Group 1 - The A-share profit cycle may have reached a turning point, with a significant probability of profit indicators rebounding, indicating a gradual stabilization at the bottom of A-share profits [1] - Key profit indicators across the A-share market are showing signs of recovery, with a narrowing year-on-year decline in EPS and clear signs of ROE stabilization and rebound [1] - The main sectors with net inflows include non-ferrous metals, semiconductors, and automotive chips, indicating strong investor interest in these areas [1] Group 2 - The announcement to adjust export tax rebate policies for photovoltaic products will lower the VAT export rebate rate for battery products from 9% to 6% starting April 1, 2026, and eliminate it entirely from January 1, 2027, which may lead to a short-term surge in exports [3] - The aluminum market is expected to see a decline in demand for photovoltaic aluminum, while demand for electrolytic aluminum is projected to grow, supported by high demand in the power grid and automotive sectors [3] - Citic Securities forecasts that the average aluminum price will reach 23,000 yuan/ton in 2026, indicating a bullish outlook for the aluminum sector [3] Group 3 - The Chinese technology sector is expected to experience a significant profit growth turning point in 2026, potentially surpassing the profitability of the "seven giants" in the US stock market for the first time since 2022 [5] - The coal industry is anticipated to maintain a weak supply-demand balance in 2026, but with supportive policies, coal prices may perform better than in 2025, improving profit and dividend expectations for listed companies [5] - The TMT and consumer sectors are expected to show resilience in growth rates, while public utilities and transportation may face greater earnings pressure [11]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant capital inflows into various stocks, highlighting potential investment opportunities in the market. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Inflows - China Aluminum (中国铝业) saw a capital inflow of 1.909 billion, with a price increase of 10.02% [1][2] - Northern Rare Earth (北方稀土) experienced a capital inflow of 1.773 billion, with a price increase of 4.22% [1][2] - Wangsu Science & Technology (网宿科技) had a capital inflow of 1.712 billion, with a notable price increase of 15.14% [1][2] - Tianfu Communication (天孚通信) recorded a capital inflow of 1.546 billion, with a price increase of 4.53% [1][2] - Province Advertising Group (省广集团) attracted a capital inflow of 1.275 billion, with a price increase of 4.9% [1][2] Group 2: Additional Notable Stocks - Invech (英维克) had a capital inflow of 1.116 billion, with a price increase of 6.45% [1][2] - SMIC (中芯国际) saw a capital inflow of 1.037 billion, with a price increase of 3.63% [1][2] - Shannon Chip Creation (香农芯创) experienced a capital inflow of 966 million, with a price increase of 4.54% [1][2] - Luoyang Molybdenum (洛阳钼业) had a capital inflow of 818 million, with a price increase of 9.8% [1][2] Group 3: Other Stocks with Capital Inflows - Changxin Bochuang (长芯博创) recorded a capital inflow of 707 million, with a price increase of 6.18% [3] - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) had a capital inflow of 703 million, with a price increase of 2.01% [3] - China Telecom (中国电信) saw a capital inflow of 698 million, with a price increase of 3.13% [3] - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) attracted a capital inflow of 685 million, with a price increase of 5.34% [3] - Shanghai Construction (上海建工) had a capital inflow of 683 million, with a price increase of 10.03% [3] - China Unicom (中国联通) recorded a capital inflow of 682 million, with a price increase of 1.58% [3] - Northern Copper (北方铜业) saw a capital inflow of 603 million, with a price increase of 10% [3] - Huayou Cobalt (华友钴业) had a capital inflow of 581 million, with a price increase of 3.34% [3] - CITIC Securities (中信证券) recorded a capital inflow of 580 million, with a price increase of 0.29% [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a fluctuating and differentiated pattern last week, with major indices showing mixed performance and active rotation among hot sectors [1][7] - Institutions generally hold an optimistic outlook, believing the market is likely to trend upward [1][7] - As of January 25, over 950 companies have disclosed their 2025 earnings forecasts, with around 40% of these companies showing positive performance [1][7] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry, particularly companies related to artificial intelligence, data center construction, and domestic substitution, is expected to see strong earnings growth in 2025 [1][8] - Notable companies include: - Zhongwei Semiconductor expects revenue of approximately 1.122 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 23%, and a net profit of 284 million yuan, up approximately 107% [8] - Juchip Technology anticipates revenue of 922 million yuan, a 41.44% increase, and a net profit of 204 million yuan, up 91.40% [2] - Baiwei Storage forecasts revenue between 10 billion to 12 billion yuan, a growth of 49.36% to 79.23%, and a net profit of 850 million to 1 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 427.19% to 520.22% [3][9] Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a "polarized" performance, with over 60 companies disclosing earnings forecasts, about half of which are positive [1][9] - Key performers include: - Zhaoyan New Drug expects a net profit of approximately 233 million to 349 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 214% to 371% [10] - Shanghai Yizhong anticipates a net profit of 6 million to 7 million yuan, a growth of 760.18% to 903.54% [10] - However, companies like Zhifei Biological are projected to incur significant losses, with an expected net loss of 10.7 billion to 13.7 billion yuan [10][5] Banking Sector - As of January 25, eight listed banks have released earnings reports, with all showing year-on-year growth in net profit [5][11] - Key statistics include: - China Merchants Bank's total assets surpassing 13 trillion yuan, and Industrial Bank exceeding 11 trillion yuan [11] - The highest net profit growth among these banks is from Hangzhou Bank at 12.05%, followed by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank at 10.52% [11] - The growth drivers for banks include improved cost of liabilities and rapid growth in intermediary business income, with Ningbo Bank's net income from fees and commissions increasing by 30.72% [12]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000670 | 窑方微 | 9.12 | -7.97% | 158.00万 | 14.36亿 | | 002130 | 沃尔核材 | 32.58 | -2.28% | 105.68万 | 34.52亿 | | 002388 | 新亚制程 | 5.71 | -1.72% | 24.88万 | 1.40亿 | | 002885 | 京泉华 | 28.29 | -1.60% | 16.37万 | 4.58亿 | | 600353 | 旭光电子 | 17.71 | -1.01% | 33.83万 | 5.89亿 | | 301275 | 汉朔科技 | 62.20 | -0.88% | 3.25万 | 2.01亿 | | 301359 | 东南电子 | 20.86 | -0.86% | 2.52万 | 5201.94万 | | 301563 | 云汉芯城 | 181.98 | -0.58% | 1.78万 | 3.20亿 | | 300991 | 创益通 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Shangnon Chip's enterprise-level storage product sales are expected to grow significantly by 2025, with a projected revenue increase of over 40%, exceeding 34 billion yuan [1] Financial Performance - The company is forecasted to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 480 million to 620 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 81.77% to 134.78% [1] - The growth in performance is primarily driven by the high demand for storage products due to AI, leading to a sustained price increase [1] Product Development - The company's proprietary brand, Haipu Storage, is entering a phase of increased production starting from Q4 2025, contributing to profitability [1] - The combination of the ramp-up in Haipu Storage and the ongoing price increase cycle in the storage market supports the upward revision of profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 [1] Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the growth opportunities in its electronic components business and the increased demand for storage products driven by AI [1] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, reflecting confidence in its future performance [1]

国盛证券研报指出，香农芯创2025年销售的企业级存储产品数量增长，主要产品价格呈现上升的态势， 预计全年收入增长超过40%，超340亿元；实现归母净利润4.8-6.2亿元，同比增长81.77%-134.78%；认 为公司业绩增长主要系AI驱动下存储产品供不应求，涨价周期持续，同时公司自主品牌海普存储进入 放量期，实现盈利。由于海普存储25Q4开始已进入放量阶段，叠加存储涨价大周期，上调2026、2027 年盈利预测，看好公司电子元器件业务起量及AI驱动下存储产品需求提升带来的营收业绩增长机遇， 维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve over 40% revenue growth in 2025, exceeding 34 billion yuan, with net profit projected between 480 million to 620 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 81.77% to 134.78% [1] - The growth is primarily driven by the demand for storage products fueled by AI, leading to a sustained price increase and the ramp-up of the company's proprietary brand, Haipu Storage [1][2] - Haipu Storage is anticipated to generate sales revenue of 1.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a significant contribution expected in Q4 2025 [1] - The company has secured AMD distributor status, enhancing its competitive edge and enabling it to provide comprehensive solutions in the AI and high-performance computing sectors [3] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 34 billion, 58.7 billion, and 86.6 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 550 million, 3 billion, and 5 billion yuan [3] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 133, 25, and 15 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable outlook for earnings growth [3] - The company’s revenue growth rates are forecasted at 40% for 2025, 72.7% for 2026, and 47.5% for 2027 [5]

Market Overview - The other electronic sector experienced a decline of 0.44% on January 26, with Jiuzhiyang leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the electronic sector included: - Walden Materials (002130) with a closing price of 33.34, up 6.04% [1] - Yuanwanggu (002161) at 8.62, up 3.23% [1] - Shannon Chip (300475) at 162.83, up 3.14% [1] - Significant decliners included: - Jiuzhiyang (300516) at 68.50, down 10.02% [2] - Dongshang Technology (301275) at 62.75, down 4.26% [2] - Igor (002922) at 39.39, down 4.25% [2] Capital Flow - The other electronic sector saw a net inflow of 165 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 120 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - Shannon Chip (300475) had a net inflow of 514 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Walden Materials (002130) saw a net inflow of 447 million yuan [3] - Xuguang Electronics (600353) had a net inflow of 136 million yuan [3]

沪指1月26日下跌0.09%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有10个，涨幅居前的行业为有色金属、石油石 化，涨幅分别为4.57%、3.18%。跌幅居前的行业为国防军工、汽车，跌幅分别为4.47%、2.31%。电子 行业今日下跌2.24%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出1143.17亿元，今日有6个行业主力资金净流入，非银金融行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨0.79%，全天净流入资金34.93亿元，其次是医药生物行业，日 涨幅为0.29%，净流入资金为28.39亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有25个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金277.21亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为203.06亿元，净流出资金较多的还有国防军工、机械设备、汽车等行 业。 电子行业今日下跌2.24%，全天主力资金净流出277.21亿元，该行业所属的个股共476只，今日上涨的有 68只；下跌的有405只，跌停的有5只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有115只， 其中，净流入资金超亿元的有15只，净流入资金居首的是澜起科技，今日净流入资金6.88亿元，紧随其 后的是香农芯创、沃尔核材，净流入 ...

1月26日，香农芯创大宗交易成交3万股，成交额478.71万元，占当日总成交额的0.08%，成交价159.57 元，较市场收盘价162.83元折价2%。 | 国银河证券股份 | | --- | | 限公司北京学院 | | 第三郎我信说明 | | 权益类证券大宗交易 (协议交易) | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 买方营业部 | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | AAAA AS AA | AAA AWA | 100 miles dels Art | *** ** | A AA | 4.70 P. 8 . 80 4 . J .. | | ...