast is realized [5][6]. Sales and Pricing - Despite an increase in product sales, with 40.4769 million pigs and 1.303 billion chickens sold in 2025, the company is experiencing a decline in net profit due to falling sales prices [6][7]. - The average selling price for pigs decreased by 17.95% to 13.71 yuan per kilogram, while the average price for chickens fell by 9.80% to 11.78 yuan per kilogram [6]. Industry Context - The livestock industry is characterized by significant cyclical fluctuations, and Wens has struggled to mitigate these cycles effectively [8]. - The company has been implementing cost-cutting measures, but the reduction in sales prices has led to a decline in profitability despite lower production costs [9][10]. Competitive Landscape - Wens Foodstuff Group's market performance has lagged behind its competitor, Muyuan Foods, which reported a net profit of 14.779 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 41.01% increase year-on-year [11][13]. - The gap in market capitalization between Wens and Muyuan has widened, with Wens's market value at 113.4 billion yuan, which is 156.2 billion yuan less than Muyuan's [3][13].

养殖巨头温氏股份（300498）（300498.SZ）抵御行业周期波动依旧乏力。 2025年度，温氏股份经营业绩再度承压。近日，温氏股份发布2025年度业绩预告，公司预计全年实现归 母净利润50亿元—55亿元，较上年同期下降40.73%—46.12%；预计实现扣非净利润48亿元—53亿元， 较上年同期下降44.64%—49.86%。 2025年前三季度，温氏股份的经营业绩就表现出下滑趋势，当期营业收入约为758亿元，与上年同期基 本持平，但归母净利润下降约18%，为52.56亿元。 对比发现，业绩大滑坡出现在第四季度，如果最终经审计的归母净利润为预计数的下限，那么，2025年 第四季度，公司会出现亏损。 如果温氏股份最终实现的归母净利润为预计数的下限，那么，公司第四季度将出现亏损。 温氏股份的产品销量是增长的。2025年，公司销售生猪4047.69万头、肉鸡13.03亿只，分别较上年同期 增加逾千万头、上亿只。 增量不增利，核心因素是产品销售价格下降。2025年，公司的生猪和肉鸡销售价格同比均出现了下降。 过去一年，温氏股份股价表现萎靡，截至1月12日市值为1134亿元，较"猪茅"牧原股份（002714）少 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry is expected to see a peak in hog slaughtering in late January, with prices anticipated to slightly rise from the bottom before the Lunar New Year. In December 2025, the national average selling price of hogs was 11.59 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.84% and a year-on-year decrease of 26.23% [5][15] - The December hog slaughter volume was 5.93 million heads, which is a month-on-month increase of 18.68% and a year-on-year increase of 3.50% [15] - The overall supply pressure is expected to ease due to increased slaughtering in late December, leading to a slight price increase for hogs, although the upward potential remains limited [5][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry anticipates a peak in hog slaughtering in late January, with prices expected to rise slightly from the bottom before the Lunar New Year. The December 2025 national average selling price of hogs was 11.59 yuan/kg, down 0.84% month-on-month and down 26.23% year-on-year [5][15] - The December hog slaughter volume was 5.93 million heads, up 18.68% month-on-month and 3.50% year-on-year [15] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of large hogs is expected to remain ample, with the proportion of hogs over 150 kg slightly higher than the same period in 2024. As of January 1, 2026, the proportion of hogs over 150 kg was 6.76%, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.25 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 0.03 percentage points [6][18] - The demand recovery, combined with reduced weight slaughtering, has led to an increase in the price difference for hogs. However, high frozen product inventory levels may suppress future hog prices, with the national frozen product inventory rate at 19.89%, up 4.93 percentage points year-on-year [21][23] Financial Performance of Listed Companies - In December 2025, 12 listed hog farming companies collectively slaughtered 17.6075 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 8.86%. The individual slaughter volumes varied significantly among companies, with some experiencing substantial growth while others faced declines [29][30] - The average selling prices of major listed hog companies in December showed a month-on-month decline, with prices ranging from 10.66 to 12.21 yuan/kg, reflecting various percentage changes [36][37]