ASML discloses 2025 AGM results Veldhoven, the Netherlands, April 23, 2025 – ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) today announces the results of its Annual General Meeting (AGM) held on April 23, 2025. At the AGM, ASML’s statutory financial statements for the 2024 financial year were adopted. In addition, the following items were approved: Proposal to adopt a final dividend payment of €1.84 per ordinary share, which, together with the two interim dividends paid through the 2024 financial year and the interim dividend ...

Core Viewpoint - ASML's stock has declined approximately 14% since analysts rated it as a strong buy in early February, and while it appears undervalued, it is currently not a buy due to bearish technical indicators and weak growth expectations for the second quarter [1][14]. Technical Analysis - The downward trend for ASML began with a bearish engulfing pattern in mid-February, and the stock is currently far below its trend line, indicating a lack of support and potential for further declines [3][4]. - The 50-day moving average has remained significantly below the 200-day moving average, indicating a consistent long-term bearish momentum [5]. - Recent price action shows that ASML has fallen below all Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting that the recent rebound is failing [6]. - There are no signs of improvement in ASML's situation, with bearish indicators persisting [8]. Financial Performance - ASML reported net sales of €7.742 billion for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 46.4%, aligning with expectations, and a dollar growth of 41.77% to $8.82 billion, exceeding forecasts by $35.52 million [11]. - The company’s bookings were €3.936 billion, slightly above the previous year's €3.611 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $6.83, surpassing expectations by $0.31 [11]. - However, a concerning signal is the significant decline in operating cash flow, which, while historically normal for Q1, raises some alarm [11]. Future Guidance - ASML expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between €7.2 billion and €7.7 billion, representing a 19.3% increase from €6.243 billion in Q2 2024, but this is a significant slowdown compared to Q1's growth rate [12]. - The anticipated gross margin for Q2 is projected to be between 50% and 53%, which is consistent with the previous year's margin of 51.5% [12]. Valuation - The current price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 7.394, down from over 15 in mid-2024, indicating that the stock is undervalued despite the disappointing guidance for Q2 [14]. - The valuation reflects excessive pessimism, as the expected revenue growth remains around average levels, and the stock is trading at a premium of 193% compared to the median price-to-sales ratio in the IT sector [14][15]. - Although the stock may present a long-term investment opportunity, the combination of weak technicals and slowing growth suggests that short-term gains are unlikely [15].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, ASML achieved approximately 3% revenue growth compared to 2023, sustaining a gross margin of 51.3% [34][39] - Net bookings were slightly below previous years but still resulted in a strong backlog number [35][39] - EUV revenue decreased by 9% to €8.3 billion, while DPUV revenue increased by 4% to €12.8 billion [36][39] - The installed base business grew by 16% to €6.5 billion, driven by service and upgrades [39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The application business grew by 20%, primarily due to the success of the YieldStar and multi-beam tools [37] - EUV systems were recognized in revenue for multiple tools, indicating successful customer acceptance [36] - DPUV technology investments continue to be significant, with new product introductions enhancing competitiveness [39][91] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The memory business was notably strong in 2024, driven by AI demands for high bandwidth memory [40] - The China market showed robust growth, particularly in memory and mainstream logic applications [41] - The installed base business in China also contributed significantly to overall growth [42] Company Strategy and Development Direction - ASML's strategy focuses on advancing technology to meet customer needs, particularly in EUV and DPUV [12][22] - The company aims to reduce EUV costs to increase adoption among customers, transitioning from multi-patterning to single exposure [23][86] - Continued investment in capacity expansion across the U.S., Europe, and Asia is planned to meet future demand [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Geopolitical uncertainties and tariff implications are acknowledged as potential risks to revenue [13][50] - The company expects a revenue opportunity between €30 billion and €35 billion for 2025, with a gross margin between 51% and 53% [51] - Management remains optimistic about long-term market strength despite short-term uncertainties [29][50] Other Important Information - ASML is committed to sustainability, achieving a 54% reduction in energy consumption per wafer pass since 2018 [57][94] - The company has made significant progress in community engagement and ESG initiatives, including affordable housing projects [31][60] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: Impact of U.S. tariffs on ASML's financials - Management discussed the potential for indirect impacts from tariffs and the need for careful monitoring of economic conditions [64][65] - The company believes it has the market power to pass on some tariff costs to customers, but the extent remains uncertain [65] Question: Reliance on TSMC and competition - ASML does not fear increased reliance on TSMC, emphasizing strong long-term relationships with multiple customers [76] - The company expects significant orders from TSMC as they ramp up production in advanced nodes [78] Question: Development of EUV alternatives in China - Management acknowledged that while China is attempting to develop EUV alternatives, significant technological barriers remain [81][84] - ASML maintains a strong market position and continues to invest in R&D to stay competitive [91] Question: High NA EUV roadmap and cost considerations - ASML is focused on ensuring that the cost of high NA EUV is competitive with existing technologies to drive adoption [86][88] Question: Market share and competition from Nikon - ASML recognizes competition but remains confident in its technological advantages and market share in immersion DUV [90][92] Question: Energy consumption reduction in EUV tools - The company is committed to further reducing energy consumption in EUV tools, aiming for an 80% reduction by 2027 [94]

Core Viewpoint - ASML Holding N.V. has experienced an 8.6% decline in share price following its first-quarter 2025 results, primarily due to slower booking growth and concerns over escalating Chinese trade restrictions [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - ASML's first-quarter bookings increased by 9% year-over-year to €3.94 billion, but saw a significant sequential decline of 44.5%, raising investor caution about near-term prospects [2] - The company reported net sales of €7.74 billion, a 46% year-over-year increase, with net income rising 92% to €2.36 billion and earnings per share (EPS) growing 93% to €6.00, indicating strong operational efficiency [13] - Gross margin expanded by 300 basis points year-over-year to 54%, attributed to effective cost management and improved productivity [14] - ASML expects a 15% revenue growth for 2025, driven by demand for EUV and DUV lithography systems, along with a forecasted 70-basis-point margin expansion [15] Group 2: Market Position and Technological Leadership - ASML holds a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, essential for producing advanced chips at 3nm and below, positioning the company as a key enabler in semiconductor manufacturing [7][9] - The introduction of High-NA EUV technology, designed for sub-2nm nodes, represents significant long-term potential despite slower-than-expected adoption [8] - The company's technological superiority creates high barriers to entry, ensuring a competitive moat and supporting its long-term growth outlook [9][10] Group 3: Geopolitical Risks and Market Challenges - Geopolitical risks, particularly U.S. export restrictions on advanced lithography tools to China, pose a threat to ASML's sales expansion, with China accounting for 27% of its lithography shipments in Q1 2025 [3] - Key customers are reducing capital expenditures amid macroeconomic uncertainties, impacting bookings for ASML's high-value lithography systems [2] Group 4: Future Growth Drivers - The AI revolution is driving massive demand for advanced semiconductors, with ASML well-positioned to benefit from this trend as its lithography tools are critical for manufacturing advanced chips [11][12] - As cloud providers and tech giants expand their AI infrastructure, the demand for ASML's lithography tools is expected to increase, providing long-term growth tailwinds [12] Group 5: Valuation and Investment Outlook - ASML trades at a premium P/E ratio of 22.65 compared to the sector average of 21.14, justified by its near-monopoly in EUV lithography and strong growth prospects [16] - Despite a 30.7% decline in share price over the past year, ASML's technological leadership and robust financials suggest strong long-term growth potential, making it a compelling buy [19][20]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying growth stocks with strong financial growth potential, highlighting ASML as a recommended stock due to its favorable growth metrics and Zacks Rank. Group 1: Earnings Growth - ASML has a historical EPS growth rate of 19.7%, with projected EPS growth of 29% this year, surpassing the industry average of 28.3% [4][3]. Group 2: Asset Utilization Ratio - ASML's asset utilization ratio (sales-to-total-assets ratio) is 0.69, indicating that the company generates $0.69 in sales for every dollar in assets, which is higher than the industry average of 0.66 [5]. Group 3: Sales Growth - The company's sales are expected to grow by 18.2% this year, compared to the industry average of 14% [6]. Group 4: Earnings Estimate Revisions - The current-year earnings estimates for ASML have increased by 5.8% over the past month, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [7]. Group 5: Overall Recommendation - ASML has achieved a Growth Score of A and a Zacks Rank of 2, positioning it well for potential outperformance in the growth stock category [9].

点击 最 下方 "在看"和" "并分享，"关注"材料汇 光刻中的核心工具包括光掩膜、光刻机和光刻胶，分辨率、套刻精度、产能为光刻工艺中的关键参数，分辨率是指光刻机能清晰地在晶圆上投影出的最小特征尺 寸，可通过缩短波长、提高数值孔径、降低K1 工艺因子提高。 写在前面 （文末有惊喜） 一直在路上，所以停下脚步，只在于分享 包括： 新 材料/ 半导体 / 新能源/光伏/显示材料 等 添加 小编微信 ，遇见 志同道合 的你 正文 分辨率、套刻精度、产能为光刻机核心参数 光刻工艺是芯片制造流程中技术难度最大、成本最高、周期最长的环节，直接决定了芯片的最小线宽，定义了半导体器件的特征尺寸， 先进技术节点的芯片制造需 要60-90 步光刻工艺，光刻成本占比约为30%，耗费时间占比约为40-50% 。 套刻精度 是曝光显影后存留在光刻胶上的图形（当前层）与晶圆上已有图形（参考层）对准时能容忍的最大误差，可通过设备优化及材料与工艺协同提升，产能为 衡量光刻机生产效率的核心指标，可通过技术改进。 光源、照明系统、投影物镜为光刻机核心组件 光刻机是芯片制造的核心设备，光源系统、照明系统、曝光物镜系统为核心组件，光源为光刻提供能量 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The Nasdaq Composite is down approximately 20% from its highs earlier in the year and is hovering around bear market territory, presenting potential opportunities to invest in promising technology stocks [1] - The ongoing sell-off in the market may provide a favorable environment for long-term investments in technology stocks, particularly those that pay dividends [1] Group 2: ASML Holding - ASML Holding is a leader in the lithography industry, particularly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, which is essential for producing advanced semiconductor chips [3][4] - The company is expected to benefit from the generative AI boom, with McKinsey estimating that AI advancements could add approximately $9 trillion to global GDP by 2030 [2][3] - ASML's share price has decreased by 42% from its 52-week highs, influenced by the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry and geopolitical uncertainties [5] - Currently trading at 26 times free cash flow (FCF), ASML's valuation is below its 10-year average of 38, with management projecting 15% sales growth by 2025 and revenue growth of 50% to 100% by 2030 [6] - ASML has increased its dividend by 153% over the past decade, with only 27% of its cash flows used to fund its current 1.1% dividend yield, indicating potential for future increases [7][9] Group 3: Motorola Solutions - Motorola Solutions is a leader in the public safety industry, with a strong history of outperforming the market and a focus on mission-critical products [10] - The company has a cash return on invested capital of 30% and has reduced its share count by 51% since 2011, enhancing shareholder value [11] - Motorola's product categories include Land Mobile Radio Communications (75% of sales), Video Security and Access Control (18% of sales), and Command Center solutions (7% of sales) [12] - The company has grown its dividend for 12 consecutive years, with a current yield of 1% and only 31% of its FCF used for dividends, allowing for continued increases [13] - Despite trading at a slight premium with a price-to-FCF ratio of 34, Motorola's essential products and shareholder-friendly cash returns position it as a safe investment in a turbulent market [14]

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Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of ASML Holding N.V. in the semiconductor manufacturing sector, suggesting a strong investment opportunity in the company due to its critical products [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - ASML is recognized as a vital equipment company for semiconductor manufacturing, indicating its significant role in the tech industry [1]. Group 2: Investment Perspective - The author expresses a strong bullish sentiment towards ASML, advocating for an "all-in" investment strategy based on the company's essential contributions to the semiconductor sector [1].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the focus of Noah's Arc Capital Management on 20th-century stocks that are undergoing significant transformations in the 21st century, highlighting the potential for dramatic changes in stock performance due to innovative business models [1]. Group 1 - The management aims to provide Wall Street-level insights to Main Street investors, indicating a commitment to democratizing investment knowledge [1]. - The research primarily targets companies that are either transforming themselves or are instrumental in transforming traditional firms from the 20th century [1]. - The article mentions a specific contributor, Elijah Buell, who is associated with the insights provided [1]. Group 2 - The managing partner of Noah's Arc Capital Management, Noah Cox, expresses that his views may not necessarily reflect those of the firm, suggesting a degree of independence in analysis [3]. - The article clarifies that the content is intended solely for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, emphasizing the importance of individual investor discretion [3][4]. - There is a disclosure regarding the author's beneficial long position in ASML shares, indicating a vested interest in the stock being discussed [2].