Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The agriculture sector's profit has contracted significantly due to the unexpected decline in pig prices, leading to a year-on-year profit drop of 58.8% in Q3 2025 [17] - The overall revenue for the agriculture industry in Q1-Q3 2025 reached 872.718 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 6.44%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 35.477 billion, up 10.63% year-on-year [5][17] - The average price of pigs in Q3 2025 was 13.81 yuan/kg, down 28.89% year-on-year, with the lowest price of 10.84 yuan/kg recorded on October 13, 2025 [5][17] Summary by Sections Overall Industry - In Q3 2025, the agriculture sector's profit contracted by 58.8% due to falling pig prices [17] - The industry's sales gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 11.79%, up 0.12 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.21%, up 0.21 percentage points year-on-year [20] - The industry’s net asset return rate was 6.75%, an increase of 0.28 percentage points year-on-year [20] Subsector Analysis - The pig farming sector has entered a de-stocking cycle, while the feed and animal health sectors are experiencing post-cycle operational improvements [6][25] - In Q1-Q3 2025, the revenue growth rates for pet food, animal health, feed, and planting were 20.34%, 17.69%, 12.38%, and 9.50% respectively [6][25] - The net profit growth rates for animal health, agricultural product processing, and feed sectors were 69.40%, 59.33%, and 54.17% respectively [6][25] Pig Farming - In Q1-Q3 2025, pig farming enterprises achieved revenue of 341.269 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.32%, with a net profit of 22.175 billion, up 14.29% year-on-year [7][28] - The overall pig output from 12 enterprises was 123.9948 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 19.45% [41] - The profitability of the pig farming sector has declined due to falling prices, with average gross margin, net margin, and ROE at 12.25%, 4.08%, and 5.87% respectively [31] Poultry Farming - In Q1-Q3 2025, revenue for poultry farming reached 40.215 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.92%, while net profit was 1.646 billion, down 9.52% year-on-year [44] - The profitability metrics for poultry farming were a gross margin of 12.61%, a net margin of 2.83%, and a return on equity of 4.18% [46] Feed Industry - The feed sector generated revenue of 152.955 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.69%, with a net profit of 4.505 billion, up 8.72% year-on-year [8][57] - The average gross margin, net margin, and ROE for feed enterprises were 9.41%, 1.17%, and 3.65% respectively [57] Animal Health - The animal health sector achieved revenue of 9.977 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.08%, with a net profit of 1.265 billion, up 45.51% year-on-year [63] - The average gross margin, net margin, and ROE for animal health enterprises were 53.42%, 17.77%, and 4.35% respectively [63] Seed Industry - The seed sector reported revenue of 6.814 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, down 5.82% year-on-year, with a net profit of -880 million, a decline of 53.87% year-on-year [68]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the recommended stocks in the consumer sector, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the coming years [7][11][12][13][14][16][18][19]. Core Insights - The report highlights nine advantageous sectors within the consumer industry, including agriculture, retail, social services, automotive, textiles and apparel, light industry, food, home appliances, and pharmaceuticals, with specific stock recommendations for each sector [4][7]. - The report emphasizes the expected growth in net profits for the recommended companies from 2025 to 2027, with significant increases projected for several firms, indicating strong future performance [11][12][13][14][16][18][19]. Summary by Relevant Sections Agriculture - Recommended Stock: Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 154.9 billion, 175.7 billion, 225.5 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 16, and 12 [11][29]. Retail - Recommended Stock: Shangmei Co., Ltd. (上美股份) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 10.9 billion, 13.6 billion, 15.8 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 29, 23, and 20 [12][29]. Social Services - Recommended Stock: China Duty Free Group (中国中免) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 36.7 billion, 41.7 billion, 47.8 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 43, 38, and 33 [13][29]. Automotive - Recommended Stock: Top Group (拓普集团) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 28.0 billion, 33.7 billion, 41.0 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 45.7, 38.1, and 31.3 [14][29]. Textiles and Apparel - Recommended Stock: Huali Group (华利集团) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 33.6 billion, 40.7 billion, 47.2 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 20.5, 17.0, and 14.6 [16][29]. Light Industry - Recommended Stock: Craft Home (匠心家居) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 9.5 billion, 12.3 billion, 15.4 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 17, and 13 [17][29]. Food - Recommended Stock: Shanxi Fenjiu (山西汾酒) - Projected net profits for 2025-2026: 10.09, 10.93 CNY per share, with corresponding PE ratios of 19 and 17 [18][29]. Home Appliances - Recommended Stock: Anker Innovations (安克创新) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 26.57 billion, 31.98 billion, 38.95 billion CNY, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.59, 19.60, and 16.09 [19][29]. Pharmaceuticals - Recommended Stock: Innovent Biologics (信达生物) - Projected net profits for 2025-2027: 0.34, 0.69, 1.35 CNY per share, with corresponding PE ratios of 232.2, 116.5, and 59.3 [19][29].

北京商报讯（记者 郭秀娟 王悦彤） 11月3日，牧原股份在投资者互动平台回答投资者提问称，二级市 场股价受多种因素影响。公司会持续做好经营管理，更好地为股东创造回报。目前公司屠宰肉食业务服 务的客户主要为大型农批经销商、连锁商超、连锁餐饮、食品加工企业、新零售企业等B端客户，没有 向肉制品深加工业务拓展的计划。未来公司聚焦主业，持续降本增效，提升发展质量，同时会探索海外 发展、联农助农等业务，为公司开拓新的增长空间。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - In October 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.10%[7] - The average return of the stock portfolio in October was 0.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which remained flat[7] - The A-share market saw significant style rotation, with large-cap value indices showing defensive characteristics[7] Group 2: Stock Recommendations - Huaxin Cement (600801) closed at 21.58 CNY, with a monthly increase of 16.65%[8] - Xiamen Tungsten (600549) closed at 35.70 CNY, with a projected EPS of 1.47 CNY[16] - Muyuan Foods (002714) closed at 50.30 CNY, with a projected EPS of 3.65 CNY[20] - CATL (300750) closed at 388.77 CNY, with a projected EPS of 14.97 CNY[24] - Guodian NARI (600406) closed at 24.23 CNY, with a projected EPS of 1.05 CNY[28] - SANY Heavy Industry (600031) closed at 22.14 CNY, with a projected EPS of 1.02 CNY[32] - Inovance Technology (300124) closed at 77.01 CNY, with a projected EPS of 2.04 CNY[36] - Yutong Bus (600066) closed at 32.33 CNY, with a projected EPS of 2.17 CNY[40] - Changdian Technology (600584) closed at 40.02 CNY, with a projected EPS of 1.00 CNY[44] Group 3: Economic and Policy Insights - The U.S. PMI data indicates resilient growth momentum, while employment figures remain weak[7] - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has been confirmed, but internal divisions within the FOMC raise questions about future easing paths[7] - The Chinese economy shows signs of resilience in production, with exports exceeding expectations despite a slowdown in demand[7]

Group 1 - The Biotech Index (970038) closed at 2277.73 points, down 0.07%, with a trading volume of 25.957 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.67% [1] - Among the index constituents, 26 stocks rose, led by Meiya Optoelectronics with a 3.74% increase, while 22 stocks fell, with Hualan Biological leading the decline at 3.87% [1] - The top ten constituents of the Biotech Index include major companies such as Mindray Medical, Changchun High-tech, and Kanglong Chemical, with varying weightings and market capitalizations [1] Group 2 - The net outflow of main funds from the Biotech Index constituents totaled 190 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 143 million yuan, and speculative funds had a net inflow of 334 million yuan [3] - Specific stock fund flows indicate that Muyuan Foods had a main fund net inflow of 14.7 million yuan, while Mindray Medical experienced a main fund net inflow of 69.649 million yuan [3] - The data shows a mixed trend in fund flows, with some stocks attracting significant speculative interest while others faced outflows from both main and retail investors [3]

Group 1 - On November 3, Muyuan Foods conducted a block trade of 39,500 shares, with a transaction value of 2.022 million yuan, accounting for 0.08% of the total trading volume for the day [1][2] - The transaction price was 51.19 yuan, which was in line with the market closing price of 51.19 yuan [1][2] - The buyer of the shares was CITIC Securities Co., Ltd., while the seller was CITIC Securities South China Co., Ltd. [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 111.79 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.78 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 35.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.249 billion yuan, down 55.98% year-on-year [1]. - The company has improved production efficiency and reduced costs, with a total cost of sales for pigs in Q3 at 11.7 yuan/kg, showing a steady decline in costs over the months [1]. - The company has responded to national capacity control measures by reducing the number of breeding sows to 3.305 million, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.7% [1]. - The slaughtering business has shown significant improvement, with 19.16 million pigs slaughtered in the first nine months of 2025, a 140% increase year-on-year, and achieving profitability in Q3 [2]. - The company is exploring overseas market opportunities for future growth, indicating a strategic direction for capital expenditure [2]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 15.667 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.4% year-on-year, followed by an increase of 124.9% in 2026, and a decrease of 25% in 2027 [2]. - The estimated P/E ratio for 2025 is 17.5x, with a projected EPS of 2.87 yuan [3][4]. - The company’s total revenue is expected to be 137.87 billion yuan in 2025, with a slight decrease from the previous year [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company is focusing on reducing its reliance on soybean by utilizing soybean meal as a feed ingredient, which currently accounts for about 7% of its feed usage this year [1] Group 1: Feed Ingredient Strategy - The company does not directly purchase soybeans but uses soybean meal as a feed raw material [1] - The company plans to adjust its feed nutritional formula flexibly based on market trends of feed raw materials while ensuring optimal nutrition for its pig herd [1] - There is potential for further reduction in the use of soybean meal in the company's feed, which will be determined by the prices of soybean meal and amino acids [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company is applying low-soy diets technology by substituting soybean meal with bio-synthesized amino acids to enhance the economic efficiency of its feed formulations [1] - The company aims to continue exploring low-soy diet technologies by leveraging advancements in synthetic biology [1] - The initiative is part of the company's contribution to the national food security strategy by reducing dependence on soybean imports [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the latest holdings of securities firms in the A-share market as of the end of Q3 2025, indicating significant investment activity and sector preferences among these firms [1][5]. Holdings Overview - As of the end of Q3 2025, 44 securities firms appeared in the top ten shareholders of 361 listed companies, with a total holding value of 66.623 billion yuan [1]. - The most concentrated sectors for securities firm investments are hardware equipment and chemical industries, with 41 and 33 stocks respectively, followed by pharmaceuticals and machinery with 26 and 20 stocks [1]. Major Holdings - The top holdings by securities firms include: - CITIC Securities holds 1.3743 million shares of Muyuan Foods valued at 1.984 billion yuan [4]. - Shenwan Hongyuan has a holding of 1.2148 million shares of Guangqi Technology valued at 1.079 billion yuan [4]. - Other notable holdings include Cangge Mining and Jilin Aodong, with holdings valued at 928 million yuan and 865 million yuan respectively [2][4]. New Investments - In Q3, securities firms entered the top ten shareholders of 206 new stocks, primarily in the non-ferrous metals, pharmaceuticals, hardware equipment, and chemical sectors [5]. - Noteworthy new investments include: - Guotai Junan's entry into Postal Savings Bank with a holding valued at 727 million yuan [5]. - CITIC Securities' new position in Huayuan Ecology valued at 344 million yuan [5]. Increased Holdings - A total of 63 stocks saw increased holdings from securities firms in Q3, with significant increases in positions such as: - Dongfang Securities increased its holding in Inner Mongolia Huadian by 21.94 million shares, adding over 8.8 million yuan in value [5]. - CITIC Securities increased its position in Muyuan Foods by 507,500 shares, adding approximately 433 million yuan [5]. Decreased Holdings - Some securities firms reduced their holdings in certain stocks, such as CITIC Securities reducing its position in Xin Nuo Wei, while others like Shenwan Hongyuan reduced holdings in Guangqi Technology and Cangge Mining but saw their holding values increase due to stock price appreciation [6]. Self-operated Business Performance - The performance of securities firms' self-operated businesses is closely linked to their stock holdings, with total self-operated income reaching 186.857 billion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, accounting for over 44% of total revenue [7]. - CITIC Securities led with a self-operated income of 31.603 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 46% [8]. Self-operated Business Breakdown - The self-operated income of major securities firms for the first three quarters includes: - CITIC Securities: 31.603 billion yuan, 45.88% year-on-year growth [8]. - Guotai Junan: 20.37 billion yuan, 90.11% year-on-year growth [8]. - Other firms like China Galaxy and Shenwan Hongyuan also reported significant self-operated income exceeding 10 billion yuan [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company is adapting its feed formulation strategy by reducing soybean meal usage and exploring low-soy diets to enhance cost efficiency and reduce reliance on imported soybeans [2]. Group 1: Soybean Procurement and Usage - The company does not directly procure soybeans but uses soybean meal as a feed ingredient, with soybean meal accounting for approximately 7% of its feed usage this year [2]. - There is potential for further reduction in soybean meal usage in the company's feed formulations, which will be determined based on market prices of soybean meal and amino acids [2]. Group 2: Cost Optimization and Profit Impact - The company is implementing low-soy diet technology, utilizing synthetic amino acids to replace soybean meal, which is expected to improve the economic efficiency of feed formulations [2]. - The impact of these cost optimizations on the company's annual net profit is yet to be quantified, but the focus remains on enhancing profitability through these strategies [2].