中金发表研究报告指，紫金矿业中期业绩符该行预期，营业收入1677.11亿元，按年增11.5%；实现归母 净利润232.92亿元，年增54.41%。中金表示，公司铜金锂远期产量系统性上升，业绩加速释放，上调今 明两年归母净利预测各9%、22%，至分别458亿及548亿元，维持紫金矿业AH股"跑赢行业"评级；考虑 A股、港股资源板块估值中枢上行，上调A股目标价26.1%至29元，H股目标价上调40.1%至30港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that Zijin Mining's mid-year performance met expectations, with significant revenue and profit growth [1] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining achieved operating revenue of 167.71 billion RMB in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.5% [1] - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion RMB, which is a year-on-year increase of 54.41% [1] Future Outlook - CICC forecasts a systematic increase in the company's copper, gold, and lithium production in the future, leading to accelerated performance [1] - The net profit forecasts for the next two years have been raised by 9% and 22%, reaching 45.8 billion RMB and 54.8 billion RMB respectively [1] Ratings and Target Price - CICC maintains a rating of "A-share +1.130" and "H-share outperforming the industry" for Zijin Mining [1] - The target price for H-shares has been increased by 40.1% to 30 HKD, considering the upward adjustment in valuation for the resource sector in both A-shares and H-shares [1]

9月1日，紫金矿业涨5.03%，截至发稿，报24.24元/股，成交55.53亿元，换手率1.13%，总市值6442.40 亿元。 资料显示，紫金矿业集团股份有限公司位于福建省上杭县紫金大道1号,福建省厦门市思明区环岛东路 1811号中航紫金广场B塔,香港九龙柯士甸道西1号环球贸易广场75楼7503A室，成立日期2000年9月6 日，上市日期2008年4月25日，公司主营业务涉及矿产资源勘查和开发。主营业务收入构成为：其它 66.76%，冶炼加工及贸易金41.33%，冶炼产铜16.26%，矿山产铜精矿11.51%，矿山产金锭6.69%，矿山 产金精矿4.93%，矿山产电解铜2.67%，冶炼产锌2.49%，矿山产锌1.90%，矿山产电积铜1.68%，矿山产 银0.66%，铁精矿0.14%。 财通颐享稳健养老一年持有期混合发起(FOF)（021166）成立日期2024年9月10日，最新规模5472.03 万。今年以来收益5.23%，同类排名755/1059；成立以来收益7.9%。 财通颐享稳健养老一年持有期混合发起(FOF)（021166）基金经理为陈曦。 截至发稿，陈曦累计任职时间3年194天，现任基金资产总规模 ...

大华继显将紫金矿业目标价从24.00港元上调至29.70港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has achieved record-breaking operating performance in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by rising product prices and sales volume [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Zijin Mining reported revenue of 167.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion yuan, up over 50% [1][2][4]. - This marks the first time in the company's history that net profit exceeded 20 billion yuan in the first half of the year [2]. - The company's operating cash flow net amount reached 28.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 41% [2]. - The asset-liability ratio stood at 56.36% as of June 30, 2025 [2][9]. Sales and Production - Sales prices for gold, silver, copper, and zinc all saw year-on-year increases, with gold and silver prices rising over 20% [2][6]. - The production volumes for copper, gold, zinc, and silver were 570,000 tons, 410 tons, 200,000 tons, and 2,230 tons respectively, with significant increases in copper and gold production [7]. Asset Growth and Dividends - As of June 30, 2025, the total assets of Zijin Mining reached 439.74 billion yuan, an increase of 70.87 billion yuan from the previous year [2][9]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 5.847 billion yuan, which is 2.2 times the amount distributed in the same period last year [2][9]. Market Performance - Zijin Mining's stock price has surged over 50% year-to-date, reflecting strong investor interest [3][10]. - The company's market capitalization has increased by 211.5 billion yuan this year, reaching 613.4 billion yuan [10].

Summary of Zijin Mining Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining (601899.SS/2899.HK) - **Industry**: Mining (Gold, Copper, Zinc, Silver, Iron Ore) - **Headquarters**: Fujian, China - **Operations**: Nationwide in China and internationally in Australia, Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Peru, and DR Congo through acquisitions [doc id='27'][doc id='31']. Key Financial Updates - **Target Price**: - Raised to HK$26.3/share from HK$24.4/share for Zijin-H - Raised to Rmb23.9/share from Rmb22.2/share for Zijin-A [doc id='1'][doc id='29']. - **Earnings Forecast**: - Revised 2025/26/27E earnings forecast by +12%/+3%/+7% to Rmb43.4bn/Rmb46.4bn/Rmb55.9bn due to higher gold sales volume and prices [doc id='1']. - **Net Revenue**: - Expected to increase to Rmb443.45 billion in 2025, up 5% from previous estimates [doc id='6']. - **Net Profit**: - Projected net profit for 2025 is Rmb43.35 billion, a 12% increase from previous estimates [doc id='6']. Operational Metrics - **Gold Sales Volume**: - Expected to increase from 80 tons in 2025 to 96 tons in 2027, reflecting a growth of 3% in 2025 and 11% in 2027 [doc id='6']. - **Copper Production**: - Production volume expected to decrease from 1,137 Kt in 2025 to 1,432 Kt in 2027 [doc id='6']. - **Gross Margin**: - Projected to improve from 17.2% in 2025 to 19.9% in 2027 [doc id='6']. Market Sentiment and Catalysts - **Positive Catalyst Watch**: - A 90-day positive catalyst watch has been initiated due to the upcoming H-share IPO for Zijin Gold International (ZGI), which is expected to enhance the valuation of Zijin Mining [doc id='1'][doc id='2']. - **US Rate Cut Expectations**: - Anticipated US rate cuts could bolster copper equity sentiment in the near term [doc id='2'][doc id='17']. Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: - Lower-than-expected gold and copper prices - Capital expenditure overruns in ongoing projects - Cost inflation impacting profitability - Lower than anticipated gold and copper output [doc id='30'][doc id='35']. Investment Strategy - **Rating**: - Maintain a Buy rating on Zijin Mining due to value-accretive overseas expansions, high dividend payouts, and growth potential from lithium projects [doc id='28'][doc id='32']. - **Valuation Methodology**: - Target prices are based on discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, assuming a terminal growth rate of 2.5% and a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.2% [doc id='29'][doc id='33']. Conclusion Zijin Mining is positioned for growth with revised earnings forecasts and a positive outlook driven by upcoming catalysts and market conditions. However, investors should remain cautious of potential risks that could impact profitability and share price performance.

Summary of Key Points from Zijin Mining Group's Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining Group - **Industry**: Basic Materials, specifically mining of copper and gold Core Insights 1. **Positive Earnings Performance**: Zijin reported solid earnings for 2Q25, demonstrating volume growth and profitability exceeding industry peers [2][10][26] 2. **Price Outlook**: The company maintains a positive outlook for copper and gold prices, which are critical to its profitability [2][11][27] 3. **Upcoming Spin-off**: Zijin Gold International is set to be listed soon, expected to enhance Zijin's share price as investors may increase exposure to the new listing [2][10][26] 4. **Increased Gold Contribution**: There is an anticipated higher contribution from gold, which is expected to positively impact overall profitability [2][11][27] 5. **Payout Ratio Potential**: There is a potential increase in the payout ratio, which could attract more investors [2][11][27] Financial Performance 1. **Revenue Growth**: 2Q25 revenue reached Rmb88.783 billion, a 12% QoQ increase and 17% YoY increase [6] 2. **Gross Profit Margin**: The gross profit margin improved to 22.5%, up from 20.6% in the previous quarter [6] 3. **Net Profit**: Net profit attributable to shareholders was Rmb13.125 billion, a 29% increase QoQ and 49% YoY [6] 4. **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS for 2Q25 was Rmb0.494, reflecting a 29% QoQ increase [6] 5. **Cash Flow**: Operating cash flow increased by 30% QoQ to Rmb16.302 billion [6] Cost Management 1. **Unit Cost of Gold**: The unit cost of gold increased by 8% QoQ, attributed to lower output at the La Arena project and the consolidation of the Akyem project [4] 2. **Future Cost Expectations**: Management expects a decrease in unit costs in 2H25, with full-year increases for copper and gold controlled within 5-8% [4] Production Insights 1. **Volume Guidance**: Despite a downward revision in output guidance for the Kamoa project, Zijin is on track to meet its full-year volume guidance [4] 2. **Copper Production**: The Julong Phase II project is expected to commence production before year-end, contributing to copper volume growth [4] Strategic Developments 1. **New Mining Unit**: Zijin plans to establish a new unit for rare precious metals, incorporating assets like molybdenum and tungsten [4] 2. **Environmental Approvals**: The Shapinggou moly mine has received environmental assessment approval, with construction expected to begin in 2025 [4] Valuation and Price Targets 1. **Price Target**: The revised price target for Zijin-A is Rmb26.50, based on a 1.0x P/NAV, implying a FY26E P/E of 13x and an EV/EBITDA of 9.7x [2][12] 2. **Market Capitalization**: As of August 26, 2025, Zijin's market cap is approximately $82.409 billion [5] Risks and Considerations 1. **Upside Risks**: Stronger-than-expected gold and copper prices, and volume growth could positively impact the rating and price target [13][29] 2. **Downside Risks**: Risks include potential overpayment in M&A, geopolitical risks related to overseas mines, and weaker-than-expected commodity prices [13][29] Conclusion Zijin Mining Group is positioned favorably within the mining sector, with strong earnings growth, a positive outlook for commodity prices, and strategic initiatives that could enhance shareholder value. The upcoming spin-off and potential increases in payout ratios are key catalysts for future performance.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining [7] Core Views - Zijin Mining's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 167.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.3 billion, up 54.4% year-on-year [1] - The company is positioned as a global leader in copper and gold production, with significant growth in both output and profitability [5] Summary by Sections Copper Production - In H1 2025, copper production was 570,000 tons, ranking fourth globally, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [2] - The revenue from copper reached 27.3 billion, a 12.7% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 16.6 billion, representing a gross margin of 41.7% [2] Gold Production - Gold production in H1 2025 was 41 tons, ranking fifth globally, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% [3] - The revenue from gold was 26.5 billion, a significant increase of 62.2% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 16.4 billion, yielding a gross margin of 41.3% [3] Exploration and Mergers - The company has made substantial progress in self-exploration, with notable discoveries in Serbia, Australia, and other regions [4] - Zijin Mining completed a significant acquisition of control over Cangge Mining, enhancing its resource portfolio and strategic positioning in the market [4] Future Guidance - The company projects copper and gold production targets of 1.15 million tons and 85 tons respectively for 2025, with long-term plans to reach 1.5-1.6 million tons of copper and 100-110 tons of gold by 2028 [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are estimated at 364.4 billion, 400.8 billion, and 440.9 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 45.9 billion, 53.1 billion, and 57.3 billion [5]

Core Viewpoint - The completion of the acquisition of 84% equity in Anhui Jinsan Molybdenum Co., Ltd. by the company marks a significant step in expanding its operations in the molybdenum sector, with plans for further development and collaboration with industry partners [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The company completed the transfer of 84% equity in Anhui Jinsan Molybdenum Co., Ltd. on August 28, 2025, following the public bidding process initiated on October 21, 2022 [1]. - Anhui Jinsan Molybdenum Co., Ltd. holds 100% rights to the Shapingou Molybdenum Mine in Jinzhai County, Anhui Province, which has a total molybdenum metal resource of 2.1 million tons and a metal reserve of 1.1 million tons [1]. - The mining rights for the Shapingou Molybdenum Mine are valid until July 28, 2053, with a designed production scale of 10 million tons per year and an average annual molybdenum output of approximately 22,100 tons post-construction [1]. Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Following the acquisition, the company will hold 84% of Jinsan Molybdenum, while Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. and Jinzhai County Urban Development Investment Co., Ltd. will hold 10% and 6% respectively [2]. - Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. plans to collaborate with Jinsan Molybdenum to invest in a new molybdenum smelting project to support local economic development and extend the industrial chain [2]. - A cooperation agreement was signed on August 29, 2025, where the company will transfer 24% of Jinsan Molybdenum's equity to Jinduicheng Molybdenum at the original acquisition price plus necessary financial costs, resulting in a new equity structure of 60% for the company and 34% for Jinduicheng Molybdenum [2].

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has completed the acquisition of 84% equity in Anhui Jinsan Molybdenum Co., Ltd, enhancing its position in the molybdenum industry and facilitating local economic development through strategic partnerships [1][2] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition of 84% equity in Jinsan Molybdenum was finalized on August 28, 2025, following the public bidding process initiated on October 21, 2022 [1] - Jinsan Molybdenum holds 100% rights to the Shapingou Molybdenum Mine, which has a total molybdenum metal resource of 2.1 million tons and a metal reserve of 1.1 million tons [1] - The mining rights for the Shapingou Mine are valid until July 28, 2053, with an annual production capacity designed at 10 million tons [1] Group 2: Project Development and Operations - The project construction period is estimated to be 4.5 years, with an expected average annual molybdenum production of approximately 22,100 tons upon reaching full capacity [1] - The company is coordinating with relevant parties to expedite the necessary permits and approvals for the project, including mining licenses and environmental assessments [1] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Following the acquisition, Zijin Mining will hold 84% of Jinsan Molybdenum, while Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd and Jinzhai County Urban Development Investment Co., Ltd will hold 10% and 6% respectively [2] - A cooperation agreement was signed on August 29, 2025, between Zijin Mining and Jinduicheng Molybdenum to establish a molybdenum smelting project, enhancing the local industrial chain [2] - Jinduicheng Molybdenum will hold 51% of the new smelting company, while Jinsan Molybdenum will retain 49%, ensuring a collaborative approach to the development and operation of the smelting facility [2]