Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) announced a share buyback plan, purchasing 10.151 million ordinary shares at prices ranging from HKD 22.10 to HKD 23.24 per share, totaling approximately HKD 234 million excluding commissions and other expenses [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Share Buyback Details** - The company executed the buyback on August 18, 2025, under the authorization granted by shareholders during the annual general meeting held on May 7, 2025 [1] - The total purchase price for the shares was approximately HKD 234 million [1] - **Share Price Range** - The shares were bought back at a maximum price of HKD 23.24 and a minimum price of HKD 22.10 per share [1] - **Volume of Shares Purchased** - A total of 10.151 million ordinary shares were repurchased by the company [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其準確性或完 整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內 容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 China Hongqiao Group Limited 中國宏橋集團有限公司 （根據開曼群島法例註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1378） 自願公告 根據購回授權於市場上購回股份 本公告乃中國宏橋集團有限公司（「本公司」）自願作出。本公司董事會（「董事會」）謹此宣佈，於二零 二五年八月十八日，根據由本公司股東於二零二五年五月七日舉行的股東週年大會上授出的股份購 回授權，本公司已分別按每股股份的最高及最低價格23.24港元及22.10港元購買本公司10,151,000股 普通股（「股份購回」）。 就股份購回支付的總購買價（不包括佣金及其他支出）約為234,435,314.80港元。所購回股份相當於本 公告日期本公司現有已發行股份總數約0.11%。本公司將於隨後註銷所購回股份，預期註銷所有購 回股份後，經減少本公司已發行股份總數將為9,606,841,433股，其中(i) 6,090,031,073股預 ...

中金发布研报称，维持中国宏桥(01378)2025-2026年盈利预测244.4/251.2亿元不变，当前股价对应 2025/2026年P/E分别为8.3/8.0x，考虑到市场风险偏好带来的估值提升以及公司高股息的特性，该行上调 目标价24%至29.29港元，对应2025-2026年P/E分别10.4/10.0x，涨幅空间25%，维持"跑赢行业"评级。 中金主要观点如下： 1H25业绩符合该行预期 公司公布1H25业绩：营业收入810.39亿元，同比+10.1%;毛利208.05亿元，同比+16.9%;公司股东应占净 利润123.61亿元，同比+35.0%，1H25财务表现符合该行预期。 产品量价齐升驱动公司业绩创历史同期新高 公司铝合金销量290.6万吨，同比+2.4%，铝合金销售价格同比+2.7%至约17853元/吨(不含增值税，下 同);氧化铝销量636.8万吨，同比+15.6%，氧化铝销售价格同比+10.3%至3243元/吨。从单吨利润看，铝 合金单吨毛利4505元，同比+5.3%，氧化铝单吨毛利934元，同比+24.8%。 继续实施大额回购计划彰显公司未来发展信心 据公告，公司自2025年1月15日 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price based on projected earnings growth and market conditions [6][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 81.04 billion RMB for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and a net profit of 13.55 billion RMB, up 35.4% year-on-year, aligning with previous forecasts [2]. - The increase in revenue and profit is attributed to rising prices in electrolytic aluminum and alumina, alongside a robust production capacity [3]. - The company has demonstrated confidence in its future by repurchasing shares worth 2.61 billion HKD and planning to maintain a high dividend payout ratio [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, electrolytic aluminum revenue reached 51.88 billion RMB, a 5.2% increase year-on-year, with sales volume at 2.906 million tons, up 2.4%. The average selling price rose to 17,853 RMB/ton, a 2.7% increase [3]. - Alumina revenue was 20.66 billion RMB, a 27.5% increase, with sales volume at 6.368 million tons, up 15.6%. The average selling price increased by 10.3% to 3,243 RMB/ton [3]. - The aluminum processing segment generated 8.07 billion RMB in revenue, a 6.5% increase, with sales volume at 392,000 tons, up 3.5% [3]. Share Buyback and Dividends - The company spent 2.61 billion HKD on share repurchases in H1 2025 and plans to allocate no less than 3 billion HKD for buybacks, reflecting strong confidence in its growth prospects [4]. Future Outlook - The company has a well-integrated supply chain with a total electrolytic aluminum capacity of 6.459 million tons and alumina capacity of 21 million tons, ensuring strong raw material security [5]. - The decline in thermal coal prices is expected to enhance profit margins, with coal prices dropping to approximately 652 RMB/ton [5]. - The shift of electrolytic aluminum production capacity to Yunnan, supported by green energy, is anticipated to benefit long-term growth [5]. - The company is also diversifying by investing in iron ore projects in Guinea, which may provide additional returns [5]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 24.93 billion RMB, 25.89 billion RMB, and 27.24 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8, 8, and 7 [6][7].

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao (01378) maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2026 at 24.44 billion and 25.12 billion yuan, respectively, with current stock prices corresponding to P/E ratios of 8.3 and 8.0 times for those years. The target price is raised by 24% to HKD 29.29, reflecting a potential upside of 25% [1] Group 1 - The company's 1H25 performance met expectations, with revenue of 81.039 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.361 billion yuan, up 35.0% year-on-year [2] - Product volume and price increases drove the company's performance to a historical high for the same period, with aluminum alloy sales of 2.906 million tons (up 2.4% year-on-year) and alumina sales of 6.368 million tons (up 15.6% year-on-year) [3] Group 2 - The company has implemented a significant share buyback plan, repurchasing HKD 2.6 billion worth of shares, which reflects confidence in future prospects and long-term investment value [4] - The company is enhancing its integrated green industrial chain in the aluminum sector, with a new bauxite supply base in Guinea and an alumina production capacity increase of 8% year-on-year [5] Group 3 - Four key advantages highlight the investment value of China Hongqiao: significant profit and valuation elasticity, high resource self-sufficiency, a current dividend yield of 7.8%, and a dual approach to building a green aluminum industry chain [6]

Summary of China Hongqiao's 1H25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Hongqiao (1378.HK) - **Period**: 1H25 Key Financial Metrics - **Net Profit**: Rmb12.4 billion, up 35% YoY, down 6% HoH [1] - **Total NPAT**: Rmb13.6 billion, up 35% YoY [1] - **Total Revenue**: Up 10% YoY, down 2% HoH [1] - **Gross Profit Margin**: 26%, up 1ppt YoY, down 4ppt HoH [1] - **Operating Profit**: Rmb18.1 billion, up 21% YoY, down 16% HoH [1] - **Recurring Net Income**: Rmb14.7 billion, up 30% YoY [1] - **Interim Dividend**: No dividend declared, compared to HK$0.59/share in 1H24 [1] Aluminum Segment Performance - **Aluminum Revenue**: Up 5% YoY [2] - **Aluminum Sales Volume**: 3.3 million tons, up 3% YoY, down 3% HoH [2] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: Rmb18,178/ton, up 3% YoY, up 1% HoH [2] - **Unit Cost**: Rmb13,639/ton, up 2% YoY, up 1% HoH [2] - **Gross Profit per ton**: Rmb4,540/ton, up 6% YoY, up 1% HoH [2] - **Total Aluminum Gross Profit**: Rmb15.0 billion, up 9% YoY, down 2% HoH [2] Alumina Segment Performance - **Alumina Revenue**: Up 28% YoY [3] - **Alumina Sales Volume**: 6.4 million tons, up 16% YoY, up 18% HoH [3] - **Average Selling Price (ASP)**: Rmb3,244/ton, up 10% YoY, down 17% HoH [3] - **Unit Cost**: Rmb2,310/ton, up 5% YoY, up 4% HoH [3] - **Gross Profit per ton**: Rmb934/ton, up 25% YoY, down 45% HoH [3] - **Total Alumina Gross Profit**: Rmb5.9 billion, up 44% YoY, down 35% HoH [3] Cash Flow and Gearing - **Net Gearing**: 28%, down 3ppt YoY, up 6ppt HoH [4] - **Operating Cash Flow (OCF)**: Rmb22 billion, up 56% YoY, up 13% HoH [4] - **Free Cash Flow (FCF)**: Rmb12.4 billion, up 43% YoY, down 2% HoH [7] Shareholder Returns and Valuation - **Share Repurchase Plan**: Proposed total amount not less than HK$3 billion, reflecting confidence in long-term value [7] - **Current Trading Metrics**: 8.7x 2025E P/E, 1.7x 2025E P/B [7] - **Target Price**: HK$25.20, implying a 7.8% expected share price return and 7.4% expected dividend yield [5][14] Risks - **Major Risks**: 1. Cost and capex overruns [15] 2. Higher-than-expected capacity addition in the industry [15] 3. Significant slowdown in the Chinese economy [15] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendation**: Maintain as a Top Pick, with further insights expected post-results presentation on 18th Aug [1][7]

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao's performance in the first half of the year shows strong growth in revenue, gross profit, and net profit, aligning with expectations, indicating a robust operational capacity and potential for future gains in the aluminum market [1] Financial Performance - Revenue reached 81.039 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [1] - Gross profit was 20.805 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.9% [1] - Net profit amounted to 12.361 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year rise of 35% [1] Competitive Advantages - The company has significant profit and valuation elasticity, with a capacity-to-market value ratio among the top in comparable electrolytic aluminum companies, positioning it to benefit from future aluminum price increases [1] - High self-sufficiency in resources, with both bauxite and alumina self-sufficiency exceeding 100%, enhancing risk resilience [1] - A high dividend yield of 7.8%, making it an attractive investment option [1] - The company is advancing a green aluminum industry chain through both primary and recycled pathways, which may lead to higher product premiums in the future [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 remain unchanged at 24.44 billion yuan and 25.12 billion yuan, respectively [1] - Current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 8.3 times and 8 times for 2025 and 2026 [1] - Target price has been raised by 24% to 29.29 HKD, maintaining an "outperform" rating due to market risk appetite and the company's high dividend characteristics [1]

高盛发表报告指，中国宏桥上半年净利润124亿元，每股盈利1.314元，分别按年上升35%及36%。剔除 一次性项目后，经常性净利润为145亿元，按年增长31%，高于该行和市场预测，主要由于氧化铝利润 好于预期。 高盛将中国宏桥2025至2027年经常性盈利预测上调13-39%，以反映上半年业绩中氧化铝利润改善及今 年中国铝业价差上升。该行认为中国宏桥估值合理，维持"中性"评级，目标价由12.5港元上调至19.6港 元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao Group (01378) continues to demonstrate strong growth in its financial performance, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of the year [1][9]. Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, China Hongqiao reported revenue of 81.039 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 12.361 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 10.1% and 35%, respectively [1]. - The company has also initiated a new share buyback plan with a total amount not less than 3 billion HKD, reflecting confidence in its future business prospects [3]. Industry Context - The global commodity market has shown a "divergent" trend, but aluminum consumption remains robust, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles and renewable energy [4]. - The average price of aluminum on the London Metal Exchange increased by 6% year-on-year to approximately 2,546 USD/ton, while the average price on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose by about 1.9% to 20,226 CNY/ton [4]. Product Performance - China Hongqiao's aluminum alloy product sales increased by 2.4% to 2.906 million tons, with an average price rise of 2.7% to 17,853 CNY/ton [5]. - The sales volume of alumina products grew by 15.6% to 6.368 million tons, with a sales price increase of 10.3% to 3,243 CNY/ton [5]. Cost Management - The company's self-generated electricity cost in Shandong decreased by 31% year-on-year to 0.33 CNY/kWh, contributing to profit growth [5]. Strategic Moves - China Hongqiao is accelerating the transfer of its electrolytic aluminum production capacity to Yunnan, enhancing its operational efficiency [6]. - The company has increased its equity stake in Yunnan Hongtai to 100%, which will add 45.7 thousand tons to its electrolytic aluminum capacity [7]. Future Growth Potential - The West Simandou project in Guinea, which China Hongqiao has a stake in, is expected to start production soon, potentially boosting the company's profits [8]. - The ongoing acquisition of Hongtu Industrial's 100% equity by Hongchuang Holdings is anticipated to enhance the asset securitization level and market influence of China Hongqiao [8]. Conclusion - The latest financial report from China Hongqiao confirms strong growth expectations, and the company's ongoing share buyback plan signals confidence in its future performance [9].

Core Viewpoint - China Hongqiao has demonstrated strong financial performance in the first half of the year, with revenue reaching 81.039 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders at 12.361 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 10.1% and 35% respectively [1][2][9] Financial Performance - The company reported a robust mid-term financial report, showcasing significant growth in key financial metrics [1][9] - In the first half of the year, China Hongqiao's aluminum alloy product sales increased by 2.4% to 2.906 million tons, with an average price rise of 2.7% to 17,853 yuan/ton [4] - The sales volume of alumina products rose by 15.6% to 6.368 million tons, with an average price increase of 10.3% to 3,243 yuan/ton [4] - The company’s self-generated electricity cost in Shandong decreased by 31% year-on-year to 0.33 yuan/kWh, further enhancing profit margins [4] Share Buyback and Market Confidence - On the same day as the mid-term report, China Hongqiao announced a new share buyback plan with a total amount not less than 3 billion HKD, reflecting management's confidence in the company's future prospects [2][9] - The company has already spent 2.61 billion HKD to repurchase approximately 18.7 million shares in the first half of the year [2] Industry Context - The global commodity market has shown a "divergent" trend, but aluminum consumption remains stable, driven by demand from sectors such as new energy vehicles and renewable energy [3] - The average price of aluminum on the London Metal Exchange increased by 6% year-on-year to approximately 2,546 USD/ton [3] Growth Potential - China Hongqiao is actively transitioning its electrolytic aluminum production capacity to Yunnan, enhancing its operational efficiency and sustainability [6] - The company’s acquisition of a 25% stake in Yunnan Hongtai will increase its electrolytic aluminum capacity by 45.7 thousand tons [7] - The upcoming production of the Simandou iron ore project in Guinea, in which China Hongqiao holds a 21.675% stake, is expected to significantly boost the company's profits [8] Future Outlook - The domestic supply constraints in electrolytic aluminum and the ongoing demand from downstream industries are likely to support price increases in the future [7] - The planned listing of core assets in the A-share market is anticipated to enhance the company's valuation and market influence [8][9]