证券研究报告：电子 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 107.19 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）4.83 | / 4.21 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）517 | / 451 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 107.19 / 60.40 | | 资产负债率(%) | 6.5% | | 市盈率 | 140.97 | | 第一大股东 | 刘强 | 研究所 分析师:吴文吉 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050004 Email:wuwenji@cnpsec.com 分析师:翟一梦 SAC 登记编号:S1340525040003 Email:zhaiyimeng@cnpsec.com l 投资要点 以AI 为核心，构建计算、存储、感知与执行的全栈技术体系。 在计算领域，公司基于 RISC-V 架构，重点发力 AI-Vision、LLM、 AI-MCU/AI-MPU 等方向，持续迭代 CPU 与 NPU 技术，从 NPU 1.0 发 展到即将推出的 NPU 4.0，实现算力从 0.1Tops 到 512Tops 的跨 越，满足从端级到边缘 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a majority of semiconductor stocks rise, with Zhenlei Technology increasing by over 16% [1] - Hengshuo Co. experienced a rise of over 14% [1] - Fudan Microelectronics and Chengdu Huami both rose by over 13% [1] Group 2 - Changchuan Technology increased by nearly 9% [1] - Jingfeng Mingyuan saw an increase of over 7% [1] - Beijing Junzheng and Hongwei Technology both rose by over 6% [1] Group 3 - Juxin Technology increased by over 5% [1] - Hangyu Micro, Ruichuang Weina, Xindong Linke, Yandong Micro, and Yuanjie Technology all rose by over 4% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip sector in A-shares is experiencing a strong rally, becoming the leading segment in the semiconductor industry, driven by significant demand from AI applications and a favorable market cycle [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The storage chip sector has shown robust performance, with key stocks like Tian'ao Electronics and Hengsuo Co. hitting the daily limit, igniting profit-making sentiment across the sector [1] - There is a notable influx of capital into the market, indicating high recognition of the storage chip industry's cyclical reversal and growth potential [1] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - AI demand is driving a significant increase in high-end storage needs, with Micron Technology reporting a quarterly revenue of $13.6 billion, a 57% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of $5.5 billion, up 169% [1] - The storage requirements for AI servers are eight times that of regular servers, with global AI server shipments expected to grow by 180% in 2025, leading to a 220% surge in high-end storage chip demand [1] Group 3: Price Trends and Inventory Levels - The storage chip industry has seen prices soar, with DDR5 memory prices increasing by 80% from September to December, and HBM2e prices rising nearly 50% [2] - Inventory levels have dropped to a five-year low, with major players like Samsung and Micron reducing production, resulting in inventory levels falling from 12-16 weeks to 2-4 weeks [2] Group 4: Domestic Market Developments - Domestic companies are accelerating their market presence, with Shunming Storage achieving mass production of the first domestic ferroelectric memory, ranking among the top five global suppliers [2] - Changxin Storage's DDR5 memory module has entered the supply chains of major companies like Huawei, with revenue surpassing $1 billion in Q3 2025 [2] Group 5: Benefiting Sectors - The storage chip design and module sector is directly benefiting from the explosion in AI demand and rising prices, with companies like Beijing Junzheng and Jiangbolong positioned to gain from the industry's upward trend [3] - The storage chip materials and equipment sector is also seeing growth due to domestic production expansion and technological advancements, with companies like Shunming Storage achieving full localization of materials and equipment [3] - The AI server and computing equipment sector is experiencing synergistic growth, with a significant increase in demand for AI servers and storage chips [3]

Group 1 - The storage chip sector experienced a significant rally on December 25, with multiple companies seeing substantial stock price increases [1] - Companies such as Hengshuo Co., Tian'ao Electronics, and others reached their daily price limit, indicating strong market interest and investor confidence [1] - Other companies in the sector, including Beijing Junzheng, Xiangnong Xinchuang, Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Purang Co., also saw their stock prices rise, reflecting a broader positive trend in the storage chip industry [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on December 25, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.11%, while sectors such as defense, non-bank financials, and machinery equipment performed well, and metals and steel sectors faced declines [1] - The semiconductor ETF (159995.SZ) decreased by 0.34%, with individual stocks like Beijing Junzheng, Shengbang Co., and SMIC showing gains of 3.58%, 2.37%, and 1.26% respectively, while companies like Chipone and Jinghe Integration experienced declines of -5.23% and -3.63% [1] Group 2 - SEMI raised its 2025 wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) forecast to $115.7 billion, reflecting an 11% year-over-year increase, driven by unexpected investments in DRAM and HBM, along with ongoing expansions in China [3] - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to continue growing in 2026 and 2027, with increases of 9.0% and 7.3% respectively, reaching $135.2 billion, as manufacturers increase investments in advanced logic and storage technologies [3] - According to招商证券, equipment companies are in an upward cycle, driven by AI demand for advanced processes and a gradual recovery in mature processes, with strong orders expected for advanced logic in 2025 [3] - The chip ETF (159995) tracks the National Chip Index, which includes 30 leading companies in the A-share chip industry across materials, equipment, design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing, such as SMIC, Cambricon, Changdian Technology, and Northern Huachuang [3]

Group 1 - The storage chip sector in A-shares has seen a resurgence, with companies like Huahai Chengke (688535.SH) rising by 12.88% and Demingli (001309.SZ) increasing by over 9% [2] - Semiconductor companies such as SMIC (688981.SH) and Xiangnong Chip (300475.SZ) also recorded gains, indicating a positive trend in the market [2] - In the Hong Kong market, SMIC (00981.HK) and Huahong Semiconductor (01347.HK) performed well, reflecting a broader recovery in the storage chip sector [2] Group 2 - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have raised HBM3E prices by nearly 20% for the upcoming year, driven by increased demand from companies like Nvidia, Google, and Amazon [3] - The demand for the sixth generation of HBM (HBM4) is expected to rise, leading to increased production capacity investments by storage manufacturers [3] - The ongoing price surge in the storage chip sector may exceed market expectations, potentially leading to significant improvements in the future performance of related companies [3] Group 3 - Micron Technology has confirmed that its entire HBM supply for 2026 has been sold out, with a projected total addressable market (TAM) for HBM expected to reach $100 billion by 2028 [4] - Micron anticipates capital expenditures of $20 billion in 2026 to support HBM and 1-gamma DRAM supply [4] - The domestic storage chip industry is poised to benefit from both price recovery and domestic substitution, leading to improved profitability for related companies [4]

Group 1 - The electronic industry saw a net inflow of 4.916 billion yuan, leading the market [1] - The A-share market indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving six consecutive days of gains [1] - Among the 13 industries with net inflows, the power equipment and defense industries also saw significant inflows of 2.217 billion yuan and 1.233 billion yuan, respectively [1] Group 2 - A total of 45 stocks experienced net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, with 15 stocks seeing inflows over 400 million yuan [2] - Demingli topped the list with a net inflow of 955 million yuan, driven by increasing data storage demand influenced by AI [2] - Tianji Co. reached a trading limit with a net inflow of 885 million yuan, focusing on the industrialization of lithium sulfide material preparation [2] Group 3 - At the market close, there was a net inflow of 129 million yuan, with the communication sector leading with over 500 million yuan in inflows [3] - Individual stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Qingshan Paper experienced net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan [3] Group 4 - Beijing Junzheng and Wolong Electric Drive saw net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan at the market close [4] - Companies like Midea Group and Sihua Intelligent Control had net outflows exceeding 70 million yuan [5]

Market Performance - The semiconductor sector increased by 1.29% on December 24, with C Youxun leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3940.95, up 0.53%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13486.42, up 0.88% [1] Top Gainers in Semiconductor Sector - C Youxun (688807) closed at 231.60, up 14.03% with a trading volume of 75,500 shares and a transaction value of 1.682 billion [1] - Huayou Smoke Machine (688535) closed at 117.40, up 12.88% with a trading volume of 107,900 shares and a transaction value of 1.207 billion [1] - SIRUI (688536) closed at 158.00, up 10.10% with a trading volume of 65,400 shares and a transaction value of 1.002 billion [1] - Demingli (001309) closed at 221.00, up 9.13% with a trading volume of 262,900 shares and a transaction value of 5.712 billion [1] Market Capital Flow - The semiconductor sector saw a net inflow of 1.652 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 132 million [2] - The top stocks with significant net inflows from institutional investors include Demingli with 908 million and Zhaoyi Innovation with 595 million [3] Notable Decliners in Semiconductor Sector - Muxi Co., Ltd. (688802) closed at 620.66, down 7.03% with a trading volume of 46,300 shares and a transaction value of 2.921 billion [2] - Moer Thread (688795) closed at 634.01, down 6.32% with a trading volume of 57,200 shares and a transaction value of 3.668 billion [2] - Helin Micro-Nano (688661) closed at 52.58, down 4.92% with a trading volume of 110,200 shares and a transaction value of 581 million [2]

Group 1 - The storage chip sector experienced significant fluctuations, with companies like Shengyi Technology and Kuaike Intelligent reaching new highs during intraday trading [2] - Yintan Zhikong saw an increase of over 15%, indicating strong market interest and performance [2] - Other companies such as Beijing Junzheng, Xiangnong Chip Creation, Xice Testing, Nanya New Materials, Maiwei Co., Jiangbolong, and Baiao Chemical also showed upward trends [2]

Group 1 - Shenghui Integration and Chuangyuan Technology both achieved a three-day consecutive increase in stock prices [1] - Demingli, Beijing Junzheng, Xinyuanwei, Huicheng Co., and Huahong Company also saw significant gains in their stock prices [1]