Core Insights - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with a recommendation to focus on leading companies benefiting from positive trends in orders and raw material prices [5][12] - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in companies like New Australia Co., Nike's upstream supply chain, and various leading brands expected to recover in performance next year [5][12] - The light industry sector shows resilience, with recommendations for companies in home textiles and new consumer businesses that are expected to grow significantly [5][12] Textile and Apparel Industry Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 2.74% during the period from December 8 to December 12, 2025. The textile and apparel sector (SW) declined by 2.81%, ranking 25th among 31 primary industries [12][13] - The report indicates that the textile and apparel industry's latest PE (TTM) is 20.01X, with historical highs and lows of 57.80X and 14.44X respectively [16][17] Textile and Apparel Export Data Tracking - In November 2025, China's textile exports increased by 1.02% year-on-year, while apparel exports decreased by 10.98% [5] - Vietnam's textile exports in November 2025 amounted to $2.97 billion, down 2.72% year-on-year, with a total export of $35.9 billion for the first 11 months, reflecting a 6.7% increase [5] Light Industry Manufacturing Market Review - The light industry sector's performance remains relatively stable, with external factors like U.S. real estate transactions expected to improve conditions for leading companies [5] - Recommendations include focusing on companies like Jiangxin Home, Yuanfei Pet, and Yiyi Co., which are expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in the export market [5] Key Company Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report provides detailed financial metrics for key companies, including EPS, PE ratios, and ROE, indicating a generally favorable outlook for companies like Mercury Home Textiles and Anta Sports [6][25] - Notable companies with strong buy ratings include Mercury Home Textiles (closing price: CNY 20.18, target price: CNY 23.08) and Anta Sports (closing price: HKD 81.80, target price: HKD 105.00) [6][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the light industry manufacturing and textile apparel sectors [4][6]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference highlighted the optimization of the "two new" policies, with an expected increase in subsidy amounts for 2026, from 150 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan in 2025. The support scope is expanding from physical consumption to service consumption, indicating a significant policy shift [6][7]. - The report suggests focusing on four main investment lines: emotional consumption, intelligent consumer goods, branded apparel, and manufacturing upgrades. It emphasizes the potential for increased concentration in the paper and textile manufacturing sectors due to manufacturing efficiency, innovation capabilities, and environmental standards [6][7]. - The report identifies specific companies with growth potential, such as Pop Mart, which has a replicable IP incubation capability, and Morning Glory, which is undergoing a transformation [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index decreased by 1.04%, ranking 16th among 28 industries, while the textile apparel index fell by 2.57%, ranking 26th [6][11]. - The report notes a mixed performance in sub-sectors, with packaging printing up by 1.45% and home goods down by 1.75% [11]. Key Companies and Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares in companies like Sun Paper, Baiya Co., and Huali Group, with expected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios [4][6]. - Specific attention is drawn to the outdoor retail expansion of Li Ning, which is seen as a positive operational change [6][7]. Raw Material and Pricing Trends - The report tracks raw material prices, noting increases in MDI and TDI, while soft foam polyether prices have decreased. The prices of various paper products are also monitored, with packaging paper continuing to rise [19][44]. - The report highlights the rebound in broadleaf pulp prices and the overall positive trend in the paper sector, suggesting potential profitability improvements for companies like Sun Paper [7][44]. Export and Domestic Market Dynamics - The report discusses the recovery of exports, particularly in the furniture sector, with a noted increase in non-wood furniture exports from Vietnam to the U.S. [6][7]. - It also highlights the challenges in the domestic real estate market, with significant declines in property sales and construction activity [69][89].

Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 12x and 18x [2][30]. Core Views - The textile and apparel industry is experiencing fluctuations in revenue, with notable declines in some manufacturers' performance due to changing international trade environments and tariff policies [1][13]. - The report anticipates a recovery in orders and shipments for apparel manufacturers in 2026, driven by improved demand and healthy inventory levels [23][28]. - Key brands like Nike are expected to show gradual improvement in their operational performance, which may positively impact their suppliers [23][24]. Summary by Sections Recent Revenue Performance - In November 2025, revenue for Feng Tai Enterprises, Ruo Hong, and Yu Yuan Group decreased by 11.8%, increased by 1.5%, and decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, respectively [1][13]. - Cumulatively from January to November 2025, Feng Tai's revenue declined by 4.9%, while Ruo Hong and Yu Yuan reported increases of 3.8% and 0.9% [1][13]. Industry Outlook - The report indicates that the apparel manufacturing sector is expected to see a recovery in orders in 2026, with a focus on companies with integrated and international supply chains [28][29]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape is improving, with leading manufacturers likely to gain market share [2][27]. Key Investment Opportunities - Recommended stocks include Shenzhou International and Huali Group, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from improved customer trends and operational efficiencies [2][28]. - Other companies to watch include Weixing Co., Kairun Co., and Jingyuan International, which are also positioned well for future growth [2][28]. Brand Performance - The report emphasizes the importance of brand performance, particularly for Nike in the Greater China region, which is expected to show a turnaround [28]. - Other recommended brands include Anta Sports and Li Ning, with respective 2026 PE ratios of 14x and 16x [28].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The revenue performance of Taiwanese manufacturing companies in November showed divergence, with lululemon's Q3 performance exceeding expectations, particularly in the mainland China market, while the North American market remains under pressure. The CEO of lululemon will resign in January 2026, and it is expected that the proportion of new products for the spring season will reach 35% [2][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In November 2025, the revenue of Taiwanese manufacturers such as Yuanyuan, Fengtai, Yuchi, Zhiqiang, Laiyi, and Ruhong showed year-on-year changes of -2.4%, -11.8%, +6.6%, +3.1%, -5.8%, and +1.5% respectively. Cumulative revenue from January to November showed year-on-year changes of +0.9%, -4.9%, +21.2%, +14.7%, +6.2%, and +3.8% [5]. Company Performance - For lululemon's Q3 (ending November 2), revenue was $2.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7%, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $2.48 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders was $310 million, a year-on-year decrease of 12.8%, also exceeding expectations [5]. - In terms of regional performance, Q3 revenue in the Americas, mainland China, and other regions showed year-on-year changes of -2%, +47%, and +19% respectively [5]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the performance of the export manufacturing sector is expected to recover in 2026 due to three main factors: the implementation of U.S. tariff policies, reduced burden of tariff costs shared with brands, and improved efficiency from optimized production line allocation [5]. - Recommended companies include Huayi Group, Jiuxing Holdings, Shenzhou International, and Chaoying International Holdings, with a focus on home textiles, luxury goods, and undervalued high-dividend companies [5].

Market Overview - The textile and apparel sector in A-shares has underperformed the broader market since December, with textile manufacturing showing better performance than branded apparel, declining by -3.3% and -4.4% respectively [1][13] - The Hong Kong textile and apparel index rose by 2.9% in November but has since turned negative in December [1] Brand Apparel Insights - Retail sales of clothing in October grew by 6.3% year-on-year, with a stable growth rate compared to the previous month, increasing by 1.6 percentage points [2] - E-commerce performance varied significantly between categories from October to November, with outdoor leisure leading, while home textiles and personal care faced declines. Year-on-year growth rates for various categories were: outdoor (+20%), sportswear (0%), leisurewear (+8%), home textiles (-9%), and personal care (-2%) [2] - Notable brands with strong growth included Descente (74%), Lululemon (69%), and Asics (8%) in sportswear; and brands like Atour Planet (43%) and Luolai Home Textile (26%) in home textiles [2] Textile Manufacturing Insights - In November, Vietnam's textile and footwear exports faced a high base effect from the previous year, resulting in a decline of -2.6% and -3.8% respectively. China's textile exports showed a slight recovery at +1.0%, while apparel and footwear exports fell by -10.9% and -17.2% respectively [3] - The macroeconomic environment remains challenging, with fluctuations in cotton prices and a slight increase in wool prices by +4.8% month-on-month and +32.0% year-on-year in November [3] - Taiwanese manufacturers reported improved revenue in November, driven by World Cup-related orders and a return to normalcy in brand ordering rhythms [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the recovery of consumer spending and the rebound in textile manufacturing. It highlights the potential for high-end consumer recovery and the strong outlook for the light luxury outdoor segment [5][6] - Key brands recommended for investment include Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Xtep International, which are expected to benefit from the ongoing trends in high-end consumption and outdoor sports [6] - In textile manufacturing, companies like Shenzhou International and Huayi Group are highlighted as beneficiaries of tariff reductions and Nike's recovery, while New Australia and Weixing Holdings are noted for their potential gains from rising wool prices and improved order visibility [7]

Core Insights - The report is optimistic about the recovery of upstream orders and emphasizes the importance of brands that can adapt and innovate in response to consumer needs [2][19]. Brand Apparel - The domestic brand apparel industry has entered a phase of stock competition, with limited growth opportunities. The performance of leading brands is increasingly reliant on their ability to attract consumers rather than on channel expansion [2][19]. - Three key areas for growth are identified: new home textiles, functional apparel, and strongly differentiated brands. Notable recommendations include: - New Home Textiles: Driven by the sleep economy and self-care consumption, brands like Mercury Home Textiles and Luolai Life are expected to perform well [2]. - Functional Apparel: Brands such as Anta Sports, Li Ning, and Bosideng are positioned to benefit from the growing health and outdoor lifestyle trends [2]. - Strongly Differentiated Brands: Companies like Cotton Era, focusing on 100% cotton products, are experiencing rapid growth [2]. - High dividend stocks recommended include Hailan Home, Luolai Life, and Semir Apparel [2]. Textile Manufacturing - The report notes a decrease in uncertainty regarding tariff policies, stabilization in European and American retail, and low inventory levels among international brands, suggesting a potential recovery in upstream orders [2][19]. - Recommendations for textile manufacturing companies include Shenzhou International, Weixing Co., and Huali Group, with a focus on high dividend stocks like Yuyuan Group and Jingyuan International [2]. Market Performance Review - The textile and apparel sector has seen a slight underperformance compared to the broader market, with a year-to-date increase of 12.45% as of December 9, 2025, compared to a 16.84% increase in the CSI 300 index [7][10]. - The apparel and home textile segments have shown similar performance, while the accessories segment has outperformed, with a 17.1% increase [13][14]. Consumer Environment - The domestic consumption environment remains weak, with apparel retail performance lagging behind overall retail growth. For instance, the cumulative year-on-year growth for apparel retail was only 2.9% from January to October 2025 [27][23]. - The consumer confidence index has shown a slight recovery but remains at historical low levels, indicating ongoing challenges in consumer spending [25][27]. Company Performance - The report highlights that many key apparel companies have experienced revenue declines, while a few have maintained growth. For example, companies like Anta, Li Ning, and Bosideng have shown consistent revenue expansion [30][32]. - The profitability of the brand apparel sector has been under pressure, with net profits not keeping pace with revenue growth in many cases [28][32].

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced a decline in overall gross margin compared to the same period last year due to several new factories being in the ramp-up phase and capacity allocation adjustments [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - The company is focusing on improving the operations of new factories and implementing cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures [1] - In the third quarter, three out of four new mass production factories for sports shoes, scheduled to be operational in 2024, have achieved interim assessment targets, including the first factory opened in Indonesia [1] Group 2: Management and Strategy - The management and various departments conduct monthly reviews of factory operational efficiency to address specific issues [1] - Cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures are being systematically advanced [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expanding its operations in Indonesia, leveraging its previous experience in the region and aiming for profitability in its new factory by Q3 2025 [1] Group 1: Company Operations - The company has established its first factory in Indonesia (Indonesian Shichuan), which has achieved internal profitability targets [1] - The management team is confident in the future profitability of the Indonesian factory once it matures [1] Group 2: Industry Context - Indonesia is a major player in the footwear industry, with many sports shoe manufacturers setting up factories there [1] - Compared to Vietnam, Indonesia offers advantages in labor supply and employment costs, which the company is capitalizing on [1] - The company has adjusted its management details to align with the unique characteristics of the Indonesian market [1]

（编辑 王雪儿） 证券日报网12月11日讯 华利集团在回答调研者提问时表示，随着越南经济的不断发展，劳动力成本提 升不可避免，但是目前以及未来相当长的一段时期，越南的投资环境仍对制鞋业具有吸引力。公司的对 外销售价格是成本加成的定价模式，公司会随着人工工资的调整来调整销售价格。同时，为了分散风险 并把握东南亚其他地区的成本优势，公司已在印尼建设新工厂，并且印尼工厂已于2024年上半年开始投 产。 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance and Profitability - The overall gross margin has declined compared to the same period last year due to several new factories being in the ramp-up phase and capacity allocation adjustments [2] - In Q3 2025, three out of four new shoe production factories achieved interim profitability targets, including the first factory in Indonesia [2][3] - The company plans to maintain a stable or increasing dividend payout ratio, with cash dividends in 2021 accounting for approximately 89% of net profit, and projected to be around 70% for 2024 and 2025 [5] Group 2: Expansion and Capacity Planning - The company will continue to expand production capacity actively over the next few years, with three factories already meeting profitability targets by September 2025 [3] - Future capacity expansion will focus on new factories in Indonesia, with production expected to ramp up quickly [3] - The company will adjust production capacity based on customer order demands, utilizing new factory construction and equipment upgrades [3] Group 3: Market Conditions and Competitive Landscape - Rising labor costs in Vietnam are acknowledged, but the investment environment remains attractive for the footwear industry [4] - The company will adjust sales prices in response to labor cost increases while also diversifying risk by establishing new factories in Indonesia [4] - Indonesia's advantages in labor supply and costs are expected to enhance the profitability of the new factory compared to operations in Vietnam [2]