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大行评级丨大摩:特斯拉太阳能制造布局具战略意义,目标价415美元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-11 05:51
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Tesla's allocation of capital to solar manufacturing is based on long-term strategic considerations related to geopolitical changes and data center demand [1] Group 1: Tesla's Solar Manufacturing Strategy - Tesla's plan for vertical integration in solar manufacturing reflects Elon Musk's ambition to deploy solar-powered data centers into space while simultaneously enhancing its leading energy storage business [1] - Morgan Stanley estimates that once fully operational, Tesla's solar business could add between $20 billion to $50 billion (or $6 to $14 per share) in equity value to its energy segment, which is currently valued at $140 billion (or $40 per share) [1] Group 2: Investment Rationale - Although the impact on Tesla's overall valuation may not be significant, the decision to allocate capital to new solar capacity is deemed reasonable as it can create value and growth opportunities through the establishment of a vertically integrated solar and energy storage business [1] - Without this investment, Tesla may face significant bottlenecks related to energy, limiting its ability to achieve broader goals in other business areas [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Morgan Stanley maintains a "in line with large banks" rating for Tesla, with a target price set at $415 [2]
大摩:特斯拉太阳能制造布局具战略意义,目标价415美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 05:51
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Tesla's allocation of capital to solar manufacturing is based on long-term strategic considerations related to geopolitical changes and data center demand [1] Group 1: Tesla's Solar Manufacturing Strategy - Tesla's plan for vertical integration in solar manufacturing reflects Elon Musk's goal of deploying solar-powered data centers into space while simultaneously promoting the synergy of its leading energy storage business [1] - Morgan Stanley estimates that once fully operational, Tesla's solar business could add between $20 billion to $50 billion (or $6 to $14 per share) in equity value to its energy business [1] Group 2: Valuation and Investment Implications - Currently, Morgan Stanley values Tesla's energy segment at $140 billion (or $40 per share) [1] - Although the impact on Tesla's overall valuation from the solar initiative may not be significant, the decision to invest in new solar capacity is seen as reasonable, as it could create value and growth opportunities through a vertically integrated solar and energy storage business [1] - Without this investment, Tesla may face significant energy-related bottlenecks that could limit its ability to achieve broader business objectives [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating and Price Target - Morgan Stanley maintains a "in line with large banks" rating for Tesla, with a target price set at $415 [1]
值得买澄清与特斯拉及TikTok暂无合作
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 04:51
Group 1 - The company, Worth Buying (300785), clarified on an interactive platform that it currently has no project cooperation with Tesla [1] - The company also stated that its international business has not yet engaged in cooperation with TikTok [1] - This clarification may impact market sentiment regarding the company's short-term business expansion expectations [1]
任泽平力挺俞浩:为啥马斯克吹牛一批人无脑追捧,国内的青年企业家年少轻狂一下却换来嘲笑?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 03:38
2月11日,经济学家任泽平转发追觅科技创始人俞浩的博文称:这个时代需要一批仰望星空的人,俞浩 和俞浩们加油。为啥马斯克吹牛,一批人无脑追捧,国内的青年企业家年少轻狂一下,却换来嘲笑?我 们的社会倡导低调文化,但也需要高调的仰望星空的勇闯世界的年轻人。神话就是用来打破的,寻找中 国的马斯克。 俞浩此前发文称,如果自己不跟马斯克黄仁勋他们比,就不可避免地会被拿来跟小米和华为比。这是不 可避免的,爱比较是围观群众的天性。"可是我不想这样,中国人不打中国人。我想永远尊敬小米和华 为,永远尊敬雷总、余总和任总。因此,我不想有一天被拿来比。他们是我永远尊重的前辈企业家和伟 大企业!"他强调,永远喷特斯拉,永远喷马斯克。 责任编辑:王翔 2月11日,经济学家任泽平转发追觅科技创始人俞浩的博文称:这个时代需要一批仰望星空的人,俞浩 和俞浩们加油。为啥马斯克吹牛,一批人无脑追捧,国内的青年企业家年少轻狂一下,却换来嘲笑?我 们的社会倡导低调文化,但也需要高调的仰望星空的勇闯世界的年轻人。神话就是用来打破的,寻找中 国的马斯克。 俞浩此前发文称,如果自己不跟马斯克黄仁勋他们比,就不可避免地会被拿来跟小米和华为比。这是不 可避免的 ...
100GW,远超美国地面需求!特斯拉要扩的光伏产能,在为太空数据中心准备
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-11 03:28
特斯拉抛出"新增100GW太阳能制造产能"的设想后,市场最关心的其实不是它会不会去做组件生意, 而是这件事在特斯拉的长期版图里到底扮演什么角色。摩根士丹利的这份研究把答案指向两个关键词: 供应链与数据中心——尤其是"太空数据中心"。 2月11日,据追风交易台消息,摩根士丹利分析师Andrew S Percoco在最新发布的研报中指出,特斯拉垂 直整合光伏供应链的核心驱动力并非为了在地球上卖板子,而是为了服务于"太空数据中心"的宏大构 想。 该行表示,在地缘政治风险加剧的背景下,确保这一关键能源环节的供应链安全,不仅能为特斯拉能源 业务(Tesla Energy)带来约35%的估值提升,更是其打通星链与太空算力闭环的必要手段。 研报还特别指出,这一战略并非没有代价。要实现从原材料到组件的全产业链覆盖,特斯拉需投入300 亿至700亿美元的巨额资本开支,但这笔钱并未包含在其2026年超过200亿美元的资本支出指引中。 大摩认为,这一巨大的预期差,正成为重新审视特斯拉能源版图估值的关键变量。 醉翁之意不在酒,在乎太空数据中心与供应链安全 据研报,如果仅从供需基本面看,特斯拉此时入局光伏制造毫无逻辑。 目前全球光伏组 ...
AI巨额支出引投资人警告:科技七巨头恐被压垮 谷歌拥致胜法宝
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 02:57
来源:格隆汇APP Hawtin还指出,人工智能竞赛中一个关键因素可能决定胜负:专有数据。"数据的所有权将绝对决定谁 能最终胜出。"并以谷歌母公司Alphabet去年的强劲表现为例。Hawtin表示,尽管Alphabet去年起初表现 不佳,但最终仍成为"科技七巨头"中表现最好的公司,全年涨幅达65%,而"这主要归功于其庞大的专 有数据集"。 格隆汇2月11日|"科技七巨头"——苹果、微软、亚马逊、Alphabet、Meta、特斯拉和英伟达——不断 增长的资本支出,预示着投资者面临的风险增加,并可能成为这些主导公司最终跑输大盘的催化剂。这 是英国基金管理公司Liontrust全球股票主管Hawtin的最新观点。他指出,最近财报中宣布的激进支出计 划是那些寻求可靠回报的股东们最关心的问题。 ...
超长车贷成车企标配“低月供”之下隐忧浮现
Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-11 02:55
Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is experiencing an intense competition with the introduction of "7-year ultra-low interest" car loans by companies like Tesla, NIO, and Xiaomi, alongside Nissan's "0 down payment, 8-year loan" scheme, reflecting the anxiety and strategic shifts in the market as the penetration rate of new energy vehicles exceeds 54% [1][3]. Group 1: Loan Offerings - Dongfeng Nissan has launched a "0 down payment, 8-year ultra-long low-interest loan" for its Tianlai model, with a total cost of approximately 140,000 yuan and a monthly payment of around 55 yuan [2]. - The 8-year loan option has been extended to all models in Dongfeng Nissan's lineup, with the lowest daily payment for the Xuan Yi model being 27 yuan [2]. - Other automotive companies, including Tesla, NIO, and Xiaopeng, have also begun offering similar long-term loan options, breaking away from the traditional 1 to 5-year loan terms [2][3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The shift to ultra-long-term low-interest loans is a response to fierce market competition and reflects traditional automakers' anxiety during the critical transition to new energy vehicles [3]. - By 2025, new energy vehicles are projected to account for 50.8% of domestic car sales, indicating a significant market shift [3]. - The regulatory environment has also facilitated longer loan terms, allowing banks to extend personal consumption loans from a maximum of 5 years to 7 years for long-term consumers [3]. Group 3: Risks and Concerns - The ultra-long car loans are primarily offered through financing leasing companies rather than traditional bank loans, which raises potential legal and financial risks for consumers [5][6]. - Consumers may not legally own the vehicle until all payments are made, leading to a situation where they could lose both the vehicle and their payments if they default [6]. - The depreciation of electric vehicles poses a risk, as the residual value may fall below the outstanding loan balance, creating a "negative equity" situation for consumers [6][7].
未知机构:20260209复盘宏观1高市早苗言论涉参拜神社-20260211
未知机构· 2026-02-11 02:35
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview Macro Environment - Recent comments from Japanese politician Takashi Shimizu indicate a growing unfriendly sentiment among Japanese youth towards China [1] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges announced a package of measures to optimize refinancing, emphasizing support for high-quality and high-tech companies, streamlining the refinancing process, and enhancing regulatory oversight throughout the refinancing process [1] - Reports suggest that some major banks in the U.S. have been verbally requested to limit their purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds [1] - Federal Reserve official Bessenet indicated that the Fed will act cautiously regarding balance sheet adjustments, not expecting rapid reductions and requiring up to a year for decision-making [1] Artificial Intelligence - Seedance 2.0 has prohibited the upload of real human materials [1] - OpenAI plans to release an upgraded conversational model this week [1] - Oracle raised $25 billion, with subscriptions reaching $130 billion, indicating a fivefold oversubscription [1] - Altman boasted to employees about the accelerated growth of ChatGPT, with OpenAI set to secure $100 billion in financing [1] Robotics - Sellers report that the V3 model is focused on in-house use in North American factories, while the V4 model is a key focus for Musk, aiming to become a blockbuster product [2] Dye Industry - Dye prices continue to rise, supported by strong pricing power from leading companies due to integration and scale [3] Solid-State Batteries - Leading battery manufacturers have reported that mid-term review results show over 87% state of charge (SOC) cycle life exceeding 300 cycles, meeting standards that are double that of GXB [4] Stock Market Performance - From 2021 to the 2025 Spring Festival holiday, the Hang Seng Index showed an average absolute return of 3.32%, with a median increase of 2.93%. The Hang Seng Technology Index had an average absolute return of 5.93% and a median increase of 5.50% [5] Market Strategy Observations - Today's trading volume reached 22.495 trillion, with an increase of 1.038 trillion. The index rebounded well, but there is limited upward space for the Shanghai Composite Index, suggesting greater potential for small-cap indices [6] - Key sectors include communication (AI), media (applications), and electronics (primarily AI) [7] - Hardware is following overseas recovery trends, while software is benefiting from significant gains in ByteDance [8] - Despite efforts, low-position stocks have not outperformed new tech directions significantly. The market experienced a broad rally, particularly in AI and space photovoltaic sectors, although there was limited follow-up buying, leading to some pullbacks [9] - Core chemical sub-sectors are experiencing price increases, but demand for these niche products remains low [10] Geopolitical Events - Ongoing geopolitical events in Japan and Iran should be monitored, although there has been little market impact recently. The strategy before the holiday involves maintaining positions in logical investments rather than switching, focusing on familiar sectors [11]
未知机构:华创汽车26M2新势力折扣相对稳定少量车型环比放大-20260211
未知机构· 2026-02-11 01:55
【华创汽车】26M2新势力折扣相对稳定,少量车型环比放大 1特斯拉:低折扣+2月放大,近半年折扣0-8k、折扣率0-3.4%,2月Model 3恢复8k保险补贴。 2小鹏:中折扣+2月放大,近半年折扣0-1.7w、折扣率0-6.8%,2月MONA新增5k购置税补贴。 3理想:高折扣+2月不变,近半年折扣0-4.5w、折扣率0-13.3%,2月折扣不变。 4极氪:高折扣+2月放大,近半年折扣0-2.7w、折扣率0-12.9%,2月007 GT新增1w保险补贴。 【华创汽车】26M2新势力折扣相对稳定,少量车型环比放大 1特斯拉:低折扣+2月放大,近半年折扣0-8k、折扣率0-3.4%,2月Model 3恢复8k保险补贴。 2小鹏:中折扣+2月放大,近半年折扣0-1.7w、折扣率0-6.8%,2月MONA新增5k购置税补贴。 3理想:高折扣+2月不变,近半年折扣0-4.5w、折扣率0-13 8智己:中折扣+2月不变,近半年折扣8k-1.5w、折扣率2.7-8.2%,2月折扣不变。 9蔚来:蔚来无固定折扣、乐道无折扣,萤火虫折扣2k、折扣率1.7%,2月折扣不变。 注1:资料来源杰兰路,月度统计时间为上月中旬至本月 ...
2.11犀牛财经早报:10年期国债收益率下破1.8%
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2026-02-11 01:53
Group 1: Banking and Wealth Management - The scale of bank wealth management products has decreased by approximately 815 billion yuan, with 14 major wealth management companies managing a total of 24.59 trillion yuan as of the end of January 2026, marking a decline for the second consecutive month since reaching a peak in November 2025 [1][2] - Despite the decline, there is optimism in the industry as low fixed deposit rates and a large amount of fixed deposits maturing in 2026 may lead to a reallocation of household wealth towards wealth management products [1] - Sales of bank wealth management products surged before the Spring Festival, with some products breaking sales records, indicating a potential recovery in the market [1] Group 2: Private Equity and Investment - The number of domestic private equity firms managing over 10 billion yuan has reached a record high of 122, increasing by 10 from the end of December 2025 [1] - Eight new private equity firms entered the 10 billion yuan club in January 2026, showcasing a growing trend in the private equity sector [1] Group 3: Energy Market - The EIA's short-term energy outlook report predicts that Brent crude oil prices will average $58 per barrel in 2026, up from a previous estimate of $56 per barrel, while WTI crude oil prices are expected to average $53.42 per barrel, an increase from $52.21 per barrel [2] Group 4: Silver Market - The World Silver Association forecasts that the silver market will experience a supply deficit for the sixth consecutive year in 2026, with a projected shortfall of 67 million ounces [3] - Global silver demand is expected to remain stable, driven by robust retail investment, which may offset declines in other key demand areas such as jewelry and industrial use [3] Group 5: IPO Market - The Hong Kong IPO market has been active in 2026, with fundraising exceeding 79 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of over 1220% [3][4] - As of February 10, 2026, 422 companies are queued for IPOs in Hong Kong, with over 100 having submitted applications since the beginning of the year [3] Group 6: Credit Card Industry - In 2025, 65 credit card centers were closed, surpassing the total number of closures from 2020 to 2024, indicating a significant contraction in the credit card industry [4] - The trend of closing credit card centers is spreading from state-owned and joint-stock banks to city commercial banks, reflecting a shift from expansion to competition in the credit card sector [4] Group 7: Corporate Actions - Ningde Times issued its first green technology innovation bond for 2026, raising 5 billion yuan with a coupon rate of 1.70% [6] - Huazhang Technology plans to acquire 100% of Huayi Microelectronics for 29.96 billion yuan, aiming to enhance its packaging and testing business in the semiconductor sector [10]