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SHEIN平台已覆盖近400城产业带 驱动传统制造升级出海
雪球· 2025-08-21 08:10
从"夫妻档"起家 创业 的尚富顺正是在 经历 转型焦灼的情况下了解到SHEIN 的平台业务 并尝试 出海。到今年,他突然发现不少新老客户甚至曾经的老板都在摸索跨境电商。让他感到庆幸的 是,自己2023年就开通了这家稳定增长的希音店,在无需投放广告的情况下每个月有1 1 0多万 名海外消费者进店浏览, 最近近一年的店铺 销售额 更是多达一 千 三百多万 。 尚富顺回忆起自己的来时路:十几年前发现首饰行业的外贸商机后从前公司离职开办了一家小 厂,直至几年前老客户订单缩水让他原本几十人的厂子迅速收缩到只有3人,再到今天,其店里的 多款脚链、项链、手链产品都能周销千单以上,仓库里上千个 包装盒 里装满了备受海外买家喜 欢的"时兴款"。他指着这些 盒子 说:"这 里盛放的 都不是库存,是爆款的备货,几天时间就能 卖空"。 另一家惠州出海企业在2022年之前曾主要为欧洲的几家中高端品牌生产,后来欧洲客户生意下 滑,工厂老板傅女士认为,把工厂发展寄托于某一个或几个国外客户身上并不可靠,进而投身跨 境电商。通过效仿SHEIN自营品牌的供应链模式,她也对自己的老鞋厂进行了"改造",从出品到 团队都进行了能适应跨境零售的改革,经 ...
报喜鸟(002154):25H1完成Woolrich收购,静待战略性支出兑现长期收益
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-08-18 14:19
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company completed the acquisition of Woolrich in the first half of 2025 and is awaiting the realization of strategic expenditures to deliver long-term benefits [5] - The company's revenue and profit were under pressure due to unmet revenue expectations and increased expenses for achieving long-term strategic goals [7] - The domestic market remains the core market for the company, with good growth in categories such as jackets and shoes [7] - The company has a solid foundation in men's apparel and multi-brand operations, which are expected to support steady growth [7] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,254 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21.82%. However, a decline of 1.91% is expected in 2024 [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 698 million RMB in 2023, with a significant drop of 29.07% in 2024 [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to decrease from 0.48 RMB in 2023 to 0.34 RMB in 2024 [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 16.07% in 2023 to 11.33% in 2024 [6] Revenue Breakdown - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.391 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.58% [7] - The domestic sales accounted for 99.45% of total revenue, while export revenue was only 0.55% [7] - The jacket and shoe categories showed good growth, with revenues of 229 million RMB and 50 million RMB, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 15.72% and 16.61% [7] Store Expansion - As of the first half of 2025, the company had a total of 837 direct-operated stores and 578 franchised stores, with a net addition of 8 franchised stores during the period [7] - The average sales per direct-operated store that has been open for over 12 months was 1.1984 million RMB [7]
【广发宏观陈嘉荔】关税对美国通胀的影响继续有所体现
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-08-13 07:47
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the stability of the U.S. inflation rate in July, with a notable rebound in core inflation, indicating potential implications for monetary policy and market expectations regarding interest rate adjustments [1][6][22]. Inflation Data Summary - In July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.7% year-on-year, consistent with the previous value and slightly below market expectations of 2.8%. The core CPI rose by 3.1%, surpassing the previous value of 2.9% and the expected 3.0% [1][6][9]. - The core goods prices increased by 1.2% year-on-year, up from 0.7% in the previous month, marking the fourth consecutive month of recovery. Various core goods categories, such as furniture (+0.7% month-on-month) and shoes (+1.4% month-on-month), showed price increases, reflecting the impact of tariffs [2][13][14]. - Core services saw a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, remaining stable compared to the previous month, with a month-on-month rise of 0.4%, higher than the previous 0.3% [4][18]. Tariff Impact and Economic Outlook - The article highlights that the impact of tariffs on inflation may have become more evident in July, although the overall inflation rebound has been moderate due to product differentiation. Future impacts remain uncertain, with varying estimates on how quickly tariffs affect consumer prices [3][14][15]. - The Federal Reserve's internal divisions on monetary policy direction are noted, with some members advocating for a cautious approach while others support a shift towards a neutral interest rate stance, indicating differing views on inflation risks and economic slowdown [5][20][21]. Market Reactions - Following the inflation data, market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September increased, with the probability rising to 93.4% from 85.9%. This led to a decline in the U.S. dollar index and a rise in major stock indices, reflecting a favorable environment for emerging market assets [5][22].
活力中国调研行丨陆海生金!浙东沿海绘就“青蓝交织”生态画卷
Xin Hua She· 2025-08-09 01:00
Group 1 - The article highlights a transformative movement in Zhejiang, where marine plastic waste is being repurposed into valuable products, showcasing a shift from pollution to resource recovery through a "blue circular economy" model [1][3] - Companies like Zhejiang Blue Landscape Technology Co., Ltd. are leading the charge in processing marine plastic waste into various consumer goods, indicating a successful collaboration between fishermen and enterprises to create a profitable recycling loop [3][4] - The development of marine renewable energy resources, such as tidal energy, is emphasized, with projects like the Zhejiang LHD tidal energy generation project converting ocean currents into green electricity [4][5] Group 2 - The Zhejiang LHD tidal energy project has generated over 783 million kilowatt-hours of electricity, equivalent to reducing the use of 3,132 tons of standard coal and cutting carbon emissions by 7,811 tons, contributing to carbon neutrality goals [5][6] - The Ningbo-Zhoushan Port is undergoing a significant transformation towards automation and green energy, with the implementation of remote-controlled cranes and electric vehicles, marking a shift from traditional diesel-powered operations [6][8] - The Meishan Port area has achieved a 100% electrification rate for large equipment and a 53% electrification rate for container trucks, with a total green electricity generation exceeding 26 million kilowatt-hours [8]
Skechers (SKX) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-08 22:25
分组1 - Skechers reported quarterly earnings of $1.13 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.83 per share, and showing an increase from $0.91 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +36.14% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $2.44 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.50%, and up from $2.16 billion year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Skechers has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] 分组2 - The stock has underperformed the market, losing about 6.3% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.8% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.93 on revenues of $2.53 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.65 on revenues of $9.67 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Shoes and Retail Apparel is currently in the bottom 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for the sector [8]
对等关税伤美民众钱包,涨价潮席卷电脑手表衣鞋酒类
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 21:22
Group 1 - The latest tariffs announced by Trump will take effect on August 7, impacting a wide range of imported goods, including computers, electronics, watches, clothing, shoes, and alcoholic beverages, potentially leading to price increases for consumers [1][3]. - Goldman Sachs estimates that consumers will start feeling the impact of these tariffs within eight months [1][7]. - The new tariffs will impose rates ranging from 10% to 41% on nearly 70 countries, affecting the prices of various consumer goods [3]. Group 2 - Yale University's budget laboratory estimates that if the new tariffs are implemented indefinitely, prices for computers and other electronic products could rise by 18.2% in the short term (2 to 3 years) and by 7.7% in the long term (3 to 10 years) [4]. - Clothing, being one of the most imported goods in the U.S., is expected to see a short-term price increase of 37.5% and a long-term increase of 17.4% due to tariffs imposed on major exporting countries like China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, India, and Indonesia [4]. - Swiss watches, a significant export to the U.S. with over $4 billion in sales last year, will face a 39% tariff, likely affecting their prices [5]. Group 3 - Vietnam and Indonesia, major producers of footwear, will see tariffs of at least 19% starting next week, which could lead to increased prices for shoes [6]. - The U.S. wine and spirits market, where imported products account for 35% of total sales, will face a 15% tariff on imports from the EU, impacting prices for alcoholic beverages [6]. - Furniture and toys, primarily imported from Vietnam and China, are also expected to see price increases due to the looming tariffs, with manufacturers already warning of potential hikes [7].
Nike Offers A Step Up In Value From Here
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-01 15:21
Group 1 - The article discusses the appeal of investing in companies that are currently undervalued or unloved, specifically highlighting Nike as a potential investment opportunity [1] - The focus is on value investing with a contrarian approach, suggesting that such strategies can lead to discovering hidden gems in the market [1] Group 2 - The article mentions a service called Crude Value Insights, which provides resources for investors interested in the oil and natural gas sector, emphasizing cash flow analysis [2] - Subscribers to this service gain access to a stock model account and in-depth analyses of exploration and production firms, along with live discussions about the sector [2]
齐鲁银行威海分行:金融活水畅流,赋能民营经济发展
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-07-30 09:41
Core Insights - The article highlights the digital transformation and financial support provided to Jin Hou Group, a shoe manufacturing company, by Qilu Bank's Weihai branch, emphasizing the importance of financial services in enhancing operational efficiency and production capacity [1] Group 1: Digital Transformation - Jin Hou Group's digital workshop features fully automated production lines with robotic arms, showcasing advanced industrial technology [1] - The introduction of a new intelligent shoe production line has increased efficiency by 50% [1] - The company exports products to over 30 countries and regions globally [1] Group 2: Financial Support - Qilu Bank Weihai branch has included Jin Hou Group in its key service "white list" and formed a specialized service team to assess the company's financial needs [1] - The bank has provided over 100 million yuan in credit to Jin Hou Group, facilitating smooth operations and raw material procurement [1] - The innovative "Quanxin Chain" accounts receivable financing solution allows suppliers to convert receivables into liquid funds quickly, improving cash flow across the supply chain [1]
外贸转战618大促:价格战之外追寻品牌溢价
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the shift of foreign trade companies like Aishida towards the domestic market due to uncertainties in international trade, particularly the impact of fluctuating tariffs from the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Market Transition - Aishida's chairman highlights the need to focus on domestic sales, which have become a core strategy following challenges in foreign trade [1] - The "618" e-commerce promotion is seen as a critical test for foreign trade companies transitioning to domestic markets, although the results have been underwhelming compared to previous years [1][3] - Many foreign trade companies are experiencing a decline in growth during major promotions, indicating a shift in consumer enthusiasm and market dynamics [3][5] Group 2: Challenges in Domestic Market - The transition to domestic sales involves complex adjustments in branding and pricing strategies, despite the support from e-commerce platforms [2][3] - Smaller foreign trade companies face intense competition in the domestic market, struggling to gain visibility and manage costs effectively [6][10] - The perception of major promotions like "618" has weakened, with many businesses opting for pre-promotion activities to capture consumer interest [4][5] Group 3: Long-term Opportunities - Despite current challenges, the domestic market holds significant long-term potential, driven by rising consumer demand for high-quality and differentiated products [7][9] - Companies are increasingly investing in advertising and marketing to enhance their presence in the domestic market, with some aiming for domestic orders to constitute a larger share of their total sales [8][9] - The shift from manufacturing to branding represents a strategic evolution for foreign trade companies, allowing them to capture greater pricing power and profit margins [10][11] Group 4: Future Outlook - The success of foreign trade companies in the domestic market will depend on their ability to find brand value beyond price competition and to identify new growth opportunities [12]
特朗普再“开炮”,欧洲奢侈品板块暴跌
第一财经· 2025-05-24 00:07
Group 1 - The article discusses the potential imposition of a 50% tariff on EU products by the U.S. starting June 1, as suggested by President Trump, citing unfair trade practices by the EU [1] - The EU has not yet commented on this new threat and is awaiting discussions between EU trade officials and U.S. representatives [1] - Following the announcement, European stock markets fell sharply, with major indices in the UK and Germany dropping over 1.5%, and luxury goods stocks like LVMH and Hermès declining more than 3% [1] Group 2 - The European luxury goods industry, which includes products like handbags and fashion, is highly sensitive to overseas markets, with the U.S. being a key growth area for the sector this year [2] - France and Italy are the largest exporters of luxury goods to the U.S., with the French luxury sector employing over 600,000 people [2] - Bernard Arnault, chairman of LVMH, emphasized the need for the EU to soften its stance on U.S. trade demands to avoid high tariffs and protect European jobs, as the U.S. market accounts for 25% of LVMH's annual sales [2] - Industry experts indicate that establishing manufacturing facilities in the U.S. to circumvent tariffs is currently impractical due to a lack of skilled labor and expertise [2] - A recent S&P report highlighted that the luxury goods sector is one of the most affected by U.S. tariffs, suggesting that price adjustments may be the primary method for companies to mitigate tariff impacts, although some brands may have limited pricing power due to consumer purchasing capacity [2]