展望后市，华福证券认为，相关针对性政策、举措有望出台，产业链价格有望回归"合理化区间"。大部 分锂电材料子行业未来几年有望实现合理化有序扩产，大概率不会出现大幅过剩现象。同时，部分盈利 能力过低、回报周期较长的子行业有望实现一定幅度价格上涨。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 12月1日，A股三大指数集体高开。创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）早盘上涨0.75%。盘面上，天华新 能上涨12.75%，星源材质涨超6%，德福科技上涨5.65%。截至发文，创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368） 成交额1942万元，居同类基金首位。 创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）是全市场跟踪创业板新能源指数的规模最大ETF基金。创业板新能源 指数主要涵盖新能源和新能源汽车产业，涉及电池、光伏等多个细分领域。创业板新能源ETF华夏 （159368）弹性最大，涨幅可达20cm；费率最低，管理费和托管费合计仅为0.2%；规模最大，截至 2025年10月31日，规模达8.29亿元；成交额最大，近一月日均成交9005万元。其储能含量达59%，固态 电池含量达32%，契合当下市场热点。 消息面上，11月28日，工信部组织召开动力和储能电池 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Tianhua New Energy is actively engaging in the production and development of lithium-based materials, specifically focusing on battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium sulfide, with positive feedback from clients on their samples [2]. Group 1: Production Capacity - Tianhua New Energy's subsidiary in Meishan, Sichuan, has an annual production capacity of 60,000 tons of battery-grade lithium hydroxide, with one flexible production line capable of converting 30,000 tons of this capacity into 26,500 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate based on market demand [2]. - The subsidiary in Yichun, Jiangxi, has an annual production capacity of 30,000 tons of battery-grade lithium carbonate [2]. Group 2: Research and Development - The company is engaged in the research and industrialization of lithium sulfide materials, which are core raw materials for solid-state electrolytes [2]. - Tianhua New Energy has sent samples of lithium sulfide to multiple clients and has received positive feedback, indicating a successful initial response [2]. - The company is currently in the process of further promoting the volume sampling of lithium sulfide [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant rise in rare metal stocks driven by the dual forces of new energy transition and high-end manufacturing upgrades, with the rare metal theme index showing a strong performance [1][2] - As of November 27, 2025, the rare metal ETF fund has accumulated a 15.14% increase over the past three months, indicating strong investor interest and market momentum [1] - The liquidity of the rare metal ETF fund is notable, with a turnover rate of 5.29% and a total transaction volume of 975.95 million yuan, reflecting active trading [1] Group 2 - The strategic value of rare metals is emphasized, with traditional demand remaining stable while emerging fields like humanoid robots and low-altitude economy are becoming significant growth drivers [2] - The industry is experiencing increased concentration due to tighter domestic supply controls and enhanced export regulations, which are expected to support rising rare metal prices and improve corporate profitability [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare metal theme index account for 60% of the index, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum leading the way [2][4]

Core Viewpoint - The battery industry is increasingly focusing on upstream investments to secure key resources, with companies like Ningde Times and Tianhua New Energy forming strategic partnerships to enhance supply chain stability and meet growing market demand [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Transactions and Partnerships - Tianhua New Energy announced a transfer of 108 million unrestricted shares to Ningde Times for a total price of 2.635 billion yuan, which represents 12.95% of Tianhua's total shares [1]. - After the transaction, Ningde Times will hold 13.54% of Tianhua New Energy, becoming a significant strategic shareholder [1]. - This is not the first collaboration between the two companies; Ningde Times previously held 0.59% of Tianhua and has been involved in joint ventures such as Tianyi Lithium Industry, focusing on lithium hydroxide production [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Capacity Expansion - Major battery manufacturers, including Ningde Times, are actively expanding their upstream resource integration to ensure stable supply chains amid increasing demand for lithium resources [4]. - Ningde Times is expanding its production capacity across multiple locations, with significant expansions planned in Jining, Guangdong, and other regions, including an expected addition of over 100 GWh of energy storage capacity by 2026 in Jining [5]. - The lithium market has seen a price recovery, with lithium carbonate prices rising from around 60,000 yuan/ton to over 70,000 yuan/ton since the second half of the year [7]. Group 3: Future Market Outlook - Analysts predict that global lithium carbonate production could reach approximately 1.37 million tons by 2025, with China contributing about 70% of this output [7]. - The demand for energy storage and power batteries is expected to grow significantly due to favorable policies and market conditions, leading to a sustained high demand for lithium resources [7]. - The lithium supply-demand balance is anticipated to shift towards tight equilibrium between 2025 and 2028, with lithium prices expected to stabilize between 80,000 and 100,000 yuan/ton by 2026 [7].

11月27日，天华新能盘中下跌2.03%，截至10:54，报49.34元/股，成交16.20亿元，换手率4.81%，总市 值409.89亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出2.05亿元，特大单买入1.52亿元，占比9.38%，卖出2.28亿元，占比 14.04%；大单买入3.91亿元，占比24.12%，卖出5.21亿元，占比32.12%。 天华新能今年以来股价涨119.78%，近5个交易日跌19.04%，近20日涨61.19%，近60日涨145.35%。 今年以来天华新能已经4次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为11月21日，当日龙虎榜净买入3.72亿 元；买入总计10.40亿元 ，占总成交额比19.44%；卖出总计6.68亿元 ，占总成交额比12.48%。 资料显示，苏州天华新能源科技股份有限公司位于江苏省苏州工业园区双马街99号，成立日期1997年11 月13日，上市日期2014年7月31日，公司主营业务涉及新能源锂电材料、防静电超净技术产品、医疗器 械产品的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：锂电材料产品99.10%，其他(补充)0.90%。 天华新能所属申万行业为：电力设备-电池-电池化学品。所属概念板块包 ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, highlighting potential concerns regarding investor sentiment and market stability [1] Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - WuXi AppTec experienced a capital outflow of 367 million yuan [1] - Huadian Technology saw an outflow of 298 million yuan [1] - Lezhi Group had a capital outflow of 254 million yuan [1] - Inspur Information faced an outflow of 248 million yuan [1] - Yongding Holdings recorded an outflow of 245 million yuan [1] - Tianhua New Energy experienced a capital outflow of 211 million yuan [1] - Changxin Bochuang had an outflow of 198 million yuan [1] - Hainan Ruize saw an outflow of 197 million yuan [1] - Sanjiang Shopping recorded a capital outflow of 185 million yuan [1] - Yaowang Technology faced an outflow of 183 million yuan [1] - Tianji Holdings had a capital outflow of 182 million yuan [1] - CATL experienced an outflow of 159 million yuan [1] - BlueFocus Communication Group saw an outflow of 152 million yuan [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China recorded a capital outflow of 151 million yuan [1] - China Film faced an outflow of 148 million yuan [1] - Vanke A experienced a capital outflow of 147 million yuan [1] - Guofeng New Materials saw an outflow of 142 million yuan [1] - Shiji Information recorded a capital outflow of 142 million yuan [1] - Meilixin faced an outflow of 135 million yuan [1] - Zhongwen Online experienced a capital outflow of 134 million yuan [1]

11月25日，天华新能涨5.24%，截至发稿，报52.60元/股，成交33.96亿元，换手率10.18%，总市值 436.97亿元。 广发国证新能源车电池ETF（159755）成立日期2021年6月15日，最新规模150.97亿。今年以来收益 53.97%，同类排名208/4206；近一年收益44.77%，同类排名383/3983；成立以来收益0.53%。 广发国证新能源车电池ETF（159755）基金经理为罗国庆。 截至发稿，罗国庆累计任职时间10年47天，现任基金资产总规模1047.11亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 69.82%， 任职期间最差基金回报-48.08%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，苏州天华新能源科技股份有限公司位于江苏省苏州工业园区双马街99号，成立日期1997年11 月13日，上市日期2014年7月31日，公司主营业务涉及新能源锂电材料、防静电超净技术产品、医疗器 械产品的生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tianhua New Energy's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 113.50%, but a recent decline of 19.81% over the past five trading days [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Tianhua New Energy reported revenue of 5.571 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.17%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 96.44% to 32.8656 million yuan [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 3.093 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.611 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 24, Tianhua New Energy's stock price was 47.93 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 39.818 billion yuan and a trading volume of 2.462 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" four times this year, with the most recent net purchase of 372 million yuan on November 21 [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 75,900, with an average of 8,863 shares held per shareholder, a decrease of 6.49% from the previous period [2]. - Major shareholders include E Fund's ChiNext ETF and Southern CSI 500 ETF, both of which have reduced their holdings [3].

Content: --------- <doc id='1'>金融工程日报 A 股单边下行，AI 应用逆势走强、锂电池产业链全线下挫</doc> <doc id='2'>核心观点 金融工程日报 市场表现：20251121 市场全线下跌，规模指数中上证 50 指数表现较好，板 块指数中上证综指表现较好，风格指数中沪深 300 价值指数表现较好。行业 指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好，综 合、有色金属、基础化工、通信、电子行业表现较差。中船系、水产、小红 书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电 隔膜、盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差。 市场情绪：20251121 收盘时有 33 只股票涨停，有 107 只股票跌停。昨日涨 停股票今日表现低迷，赚钱效应较弱，高开低走，收盘收益为-0.55%，昨日 跌停股票今日收盘收益为-5.58%。今日封板率 61%，较前日提升 10%，连板 率 24%，较前日下降 0%。 市场资金流向：截至 20251120 两融余额为 24917 亿元，其中融资余额 24744 亿元，融券余额 173 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.6%，两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 10.1%。</doc> <doc id='3'>折溢价：20251120 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是创科技 ETF，ETF 折价较多的是芯 片 ETF 景顺。近半年以来大宗交易日均成交金额达到 20 亿元，20251120 当 日大宗交易成交金额为 19 亿元，近半年以来平均折价率 6.36%，当日折价率 为 7.71%。近一年以来上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500、中证 1000 股指期货主 力合约的年化贴水率中位数分别为 0.48%、3.39%、10.86%、13.39%，当日上 证 50 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 4.00%，处于近一年来 29%分位点，当 日沪深 300 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 7.08%，处于近一年来 25%分位 点；当日中证 500 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.69%，处于近一年来 69% 分位点；当日中证 1000 股指期货主力合约年化贴水率为 8.76%，处于近一年 来 80%分位点。</doc> <doc id='4'>机构关注与龙虎榜：近一周内调研机构较多的股票是九号公司-WD、蓝思科 技、泰恩康、中航重机、沃尔德、超颖电子、宏昌科技、斯菱股份等，九号 公司-WD 被 179 家机构调研。20251121 披露龙虎榜数据中，机构专用席位净 流入前十的股票是天华新能、易点天下、安妮股份、久其软件、榕基软件、 古麒绒材、江龙船艇、荃银高科、华瓷股份、神农种业等，机构专用席位净 流出前十的股票是西藏城投、视觉中国、浪潮软件、德力佳、禾信仪器、中 水渔业、梦天家居、亚通精工、南侨食品、北方长龙等。陆股通净流入前十 的股票是天华新能、江龙船艇、英利汽车、国风新材、久其软件、久之洋、 荃银高科、西藏城投、南侨食品等，陆股通净流出前十的股票是华胜天成、 视觉中国、方大炭素、诺德股份、浪潮软件、易点天下、禾信仪器等。 风险提示：市场环境变动风险；本报告基于历史客观数据统计，不构成投资 建议。</doc> <doc id='5'> | 金融工程·数量化投资 | | | --- | --- | | 证券分析师：张欣慰 | 联系人：李子靖 | | 021-60933159 | 021-60875177 | 021-60933159 021-60875177 zhangxinwei1@guosen.com.cn lizijing1@guosen.com.cn S0980520060001 相关研究报告 《金融工程日报-A 股高开低走，封板率创近一个月新低》 —— 2025-11-20 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡收红，水产股集体大涨、黄金股午后 拉升》 ——2025-11-19 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡走低，锂电产业链回调、互联网电商 概念逆势走强》 ——2025-11-18 《金融工程日报-沪指震荡下跌，锂矿题材逆势爆发》 —— 2025-11-17 《金融工程日报-沪指冲高回落，算力、半导体产业链领跌》 — —2025-11-14</doc> <doc id='6'>市场表现 宽基与风格指数表现 今日(20251121，下同) 市场全线下跌，规模指数中，上证 50 指数表现较好，上 证 50 指数下跌 1.74%，沪深 300 指数下跌 2.44%，中证 500 指数下跌 3.46%，中 证 1000 指数下跌 3.72%，中证 2000 指数下跌 3.99%。 板块指数中，上证综指表现较好，上证综指下跌 2.45%，深证综指下跌 3.43%，中 小 100 指数下跌 3.25%，创业板指下跌 4.02%，科创 50 指数下跌 3.19%，科创 100 指数下跌 4.04%，北证 50 指数下跌 4.71%。 风格指数中，沪深 300 价值指数表现较好，沪深 300 价值指数下跌 1.70%，沪深 300 成长指数下跌 2.47%，中证 500 价值指数下跌 3.30%，中证 500 成长指数下跌 3.16%。主要宽基、板块及风格指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='7'>图1：今日宽基、板块与风格指数表现 行业指数表现 今日行业指数全线下跌，家电、传媒、食品饮料、银行、农林牧渔行业表现较好， 收益分别为-0.27%、-0.50%、-0.89%、-1.00%、-1.58%，综合、有色金属、基础 化工、通信、电子行业表现较差，收益分别为-5.41%、-5.30%、-5.26%、-4.59%、 -4.41%，中信一级行业指数今日表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='8'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='9'>图2：今日中信一级行业指数表现 概念主题表现 今日中船系、水产、小红书平台、拼多多合作商、短剧游戏等概念表现较好，收 益分别为 3.51%、0.65%、0.47%、0.42%、0.22%，锂矿、锂电正极、锂电隔膜、 盐湖提锂、锂电电解液等概念表现较差，收益分别为-9.67%、-8.66%、-8.18%、 -8.08%、-7.99%，今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数表现如下图所示。</doc> <doc id='10'>资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='11'>图3：今日收益较高与较低的前十个概念指数 资料来源：Wind，国信证券经济研究所整理</doc> <doc id='12'>市场情绪 日内涨跌停家数 我们统计上市满 3 个月以上的股票在今日盘中的实时涨跌停家数情况。今日盘中 最高有 33 只股票

天华新能今日下跌19.71%，全天换手率15.75%，成交额53.48亿元，振幅12.26%。龙虎榜数据显示，机 构净买入2.88亿元，深股通净买入1.03亿元，营业部席位合计净卖出1851.40万元。 深交所公开信息显示，当日该股因日收盘价跌幅达-19.71%上榜，机构专用席位净买入2.88亿元，深股 通净买入1.03亿元。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，上榜的前五大买卖营业部合计成交17.07亿元，其中，买入成交额为10.40亿 元，卖出成交额为6.68亿元，合计净买入3.72亿元。 具体来看，今日上榜的营业部中，共有4家机构专用席位现身，即买二、买三、买四、卖三、卖四，合 计买入金额5.00亿元，卖出金额2.13亿元，合计净买入2.88亿元，深股通为第一大买入营业部及第一大 卖出营业部，买入金额为3.77亿元，卖出金额为2.74亿元，合计净买入1.03亿元。 资金流向方面，今日该股主力资金净流出4.77亿元，其中，特大单净流出4.58亿元，大单资金净流出 1832.55万元。近5日主力资金净流出12.75亿元。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 融资融券数据显示，该股最新（11月20日）两融余额为16.94亿元，其 ...