Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company Shenzhou Taiyue (300002) [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable operation of existing products and is focusing on the performance of several new SLG games set to launch [1] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.452 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 60.92% to 1.428 billion yuan [3][4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a decline in revenue to 1.323 billion yuan, down 11.07% year-on-year, and a net profit of 239 million yuan, down 19.09% year-on-year [3][4] Financial Performance - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan for every 10 shares, totaling approximately 196 million yuan [3] - The core game "Age of Origins" saw a recharge flow increase of 7.26% year-on-year, contributing to the revenue growth in 2024 [4] - The company is expected to see revenue growth of 12.0%, 11.8%, and 10.0% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.111 billion yuan, 1.257 billion yuan, and 1.457 billion yuan [6][9] Game Development Strategy - The company is deepening its focus on SLG games while also expanding into RPG genres, with two new SLG games, "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers," currently in commercialization testing [5] - Three additional SLG games are planned for commercialization testing by mid-2026, alongside the development of a sci-fi RPG game [5] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a projected P/E ratio of 16 for 2024, increasing to 20 in 2025, and then decreasing to 15 by 2027 [9]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024, with significant growth in net profit, while the first quarter of 2025 showed a decline in both revenue and net profit, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of 6.452 billion and net profit of 1.428 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 8.22% and 60.92% respectively [1]. - In the first quarter of 2025, revenue and net profit were 1.323 billion and 0.239 billion, showing year-on-year declines of 11.07% and 19.09% respectively [1]. Business Segmentation - The company's revenue composition was 72% from gaming and 28% from software and information services, with year-on-year growth of 3.66% and 22.21% respectively [2]. - Key gaming titles, Age of Origins and War and Order, contributed 74% and 23% to total gaming revenue [2]. - The software and information services segment focused on AI/ICT operational management products, including AI, cloud services, and information security [2]. Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin slightly decreased by 1.7 percentage points to 61%, while the gaming gross margin increased by 1.56 percentage points to 72.7% [2]. - The company experienced changes in expense ratios, with sales, management, finance, and R&D expense ratios adjusting to 15.6%, 19.66%, -1.71%, and 5.15% respectively [2]. Regional Performance - The overseas business showed a revenue growth of 12.84%, with a slight increase in gross margin by 0.82 percentage points to 68.09%, indicating strong momentum and competitiveness in international markets [2]. Competitive Advantage - The company has established significant competitive barriers through its subsidiary, Shellwood Games, which is recognized as an early pioneer in the overseas market for strategy games, showcasing international product development and distribution capabilities [3]. - The integration of AI technology and AIGC tools is expected to help maintain this competitive edge and facilitate the launch of new products in the future [3]. Profit Forecast - The company anticipates revenue growth rates of 18.8%, 12.7%, and 10% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth rates of 6.5%, 9.7%, and 7.2% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.77 yuan, 0.85 yuan, and 0.91 yuan for 2025-2027, with a target price of 15.4 yuan based on a 20x PE valuation for 2025 [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 6.452 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.22%, with a net profit of 1.428 billion yuan, up 60.92% year-over-year, indicating strong financial performance despite a decline in Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Game Business - The gaming segment achieved a revenue of 4.662 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 3.66% and a gross margin of 72.70%, reflecting a 1.56 percentage point increase [2] - The net profit from gaming was 1.552 billion yuan, up 40.47% year-over-year, with a net profit margin of 33.28%, an increase of 8.72 percentage points [2] - The company expects a natural decline in revenue from existing products in Q1 2025, leading to an overall revenue decrease of 11.07% year-over-year [2][3] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain long-term operations for existing games, with expectations for stable revenue from key titles like "Age of Origins" and "War and Order" [3] - New games "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" are set to launch in overseas markets by the end of 2024, with plans for large-scale promotion in mid to late 2025 [3] - The company has additional RPG and SLG games in the pipeline, which are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [3] Group 3: Computer Business - The computer and other businesses generated revenue of 1.790 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 22.21% [4] - AI/ICT operations accounted for 1.478 billion yuan, growing 20.53% year-over-year, while IoT/communications revenue reached 133 million yuan, up 62.30% [4] - The company is focusing on integrating AI across various business lines, enhancing profitability and growth potential [4] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.59, 0.64, and 0.69 yuan, respectively, reflecting a downward revision from previous estimates [5] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 19, 18, and 17 times for 2025-2027 [5] - The company maintains a "buy" rating, supported by strong computer business growth and a robust pipeline of new games [5]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.452 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.428 billion yuan, up 60.92% year-over-year, aligning with the performance forecast range [1] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.323 billion yuan, down 11.07% year-over-year and 31.74% quarter-over-quarter, with a net profit of 239 million yuan, down 19.09% year-over-year and 28.53% quarter-over-quarter, primarily due to a decline in core game product revenue [1][2] Game Business Performance - The company's game business generated a revenue of 4.662 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 3.66% year-over-year [2] - The core products, "Age of Origins" and "War and Order," saw a decline in recharge revenue in Q4 2024, with figures of 825 million yuan and 249 million yuan respectively, down 4.4% and 2.6% quarter-over-quarter [2] - New games "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" were released overseas at the end of 2024 and are currently in the commercialization testing phase, with expectations for performance contributions in 2025 [2] Software and AI Business Development - The software business achieved a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 22.21% [3] - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance product innovation and commercialization, particularly in ICT operations, cloud services, and information security [3] - Notable initiatives include collaboration with Amazon Cloud and the introduction of the Ultra-AIS intelligent security model, which significantly improves the level of intelligence in security solutions [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in existing game revenue and increased marketing expenses, the company has adjusted its profit forecast, lowering expected net profits for 2025 and 2026 to 1.15 billion yuan and 1.29 billion yuan respectively, a reduction of 21% and 22% [4] - The target price is set at 13.47 yuan, based on a 23x PE for 2025, reflecting a stable position in overseas markets and the need to monitor the performance of new products [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 6.452 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.428 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 60.92% [1] Gaming Business: Global Expansion and Innovation - The gaming segment continued to show strong growth, with the core brand, Shellwood Games, achieving excellent performance in global markets, particularly with titles like "Age of Origins" and "War and Order" [4] - These games ranked highly in the revenue charts for Chinese game developers abroad, benefiting from precise marketing strategies that effectively controlled spending and enhanced profitability [4] - Two new games, "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers," are currently in commercial testing overseas and have received domestic game licenses, with plans for domestic launch in the future [4] - The company utilized "engineering innovation" to enhance R&D efficiency and product quality by reapplying past experiences in game production and operations [4] - AI technology was widely applied in game development, utilizing the latest AIGC tools to improve production efficiency and reduce costs, while also enhancing user experience through continuous training and iteration of AI models [4] Software and Information Technology Services: AI Technology Leading Industry Transformation - In the software and IT services sector, the company made significant strides in AI/ICT operations management, cloud services, and information security [5] - The company has applied for 367 patents in the AI field, with 348 being invention patents and 208 authorized, showcasing strong R&D capabilities [5] AI Solutions and Cloud Services - Dingfu Intelligent, a key player in the AI sector for the company, launched the "Taiyue Smart Call" platform, focusing on intelligent collection and sales, providing SaaS solutions for industries like financial services and retail [6] - The platform significantly improved operational efficiency and professionalism through human-machine collaboration [6] - The company partnered with Amazon Web Services to become one of the first certified partners for generative AI capabilities, helping businesses realize the commercial value of generative AI [6] - The cloud services have reached over 40 countries and regions, serving more than 300 enterprises, including Haier Innovation Design Center and KikaTech [6] Information Security and ICT Operations Management - The company introduced the Ultra-AIS self-intelligent security model system in the information security domain, enhancing operational efficiency and intelligence through a foundation of open-source large language models [7] - In ICT operations management, the company upgraded its "Smart New IT" model product system, empowering a full AI ecosystem to enhance clients' intelligence levels [7] - The company achieved revenue and profit growth in 2024, demonstrating its strength in technological innovation and global expansion [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's existing games are operating steadily while awaiting the launch of new games [1] - The gaming business shows robust performance with a strong pipeline of new games [8] - The computer business is experiencing significant growth driven by innovations in AI and ICT [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,962 million, with a year-on-year growth of 24.06% [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is expected to be 887.18 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 63.84% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 0.45 yuan [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is expected to reach 6,452 million in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 8.22% [1] - The net profit for 2024 is projected at 1,427.67 million, indicating a year-on-year increase of 60.92% [1] - EPS for 2024 is forecasted to be 0.73 yuan [1] Game Business Insights - The gaming segment achieved revenue of 46.62 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.66% and a gross margin of 72.70% [8] - Key games such as "Age of Origins" and "War and Order" continue to perform well, contributing significantly to revenue [8] - New games like "Stellar Sanctuary" and "Next Agers" are set to launch in 2025, with expectations for substantial contributions to revenue [8] Computer Business Performance - The computer and other businesses generated revenue of 17.90 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.21% [8] - AI/ICT operations accounted for 14.78 billion, growing by 20.53% year-on-year [8] - The company is actively integrating AI into various business lines, enhancing service offerings [8] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.49, 17.96, and 16.66 respectively [1] - The company maintains a strong financial position with a net asset value per share of 3.70 yuan [6]

Summary of Shenzhou Taiyue Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Shenzhou Taiyue - **Industry**: Gaming and IT Services Key Financial Performance - **Q1 2025 Revenue**: 1.323 billion CNY, with a net profit of 239 million CNY, marking the second-highest Q1 performance since listing despite a year-on-year decline [2][5] - **2024 Full Year Performance**: Total revenue of 6.452 billion CNY, up 8.22% year-on-year; net profit of 1.428 billion CNY, up 60% year-on-year, indicating consistent growth for five consecutive years [4] Core Products and Revenue Trends - **Core Games**: "Xuri" and "Zhanhuo" experienced an average monthly revenue decline of approximately 11% compared to last year's peak, contributing to profit decline [2][5] - **Future Revenue Stability**: Both core games are expected to maintain stable revenue with fluctuations not exceeding 1% [2][6][11] New Product Development - **New SLG Products**: "DL" and "Loa" are in commercial testing, with "DL" expected to accelerate server openings and large-scale promotions by late Q2 or early Q3 [2][7] - **Upcoming Releases**: Multiple ESLE products are anticipated to be commercialized by the end of 2025 or in the first half of 2026, providing long-term performance support [2][8] IT and Cloud Business - **Improvement in Computer Business**: Losses are gradually improving, with IT infrastructure nearing breakeven. The company is making progress in cloud and AI transformation [2][9] - **AI ICT Business Challenges**: A significant impairment of approximately 94 million CNY was recorded due to unmet revenue targets from Dingfu Intelligent [2][13] Strategic Adjustments - **Overseas Market Strategy**: The company is adapting its gaming and cloud strategies based on market changes, with North America remaining a key market [2][15][18] - **Promotion Plans**: Increased promotional efforts for both new and existing games are planned for late Q2 to early Q3 [3][22] Cost Management - **Reduction in Management Fees**: Expected decrease in stock incentive expenses and asset impairment provisions will alleviate financial burdens in 2025 [2][23][24] Long-term Outlook - **SaaS Product Trends**: The SLG gaming sector shows promising revenue and profitability growth, with a focus on product iteration to remain competitive [2][19] - **Continued Support for Legacy Games**: Ongoing updates and promotions for core games will be maintained to ensure stable revenue streams [2][25] Additional Insights - **Domestic Game Launches**: Two SOG games with domestic licenses will be launched after overseas market maturity, expected around October 2025 [3][22] - **Market Adaptation**: The company emphasizes a customer-oriented approach in providing cloud services, adapting to the needs of Chinese enterprises going global [2][17]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of 13.47 RMB [6][7]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 6.452 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.22%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.428 billion RMB, up 60.92% year-over-year [1][4]. - The decline in revenue in Q1 2025 is attributed to a decrease in the core gaming product's revenue, with expectations for new overseas products to contribute positively in the future [1][2]. - The software information business showed robust growth, achieving 1.79 billion RMB in revenue for 2024, a 22.21% increase, driven by the integration of AI technology [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 6.452 billion RMB for 2024, with a net profit of 1.428 billion RMB, which aligns with the performance forecast [1][4]. - Q1 2025 revenue was 1.323 billion RMB, down 11.07% year-over-year and 31.74% quarter-over-quarter, with a net profit of 239 million RMB, down 19.09% year-over-year [1]. Gaming Business - The gaming business generated 4.662 billion RMB in revenue for 2024, a 3.66% increase, but the core products saw a decline in revenue [2]. - New games launched overseas at the end of 2024 are currently in the commercialization testing phase, with expectations for them to contribute to revenue in 2025 [2]. Software and AI Integration - The software business's revenue growth was driven by AI technology, with significant advancements in ICT operations and cloud services [3]. - The introduction of the Ultra-AIS intelligent security model has enhanced the company's product offerings [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted downward due to declining gaming revenue and increased marketing expenses, with net profits expected to be 1.15 billion RMB and 1.29 billion RMB respectively [4]. - The target price is set at 13.47 RMB, based on a 23x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's stable position in overseas markets [4].

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 26 年 月 日 神州泰岳（300002.SZ） 拳头产品流水保持高位，两款新游海外上线 业绩概览：公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年，公司实现营业收入 64.52 亿元，同比增长 8.22%；实现归母净利润 14.28 亿元，同比增长 60.92%； 实现扣非归母净利润 11.47 亿元，同比增长 38.29%。2025Q1，公司实现营业收 入 13.23 亿元，同比下滑 11.07%；实现归母净利润 2.39 亿元，同比下滑 19.09%； 实现扣非归母净利润 2.26 亿元，同比下滑 21.10%。公司 2024 年利润分配预案拟 向全体股东每 10 股派发现金红利 1 元（含税）。 2024 年销售费用率显著降低，2025Q1 毛利率环比提升。2024 年，公司毛利率 同比降低 1.69pct 至 61.04%；销售费用率同比降低 9.06pct 至 15.60%；管理费 用率同比提升 4.28pct 至 19.66%；财务费用率同比降低 0.50pct 至-1.71%。 2025Q1，公司毛利率环比 ...

此外，公司在研管线还有多款游戏进入测试阶段，包括部分非SLG类型的游戏，公司的产品生态得到进 一步丰富。券商分析师表示，SLG品类因其生命周期长、用户黏性高、变现能力强，具备长期营收贡献 潜力。伴随游戏内容完善、生态培育与买量获客协同推进，神州泰岳的新老"2+2"的矩阵生态，有望成 为未来三年乃至更长时间内，公司重要的增长引擎。同时，公司的产品发行节奏加快，未来是否会有更 多的产品进入发行周期，也值得期待。 软件业务持续增长，以AI+云服务能力积极布局业务新高点 神州泰岳另一大业务板块"软件和信息技术服务" 同样交出亮丽答卷。2024年，该板块营业收入17.90亿 元，同比增长超22%，成为公司业绩增长的"第二极"。报告期内，公司云服务业务、ICT运维业务、物 联网业务产品在新客户、新市场领域不断取得突破，订单量显著攀升。近年来，神州泰岳秉承"创新驱 动，全球发展"的战略，强化底座技术核心竞争力，积极拓展国际市场。 神州泰岳精心构建AI技术生态系统，致力于将AI技术融入各业务线产品与服务之中。在云服务领域， 公司作为中国首批获得亚马逊云科技生成式AI能力认证的合作伙伴，打造了一系列行业解决方案，涵 盖文生文、 ...