2026.02.04 截至收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌166.67点，跌幅0.34%，报49240.99点；标普500指数下跌58.63点， 跌幅0.84%，报6917.81点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌336.92点，跌幅1.43%，报23255.19点，几乎完全回吐 年初以来的涨幅。 | 道琼斯工业 | 纳斯达克指数 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 49240.99 | 23255.19 | 6917.81 | | -166.67 -0.34% | -336.92 -1.43% | -58.63 -0.84% | 大型科技股普遍承压。英伟达收跌2.84%，连续第三个交易日回落。微软下跌2.87%，特斯拉基本持 平、微涨0.04%，苹果回落0.20%。AlphabetA类股下跌1.16%，C类股跌1.22%；亚马逊下挫1.79%，博通 跌幅达3.26%，超威半导体下跌1.69%，Meta Platforms下滑2.08%。 沃尔玛上涨逾2%，受数字业务增长和新客户获取带动，公司市值首次突破1万亿美元。 百事可乐在其业务有机销售额改善的推动下公布强劲盈利后，股价上涨4%。 中概股整体 ...

早盘提示 Morning session notice 美国回归门罗主义，在全球收缩，将对全球经济、美债、美股、美元、贵金属、 工业金属等大类资产产生颠覆式深远影响。 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2026 年 2 月 4 日 星期三 联系方式：yujunli@greendh.com 沃什的降息+缩表组合，表明美联储货币政策将重大转向，将对权益类资产产 生强烈的流动性收缩预期。 研究员： 于军礼 从业资格： F0247894 交易咨询资格：Z0000112 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 【重要资讯】 | | | | | | 1、特朗普明确表态，要求对美联储主席鲍威尔的刑事调查"进行到底"。市场担 | | | | | 忧，特朗普对鲍威尔的穷追猛打，可能导致沃什无法顺利接任联储主席一职。此前 | | | | | 共和党参议员 Thom Tillis 警告，"不停止调查就阻挠新美联储主席提名"。 | | | | | 2、对冲基金疯狂逃离软件股，私募股权板块遭遇抛售潮。巴克莱警告 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 特斯拉：国产Model 3全系交付周期为2-4周，Model Y长续航版本交付周期为4-6周、后轮驱动版本交付周 期为1-3周，Model YL交付周期为2-4周；Model 3全系可享8,000元限时保险补贴+7年超低息金融政策， Model Y全系享7年超低息金融政策，Model YL享5年0息金融政策。新势力：1）理想：L6交付周期维持1- 3周，MEGA交付周期维持1-4周，i8/L7交付周期维持2-4周，L9交付周期缩短至1-3周（vs. 1月为1-5 周），L8交付周期缩短至1-3周（vs. 1月为1-4周），i6宁德时代电池版本交付周期维持19-22周、欣旺达电 池版本交付周期缩短至4-7周；1月理想L7/L8/ ...

周二美股成交额第1名英伟达收跌2.84%，成交363.81亿美元。至此英伟达已连续第三个交易日下跌。 昨日有报道称英伟达计划向OpenAI投入1000亿美元的计划已陷入停滞，因公司内部对OpenAI的商业模 式和长期竞争态势产生严重疑虑。 不过英伟达CEO黄仁勋周二表示，公司对OpenAI的投资计划仍"按部就班推进"。 "此事完全不存在争议，相关说法纯属无稽之谈，" 黄仁勋称，"我们十分乐意与OpenAI合作。"黄仁勋 同时表示，英伟达将参与OpenAI的下一轮融资。他称这轮融资将成为"历史上规模最大的私人融资"。 他还补充道，英伟达会考虑参与OpenAI未来的所有融资轮次，并希望参与OpenAI最终的首次公开募 股。 第2名微软收跌2.87%，成交247.46亿美元。至此该股已经连续四个交易日下跌，今年迄今已下跌约 15%。该公司近日公布了第四季度财报，这家科技巨头在营收和盈利两方面均超出市场预期，然而财报 发布后其股价大幅下跌。 第3名特斯拉收高0.04%，成交236.97亿美元。据央视新闻消息，当地时间2月3日，法国巴黎检察院表 示，当天已对美国企业家马斯克旗下社交媒体平台X位于法国的办公场所展开搜查。 ...

Let’s go ahead and get this out of the way: I’m not the biggest fan of Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) as an investment owing to its high valuation and (in my opinion) highly speculative nature. ThatMarkets rise and fall, booms come and go, and the world keeps ticking. Ultimately, I believe observing megatrends, as difficult as they can be to spot, let alone fully comprehend, can yield insights into the advance of human society, which in turn could pave the way for many useful investment insights. As society and techn ...

Let’s go ahead and get this out of the way: I’m not the biggest fan of Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) as an investment owing to its high valuation and (in my opinion) highly speculative nature. ThatMarkets rise and fall, booms come and go, and the world keeps ticking. Ultimately, I believe observing megatrends, as difficult as they can be to spot, let alone fully comprehend, can yield insights into the advance of human society, which in turn could pave the way for many useful investment insights. As society and techn ...

With roughly a third of companies reporting thus far, S&P 500 EPS growth for Q4 2025 currently stands at 11.9%This week, Alphabet, Amazon, and several consumer names take the stage as peak earnings season hits its stridePotential earnings surprises this week: Disney, CME Group, Take-Two Interactive, Phillips 66 and more​Mixed Signals in the Mag 7: AI Spending Rattles Big Tech Headline whiplash returned to US equity markets last week, but this time the drama wasn’t geopolitical. On Thursday, the tech-heavy ...

Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER) will share details on its ride-hail and Uber Eats businesses when the company reports fourth-quarter financial results Wednesday before market open. Investors may want to hear more about the company's robotaxi plans going forward.Here are the earnings estimates, analyst ratings and key items to watch.Uber Q4 Earnings EstimatesAnalysts expect Uber to report fourth-quarter revenue of $14.31 billion, up from $11.96 billion in last year's fourth quarter, according to data from Benz ...

Core Insights - Elon Musk's SpaceX has acquired xAI, aiming to leverage solar power for AI applications and accelerate humanity's future, with a combined valuation of $1.25 trillion [2][7] - The anticipated IPO from Musk could rival the largest tech companies in the U.S., potentially boosting Tesla's valuation as it holds stakes in xAI [3][6] Group 1 - The merger of SpaceX and xAI is positioned to create a mega company focused on space-based resources for AI development [2] - The deal has sparked speculation about a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX/xAI, with analysts suggesting a growing likelihood of such an event [5][6] - Prediction markets indicate a 24% probability of a Tesla-SpaceX merger announcement before June 30, up from previous lower estimates [7] Group 2 - The financial implications of the SpaceX-xAI deal include expectations for the largest IPO by market cap this year, with traders placing an 88% probability on this outcome [7] - The news has revitalized interest in space-based data centers and the potential integration of Tesla into Musk's broader vision [2][4]

James Foord is an economist by trade and has been analyzing global markets for the past decade. He leads the investing group The Pragmatic Investor where the focus is on building robust and truly diversified portfolios that will continually preserve and increase wealth. The Pragmatic Investor covers global macro, international equities, commodities, tech and cryptocurrencies and is designed to guide investors of all levels in their journey. Features include a The Pragmatic Investor Portfolio, weekly market ...