本周，先是黄金期货一举突破4000美元大关，再是黄金现货也在周三突破4000美元，近600美元的涨幅仅仅发生在一个半月之间。 值得一提的是，于本周在美国对冲基金小镇康州举行的2025年格林威治经济论坛（GEF）期间，全球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达利欧（Ray Dalio）发表主旨 演讲，期间黄金迅速飙升突破4000美元。同期，高盛将黄金目标价从4300美元提高到了4900美元。 第一财经记者在现场采访了格林威治量化研究（Greenwich Quantitative Research）首席投资官吉恩（Gene Reilly），早前他曾历任高盛、美银美林的交易主 管。 他表示，"推动金价大涨的关键一点是，达利欧在演讲时提及，建议投资者对黄金的持仓达到投资组合的15%，与大多数投资者持有的总资产比例相比，这 绝对是显著的增长（多数持仓在5%—10%）。我相信他还暗示，央行也有理由持有更多黄金。所以我认为达利欧在创造一个增持黄金的理论框架，吸引潜 在的大买家提高黄金的配置比例，这就给金价带来上行动能。" 对冲基金大佬唱多黄金 业内人士也对第一财经提及，桥水和达利欧本人近年来对黄金的青睐广为人知，且从中获利颇丰，因而达利 ...

2025.10. 09 今年7月底，76岁的达利欧彻底退出桥水基金。过去几年，对于黄金和债券的布局推动了桥水中国的 业绩增长。 本文字数：2276，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 韦薇 本周，先是黄金期货一举突破4000美元大关，再是黄金现货也在周三突破4000美元，近600美元的 涨幅仅仅发生在一个半月之间。 值得一提的是，于本周在美国对冲基金小镇康州举行的2025年格林威治经济论坛（GEF）期间，全 球最大对冲基金桥水创始人达利欧（Ray Dalio）发表主旨演讲，期间黄金迅速飙升突破4000美 元。同期，高盛将黄金目标价从4300美元提高到了4900美元。 第一财经记者在现场采访了格林威治量化研究（Greenwich Quantitative Research）首席投资官 吉恩（Gene Reilly），早前他曾历任高盛、美银美林的交易主管。 他表示，"推动金价大涨的关键一点是，达利欧在演讲时提及， 建议投资者对黄金的持仓达到投资组 合的15%，与大多数投资者持有的总资产比例相比，这绝对是显著的增长（多数持仓在5%— 10%）。我相信他还暗示，央行也有理由持有更多黄金。 所以我认为达利欧在创造一 ...

本周，先是黄金期货一举突破4000美元大关，再是黄金现货也在周三突破4000美元，近600美元的涨幅 仅仅发生在一个半月之间。 值得一提的是，于本周在美国对冲基金小镇康州举行的2025年格林威治经济论坛（GEF）期间，全球最 大对冲基金桥水创始人达利欧（Ray Dalio）发表主旨演讲，期间黄金迅速飙升突破4000美元。同期， 高盛将黄金目标价从4300美元提高到了4900美元。 第一财经记者在现场采访了格林威治量化研究（Greenwich Quantitative Research）首席投资官吉恩 （Gene Reilly），早前他曾历任高盛、美银美林的交易主管。 对此，吉恩对第一财经表示，"10月7日（美东时间）上午，我在听达利欧发表演讲时，黄金价格首次突 破每盎司4000美元，创下历史新高——这是一个非凡的里程碑。达利欧在演讲中强调了黄金对冲储备货 币地位下滑的重要作用，而这一突破的时机可谓巧合得令人惊叹。" 他表示，"推动金价大涨的关键一点是，达利欧在演讲时提及，建议投资者对黄金的持仓达到投资组合 的15%，与大多数投资者持有的总资产比例相比，这绝对是显著的增长（多数持仓在5%—10%）。我 相信他还 ...

国际金价近期屡创新高。 Wind数据显示，10月7日，COMEX黄金期货突破4000美元/盎司，截至10月9日上午发稿，国际金价仍保持在4000美元/盎司以上。 | < w | 伦敦金现 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | 4027.270 | 昨结 开盘 | 404 | | -13.150 -0.33% | 总量(kg) 现手 | | | 最高价 4046.400 | 持 仓 O 外 营 | | | 最低价 4001.025 | 曾 仓 o | R | | 分时 五日 日Ｋ 月Ｋ | | 申笑 | | 叠加 | | | | 4079.815 | | 0.98% 卖1 4027. | | | | 买1 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 4040.420 | | 09:26 4027 0.00% 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 9 | | 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | | | 09:26 4027 | | 4001.025 | -0.98% 09:26 4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices, surpassing $4000 per ounce, is driven by various factors including geopolitical risks, market uncertainty regarding U.S. monetary policy, and increased demand from central banks and retail investors [3][10][12]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - A notable trend in gold jewelry sales is observed, with customers gravitating towards either small pieces or larger items over 30 grams, leading to a sales increase of over 30% year-on-year during the National Day holiday [3]. - The expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is anticipated to enhance the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold, as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases [5][10]. - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has created uncertainty in economic data releases, further fueling demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [3][12]. Group 2: Central Bank Actions - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for 11 consecutive months, reaching 74.06 million ounces by the end of September 2025, indicating a cautious approach to reserve optimization [6][8]. - Global central banks have maintained high levels of gold purchases, with significant contributions from countries like China, Poland, Singapore, and India, reflecting a shift towards gold amid concerns over the dollar's dominance [8][9]. - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for December 2026 from $4300 to $4900, citing sustained inflows into ETFs and central bank purchases as key drivers [8][9]. Group 3: Economic and Political Influences - Political changes in France and Japan have heightened concerns over fiscal risks, contributing to the recent rebound in gold prices [5][10]. - Historical patterns show that gold prices tend to rise during periods of economic and political stress, with the current situation mirroring past crises [10][12]. - The shift in global monetary policy and geopolitical dynamics is prompting a reevaluation of gold's role as a store of value, suggesting a potential new order in the financial landscape [16].

Group 1 - The total scale of ETFs in China reached approximately 5.5 trillion yuan by the end of September, surpassing Japan and making it the largest ETF market in Asia [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange's ETF scale is 3.9 trillion yuan, accounting for over 70% of the total, with more than 760 products and around 10 million participating accounts [1] - Stock ETFs amount to 2.6 trillion yuan, while bond ETFs exceed 530 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - In September, foreign capital inflow into the Chinese stock market rebounded to 4.6 billion USD (approximately 32.7 billion yuan), marking the highest monthly inflow since November 2024 [1] - As of September 30, the cumulative inflow of foreign passive funds in 2023 reached 18 billion USD (approximately 128 billion yuan) [1] - UBS's China head noted that investor confidence in the Chinese market has gradually improved since the beginning of the year, particularly in the context of global investment diversification [1] Group 3 - UBS is set to become one of the top ten shareholders of Huatai-PB A500 ETF (563360) in the first half of 2025 [3]

Both Jefferies Financial and UBS have revealed nine-figure fund exposures to First Brands, a beleaguered auto-parts supplier that filed for bankruptcy in late September.Barron's AdvisorRead MoreWelcome to Barron's Advisor! Our articles are free to Barron's subscribers and wealth management professionals. To subscribe to Barron's, click here. If you're a wealth managment professional and would like access to the Barron's Advisor experience, please provide the information below.If you're not a wealth manageme ...

Key Takeaways UBS Group AG is in talks for a $1B significant risk transfer tied to corporate loans.The deal would help manage rising capital demands under proposed Swiss regulations.UBS has achieved $9.1B in cost savings and merged 95 branches amid Credit Suisse integration.UBS Group AG (UBS) is reportedly in early discussions with investors for a potential significant risk transfer (SRT) tied to a $1 billion portfolio of corporate loans. The move comes as the bank seeks to manage stricter capital requireme ...

Core Insights - Jefferies Financial Group's asset management unit, Point Bonita Capital, has significant exposure to First Brands Group, with nearly $715 million invested in receivables tied to major customers like Walmart and AutoZone, following the company's bankruptcy filing [1][2][4] Group 1: Company Exposure - Point Bonita Capital's portfolio includes approximately $715 million in receivables from First Brands' customers, which are now at risk due to the company's failure to make payments since September 15 [2] - Jefferies' exposure to First Brands primarily comes through Point Bonita, which is part of Leucadia Asset Management, holding a $113 million equity stake in the fund [2][3] - Jefferies also has a 50% stake in Apex Credit Partners, which has about $48 million in loans to First Brands through collateralized loan obligations [3] Group 2: Financial Impact - Analysts at Morgan Stanley estimate that Jefferies could face potential losses of $44.6 million related to First Brands, which they consider a manageable impact on the company's tangible shareholders' equity [3] - The bankruptcy of First Brands follows a failed debt refinancing effort, which was being marketed by Jefferies, indicating deeper ties between the two entities [4] Group 3: Industry Context - The situation highlights ongoing issues in the trade finance sector, which has faced numerous fraud cases in recent years, leading to significant losses for banks and insurers [6] - The collapse of First Brands adds to the list of recent failures in trade finance, reminiscent of the Greensill Capital insolvency in 2021, which had broader implications for the financial industry [6] Group 4: Investigative Actions - First Brands' bankruptcy filings indicate that special advisers are investigating whether receivables were improperly factored to third parties, raising concerns about the integrity of the receivables [7]

Group 1 - UBS Group's long position in WuXi AppTec's H-shares decreased from 5.05% to 3.98% as of September 30 [1]