Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Weaker than Market" rating for the U.S. stock market [1] Core Insights - The U.S. stock market experienced a sudden pullback influenced by non-farm employment data, with the S&P 500 declining by 2.4% and the Nasdaq by 2.2% [3] - Among sectors, large-cap value stocks outperformed large-cap growth and small-cap stocks, indicating a preference for stability in turbulent market conditions [3] - The report highlights that three sectors saw gains while 21 sectors faced declines, with utilities, food and staples retailing, and media and entertainment being the only sectors to rise [3] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The S&P 500 fell by 2.4% and the Nasdaq by 2.2% this week, with large-cap value stocks declining by 1.8% compared to a 3.1% drop in large-cap growth stocks [3] - Utilities (+1.6%), food and staples retailing (+0.9%), and media and entertainment (+0.2%) were the only sectors to increase, while transportation (-5.9%), materials (-5.1%), and retail (-4.8%) faced the largest declines [3] Fund Flows - The estimated fund flow for S&P 500 constituents was -$16.95 billion this week, a significant increase from the previous week's -$2.2 billion [4] - Media and entertainment (+$1.59 billion), utilities (+$0.27 billion), and food and staples retailing (+$0.042 billion) saw inflows, while healthcare equipment and services (-$3.47 billion) and financials (-$4.15 billion) experienced the largest outflows [4] Earnings Forecast - The report indicates a 0.6% upward adjustment in the 12-month EPS forecast for S&P 500 constituents, with 18 sectors seeing an increase and 5 sectors experiencing downgrades [5] - Retail (+3.3%), media and entertainment (+2.0%), and technology hardware (+1.5%) led the upward revisions, while healthcare equipment and services faced a significant downgrade of -3.6% [5]

Core Viewpoint - Adidas reported a challenging outlook in its Q2 2025 financial results, primarily impacted by U.S. tariff policies, which are expected to increase costs by approximately €200 million in the second half of the year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Adidas achieved Q2 revenue of €5.95 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.2%, with a gross margin increase of 0.9 percentage points [1] - The revenue growth was largely attributed to reduced product discounts, lower shipping costs, and a strategic move to ship a significant amount of goods to the U.S. before the tariffs took effect [1] - As of the end of June, Adidas's inventory surged by 16%, reaching €5.26 billion [1] Group 2: Impact of Tariffs - The U.S. has established new trade agreements with Vietnam and Indonesia, imposing tariffs of 20% and 19% on imports from these countries, which are key manufacturing locations for Adidas [1] - Adidas CEO Bjorn Gulden expressed concerns that these tariffs could lead to broader inflation, making it difficult to predict the subsequent impact on consumer demand [1] - Other major sports brands, including Nike and Puma, have also reported significant impacts from U.S. tariff policies, with Nike experiencing an 86% year-on-year drop in net profit [2] - Nike executives indicated that U.S. tariffs could increase their costs by approximately $1 billion, highlighting that the sports consumer goods sector may be one of the most affected areas by these policies [2]

Group 1 - The article discusses the appeal of investing in companies that are currently undervalued or unloved, specifically highlighting Nike as a potential investment opportunity [1] - The focus is on value investing with a contrarian approach, suggesting that such strategies can lead to discovering hidden gems in the market [1] Group 2 - The article mentions a service called Crude Value Insights, which provides resources for investors interested in the oil and natural gas sector, emphasizing cash flow analysis [2] - Subscribers to this service gain access to a stock model account and in-depth analyses of exploration and production firms, along with live discussions about the sector [2]

Investment Focus - The report highlights Amazon (AMZN US) as a top pick due to its leading position in the cloud industry with a 30% global market share, stable margin improvements, and strong demand for its T3 inference capabilities [1] - Alphabet (GOOGL US) is favored for its AI and advertising synergy, expected margin improvements in IaaS cloud services, and strong self-developed capabilities, although its stock price upside is currently limited [1] - Arista (ANET US) is recognized for its leadership in high-speed data center switches and expected revenue contributions from AI backend switch business, with a significant growth visibility [1] - Meituan (3690 HK) is noted for its strong cash flow generation ability and competitive cost structure, positioning it well in the face of industry competition [1] - Lenovo (992 HK) is highlighted for its record revenue in AI server business and significant growth potential compared to peers like Dell [2] - NVIDIA (NVDA US) is recognized for its strong financial performance and technological leadership in data center business, with a focus on emerging applications driving growth [2] - Tencent (700 HK) is expected to benefit significantly from AI advancements, with an upward revision in revenue and profit expectations for 2025 [2] - New Oriental (EDU US) is noted for its diverse revenue sources and strong brand recognition, supporting its high profit margins [3] - AIA (1299 HK) is favored for its steady growth in new business value and strong operational metrics, particularly in the ASEAN market [3] - Futu (FUTU US) is expected to see significant growth in paid user numbers and total AUM, supported by its low commission model and quality customer service [3] - The report emphasizes the potential of Chinese pharmaceutical companies like China Biologic Products (1177 HK) and Innovent Biologics (1801 HK) in their innovative drug pipelines and market leadership [4]

Group 1: Domestic Sports Brands - Domestic sports brands such as Anta, Li Ning, 361°, and Xtep are utilizing a dual strategy of technological democratization and precise scene targeting to capture the segmented sports market [4] - Anta has introduced the Mach 5SE running shoes with advanced nitrogen technology and carbon tube anti-twist system at a price below 500 yuan, while Li Ning has implemented a full-sole heterogeneous carbon plate for professional scene configuration, breaking the monopoly of international brands on high-end technology [4] - Brands are addressing localized needs by dissecting sports scenarios; for instance, 361° developed a "wetland anti-slip" outsole for rainy regions, and Xtep's Hydrogen Wind 5.0 targets high-temperature training environments in southern China [4] Group 2: International Sports Brands - International brands like Nike, Adidas, Fila, Saucony, and Yonex are leveraging cutting-edge technology and precise marketing to establish a stronghold in the high-end market [5] - Nike has reinforced its dominance in the elite racing segment with the ZOOMX midsole in the Vaporfly Next% 3, while Saucony addresses marathon runners' core pain points with the Endorphin Pro4's carbon fiber structure [5] - Marketing strategies focus on deepening connections with specific consumer segments; for example, Nike's limited edition Kobe 8 "What The Kobe" has generated global collector interest, and Adidas has collaborated with Japanese street brand BAPE to create a new SUPERSTAR series [5]

Market Domination anchor Josh Lipton breaks down the latest market news for July 31, 2025. President Trump's tariff deadline is fast approaching. Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul breaks down the latest developments. The July jobs report will be released on Friday. KPMG U.S. chief economist Diane Swonk discusses what to expect. Solidarity Capital CEO Jeff McLean explains his three reasons why Nike stock is a buy. Mclean also discusses why Citigroup is a stock to avoid. #youtube #stocks #news About Yaho ...

Key Takeaways NKE's Q4 wholesale revenues fell 9%, up from a 12% drop in Q3 and outperforming NIKE Direct's 14% decline.Product launches with DICK'S and JD helped boost sell-throughs and reignite wholesale momentum.Holiday order growth and retail support hint at a rebound, but tariffs and inventory issues pose risks.NIKE Inc.’s (NKE) wholesale business is showing early signs of momentum, even as the company navigates a broader reset under its “Win Now” strategy. In fourth-quarter fiscal 2025, wholesale reve ...

Core Viewpoint - Investors in the Shoes and Retail Apparel sector should consider Adidas AG (ADDYY) and Nike (NKE) for potential value opportunities, with Adidas currently presenting a better value proposition [1]. Valuation Metrics - Adidas AG has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a more favorable earnings estimate revision activity compared to Nike, which has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3]. - The forward P/E ratio for Adidas is 23.11, significantly lower than Nike's forward P/E of 45.51, suggesting that Adidas is undervalued relative to Nike [5]. - Adidas has a PEG ratio of 0.48, while Nike's PEG ratio is 2.79, indicating that Adidas is expected to grow earnings at a more attractive rate relative to its price [5]. - The P/B ratio for Adidas is 5.62, compared to Nike's P/B of 8.57, further supporting the notion that Adidas is more favorably valued [6]. Overall Assessment - Based on various valuation metrics, Adidas holds a Value grade of B, while Nike has a Value grade of D, indicating that Adidas is the superior option for value investors at this time [7].

Core Insights - The market is currently near all-time highs, making it crucial for investors to analyze fundamental data, particularly business and consumer data, to understand sector performance [1] Consumer Sector - Consumer confidence has unexpectedly risen, creating potential opportunities in the retail sector, with companies like Nike Inc., On Holding, and Ross Stores likely to benefit [2] - Nike's stock has increased by 40% over the past quarter, indicating strong consumer sentiment and market confidence [5] - On Holding is positioned as a growth opportunity, with analysts projecting a 70% increase in earnings per share (EPS) by Q4 2025 [10] - Ross Stores is seen as a value play, attracting institutional investment due to its strong business model in a tight economic environment [12][13] Company-Specific Insights - **Nike Inc.**: - Current stock price is $76.74 with a 12-month forecast of $78.22, indicating a 1.93% upside potential [4] - Analysts have upgraded Nike's stock rating to Overweight, with a new price target of $93, suggesting a potential upside of 20% [7] - **On Holding**: - Current stock price is $50.69 with a 12-month forecast of $64.00, indicating a 26.26% upside potential [9] - The stock is expected to see significant EPS growth, with a P/E ratio of 74x, well above the retail sector average [10] - **Ross Stores**: - Current stock price is $138.48 with a 12-month forecast of $159.06, indicating a 14.86% upside potential [12] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 8.4x, reflecting strong market confidence in its financial stability [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the implementation of consumption-boosting initiatives in China, focusing on the establishment of flagship stores and the introduction of international and local brands to stimulate economic growth [1][2][3] - The "first store economy" is highlighted as a new consumption model that integrates urban renewal and consumption upgrades, with significant contributions to local economies [3][5] - Beijing has seen a surge in the opening of first stores, with 400 new stores established in the first five months of the year, and a total of 2,372 first stores expected by the end of 2024 [3][2] Group 2 - Shanghai is attracting international sports brands to set up their first stores, enhancing consumer experience through innovative service offerings like professional fitness assessments [5][6] - The city has implemented supportive policies to streamline the process for first stores, including financial incentives for high-level stores, resulting in 173 new stores in the first quarter of 2025 [6][7] - Chongqing is focusing on linking first stores with the night economy, targeting young consumers and introducing over 140 new stores by mid-2025 [7][8] Group 3 - The articles discuss the importance of creating new consumption scenarios and fostering a complete ecosystem for brand development, emphasizing the need for policies that support long-term operations of first stores [8] - The integration of diverse brands and innovative retail concepts is seen as a way to attract consumers and enhance the vibrancy of commercial districts [2][4] - The overall trend indicates a growing competition among cities to attract first stores, which is viewed as a vital component of economic revitalization [1][3]