Core Viewpoint - The report from Jefferies indicates that Zijin Mining's (601899) (02899) net profit after tax for Q3 reached 14.6 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11% and a year-on-year increase of 57%, slightly exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - The recurring net profit after tax was 12.5 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 50%, aligning with expectations [1] - The target price for Zijin's H-shares has been raised from 29.6 HKD to 38.1 HKD, while the A-shares target price has increased from 27.3 RMB to 35.2 RMB, both maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Production Metrics - Gold production for the period was 23.8 tons, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 26%, with a cumulative year-to-date increase of 20% [1] - Following the acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, the company expects total gold production to exceed the guidance of 85 tons, now estimated at approximately 89 tons for the year [1] - Copper production guidance has been revised down from 1.15 million tons to 1.10 million tons for the year, with a further reduction to 1.07 million tons anticipated for 2024; however, the impact on profitability is expected to be limited due to rising copper prices offsetting the production decline [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Jefferies indicates that Zijin Mining's net profit after tax for Q3 reached 14.6 billion RMB, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11% and a year-on-year increase of 57%, slightly exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - The recurring net profit after tax for Zijin Mining was 12.5 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 50%, aligning with expectations [1] - The target price for Zijin's H-shares has been raised from 29.6 HKD to 38.1 HKD, while the target price for A-shares has increased from 27.3 RMB to 35.2 RMB, both maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Production Metrics - Gold production for the period was 23.8 tons, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 26%, with a cumulative increase of 20% in gold production for the first three quarters of the year [1] - Following the acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, the company expects total gold production to exceed the guidance of 85 tons, now estimated at approximately 89 tons for the year [1] - Copper production guidance has been revised down from 1.15 million tons to 1.10 million tons for the year, with a further reduction to 1.07 million tons for 2024; however, the impact on profitability is expected to be limited due to rising copper prices offsetting the decline in production [1]

Core Viewpoint - The optimistic mid-term outlook for copper prices supports the continued profitability momentum of Zijin Mining, which may lead to a further revaluation of the stock [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Zijin Mining has downgraded its 2025 group copper production forecast due to a flooding incident at one of its mines [1] - Despite the production downgrade, the company indicates that frequent severe disruptions in global mining production may keep supply tight and support long-term prices [1] - Strong fundamentals in gold and copper have reaffirmed Zijin Mining's robust nine-month performance, confirming its profit visibility [1] Group 2: Analyst Recommendations - Daiwa Capital Markets has raised the target price for Zijin Mining's H-shares from HKD 29.70 to HKD 37.80 while maintaining a buy rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (601899) reported a revenue of 254.2 billion RMB for the first three quarters of this year, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 37.864 billion RMB, up 55.45% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 alone, Zijin Mining achieved a revenue of 86.489 billion RMB, which is a quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.58%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.572 billion RMB, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.02% [1] - The better-than-expected net profit in Q3 was primarily driven by non-operating income exceeding market expectations [1] Future Projections - Based on the strong non-operating income in Q3 and rising copper and gold prices, the bank has raised its net profit forecasts for Zijin Mining for 2025 and 2026 by 11.2% and 18.8%, respectively, to 50.91 billion RMB and 65.09 billion RMB [1] - The H-share target price has been increased by 33% to 40 HKD, while the A-share target price has been raised by 31% to 38 RMB [1]

智通财经APP获悉，中金发布研报称，紫金矿业(02899,601899.SH)今年首三季收入2,542亿元人民币(下 同)，同比升10.33%; 归母净利润378.64亿元，同比升55.45%。 单计第三季，收入864.89亿元，按季跌 2.58%，归母净利润145.72亿元，按季升11.02%，超出市场预期，主要因非经收益超预期。基于紫金第 三季非经收益超预期及铜金价格上行，该行分别上调其2025及26年归母净利润预测11.2%及18.8%，至 509.1亿及650.9亿元，维持"跑赢行业"评级，H股目标价升33%至40港元，A股目标价上调31%至38元。 ...

Core Insights - Zhongjin Company reported that Zijin Mining's revenue for the first three quarters of this year reached 254.2 billion yuan, an increase of 10.33% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.864 billion yuan, up 55.45% year-on-year [1] - In the third quarter alone, revenue was 86.489 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.58%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 14.572 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.02%, exceeding market expectations due to better-than-expected non-operating income [1] Financial Forecast Adjustments - Based on the better-than-expected non-operating income in the third quarter and rising copper and gold prices, the company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 11.2% and 18.8%, respectively, to 50.91 billion yuan and 65.09 billion yuan [1] - The rating of "outperforming the industry" is maintained, with the target price for H-shares increased by 33% to 40 HKD and the target price for A-shares raised by 31% to 38 yuan [1]

Core Insights - Zijin Mining experienced a 2.00% decline in stock price on October 22, with a trading volume of 9.159 billion yuan [1] - The company reported a net financing outflow of 416 million yuan on the same day, with total financing and securities balance reaching 7.531 billion yuan [1] - As of September 30, Zijin Mining achieved a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.33%, and a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, up 55.45% year-on-year [2] Financing and Margin Trading - On October 22, Zijin Mining had a financing buy-in of 661 million yuan, with a financing balance of 7.474 billion yuan, representing 1.23% of its market capitalization [1] - The financing balance is above the 90th percentile of the past year, indicating a high level of leverage [1] - The company also saw a securities lending activity with 308,400 shares repaid and 305,600 shares sold, totaling approximately 8.9999 million yuan in sales [1] Shareholder and Dividend Information - As of September 30, the number of shareholders increased to 529,800, a rise of 57.83% [2] - Since its A-share listing, Zijin Mining has distributed a total of 59.277 billion yuan in dividends, with 27.772 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 1.354 billion shares, a decrease of 235 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][36]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q3, with revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 37.864 billion yuan, up 55.45% year-on-year [1][9]. - The successful listing of Zijin Gold International on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to enhance the company's valuation [3][30]. - The company has completed several significant acquisitions this year, including the Akyem Gold Mine in Ghana and the Raygorodok Gold Mine in Kazakhstan, which are expected to contribute positively to future production and profitability [3][29]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters, gold production reached 64.95 tons, a year-on-year increase of 19.68%, while copper production was 829,900 tons, up 5.12% year-on-year [2][11]. - The unit operating costs for gold, copper, zinc, and silver have increased, indicating rising cost pressures [2][17]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 24.93%, a year-on-year increase of 5.4 percentage points, with gold and copper gross margins at 62.17% and 60.93%, respectively [19][26]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast has been revised upwards, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 377.8 billion, 425.7 billion, and 445.6 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 24.4%, 12.7%, and 4.7% [4][36]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 51.483 billion, 63.559 billion, and 69.864 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 60.6%, 23.5%, and 9.9% [4][36]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5, 12.6, and 11.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][36].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Guosen Securities has given Zijin Mining (601899.SH, latest price: 29.45 CNY) an "outperform" rating based on its strong financial performance and resource foundation [1] - In the third quarter, Zijin Mining achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 14.6 billion CNY, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of about 11% [1] - Zijin Mining's resource base is continuously being strengthened, highlighted by the listing of Zijin Gold International on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][36]. Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q3, with revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 37.864 billion yuan, up 55.45% year-on-year [1][9]. - The successful listing of Zijin Gold International on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is expected to enhance the company's valuation [3][30]. - The company has completed several significant acquisitions this year, including the Akyem Gold Mine in Ghana and the Raygorodok Gold Mine in Kazakhstan, which are expected to contribute positively to future production and profitability [3][29]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, gold production reached 64.95 tons, a year-on-year increase of 19.68%, while copper production was 829,900 tons, up 5.12% year-on-year [2][11]. - The unit operating costs for gold, copper, zinc, and silver have increased, indicating rising cost pressures [2][17]. - The company’s gross margin for core mineral products was 60.62%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.91 percentage points [19]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast has been revised upward, with projected revenues for 2025-2027 at 377.8 billion, 425.7 billion, and 445.6 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 24.4%, 12.7%, and 4.7% [4][36]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 51.483 billion, 63.559 billion, and 69.864 billion yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 60.6%, 23.5%, and 9.9% [4][36]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a core player in the domestic non-ferrous metal sector, with a rich reserve of mineral resources and an accelerating internationalization process [4][36]. - The strategic focus on green metal and new energy minerals, along with significant acquisitions, is expected to provide a solid resource base for sustainable development [29][30].