Group 1 - The company, Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. (牧原股份), successfully issued the first phase of its 2026 technology innovation bonds [1] - The bond issuance took place on January 7, with a total scale of 500 million RMB, and the funds were fully received by January 9 [1] - The bond, named "26 Muyuan Foods MTN001 (科技创新债)", has a term of 2 years, with an interest rate of 2.23% and a face value price of 100 RMB per 100 RMB [1] Group 2 - The main underwriter for the bond issuance was CITIC Bank, with joint lead underwriters being China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Wens Foodstuff Group, is facing significant pressure on its operating performance for the fiscal year 2025, with expected net profit declines of 40.73% to 46.12% compared to the previous year [1][4]. Financial Performance - For 2025, Wens expects a net profit of 5 billion to 5.5 billion yuan, down from 9.28 billion yuan in the previous year, indicating a decrease of approximately 42.8 billion to 37.8 billion yuan [4]. - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 758 billion yuan, which is nearly flat year-on-year, but net profit fell by about 18% to 5.256 billion yuan [1][4]. - The fourth quarter is projected to be particularly challenging, with a potential net loss if the lower end of the profit forecast is realized [5][6]. Sales and Pricing - Despite an increase in product sales, with 40.4769 million pigs and 1.303 billion chickens sold in 2025, the company is experiencing a decline in net profit due to falling sales prices [6][7]. - The average selling price for pigs decreased by 17.95% to 13.71 yuan per kilogram, while the average price for chickens fell by 9.80% to 11.78 yuan per kilogram [6]. Industry Context - The livestock industry is characterized by significant cyclical fluctuations, and Wens has struggled to mitigate these cycles effectively [8]. - The company has been implementing cost-cutting measures, but the reduction in sales prices has led to a decline in profitability despite lower production costs [9][10]. Competitive Landscape - Wens Foodstuff Group's market performance has lagged behind its competitor, Muyuan Foods, which reported a net profit of 14.779 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a 41.01% increase year-on-year [11][13]. - The gap in market capitalization between Wens and Muyuan has widened, with Wens's market value at 113.4 billion yuan, which is 156.2 billion yuan less than Muyuan's [3][13].

养殖巨头温氏股份（300498）（300498.SZ）抵御行业周期波动依旧乏力。 2025年度，温氏股份经营业绩再度承压。近日，温氏股份发布2025年度业绩预告，公司预计全年实现归 母净利润50亿元—55亿元，较上年同期下降40.73%—46.12%；预计实现扣非净利润48亿元—53亿元， 较上年同期下降44.64%—49.86%。 2025年前三季度，温氏股份的经营业绩就表现出下滑趋势，当期营业收入约为758亿元，与上年同期基 本持平，但归母净利润下降约18%，为52.56亿元。 对比发现，业绩大滑坡出现在第四季度，如果最终经审计的归母净利润为预计数的下限，那么，2025年 第四季度，公司会出现亏损。 如果温氏股份最终实现的归母净利润为预计数的下限，那么，公司第四季度将出现亏损。 温氏股份的产品销量是增长的。2025年，公司销售生猪4047.69万头、肉鸡13.03亿只，分别较上年同期 增加逾千万头、上亿只。 增量不增利，核心因素是产品销售价格下降。2025年，公司的生猪和肉鸡销售价格同比均出现了下降。 过去一年，温氏股份股价表现萎靡，截至1月12日市值为1134亿元，较"猪茅"牧原股份（002714）少 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The industry is expected to see a peak in hog slaughtering in late January, with prices anticipated to slightly rise from the bottom before the Lunar New Year. In December 2025, the national average selling price of hogs was 11.59 yuan/kg, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.84% and a year-on-year decrease of 26.23% [5][15] - The December hog slaughter volume was 5.93 million heads, which is a month-on-month increase of 18.68% and a year-on-year increase of 3.50% [15] - The overall supply pressure is expected to ease due to increased slaughtering in late December, leading to a slight price increase for hogs, although the upward potential remains limited [5][15] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The industry anticipates a peak in hog slaughtering in late January, with prices expected to rise slightly from the bottom before the Lunar New Year. The December 2025 national average selling price of hogs was 11.59 yuan/kg, down 0.84% month-on-month and down 26.23% year-on-year [5][15] - The December hog slaughter volume was 5.93 million heads, up 18.68% month-on-month and 3.50% year-on-year [15] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of large hogs is expected to remain ample, with the proportion of hogs over 150 kg slightly higher than the same period in 2024. As of January 1, 2026, the proportion of hogs over 150 kg was 6.76%, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.25 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 0.03 percentage points [6][18] - The demand recovery, combined with reduced weight slaughtering, has led to an increase in the price difference for hogs. However, high frozen product inventory levels may suppress future hog prices, with the national frozen product inventory rate at 19.89%, up 4.93 percentage points year-on-year [21][23] Financial Performance of Listed Companies - In December 2025, 12 listed hog farming companies collectively slaughtered 17.6075 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 8.86%. The individual slaughter volumes varied significantly among companies, with some experiencing substantial growth while others faced declines [29][30] - The average selling prices of major listed hog companies in December showed a month-on-month decline, with prices ranging from 10.66 to 12.21 yuan/kg, reflecting various percentage changes [36][37]

Pharmaceutical Sector - Renhe Pharmaceutical has products available for consumers to address symptoms related to rhinovirus infections [1] Battery Sector - Haimuxing has engaged in deep research and development of perovskite tandem batteries with leading photovoltaic cell manufacturers [1] Aquaculture Sector - Muyuan Foods is constructing a super healthy breeding platform for pigs, aiming to cultivate high-quality pigs that are better suited for Chinese farming conditions and market demands [1] PCB Sector - Kexiang Technology has achieved small batch supply of 800G optical module PCBs and server PCBs [1] - Kexiang Technology's PCB products are applicable in the aerospace field and have already commenced supply [1] - Tongguang Cable is a major qualified supplier for organizations such as AVIC and China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation [1] - Shaanxi Huada is deeply involved in aerospace projects like Xingwang and Qianfan, having supplied products for the second phase of Xingwang [1] - Bichuang Technology has products that can be used for spectroscopic diagnostics of high-temperature plasma in nuclear fusion applications [1]

（编辑 袁冠琳） 证券日报网讯 1月12日，牧原股份在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，目前公司屠宰肉食业务服务的客 户主要为大型农批经销商、连锁商超、连锁餐饮、食品加工企业、新零售企业等B端客户，其中商超及 新零售企业销售的生鲜猪肉产品的标签上会标注生产商为牧原肉食品有限公司。公司会积极拓展屠宰肉 食业务销售渠道，持续构建全国猪肉销售网络，为消费者供应高质量猪肉产品。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [9][66]. Core Insights - The swine industry is entering an accelerated phase of capacity reduction, presenting opportunities at the bottom of the market. Regulatory measures are being reinforced to control pig prices, with expectations of a gradual adjustment rather than aggressive interventions. The focus is on low-cost performance and dividend increases for value reassessment, particularly for leading companies like Muyuan Foods and WH Group [1][14]. - The poultry sector is expected to see improvements in fundamentals, with historical highs in the number of breeding stock updates. The price dynamics are currently low, but there is potential for marginal changes in the cycle. Recommended companies include Shennong Development and Lihua Agricultural [2][28]. - The animal health sector is advancing with the clinical trials of the African swine fever subunit vaccine, which has received approval for clinical trials. The likelihood of domestic vaccine market entry is increasing, with recommended companies including BioFeng and Kexin Biological [3][6]. - The pet industry continues to grow rapidly, with significant improvements in profitability. Recommended companies in the pet food sector include GuaiBao Pet and ZhongChong Co., while in the pet medical sector, RuiPu Biological is highlighted [9][60]. Summary by Sections Swine Industry - The swine industry is experiencing a capacity reduction phase, with regulatory measures aimed at stabilizing prices. The average price of pigs in December 2025 was 11.59 CNY/kg, with a slight month-on-month decrease. The number of breeding sows has decreased by 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [13][14]. - Recommended companies include Muyuan Foods and WH Group, with additional attention on Dekang Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Juxing Agriculture [1][14]. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector is seeing a potential improvement in fundamentals, with breeding stock updates reaching historical highs. The average price for broiler chickens was 3.9 CNY/jin, with a slight increase [26][28]. - Recommended companies are Shennong Development and Lihua Agricultural [2][28]. Animal Health - The animal health sector is focused on the progress of the African swine fever vaccine trials, with the first round of trials proceeding as planned. The second round is set to begin by the end of March 2026 [3][6]. - Companies to watch include BioFeng, Kexin Biological, and RuiPu Biological [6]. Pet Industry - The pet market is projected to reach a scale of 300.2 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5%. The average annual spending per pet dog is 2,961 CNY, while for cats, it is 2,020 CNY [59][60]. - Recommended companies include GuaiBao Pet, ZhongChong Co., and Peidi Co. in the pet food sector, and RuiPu Biological in the pet medical sector [9][60]. Feed Industry - The feed industry is experiencing price fluctuations, with the price of feed for fattening pigs at 3.34 CNY/kg, showing a month-on-month increase [47][48]. - Recommended companies include Haida Group and HeFeng Co. [48]. Planting Industry - Grain prices have increased year-on-year, with corn prices at 2,250 CNY/ton, showing a 10.5% increase compared to the previous year [41][46]. - Companies to focus on include SuKan Agricultural Development, LongPing High-Tech, and DengHai Seeds [7][46].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in pig prices, which are stabilizing and maintaining strength. The focus is also on the pet industry following the release of a white paper on the sector [1][3]. - The report suggests that the supply of pigs remains ample in the first half of 2026, with a prolonged bottoming period expected for the industry cycle. The logic for a rebound in 2026 remains intact, presenting potential investment opportunities [3][4]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - As of January 11, the national average price for external three yuan pigs is 12.70 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2.1%. The supply of large pigs is tight, and the enthusiasm for secondary fattening has increased, leading to a temporary tightening of the market [3]. - The price of weaned piglets has also risen, reaching 251 yuan/head, nearing industry cost levels. The report notes that the production capacity reduction has slowed down, with a slight increase in the number of breeding sows [3][4]. Pet Industry - The 2026 China Pet Industry White Paper indicates that the urban pet consumption market reached 312.6 billion yuan in 2025, growing by 4.1% year-on-year. The dog market accounted for 160.6 billion yuan, while the cat market reached 152.0 billion yuan [3]. - The average annual spending per pet owner has shown a slight increase, with dog owners spending an average of 3,006 yuan and cat owners spending 2,085 yuan [3]. Chicken Farming - The average price for white feather broiler chicks has decreased to 3.15 yuan/chick, a week-on-week decline of 6.5%. Despite this, the supply of broilers remains tight, with the average price for broiler chickens at 3.79 yuan/kg [3]. - The report emphasizes that the theme of abundant supply in the white feather chicken market will continue into 2025-2026, and it suggests focusing on leading companies in the sector [3].

河南日报客户端记者 李栀子 通讯员 陈浩 当猪肉遇上冰箱，当餐桌连上冷链，一场关于消费潜力的全新想象正在拉开帷幕。 1 月 10 日晚，中央广播电视总台 CCTV-2 财经频道《对话》栏目播出，在这场以 "消费增长新潜力" 为 主题的巅峰对话中，牧原食品股份有限公司董事长秦英林与多位行业领军者同台，不仅分享了对猪肉市 场的独到洞察，更描绘了一幅 "降本增质 + 跨界协同" 的未来生活画卷。 "现在大家的时间都是珍贵的，你把肉做好了，让人放心，来了都不用挑，拿着就走。" 节目现场，秦 英林的这番话道出了无数消费者的心声。 在谈到未来的服务生态时，秦英林展现了极具前瞻性的想象力。他认为，创新不能闭门造车，必须打破 边界。 "不要让消费者去吃个肉，还要动那么多脑，也不要去花时间，更不要去费力。" 秦英林畅想道，未来 的消费场景应该是无缝衔接的：也许某一天，家里的格力冰箱感知到库存不足，或者主人想给丈母娘家 送点礼，只需一声呼唤，搭载着牧原猪肉的东风车就能精准配送上门。 这不仅仅是一个玩笑，更是牧原正在构建的 "全套解决方案"。 展望未来，秦英林表示，牧原将继续盯着消费者的需求跑，用技术创新和跨界合作，把复杂的产业链 ...

新京报贝壳财经讯 1月12日，牧原股份发布公告称，公司发行中期票据事项已获批准并收到《接受注册 通知书》。2026年1月7日，公司进行2026年度第一期科技创新债券发行工作，发行规模5亿元，1月9日 募集资金全部到账。该债券简称"26牧原食品MTN001（科创债）"，期限2年，起息日为1月9日，兑付 日为2028年1月9日，发行利率2.23%，主承销商为中信银行，联席主承销商为招商银行和兴业银行。 ...