Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on a generalist approach across various sectors with potential for outperforming the S&P 500 [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company manages a family portfolio primarily through a Self Managed Super Fund, aiming for a holding period that ranges from a few quarters to multiple years [1] - The investment approach includes building and maintaining spreadsheets that track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and performance indicators [1] - The company prefers not to build DCF models for long-term projections, instead focusing on assessing past performance and the outlook on five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capex and investments, and interest rates [1] Group 2: Research Methodology - The company monitors relevant industry news, reports, and other analysts' coverage to stay informed about the stocks being analyzed [1] - In instances of CEO changes, the company conducts in-depth research on the new leader's background and past performance [1] - For companies with high trading multiples, a reverse DCF analysis is sometimes performed to understand the implied growth CAGR implications [1]

I aim to provide alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multiple years.A bit about how I approach research and coverage of a stock:I build ...

[Table_Date] 2026 年 1 月 25 日 [Table_Title] 太空光伏开辟增量空间，看好产业链发展机遇 [Table_Title2] 电力设备与新能源行业周观察 证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要 海内外人形机器人产业化加速，有望迎来量产落地时点。在降本 需求的驱动下，人形机器人核心零部件的国产替代需求凸显，持 续看好后续在精密传动件、电子皮肤等核心环节具备卡位优势的 国内供应商。 2. 新能源汽车 宁德时代发布首款轻商量产钠电池 我们认为，钠电兼具成本和性能优势。根据 SMM 数据，1 月 23 日，国产电池级碳酸锂（99.5%）日均价为 17.10 万元，同比 （2025 年 1 月 23 日 7.79 万元）增长 119.5%。由于碳酸锂在锂 电池成本中的比重较高，假设 1GWh 锂电池需要 600 吨碳酸锂计 算，碳酸锂价格上涨 10 万元，将带来锂电池成本增加 0.06 元， 因此碳酸锂价格的明显上涨将带来锂电池成本的提升。而钠元 素凭借资源禀赋优势，相比之下性价比优势突显。根据 SMM 数 据，1 月 23 日，电池级碳酸钠（99.5%）平 ...

At the same time, the dollar has fallen more than 2.7% against the Swiss franc, a sign of traders hedging against systemic instability. The dollar also fell roughly 1.8% against the yen as the Japanese currency surged through the end of the week.Over the past five days, EUR/USD, the most traded FX pair in the world, has picked up nearly 2% as the euro has strengthened against the dollar.And while the US backed off tariff threats over Greenland, and the EU suspended a package of retaliatory trade measures , ...

投顾发展 | 投顾晨报 震荡依旧，结构为王 朝闻道 20260126 市场策略 震荡依旧，结构为王 风格策略 方向还在中盘蓝筹 行业策略 化工：持续看好 PVC 价值重估 主题策略 智能汽车：特斯拉推动 FSD 付费升级，关注智驾 风险提示 需求不及预期；海外市场供需情况变化；油价大幅波动；车企价格战压力。 江韶军 执业证书编号：S0860525090001 jiangshaojun@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 慢牛预期强化，把握中盘蓝筹：朝闻道 20260123 2026-01-21 指数维持震荡，方向还在中盘蓝筹：朝闻 道 20260121 2026-01-20 指数震荡整固，优化持仓结构：朝闻道 20260119 2026-01-17 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 26 日 ⚫ 特斯拉积极推进 FSD 付费升级，有望带动国内车企向软件付费逐步转型。马斯克在 社交媒体表示，FSD 监督版的订阅价格将随着 FSD 能力的提高而上 ...

核心观点： 机器人：景气度加速向上，OpenAI 开设人形机器人研究院并扩充规模，特斯拉规划 27 年开启 ToC 销售。 宇树科技半个月内国家知识产权局接连授权了两项外观设计专利。1 月 6 日和 1 月 20 日，国家知识产权局分别通过 了宇树科技的两项名为"人形机器人"的外观设计专利。专利摘要显示，该设计聚焦"整机形"，未涉及结构、控制 或算法细节，适用于工业产线、商业服务及空间探索等多场景，为后续功能迭代预留接口。 优必选 WalkerS2 入职空客，机器人挺进高标准航空制造域。优必选披露与欧洲航空巨头空中客车公司正式签署人形 机器人服务协议。作为协议的核心，空中客车已采购优必选最新款工业版人形机器人 WalkerS2。这批机器人将正式进 入空客的制造工厂，在作业环境复杂且精度要求极高的航空制造环境中实岗锻炼。本次与空中客车达成合作，意味着 优必已逐步将人形机器人进一步拓展至全球航空制造、汽车制造、3C 电子制造、智慧物流、半导体制造 5 大场景。 意优科技首条机器人关节自动化生产线投产，产能进一步提高。意优科技是智元创新科技股份有限公司的供应商之一， 在江苏无锡、上海张江的机器人关节年产能共 30 ...

钛媒体App 1月25日消息，下周市场大事预告： 1.Wind数据显示，下周逆回购到期规模为11810亿元，周一至周五分别到期1583亿、3240亿、3635亿、 2102亿、1250亿；另有2000亿元MLF于周一到期。本周央行已开展11810亿元逆回购操作，净投放2295 亿元，市场关注流动性对冲工具使用情况。 2.周一（26日）：国新办就2025年商务工作及运行情况举行新闻发布会。 3.周二（27日）：将公布中国2025年12月及全年规模以上工业企业利润同比数据。 4.周三（28日）：国新办发布会，介绍2025年国资央企高质量发展情况。 5.周五（30日）：将公布中国香港四季度GDP同比初值等数据。 6.周六（31日）：将公布中国1月官方制造业PMI数据。 7.Wind数据显示，30家公司限售股解禁，总市值逾400亿元（按1月23日收盘价计算）。从解禁市值来 看，1月27日是解禁高峰期。解禁市值居前三位的是：海博思创（231.54亿元）、福斯达（53.67亿 元）、益方生物-U（42.51亿元）。从个股的解禁量看，解禁股数居前三位的是：益方生物-U（1.61亿 股）、福斯达（1.11亿股）、海博思创（0 ...

Group 1: Investor Sentiment - Retail investors are moving away from Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock, with significant net purchases of Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) totaling $15 billion since July 2025, surpassing all other Magnificent 7 companies combined [2] - Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) has also seen a notable $6 billion in net retail purchases, indicating a shift in investor preferences among major tech companies [3] Group 2: Awards and Recognition - Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) has received 16 nominations for the 98th Academy Awards, aiming for a strong comeback after leading last year [4] - Apple Inc. has secured a Best Picture nomination, while Warner Bros. Discovery has set a new record with its film 'Sinners' [4] Group 3: Technological Developments - Apple Inc. is reportedly developing an AI-powered wearable pin, which could run the next-generation Siri and is comparable in size to an AirTag, indicating a competitive landscape in AI wearables [5] - Nvidia Corp. has overtaken Apple Inc. as the largest customer of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd (NYSE:TSM), driven by increased demand for artificial intelligence [6] Group 4: Market Innovations - The New York Stock Exchange plans to develop a platform for trading and on-chain settlement of tokenized securities, which will include features like 24/7 operations for U.S.-listed stocks and instant settlement [7]

行业周报 | 电力设备 马斯克公布 200GW 光伏计划，Optimus 预计 2027 年公开销售 证券研究报告 电新行业周报 20260119-20260125 核心结论 马斯克公布 200GW 光伏计划剑指太空 AI，明阳智能收购中山德华 100%股权。马斯克 在达沃斯世界经济论坛宣布 SpaceX 与特斯拉三年内将在美实现 200GW 光伏产能。近 期，明阳智能发布公告，拟通过发行股份及支付现金方式收购德华芯片 100%股权。商业 航天板块景气度持续，推荐福斯特、迈为股份、明阳智能、金风科技，建议关注华菱线 缆、琏升科技、东方日升、泰胜风能、钧达股份、海优新材、赛伍技术、宇晶股份、永 贵电器、天合光能。固态电池板块推荐当升科技，建议关注先惠技术、先导智能、纳科 诺尔、宏工科技。光伏板块推荐标的：爱旭股份，建议关注帝科股份、聚和材料。 AWS 上调 GPU 价格推动算力价值重估，反映全球高性能 GPU 资源持续稀缺。AI 算力 数据中心配套推荐思源电气、东方电气、四方股份、伊戈尔，建议关注联德股份、西子 洁能、科士达。 马斯克预计 Optimus 机器人将于 2027 年底上市公开销售。1 月 22 日 ...

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Data - The Federal Reserve is not expected to change interest rates at the upcoming meeting, but comments from Chair Jerome Powell will be closely analyzed due to pressure from the White House to lower rates [1][4] - The FOMC has lowered rates at three consecutive meetings, but officials are awaiting more economic data on inflation and the labor market before making further cuts [4] - Additional economic data this week includes a delayed report on December wholesale inflation and an update on the U.S. trade balance [5] Group 2: Earnings Reports from Major Companies - Major companies including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Apple are scheduled to report earnings this week, providing insights into the artificial intelligence sector and the performance of leading firms [2][6] - Microsoft is reporting amid a decline in its share price, while Tesla is facing slowed deliveries, prompting a search for new growth opportunities [7] - Meta's report is expected to shed light on its AI plans as it shifts focus from its metaverse projects, and Apple will likely discuss AI in light of its recent partnership with Alphabet [7] Group 3: Other Notable Earnings and Industry Insights - Other tech firms such as Texas Instruments, ASML, and IBM are also in focus, alongside telecom companies AT&T and Verizon [8] - Earnings from companies like Caterpillar, Boeing, General Motors, and Lockheed Martin could provide insights into the strength of the U.S. manufacturing sector [8]