Group 1: Tesla's Challenges - Tesla's shares have decreased by 45% from a mid-December peak of $488.54, facing volatility amid criticism of Elon Musk's political affiliations [1] - The company reported a 13% decline in vehicle sales for the January-March quarter, marking its worst performance since 2022, attributed to an aging vehicle lineup and increased competition [2] - Vehicle sales in Europe have suffered, and the Cybertruck was recalled in the U.S., while potential buyers are holding off on the Model Y due to an anticipated upgraded version [3] Group 2: Lucid's Opportunities - Tesla's issues have led current Tesla owners and potential buyers to consider alternatives like Lucid, which has seen a significant increase in orders from Tesla owners, accounting for nearly half of its EV orders [4] - A small decline in Tesla's demand could greatly benefit Lucid; for example, a 1% loss in Tesla's 1.8 million vehicles sold in 2024 could mean 18,000 potential buyers for Lucid, which sold only 10,000 vehicles last year [5] - Lucid aims to double its vehicle sales to 20,000 by 2025, a target that seems feasible given its sourcing of spare parts from the U.S., which may not be affected by new tariffs [6] Group 3: Lucid's Financial Performance - Lucid reported revenues of $807.8 million in 2024 but faced a negative gross profit of $923.1 million, with a net loss of $636.9 million for the quarter ending December 31 [8] - The company's net profit margin stands at negative 335.9%, significantly below the Automotive - Domestic industry average of 4.4%, indicating a need for increased production to achieve profitability [9] - Lucid must focus on producing affordable EVs to reach a broader market, rather than relying solely on its $79,900 Gravity SUV aimed at niche customers [10] Group 4: Market Outlook for Lucid - Analysts are optimistic about Lucid's growth potential, raising the average short-term price target for LCID stock by 11.7% to $2.68, with a highest target of $5, representing an upside of 108.3% [7]

Core Insights - Technology stocks experienced significant declines due to fears of a global trade war following retaliatory tariffs from China [1][3] - The Nasdaq Composite is on track for its worst week since 2020, with the Magnificent Seven group losing over $1 trillion in market value [4][5] Company Performance - Tesla and Nvidia saw substantial losses, dropping more than 9% and 7% respectively, following a decline of over 5% the previous day [2] - Apple faced a 5% loss, accumulating a week-to-date drop of over 11%, pressured by new tariffs affecting its secondary manufacturing locations [2] - Meta Platforms decreased by 4%, while Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft each dipped more than 1% [3] - Oracle fell by 5%, and AppLovin and Palantir Technologies experienced significant declines of 15% and 11% respectively [3] Sector Impact - The VanEck Semiconductor index dropped 7%, with Marvell Technology leading the decline at 11% [5] - Major semiconductor companies like Lam Research, Qorvo, Advanced Micro Devices, and Intel fell more than 7%, while Micron Technology lost 12% on Friday, marking a quarter of its value lost week-to-date [5] - Concerns are rising that widespread tariffs could negatively impact demand in the semiconductor sector, despite it being excluded from the recent tariffs [4]

For anyone wondering, I said I liked Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA ) at $400, and again at $260, and then again at $222. I’m upgrading the stock to a strong buy as the sell-off continues, and my thesis stands. Funny enough, though, if you boughtI’m a retired Wall Street PM specializing in TMT; since kickstarting my career, I’ve spent over two decades in the market navigating the technology landscape, focusing on risk mitigation through the dot com bubble, credit default of ‘08, and, more recently, with the AI b ...

U.S. stock futures were lower this morning, with the Dow futures falling more than 1,200 points on Friday.Shares of Guess?, Inc. GES fell sharply in today's pre-market trading after the company reported fourth-quarter financial results.Guess? reported upbeat results for its fourth quarter and named Alberto Toni as CFO. The company said it sees FY26 revenue to increase 3.9% – 6.2% in US Dollars and adjusted EPS of $1.32 – $1.76.Guess shares dipped 3% to $9.74 in the pre-market trading session.Here are some o ...

Tesla (TSLA -5.40%) investors have a decision to make. Vehicle sales dropped last year for the first time since the electric vehicle (EV) specialist began mass production. Notably, 2024 net income plunged by 53% versus 2023.Those two things were related, of course. Sales dropped as demand for EVs slowed and competition grew. That led to a price war to attract customers, which slashed profit margins and earnings.After Thursday's decline, the stock has now dropped by about 30% so far in 2025. Investors need t ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has experienced significant volatility in 2024, leading to a bearish technical indicator known as the Death Cross for its leveraged ETFs, raising questions about future performance and potential buying opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock is down over 30% year-to-date and has decreased by 7% in the past month, negatively impacting its leveraged ETFs [2]. - The Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL) is down nearly 60% year-to-date, while the GraniteShares 2x Long TSLA Daily ETF (TSLR) has declined by almost 59% [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - A Death Cross has occurred for both TSLL and TSLR, where the 50-day moving average has fallen below the 200-day moving average, typically indicating a prolonged downside [2]. - Despite the bearish signals, Tesla's stock is currently priced at $266.18, above its 20-day simple moving averages (SMAs), suggesting short-term buying pressure [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Traders face a dilemma between riding the bearish momentum or betting on a potential turnaround, as Tesla's trend is stagnating but not collapsing [4]. - If Tesla maintains strength above its shorter-term moving averages, a short squeeze in TSLL and TSLR could occur, but if the Death Cross remains valid, further declines may follow [4].

Core Insights - Tesla Inc. experienced significant trading activity, initially dropping 6.4% after reporting its worst sales quarter in three years, but later rebounding by 5.3% following news about CEO Elon Musk potentially stepping back from government duties [1][4][6] Group 1: Sales and Deliveries - Tesla delivered 336,681 vehicles in Q1, a 13% decline from the previous year and below the Bloomberg estimate of 390,342, marking the worst quarter for deliveries since Q2 2022 [3] - The company produced 362,615 vehicles during the same quarter, with 345,454 being Model 3/Y and 17,161 other models [5] Group 2: Market Position and Challenges - Tesla faced its biggest crisis in years, with shares falling 36% amid protests and boycotts related to Musk's political activities, losing its title as the world's largest EV maker to BYD, which sold 416,388 EVs in the same period [4] Group 3: ETFs with Tesla Exposure - Several ETFs have significant allocations to Tesla, including: - Simplify Volt TSLA Revolution ETF (TESL) with an AUM of $15.8 million and an expense ratio of 1.20% [7] - The Nightview Fund (NITE) with Tesla making up 19.8% of its assets and an AUM of $22.2 million [8] - Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) with Tesla at 15.6% of its assets and an AUM of $19.9 billion [9] - Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) with a 13.7% allocation to Tesla and an AUM of $5.6 billion [10] - Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (FDIS) with a 13.3% share of Tesla and an AUM of $1.7 billion [11]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's brand image has significantly deteriorated due to Elon Musk's political affiliations and actions, leading to declining sales and increased public backlash [1][4][5]. Group 1: Sales and Deliveries - Tesla reported 336,681 deliveries in Q1 2025, a decrease from 495,570 in Q4 2024 and 386,810 in Q1 2024, indicating a substantial drop in consumer interest [3]. - In February 2025, Tesla's sales in Germany plummeted by 76% to just 1,429 units compared to 6,038 in February 2024, reflecting a broader decline in European sales, which fell 44% year-over-year [31][32]. Group 2: Political Impact - Musk's political activities have transformed Tesla into a "symbolic pariah," with record-high trade-ins and calls for boycotts from foreign leaders, resulting in the stock price losing about half its value since December [4]. - A study indicated that the likelihood of Republicans purchasing a Tesla increased from 7% to 10.2% following Musk's endorsement of Trump, suggesting a shift in the brand's customer base [8]. Group 3: Brand Perception and Protests - The "Tesla Takedown" movement aims to discourage purchases and encourage Tesla owners to trade in their vehicles, with peaceful protests occurring nationwide [22][24]. - Vandalism and violent protests against Tesla properties have been reported, with some incidents involving Molotov cocktails and gunfire [17][19]. Group 4: Competition and Market Position - BYD, a major competitor, has made significant advancements in EV technology, including a new charging system that allows for five-minute charging, and has surpassed Tesla in revenue, reporting $107 billion compared to Tesla's $97.7 billion in 2024 [33][35]. - BYD's "God's Eye" advanced driver assistance system will be included at no extra cost in its entire EV lineup, further intensifying competition against Tesla [34]. Group 5: Product Issues - Tesla's aging product lineup has been a concern, with the Cybertruck facing eight recalls since its launch in November 2023, including a recent recall of 46,000 units due to a manufacturing defect [36][38].

Group 1: Elon Musk's Involvement with Tesla - Elon Musk's leadership has significantly transformed Tesla into an industry giant, but his political involvement has raised concerns among investors [1][3] - Reports suggest Musk may step down from his political role, which positively impacted Tesla's stock, increasing by 5% [2] - Musk's political ties and divided attention are seen as contributing factors to Tesla's 30% stock decline in 2025 [3][10] Group 2: Tesla's Recent Performance - Tesla's Q1 2025 deliveries were 336,000 vehicles, missing estimates of 378,000 units and marking the lowest quarterly numbers in over two years [11] - The decline in deliveries is attributed to factory retooling for the new Model Y SUV and negative sentiment towards Musk, affecting sales across key regions [12] - BYD has surpassed Tesla in deliveries, with 416,388 battery electric vehicles delivered in Q1 2025, indicating increased competition [13] Group 3: Future Prospects and Challenges - Tesla is under pressure to launch affordable models and accelerate its autonomous driving technology, which is crucial for its long-term vision [14] - The company plans to roll out unsupervised Full Self-Driving in Austin and has applied for permits for a self-driving taxi service [15] - Analysts are lowering EPS estimates for Tesla, indicating potential further declines in stock performance [17] Group 4: Energy Business and Long-term Outlook - Despite struggles in the EV sector, Tesla's energy generation and storage business is thriving, with deployments doubling to 31.4 GWh in 2024 [19] - The long-term narrative for Tesla hinges on its autonomous driving ambitions, with progress in FSD approvals and robotaxi development being critical for future growth [20] - Wall Street's average price target suggests a 17% upside from current levels, indicating potential for recovery despite short-term challenges [21]

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