Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Xiaomi Group's automotive performance in Q2 is impressive, while the smartphone business adjustments are largely in line with expectations [1] - Xiaomi's Q2 revenue and adjusted net profit were 116 billion and 10.8 billion RMB respectively, meeting market expectations [1] - Automotive revenue increased by 40% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.4%, a historical high driven by average selling price growth and platform scale effects [1] Group 2 - Smartphone revenue decreased by 2% year-on-year, primarily due to the REDMI A5 launch lowering overseas average selling prices, while domestic average selling prices benefited from an increase in high-end model proportions [1] - Smartphone gross margin declined by 0.9 percentage points to 11.5% quarter-on-quarter, attributed to rising storage prices impacting mid-to-low-end models [2] - AIOT revenue grew by 45% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5%, slightly down by 2.7 percentage points due to the 618 promotion [2] Group 3 - The company maintained a "buy" rating but adjusted the target price from 67 HKD to 60 HKD based on a 25x P/E for mobile and a 2.2x P/S for automotive business by 2026 [1] - The forecast for automotive revenue in 2026 was slightly adjusted to 182 billion RMB from a previous estimate of 181.7 billion RMB [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 were lowered to 483 billion and 605.8 billion RMB respectively, along with adjusted earnings per share estimates for those years [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Xiaomi Group's automotive performance in Q2 is impressive, while the smartphone business adjustments are in line with expectations [1] - Xiaomi's Q2 revenue and adjusted net profit were 116 billion and 10.8 billion RMB respectively, meeting market expectations [1] - Automotive revenue increased by 40% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 26.4%, reaching a historical high due to average selling price growth and platform scale effects [1] Group 2 - Smartphone revenue decreased by 2% year-on-year, primarily due to the release of the REDMI A5 affecting overseas average selling prices, while domestic average selling prices benefited from an increase in high-end model proportions [2] - Smartphone gross margin declined by 0.9 percentage points to 11.5% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to rising storage prices impacting mid-to-low-end models [2] - AIOT revenue grew by 45% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.5%, which is the second highest in history, although it decreased by 2.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter due to the 618 promotion [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 62.3 HKD, representing an upside potential of 18.6% from the recent closing price of 52.55 HKD [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved record-high revenue and adjusted net profit in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 1159.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 108.3 billion RMB, up 75.4% year-on-year, slightly exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations [1]. - The growth is driven by three main factors: the high-end smartphone strategy and market share increase, the expanding scale effects of the AIoT ecosystem, and the strong performance of the smart electric vehicle business [1][4]. Summary by Sections Smartphone Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's smartphone revenue decreased by 2.1% to 455.2 billion RMB, primarily due to a 2.7% decline in average selling price (ASP) to 1073.2 RMB, partially offset by a 0.6% increase in shipment volume to 42.4 million units [2]. - Despite a 3.8% decline in smartphone shipments in mainland China, the company managed a 3.6% increase in its own shipments, outperforming peers [2]. IoT and Internet Services - Revenue from IoT and lifestyle products reached 387.1 billion RMB in Q2, marking a 44.7% year-on-year growth, with a gross margin of 22.5%, up 2.8 percentage points [3]. - Internet services revenue grew by 10.1% year-on-year to 91.0 billion RMB, maintaining a gross margin of 75.4% [3]. Automotive Business - The company delivered 81,302 vehicles in Q2, setting a new record, with the first SUV model, Xiaomi YU7, achieving over 240,000 orders within 18 hours of launch [3]. - The ASP for the new model reached 253,700 RMB, a 10.9% increase year-on-year, indicating a shift towards higher-end products and improved profitability [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 483.4 billion RMB in FY 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 32.1% [5]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to reach 42.5 billion RMB in FY 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 56.0% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group is a leading internet company focused on smartphones, smart hardware, and IoT platforms, with a business model centered on innovation, high-quality hardware, efficient new retail, and a rich array of internet services [1][2]. Financial Performance - As of mid-2025, Xiaomi Group reported total revenue of 227.249 billion yuan and a net profit of 22.829 billion yuan [2]. Market Activity - On August 22, Xiaomi Group's stock price increased by 2.14%, reaching 52.45 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 828 million yuan [1]. Analyst Rating - On August 21, CMB International Securities maintained a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group, setting a target price of 60 Hong Kong dollars [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Xiaomi Group [6] Core Views - Xiaomi Group achieved record high revenue in Q2 2025, with a total revenue of 1159.56 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 30.5% [2] - The company's adjusted net profit for Q2 2025 reached 108.31 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 75.4% [2] - The automotive business is entering a phase of rapid growth, with Q2 2025 revenue from smart electric vehicles reaching 206 billion RMB [3] - The company is focusing on high-end smartphone development and has successfully launched its self-developed 3nm flagship SoC chip [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, Xiaomi Group reported revenue of 2272.49 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 38.23%, and an adjusted net profit of 215.06 billion RMB, up 69.8% [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 22.7%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-over-year [1] Business Segments - The smartphone segment generated revenue of 455.20 billion RMB in Q2 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 8.9% [3] - The IoT segment achieved revenue of 387.12 billion RMB in Q2 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 44.7% [3] - The automotive and AI innovation segment reported revenue of 212.63 billion RMB in Q2 2025, with a gross margin of 26.4% [3] Market Position - Xiaomi's global smartphone market share reached 14.7% in Q2 2025, maintaining a top-three position for 20 consecutive quarters [3] - The company ranked second in the "2025 Kantar BrandZ Top 50 Globalization Brands" and improved its position in the Fortune Global 500 list to 297th, up 100 places from the previous year [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for Xiaomi Group are estimated at 5092.95 billion RMB for 2025, 6251.70 billion RMB for 2026, and 7361.50 billion RMB for 2027 [4] - The expected adjusted net profit for the same years is 404.23 billion RMB, 525.07 billion RMB, and 652.09 billion RMB respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK) as of August 21, 2025 [1][11]. Core Insights - The company continues to execute its core operational strategy of "steady progress," achieving record highs in both revenue and profit. In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and an adjusted net profit of about 10.8 billion yuan, up 75.4% year-on-year [5][6]. - The smartphone segment experienced a slight revenue decline of 2.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in average selling price (ASP), although this was partially offset by an increase in shipment volume [6][7]. - Revenue from IoT and lifestyle products reached a historical high of approximately 38.7 billion yuan, growing 44.7% year-on-year, driven by increased sales in mainland China and global markets [7]. - The electric vehicle segment saw a significant revenue increase of over 200% year-on-year, with Q2 2025 revenue reaching approximately 20.6 billion yuan, supported by higher delivery volumes and ASP [8][9]. - Internet service revenue grew by 10% year-on-year, reaching 9.1 billion yuan, largely due to increased advertising revenue [9]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q2 2025, Xiaomi's revenue was approximately 116 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 30.5% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.2%. The adjusted net profit was about 10.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 75.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.5% [5][6]. Smartphone Business - The smartphone revenue for Q2 2025 was approximately 45.5 billion yuan, down 2.1% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in ASP, which was around 1,073.2 yuan. However, shipment volume increased to approximately 42.4 million units, mainly due to higher sales in mainland China [6][7]. IoT and Lifestyle Products - Revenue from IoT and lifestyle products reached approximately 38.7 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a 44.7% increase year-on-year. The smart home appliance segment also saw significant growth, with air conditioning units shipped exceeding 5.4 million, marking a year-on-year growth of over 60% [7]. Electric Vehicle Segment - The electric vehicle revenue in Q2 2025 was approximately 20.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 230.3%. The number of vehicles delivered reached 81,302, supported by improved production capacity [8]. Internet Services - Internet service revenue reached 9.1 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a 10% increase year-on-year, driven by a 14.6% increase in advertising revenue, which amounted to approximately 6.8 billion yuan [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group-W (01810.HK) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 115.96 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.2%. The adjusted net profit was 10.83 billion yuan, up 75.4% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter, with a gross margin of 22.5% [8] - The automotive segment achieved a record high gross margin of 26.4% in Q2 2025, with revenue of 21.26 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.4%. The company aims to achieve profitability in its automotive business by the second half of 2025 [8] - The smartphone market share continues to rise, with Q2 2025 smartphone revenue at 45.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.1%. The global market share increased by 0.6 percentage points to 14.7% [8] - The IoT segment generated revenue of 38.71 billion yuan in Q2 2025, with a gross margin of 22.5%. The company has expanded its new retail stores to 17,000, with approximately 200 stores overseas [8] Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for Xiaomi Group is projected to reach 491.83 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 34.41% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 39.60 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 67.40% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.52 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.11 based on the closing price on August 20, 2025 [1]

Core Insights - Xiaomi Group achieved record high revenue and adjusted net profit in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, marking three consecutive quarters of over 100 billion yuan [1] - Adjusted net profit was 10.8 billion yuan, exceeding Bloomberg's expectation of 10.2 billion yuan, and representing a year-on-year increase of 75% [1] - The performance was driven by strong IoT business growth, improved EV gross margins, and a slight offset from a decline in smartphone revenue [1] Smartphone Segment - Q2 smartphone revenue was 45.5 billion yuan, down 2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11.5%, a decrease of 0.7 percentage points [1] - The average selling price (ASP) was 1,073 yuan, down 2.7% year-on-year [1] - The company adjusted its annual shipment target to 175 million units, emphasizing product structure over sales volume [2] IoT Segment - Q2 IoT revenue reached 38.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, exceeding expectations [2] - The gross margin for IoT was 22.5%, down 2.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to promotional activities [2] - Smart home appliances saw significant growth, with air conditioner shipments exceeding 5.4 million units, a year-on-year increase of over 60% [2] Electric Vehicle Segment - Q2 revenue from the electric vehicle (EV) segment was 21.3 billion yuan, with 81,300 units delivered and an ASP of 253,700 yuan [3] - The operating loss in this segment was reduced to 300 million yuan from 500 million yuan in Q1, with a gross margin of 26.4% [3] - The management maintained the annual delivery target of 350,000 units and expects to achieve operational profitability in the second half of 2025 [3] Future Outlook - The company has raised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 485.4 billion, 597.2 billion, and 725.8 billion yuan, respectively [3] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for the same period are now 43.6 billion, 51.2 billion, and 64.9 billion yuan [3] - The company aims to enter the European market by 2027 and plans to expand its sales and service network in Southeast Asia and Europe [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi reported a strong 2Q25 performance with total revenue of 116 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.2%, alongside an adjusted net profit growth of 75.4% to 10.8 billion RMB [1] Group 1: Automotive Business - In 2Q25, automotive deliveries reached a record high of 81,302 units, with revenue increasing by 14% quarter-on-quarter to 20.6 billion RMB [2] - The gross margin for smart electric vehicles and AI-related innovations rose from 15.4% in the same period last year to 26.4%, driven by scale effects, reduced core component costs, and a higher proportion of high-end model deliveries [2] - The company anticipates that the automotive business may achieve profitability in a single quarter or month in the second half of the year, supported by its high-end strategy [2] Group 2: Smartphone and IoT/Internet Business - The smartphone business faced challenges with revenue declining by 2.1% year-on-year to 45.5 billion RMB, and gross margin contracting to 11.5% due to intense competition in overseas markets [3] - IoT business revenue grew by 44.7% year-on-year to 38.7 billion RMB, driven by high-value smart home appliances, which saw a 66.2% increase [3] - Internet services continued stable growth with a 10.1% year-on-year revenue increase to 9.1 billion RMB, maintaining a high gross margin of 75.4% [3] Group 3: Financial Forecast and Valuation - Due to weak global smartphone demand, revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 were lowered by 2.2%/0.5%/0.2%, while net profit forecasts were raised by 9.5%/4.3%/7.8% to 44.31 billion RMB, 52.63 billion RMB, and 67.12 billion RMB respectively [3] - The target price is set at 65.4 HKD based on SOTP valuation, corresponding to a 30x PE for 2026, reflecting an adjustment from the previous target of 67.8 HKD [3]

Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in total revenue and adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 227.2 billion yuan, up 38.2% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit at 21.5 billion yuan, up 69.8% [1] Automotive Sector - The automotive segment experienced accelerated growth, with revenue from smart electric and innovative businesses reaching 21.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 234% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%, driven by continuous delivery growth and an increase in average selling price (ASP) [2] - The company delivered 81,000 vehicles in Q2, marking a year-on-year increase of 198% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7%, with an ASP of 254,000 yuan, up 11% year-on-year, primarily due to the increased delivery of the high-priced SU7 Ultra [2] - The automotive business gross margin improved to 26.4%, up 11 percentage points year-on-year and 3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from robust orders and capacity ramp-up [2] - The company anticipates that the launch of the YU7 model in June will further enhance quarterly deliveries and potentially lead to profitability within the year [2] Smartphone Sector - In Q2 2025, the smartphone business generated revenue of 45.5 billion yuan with a shipment volume of 42.4 million units, achieving year-on-year growth for eight consecutive quarters and maintaining a top-three position globally for five years [2] - The company achieved significant market share in the high-end segment, with a 24.7% market share in the 4,000-5,000 yuan price range, ranking first, and a 15.4% market share in the 5,000-6,000 yuan range, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The successful launch and mass production of the self-developed 3nm flagship SoC, the Xuanjie O1, provide the company with a long-term competitive advantage [2] IoT Sector - The IoT and lifestyle consumer products segment achieved record revenue of 38.7 billion yuan in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a gross margin of 22.5%, up 3 percentage points [3] - The smart home appliance category showed strong performance, with revenue growth of 66% year-on-year, air conditioner shipments exceeding 5.4 million units (up over 60% year-on-year), refrigerator shipments exceeding 790,000 units (up over 25% year-on-year), and washing machine shipments exceeding 600,000 units (up over 45% year-on-year) [3] - The company launched the Xiaomi AI glasses in June, featuring a 12-megapixel ultra-transparent optical lens, which is expected to further expand the IoT business space [3] Financial Forecast - The company projects revenues of 474.4 billion yuan, 588.7 billion yuan, and 696.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 24%, and 18% respectively; net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 43.7 billion yuan, 56.7 billion yuan, and 71.4 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 85%, 30%, and 26% [3]