Core Insights - Earnings season is beginning to slow down, providing some relief after recent market volatility, with key companies like Alibaba, Zscaler, Deer & Company, and Dell Technologies set to report this week [1] Earnings Reports - This week features earnings reports from: - Alibaba (BABA) with an expected move of 7.2% - Dell Technologies (DELL) with an expected move of 9.4% - Zscaler (ZS) with an expected move of 9.9% - Deer & Company (DE) with an expected move of 5.5% [4] Implied Volatility - Implied volatility tends to be high before earnings reports due to market uncertainty, leading to increased demand for options [2] - After earnings announcements, implied volatility typically decreases to normal levels [2] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize expected moves to structure trades: - Bearish traders may consider selling bear call spreads outside the expected range - Bullish traders might sell bull put spreads or look at naked puts for higher risk tolerance [4] - Neutral traders can explore iron condors, ensuring short strikes remain outside the expected range [5] Stock Screening - A stock screener can identify stocks with high implied volatility, using filters such as: - Total call volume greater than 5,000 - Market cap greater than 40 billion - IV Rank greater than 40% [6][7] Previous Earnings Performance - Last week's earnings move for TCOM was +2.2%, compared to an expected move of 6.2% [9]

Group 1 - Dell is expected to report a revenue increase of 11.2% year-over-year to $27.1 billion for Q3, an improvement from the previous year's growth of 9.5% [1] - Adjusted earnings per share are anticipated to be $2.48, with analysts reaffirming their estimates over the past 30 days, indicating expectations of meeting projections [1] - In the previous quarter, Dell's revenue reached $29.78 billion, reflecting a 19% year-over-year growth, exceeding analyst expectations by 1.9% [1] Group 2 - The performance of Dell's peers in the hardware and infrastructure sector has provided market references, with Diebold Nixdorf reporting a 2% revenue increase, surpassing estimates by 1.7% [1] - Despite some hardware and infrastructure stocks performing steadily in a volatile environment, the overall sector has seen an average decline of 8.3% in stock prices over the past month, with Dell's stock down 24% during the same period [1] - The average analyst target price for Dell is $162.38, while the current stock price is $123.06 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Dell Technologies (DELL.US) is expected to report a year-over-year revenue growth of 11.2% to $27.1 billion for Q3, with adjusted earnings per share projected at $2.48, indicating an improvement from the previous year's growth rate of 9.5% [1][1][1] Company Summary - Analysts have reaffirmed their estimates for Dell over the past 30 days, suggesting that performance is likely to meet expectations. Dell has missed Wall Street revenue expectations three times in the past two years [1][1][1] - In the previous quarter, Dell reported revenue of $29.78 billion, a 19% year-over-year increase, exceeding analyst expectations by 1.9%. The strong performance in the last quarter has led to revenue guidance for the next quarter and the full year being above analyst forecasts [1][1][1] Industry Summary - The performance of peers in the hardware and infrastructure sector has provided market references, with Diebold Nixdorf (DBD.US) reporting a revenue growth of 2%, surpassing estimates by 1.7%, and experiencing a cumulative stock increase of 16.6% post-earnings [1][1][1] - The industry outlook for 2025 remains clouded by potential changes in trade policies and discussions on corporate tax reforms, which could impact business confidence and growth [1][1][1] - Despite some hardware and infrastructure stocks performing steadily in a volatile environment, the overall sector has underperformed, with an average stock price decline of 8.3% over the past month. Dell's stock has dropped 24% during the same period, with the average analyst target price set at $162.38, compared to the current price of $123.06 [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The article highlights that the upcoming Thanksgiving week will feature the release of September economic data [1] - Earnings reports are expected from several companies including Best Buy, Smucker, and Zscaler [1]

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Economic Data Releases - The delayed September retail sales report will be released just before Black Friday, indicating consumer spending trends leading into the holiday season [2][7] - Other economic data to be released includes weekly jobless claims, pending home sales, durable-goods orders, and the Producer Price Index for September, which will provide insights into inflation [2][7] Earnings Reports - Key companies reporting earnings this week include John Deere, Alibaba, Applied Digital, Dell Technologies, and others, with significant attention on their performance amid rising costs and market conditions [4][5][6] - Workday is expected to report quarterly earnings for the first time since Elliott Investment Management took a stake in the company, indicating potential shifts in company strategy or performance [5] Market Activity - Stock markets will close early on Friday at 1 p.m. ET, and bond markets will close at 2 p.m. ET due to the Thanksgiving holiday, impacting trading volumes and market dynamics [2][11] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision on December 10 may be influenced by the delayed economic data, complicating the outlook for monetary policy [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the significant growth in data center infrastructure spending driven by AI training and inference cluster architectures, which also positively impacts the HPC (High-Performance Computing) architecture [1][2]. HPC-AI Market Overview - According to Hyperion Research, the global HPC spending over the past three years and future five-year forecasts indicate a robust market [2]. - The HPC-AI market is projected to generate $59.93 billion in total sales in 2024, reflecting a 23.5% growth compared to 2023, with on-premises HPC-AI systems contributing $50.39 billion (up 22.9%) and cloud HPC-AI systems contributing $9.54 billion (up 4.9%) [4][5]. Future Projections - For 2025, the overall HPC-AI market is expected to bring in $58.963 billion, a 17% increase from 2024, with cloud consumption at $12.38 billion and on-premises systems at $57.75 billion [5][6]. - The growth rate is anticipated to stabilize at around 7% to 8% annually by the end of the decade, which is still double the historical average [6]. Spending Breakdown - In 2024, cloud computing consumption will account for 15.9% of the HPC-AI product spending, with 30% of cloud spending allocated to storage, compared to 21.7% for on-premises HPC-AI centers [8]. - Services constitute a significant portion of the HPC-AI budget, primarily for system installation, maintenance, and technical support, while software accounts for only 5% of the total budget [8]. Revenue by Vendor - In 2024, the leading vendors in the HPC-AI market include HPE with $7.151 billion (28.2% market share), Dell Technologies with $3.916 billion (15.5%), and Lenovo with $1.450 billion (5.7%) [13][14]. - Non-traditional suppliers, referred to as Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs), have revenue nearly equal to HPE, indicating a competitive landscape [14]. Market Segmentation - The HPC-AI market is segmented into various price ranges, with the largest share (27.9%) coming from large HPC systems priced between $1 million and $10 million, while entry-level HPC systems (under $250,000) account for 24.3% [15]. Investment Trends - Investment in HPC-AI systems is accelerating, as evidenced by new supercomputers announced by the US Department of Energy, which are expected to stabilize revenue over time due to a shift towards cloud models [17].

Core Insights - Investors will have a break next week due to the market closure on November 27 for Thanksgiving, allowing time for assessment and reflection after a challenging week for Wall Street [2] - Despite the end of the U.S. government shutdown, some key economic reports are still being canceled due to insufficient survey data, impacting market expectations [3] Earnings Reports - Several companies are scheduled to report earnings next week, including Alibaba Group (BABA), Dell (DELL), Deere & Company (DE), Analog Devices (ADI), Best Buy (BBY), HP (HPQ), and DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) [4] - Specific earnings highlights include: - Monday: Agilent Technologies (A), Zoom Communications (ZM), Symbotic (SYM) [5] - Tuesday: Alibaba, Analog Devices (ADI), Dell Technologies, Best Buy (BBY), Autodesk (ADSK), Workday (WDAY), Zscaler (ZS), HP (HPQ), DICK'S Sporting Goods, J.M. Smucker (SJM), and NIO (NIO) [5] - Wednesday: Deere, Li Auto (LI) [5] - Thursday: Intuitive Machines (LUNR) [6] - Friday: Frontline Plc (FRO), Buckle, Inc. (BKE) [6]

Core Insights - Recent sell-off in tech stocks, particularly those exposed to AI, has raised concerns about an AI bubble, prompting JPMorgan to suggest it may be time for investors to consider buying these stocks at discounted prices [3][7]. Group 1: Market Overview - Tech stocks, including Dell and Arista Networks, have experienced significant declines of 10% to 40% from their recent highs due to fears surrounding an AI bubble [2][4]. - JPMorgan analysts believe that the concerns about an AI bubble may be overblown, indicating that many companies with strong fundamentals are undervalued [3][7]. Group 2: Stock Recommendations - JPMorgan identified 15 stocks particularly exposed to AI that are considered bargains, with strong fundamentals and "overblown" risks already priced in [2][7]. - Notable recommendations include Dell, which has lost 25% of its value since late October, and Arista Networks, among others like Coherent, Flex, Jabil, and Amphenol [4][5]. Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Dell's stock decline is attributed to concerns over rising component prices, although JPMorgan believes the company has effectively managed these costs [4]. - Arista Networks and other companies listed derive significant AI exposure from major tech firms expected to continue investing in infrastructure, providing more stable financing compared to less established players [8].

Core Insights - The Q3 earnings season for S&P 500 companies is showing positive results, with 95% of companies having reported by November 21, and an expected 13.4% increase in earnings per share, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2] Group 1: Earnings Performance - Analysts had initially expected a 7.9% increase in earnings per share for Q3 as of September 30, indicating a significant upward revision in expectations [3] - If the anticipated 13.4% growth holds, it represents an acceleration from the 12% growth rate reported in Q2 of this year [2] Group 2: Upcoming Reports - Recent retail earnings reports from Walmart, Home Depot, Lowe's, and Target will be followed by upcoming reports from Abercrombie & Fitch, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Burlington Stores, which will provide insights into consumer sentiment and purchasing behavior [4] - Additional earnings reports from tech and other sectors are expected from companies such as Zoom, Dell, Workday, HP Inc., Deere, and Pony AI [5]