证券日报网12月16日讯华利集团（300979）在2025年12月16日回答调研者提问时表示，印尼是制鞋业大 国，很多运动鞋制造商在印尼开设了工厂。公司实控人之前在印尼也开过制鞋工厂，公司也有在印尼工 作过的工厂管理人员，所以印尼对公司不是陌生的环境。2025年第三季度，公司在印尼的第一家工厂 (印尼世川)已达成阶段性考核目标(内部核算口径实现盈利)。印尼与越南相比，虽然在文化、员工经验 等方面有差异，但是印尼在劳动力供应、用工成本上有优势，公司针对印尼的特点调整管理细节，从目 前印尼工厂的运营情况和当前爬坡阶段的表现，管理团队对印尼工厂成熟后的盈利能力很有信心。 ...

证券日报网12月16日讯华利集团（300979）在2025年12月16日回答调研者提问时表示，公司的产能有一 定的弹性，每年具体的产能的配置将根据当年订单情况进行调整。公司在设定目标产能时，是根据工厂 的目前所处的阶段、接单型体的情况等来设置，比如还在投产初期的新工厂，目标产能根据新工厂目前 的产线数量、员工熟练度来设置。故公司会根据订单情况，合理调配产线投产进度、员工人数等，将产 能利用率维持在较高的水平。 ...

证券日报网12月16日讯 华利集团在2025年12月16日回答调研者提问时表示，考虑到客户订单的需求， 未来几年公司仍会保持积极的产能扩张。2024年投产的4家运动鞋量产工厂，2025年1-9月，已经有3家 工厂达成阶段性考核目标（内部核算口径实现盈利），其中包括公司在印尼开设的第一家工厂印尼世 川。未来3-5年，公司主要将在印尼新建工厂并尽快投产，具体的工厂投产进度公司将及时披露。公司 的产能除了通过新建工厂、设备更新提升产能外，还可以通过员工人数和加班时间的控制保持一定的弹 性，每年具体的产能的配置将根据当年订单情况进行调整。 （编辑 姚尧） ...

（编辑 姚尧） 证券日报网12月16日讯 华利集团在2025年12月16日回答调研者提问时表示，随着越南经济的不断发 展，劳动力成本提升不可避免，但是目前以及未来相当长的一段时期，越南的投资环境仍对制鞋业具有 吸引力。公司的对外销售价格是成本加成的定价模式，公司会随着人工工资的调整来调整销售价格。同 时，为了分散风险并把握东南亚其他地区的成本优势，公司已在印尼建设新工厂，并且印尼工厂已于 2024年上半年开始投产。 ...

Group 1 - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with retail sales showing low single-digit growth and exports declining year-on-year, particularly in the first half of 2025 [4][10][14] - From January to November 2025, China's textile and apparel exports totaled $305.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.3%, with a notable decline in footwear exports [14][17] - The textile and apparel index has increased by 15.1% from January to November 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.9 percentage points [23] Group 2 - The manufacturing sector is focusing on the recovery of Nike, with expectations of increased order visibility and potential valuation recovery for manufacturers closely tied to leading brands [30][42] - Global apparel retail performance is varied, with the US and UK showing moderate growth while Japan continues to face challenges, impacting overall demand [32][34] - The long-term trend indicates a shift in manufacturing capacity from China to Southeast Asia, driven by international trade dynamics and labor costs [44][46] Group 3 - The outdoor sports market is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.8% from 2019 to 2024, driven by increasing participation in events like marathons [4][6] - Domestic sports brands are showing resilience, with brands like Anta and Li Ning benefiting from structural demand changes and expanding their market presence [7][30] - The demand for high-quality personal care products is on the rise, with opportunities for companies like Sturdy Medical and Nobon to capture market share [7][30]

编号：2025-031 | 投资者关系 | 特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | --- | --- | | 活动类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □其他 | | 参与单位名称 | 深圳市巾凡咨询有限公司-李嘉峻，中泰证券-邹文婕，东北证券-刘家薇，海通国际-寇媛 | | 及人员姓名 | 媛、陈芳园，高盛亚洲-陈芷茵，平安证券-王源，李福平，佛山抱石投资-刘仲生，开源 | | | 证券-郭彬，重阳投资-许一欣 | | 时间 | 2025年12月16日 | | 地点 | 中山 | | 上市公司 | 董事会秘书方玲玲 | | 接待人员姓名 | | | | 参加公司组织的调研活动（线下）的来访人员按深交所规定签署了《承诺书》。 | | | 投资者与公司的交流情况： | | | 问：印尼工厂爬坡情况如何？若印尼工厂未来达到成熟运营状态，其盈利能力是否与越 | | | 南工厂不会存在差异？ | | | 答：印尼是制鞋业大国，很多运动鞋制造商在印尼开设了工厂。公司实控人之前在印尼 | | | 也开过制鞋工厂，公司也有在印尼工作过的工厂管理人员，所以印尼对公司不是陌生的 | | | ...

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 12月15日，华利集团跌2.01%，成交额1.95亿元，换手率0.28%，总市值683.98亿元。 异动分析 三胎概念+体育产业+人民币贬值受益 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入1442.24万1089.21万23.92万-2441.15万-5654.25万 主力持仓 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额4304.24万，占总成交额的6.19%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为57.04元 1、公司从事运动鞋履的开发设计、生产与销售，是全球领先的运动鞋专业制造商，公司服务的品牌， 很多都有儿童系列，包括幼童系列。公司开发、制造面向幼童的运动鞋。 2、华利股份从事运动鞋履的开发设计、生产与销售，是全球领先的运动鞋专业制造商，主要为Nike、 Converse、Vans、Puma、UGG、Columbia、Under Armour、HOKA ONE ONE等全球知名运动品牌提供 开发设计与制造服务。 3、根据2024年年报，公司海外营收占比为99.80%，受益于人民币贬值。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情独立判断) 资金分析 今日 ...

Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with a recommendation to focus on leading companies benefiting from positive trends in orders and raw material prices [5][12] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in companies like New Australia Co., Nike's upstream supply chain, and various leading brands expected to recover in performance next year [5][12] - The light industry sector shows resilience, with recommendations for companies in home textiles and new consumer businesses that are expected to grow significantly [5][12] Textile and Apparel Industry Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.74% during the period from December 8 to December 12, 2025. The textile and apparel sector (SW) declined by 2.81%, ranking 25th among 31 primary industries [12][13] - The report indicates that the textile and apparel industry's latest PE (TTM) is 20.01X, with historical highs and lows of 57.80X and 14.44X respectively [16][17] Textile and Apparel Export Data Tracking - In November 2025, China's textile exports increased by 1.02% year-on-year, while apparel exports decreased by 10.98% [5] - Vietnam's textile exports in November 2025 amounted to $2.97 billion, down 2.72% year-on-year, with a total export of $35.9 billion for the first 11 months, reflecting a 6.7% increase [5] Light Industry Manufacturing Market Review - The light industry sector's performance remains relatively stable, with external factors like U.S. real estate transactions expected to improve conditions for leading companies [5] - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Jiangxin Home, Yuanfei Pet, and Yiyi Co., which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the export market [5] Key Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies, including EPS, PE ratios, and ROE, indicating a generally favorable outlook for companies like Mercury Home Textiles and Anta Sports [6][25] - Notable companies with strong buy ratings include Mercury Home Textiles (closing price: CNY 20.18, target price: CNY 23.08) and Anta Sports (closing price: HKD 81.80, target price: HKD 105.00) [6][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the light industry manufacturing and textile apparel sectors [4][6]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference highlighted the optimization of the "two new" policies, with an expected increase in subsidy amounts for 2026, from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan in 2025. The support scope is expanding from physical consumption to service consumption, indicating a significant policy shift [6][7]. - The report suggests focusing on four main investment lines: emotional consumption, intelligent consumer goods, branded apparel, and manufacturing upgrades. It emphasizes the potential for increased concentration in the paper and textile manufacturing sectors due to manufacturing efficiency, innovation capabilities, and environmental standards [6][7]. - The report identifies specific companies with growth potential, such as Pop Mart, which has a replicable IP incubation capability, and Morning Glory, which is undergoing a transformation [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index decreased by 1.04%, ranking 16th among 28 industries, while the textile apparel index fell by 2.57%, ranking 26th [6][11]. - The report notes a mixed performance in sub-sectors, with packaging printing up by 1.45% and home goods down by 1.75% [11]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies like Sun Paper, Baiya Co., and Huali Group, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][6]. - Specific attention is drawn to the outdoor retail expansion of Li Ning, which is seen as a positive operational change [6][7]. Raw Material and Pricing Trends - The report tracks raw material prices, noting increases in MDI and TDI, while soft foam polyether prices have decreased. The prices of various paper products are also monitored, with packaging paper continuing to rise [19][44]. - The report highlights the rebound in broadleaf pulp prices and the overall positive trend in the paper sector, suggesting potential profitability improvements for companies like Sun Paper [7][44]. Export and Domestic Market Dynamics - The report discusses the recovery of exports, particularly in the furniture sector, with a noted increase in non-wood furniture exports from Vietnam to the U.S. [6][7]. - It also highlights the challenges in the domestic real estate market, with significant declines in property sales and construction activity [69][89].

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 12x and 18x [2][30]. Core Views - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing fluctuations in revenue, with notable declines in some manufacturers' performance due to changing international trade environments and tariff policies [1][13]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders and shipments for apparel manufacturers in 2026, driven by improved demand and healthy inventory levels [23][28]. - Key brands like Nike are expected to show gradual improvement in their operational performance, which may positively impact their suppliers [23][24]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Performance - In November 2025, revenue for Feng Tai Enterprises, Ruo Hong, and Yu Yuan Group decreased by 11.8%, increased by 1.5%, and decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, respectively [1][13]. - Cumulatively from January to November 2025, Feng Tai's revenue declined by 4.9%, while Ruo Hong and Yu Yuan reported increases of 3.8% and 0.9% [1][13]. Industry Outlook - The report indicates that the apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see a recovery in orders in 2026, with a focus on companies with integrated and international supply chains [28][29]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape is improving, with leading manufacturers likely to gain market share [2][27]. Key Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from improved customer trends and operational efficiencies [2][28]. - Other companies to watch include Weixing Co., Kairun Co., and Jingyuan International, which are also positioned well for future growth [2][28]. Brand Performance - The report emphasizes the importance of brand performance, particularly for Nike in the Greater China region, which is expected to show a turnaround [28]. - Other recommended brands include Anta Sports and Li Ning, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 14x and 16x [28].