温馨提示 ： 点击下方图片，查看运营团队最新原创报告（共260页） 说明： 欢迎约稿、刊例合作、行业交流 ， 行业交流记得先加入 "机器人头条"知识星球 ，后添加（ 微信号：lietou100w ）微 信； 若有侵权、改稿请联系编辑运营（微信：li_sir_2020）； 正文： 马斯克连续为Optimus V3打call，2026年第二周（周五），T链们再迎来一波上行行情！ 2026年开年，伴随大盘走势大幅上行背景下，尽管T链标的发包、待定点、定点等利好资讯不断，T链们丝毫没有 承接去年12月底的主升行情且走势较弱的原因，小编往期文章已多次提到提到过"利好催化不足，缺乏官方"爆 点"利好催化，所以仅是核心利好标的行情"。 商业航天、脑机接口、自动驾驶年后皆大幅上行，尤其是商业航天，行情和热度从去年12月延续至今，最热门板 块且没有之一，马年炒"马"的逻辑毋庸置疑；唯一的区别，相较于这三者，人形机器人Optimus项目目前还没有 阶段性进展（V3样机亮相）且没有官方利好推文（特指马斯克 ） 。 最终，伴随马斯克两篇为 Optimus V3打call推文，T链们终于在周五（1月17日）迎来一波真正上行行情，运营 ...

Core Viewpoint - Investor Gary Black has exited his position in Tesla Inc. due to concerns over its stock valuation and increased competition in the electric vehicle (EV) market [1][4]. Group 1: Tesla's Valuation and Market Position - Black compared Tesla's current valuation to Amazon's early days, noting that he invested in Amazon despite its infinite P/E ratio because he recognized its potential in retail [2][6]. - Tesla was previously Black's fund's largest position, attributed to its unique ability to produce high-quality EVs at a significant cost advantage [4]. - The decision to exit Tesla was influenced by the penetration of competition in the EV market and the stock price exceeding Black's valuation estimates [4]. Group 2: Future Trends and Competitors - Black sees a similar trend emerging in autonomous driving, with many competitors beginning to offer unsupervised autonomous ride-hailing services, facilitated by advancements in technology from companies like Nvidia [5]. - Despite the exit from Tesla stock, Black maintains a positive view of the company itself, indicating a distinction between the company's potential and its current stock valuation [5]. Group 3: Tesla's Sales Performance - Tesla's Model Y was the best-selling EV in the U.S. last year, with over 357,528 units sold, and the introduction of a 7-seater layout version could further enhance sales [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic importance of Spain as a key entry point for Chinese automotive companies into the European market, highlighting various partnerships and investments that are reshaping the automotive landscape in Spain and beyond [4][12][20]. Group 1: Chinese Automotive Expansion in Spain - The establishment of a joint venture, EBRO, between Chery Automobile and Spanish company EV Motor in Barcelona marks a significant step in revitalizing the local automotive industry [6][24]. - Other Chinese companies, such as Leap Motor and Dongfang Automotive, are also setting up manufacturing bases in Spain, indicating a broader trend of Chinese automotive firms entering the European market [9][12]. - The article emphasizes that Spain serves as a strategic hub for Chinese automotive companies to access the EU market, leveraging its favorable trade conditions and logistical advantages [20][28]. Group 2: Economic and Market Context - Spain is the fifth largest new car market in the EU, with new car registrations expected to reach approximately 1.017 million in 2024, reflecting a 7.1% year-on-year growth [18]. - The EU's electric vehicle penetration rate is around 38%, making it a lucrative market for Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers [16]. - The article notes that by 2025, Chinese electric vehicle brands had captured over 11% of the European market share, indicating significant growth potential [16]. Group 3: Strategic Advantages of Spain - Spain's geographical position allows for efficient access to key markets in Europe, Latin America, and North Africa, enhancing the logistics and distribution capabilities for Chinese automotive firms [20][28]. - The country offers attractive tax incentives for new automotive ventures, including tax reductions and subsidies for companies that create jobs and invest in local production [27][28]. - The existing automotive ecosystem in Spain, characterized by a mature supply chain and skilled workforce, provides a conducive environment for Chinese companies to establish operations and innovate [34][35]. Group 4: Challenges and Adaptation - Chinese automotive companies face challenges in fully integrating into the local market and supply chain, necessitating a deep commitment to local partnerships and community engagement [29][32]. - The article highlights Chery's strategic approach of leveraging local assets and forming partnerships to mitigate risks associated with entering the European market [24][29]. - The need for Chinese firms to adapt to local regulations and consumer preferences is emphasized as crucial for long-term success in Spain and the broader European market [29][32].

Jason Calacanis, tech investor and podcaster, said Tesla Inc.‘s (NASDAQ:TSLA) humanoid robot Optimus could overshadow the company's automotive legacy after a visit to its robotics facility.Visit To Tesla Optimus LabOn Thursday's episode of the All-In Podcast, Calacanis said he visited Tesla's Optimus lab with CEO Elon Musk two Sundays earlier at 10 a.m., where he saw Optimus 3 and watched teams of engineers at work. He made the remarks while speaking with Bob Sternfels, global managing partner of McKinsey & ...

特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克在X上发帖称，公司用于完全自动驾驶系统的AI5 芯片设计工作已基本完 成，现处于开发下一代AI6的早期阶段。马斯克表示，特斯拉希望未来的芯片迭代采用9个月的设计周 期。马斯克在去年11月24日发布有关芯片进展的帖子后，特斯拉股价一度大涨近7%。该公司使用这些 芯片为其自动驾驶汽车功能以及仍处于起步阶段的 机器人产品线提供支持。（智通财经） ...

Market Performance - The S&P 500 decreased by 0.4% this week, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.7%[1] - Small-cap value (Russell 2000 Value) outperformed with a gain of 2.2%, followed by small-cap growth (Russell 2000 Growth) at 1.9%[1] - Among 10 sectors, 6 sectors saw gains, with Food & Staples Retailing up 4.6% and Capital Goods up 4.4%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$1.7 billion this week, down from +$130.2 million last week[2] - Semiconductor products and equipment saw a significant inflow of $37.6 million, while Software & Services experienced an outflow of $32.7 million[2] Earnings Forecast - The 12-month forward EPS estimate for S&P 500 components was revised up by 0.3% this week, consistent with last week[3] - The automotive sector led with an EPS increase of 1.3%, while the energy sector saw a decrease of 2.1%[3] Risk Factors - Key risks include uncertainties in economic fundamentals, international political situations, U.S. fiscal policies, and Federal Reserve monetary policies[3]

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk's surprise announcement to offer the company's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology as a subscription service only starting next month has raised questions about the motive behind the move and whether it could be tied to tranches outlined in the trillion-dollar pay package approved last November by investors.The AnnouncementMusk shared the announcement via a post on the social media platform X in the wee hours of Wednesday, saying that the company would stop selling FSD ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The human-shaped robot's ability to run smoothly represents a significant technological leap from mere functionality to human-like capabilities, indicating a potential shift towards practical applications in complex environments [9][20] - The competition in the humanoid robot industry has evolved into a multi-dimensional strategic game, with different focuses across the supply chain, emphasizing the need for companies to integrate technology, establish standards, and meet real industry demands [22][30] - The future of humanoid robots hinges on overcoming five critical conditions: technological maturity, cost control, clear market positioning, infrastructure development, and societal acceptance [30][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: The Impact of Robot Running Demonstrations - The recent running demonstrations by Tesla's Optimus and Figure AI have generated significant global interest, suggesting a potential breakthrough in the commercialization of humanoid robots [5][6] - These demonstrations challenge the notion that advanced robotics can only exist in controlled environments, indicating a shift towards practical, scalable applications [31] Section 2: Technical Breakdown of Running Capabilities - Achieving running capabilities involves overcoming substantial technical challenges, including dynamic balance, rapid response times, and energy efficiency [10][19] - The transition from walking to running signifies a fundamental change in robotic capabilities, moving from static to dynamic balance, which is essential for operating in unpredictable environments [12][20] Section 3: Business Logic Behind the Demonstrations - The timing of these demonstrations reflects a strategic move by industry leaders to signal their technological advancements and readiness for market integration [32] - Both Tesla and Figure AI are pursuing different paths: Tesla aims for a universal platform while Figure AI focuses on specific industrial applications, highlighting the diverse strategies within the industry [26][30] Section 4: Industry Chain Dynamics - The competition among suppliers, manufacturers, and application developers is intensifying, with each segment vying for control over standards and market share [22][30] - The report emphasizes the importance of establishing a robust ecosystem that supports the development and deployment of humanoid robots in real-world applications [30] Section 5: Future Outlook - The next few years are critical for validating the feasibility of humanoid robots, with key indicators including commercial orders, supply chain formation, and cost reduction trends [31] - The industry is at a pivotal moment, transitioning from experimental demonstrations to practical implementations that can deliver economic value [31]

特斯拉 V3 确定性提升，产能扩张在即，看 好制造经营优势企业 ——机器人产业跟踪 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 近期关于特斯拉 V3 机器人的公开信息增多，我们认为市场的担忧下降、行业景气度上升 的确定性上升，由此带来投资机会。在 V3 落地后，我们预计行业将进入产能扩建，而制 造和经营能力领先的企业更具投资机会。相关标的：拓普集团(601689，买入)、三花智 控(002050，买入)、五洲新春(603667，买入)、恒立液压(601100，未评级)、震裕科技 (300953，买入)。 风险提示 厂商生产不及预期、场景需求落地不明确导致低于预期、国家政策变化导致行业发展放 缓、行业融资不及预期、模型发展和数据采集慢于预期、订单执行效果低于预期、产品 降价风险。 机械设备行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 机械设备行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 17 日 看好（维持） 杨震 执业证书编号：S0860520060002 香港证监会牌照：BSW113 yangzhen@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 电感编码器性能卓越，机器人应用打开长 | 2026 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive parts industry is expected to experience significant growth driven by the acceleration of smart and global trends, with humanoid robots entering a phase of mass production by 2026 [2][7]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In 2025, domestic wholesale vehicle sales reached 21.16 million units, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, leading to an 8.3% increase in automotive parts revenue [2][20]. - For 2026, the wholesale vehicle sales are projected to reach 30.3 million units, a 1.0% year-on-year increase, supported by the continuation of vehicle replacement policies [2][46]. - The automotive parts sector is expected to benefit from the increasing share of domestic brands and the pressure of annual declines on profit margins, which decreased by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [2][43]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy emphasizes the importance of high-quality customers, with domestic brands being prioritized over new forces and joint ventures [3][9]. - The focus is on high-growth clients such as Geely and BYD in the domestic market, and the expansion of overseas production capacity is expected to enhance revenue and profit [3][8]. - The global expansion of Chinese automotive parts is anticipated to continue, particularly in North America and Europe, driven by the increasing electrification rate [3][9]. Group 3: Product Dimensions - The smart driving sector is expected to see accelerated growth, with a projected increase in penetration rates as advanced driving technologies become more accessible to the mass market [4][39]. - Humanoid robots are entering a mass production phase in 2026, with significant advancements in AI and robotics technology expected to drive long-term growth [4][54]. - Key investment opportunities are identified in high-performance driving chips and smart cockpit controllers, which are expected to experience substantial growth [4][53]. Group 4: Financial Performance - The automotive parts sector's revenue growth is closely tied to passenger vehicle sales, with a noted increase in average selling prices (ASP) [15][20]. - The gross profit margin for the automotive parts sector was 19.4% in 2025, reflecting a slight decline due to increased pressure from OEMs [26][33]. - The net profit growth for the automotive parts sector was only 4.2% year-on-year, indicating that profit growth is lagging behind revenue growth due to pressures from OEMs [33][39]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The automotive parts industry is expected to see a shift towards smart and electric components, with a focus on intelligent driving and humanoid robots as key growth areas [2][53]. - The five-force model indicates that the industry will favor smart electric components over traditional parts, with significant growth potential in humanoid robots and low-altitude applications [53][54]. - The overall industry space is defined by the value per vehicle, vehicle sales, and product penetration rates, with a strong emphasis on high-quality customers and favorable market conditions [54].