Investment Rating - The investment rating for Baidu Group is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the short-term impact of AI transformation on the ecosystem significantly affects advertising revenue, while the cloud business shows a positive trend [1] - The company's core revenue for Q1 2025 reached RMB 25.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7%, exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations [1] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q1 2025 was RMB 6.469 billion, also better than market expectations [1] - The report emphasizes the potential of AI tools to enhance advertising efficiency and the ongoing transformation of Baidu's application ecosystem [1] - The cloud business experienced strong growth, with revenue increasing by 42% year-on-year, driven by the accelerated adoption of AI across various industries [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 was RMB 134.598 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 8.83% [1] - The forecast for 2025 estimates total revenue at RMB 134.638 billion, reflecting a slight increase of 1.14% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit for 2023 was RMB 28.747 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 39.01% [1] - The forecast for 2025 estimates Non-GAAP net profit at RMB 23.046 billion, a decrease of 14.65% [1] Business Segments - Advertising business: Online marketing revenue for Q1 2025 was RMB 16 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6% [1] - Cloud business: Revenue growth accelerated to 42% year-on-year, with significant demand for AI cloud services [1] - Smart driving business: The number of autonomous driving orders exceeded 1.4 million, a year-on-year increase of 75% [1] Valuation Metrics - The latest diluted EPS for 2023 was RMB 7.39, with a forecast of RMB 8.04 for 2025 [1] - The P/E ratio for 2025 is projected to be 9.51 [1] - The report adjusts the Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to RMB 230 billion, RMB 244 billion, and RMB 264 billion respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tongcheng Travel (00780.HK) [1] Core Insights - The company's core business is experiencing rapid growth, with significant improvements in profit margins. The revenue for Q1 2025 reached 4.38 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13%, while the adjusted net profit was 790 million RMB, up 41% year-on-year, exceeding guidance [7] - The Core-OTA segment's revenue grew by 18% to 3.79 billion RMB, driven by strong performance in transportation ticketing and accommodation bookings, which saw revenues of 2.00 billion RMB and 1.19 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 15% and 23% [7] - Gross margin improved to 68.7%, up 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the rapid growth of the Core-OTA segment and a decrease in the proportion of lower-margin vacation business [7] - The report projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.50 billion RMB, 3.01 billion RMB, and 3.52 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 13 times [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 11.896 billion RMB in 2023 to 25.418 billion RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% [1] - The adjusted net profit is expected to increase from 1.554 billion RMB in 2023 to 3.516 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of around 16.99% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.67 RMB in 2023 to 1.51 RMB in 2027 [1]

Group 1 - The report indicates a negative sentiment in the U.S. stock market, with the S&P 500 down by 2.6% and the Nasdaq and Dow Jones both down by 2.5% during the week, reflecting a broader market decline [4][9]. - The U.S. long-term bond yields have risen, with the 10-year Treasury yield increasing by 8 basis points, indicating a shift in market focus from tariffs to fiscal policy, which is expected to impact bond market trading [3][4]. - The geopolitical risks are highlighted, particularly with Israel's plans to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, which have heightened market risk aversion and contributed to the weakness in U.S. stocks [2][4]. Group 2 - The report suggests that the U.S. stock market is likely to continue experiencing volatility in the short term, primarily due to rising long-term bond yields around 4.5%, which may suppress stock valuations [2][4]. - In the medium to long term, the market is expected to return to a focus on economic fundamentals and corporate earnings resilience, supported by potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve as inflation declines [2][4]. - The report notes that the recent passage of Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill," which includes tax cuts and regulatory rollbacks, is anticipated to increase fiscal deficits significantly, raising concerns about fiscal sustainability [3][4]. Group 3 - The report highlights that the global stock ETF inflows have slowed, with a net inflow of $6.8 billion into U.S. stock ETFs, while emerging markets, particularly China, have seen significant outflows [6][27]. - The report indicates that gold ETFs have seen mixed activity, with some funds like SPDR Gold Trust experiencing inflows, while others like iShares Gold Trust have seen outflows, reflecting changing investor sentiment towards gold [6][23]. - The report emphasizes that the market is currently in a state of cautious optimism regarding Hong Kong stocks, with the Hang Seng Index showing a 1.1% increase, although overall pressure remains [6][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in inventory, a decline in US gas prices, and weak demand domestically, while European gas prices show a slight increase [1][10] - It emphasizes the ongoing adjustments in pricing mechanisms and the potential for demand recovery in 2025, alongside cost optimization for gas companies [1][54] Summary by Sections Price Tracking - As of May 23, 2025, US HH gas prices decreased by 4.8%, while European TTF prices increased by 5.8%. The prices for East Asia JKM and China's LNG showed increases of 5% and 5.5% respectively [10][12] Supply and Demand Analysis - US natural gas supply increased by 1.3% week-on-week to 1,118 billion cubic feet per day, with total demand rising by 4.2% to 982 billion cubic feet per day. However, the industrial sector saw a decrease in consumption by 0.9% [15] - European gas consumption for January-February 2025 was 115.5 billion cubic meters, up 11% year-on-year, while the average gas generation in Europe decreased by 15.5% week-on-week [17][26] Pricing Progress - Nationwide, 63% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter. The report suggests that there is still a 10% room for price adjustment [39] Important Events - The US LNG import tariff was reduced from 140% to 25%, enhancing the economic viability of US gas imports [46] - The European Commission voted to introduce more flexible natural gas storage filling targets, allowing member states to achieve storage goals more easily [51] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments. Key recommendations include New Energy (5.2% dividend yield), China Gas (7.0% dividend yield), and Kunlun Energy (4.1% dividend yield) [54]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company is driven by dual engines of catering and food, focusing on South China while expanding nationwide [7] - The company has optimized its product matrix to align with market demand, launching new products such as mooncakes and frozen foods, and targeting health-conscious consumers [7] - The company has established a strong offline presence with over 1,013 distributors and is expanding its e-commerce partnerships [7] - The company is increasing its market share outside Guangdong, with nearly 20% of mooncake sales coming from outside the province in 2024 [7] - The company is also expanding internationally, with a 41.63% revenue growth from overseas markets in 2024 [7] - The company expects a net profit growth of 9.44% in 2025, reaching 540.50 million yuan, and a continued upward trend in subsequent years [1][7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,124 million yuan in 2024 to 6,670 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.10% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 494 million yuan in 2024 to 678 million yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.87 yuan in 2024 to 1.19 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 19.20 in 2024 to 13.98 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [1][8]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 2025 年 05 月 26 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 库存大幅增长美国气价回落，需求偏弱国内 气价回落，库存偏低欧洲气价微增 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] ◼ 风险提示：经济增速不及预期、极端天气、国际局势变化、安全经营风险。 东吴证券研究所 1 / 13 相关研究 《需求偏弱美国&国内气价回落，库 存同比偏低欧洲气价微增；对美 LNG 关税降至 25%》 2025-05-19 《产量或下降美国气价提升，库存同 比偏低欧洲气价提升》 2025-05-12 行业走势 -13% -10% -7% -4% -1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 17% 2024/5/27 2024/9/24 2025/1/22 2025/5/22 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 价格跟踪：库存大幅增长美国气价回落 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the bus sector, specifically favoring Yutong and King Long [3][4]. Core Insights - The driving factors for the current bus cycle indicate that the bus industry represents China's automotive manufacturing sector becoming a global leader in technology output. The overseas market is expected to contribute significantly to the bus industry, potentially creating a market equivalent to China within 3-5 years [2]. - The report highlights that the domestic price war has ended, which will not hinder growth but rather resonate positively with the market. The recovery in tourism and the demand for bus updates are expected to return to 2019 levels [2]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In April 2025, the overall production of the bus industry in China was 45,000 units, with year-on-year and month-on-month changes of -0% and -10% respectively. The wholesale volume for April was also 45,000 units, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.6% and a month-on-month decrease of 16.1% [9][10]. - The report notes that the sales of large and medium buses increased year-on-year, while export volumes also saw a rise [9]. Company Performance - Yutong is characterized as a "model student" with high growth and high dividend attributes, with projected net profits of 4.63 billion, 5.55 billion, and 6.75 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12%, 20%, and 22% respectively [4]. - King Long is noted for its rapid progress, with projected net profits of 440 million, 640 million, and 830 million yuan for the same period, indicating substantial year-on-year growth of 182%, 45%, and 28% respectively [4]. Export Dynamics - In April 2025, the export of large and medium buses reached 4,128 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 4% but a month-on-month decrease of 18% [45]. - The report indicates that the export market is concentrated among leading companies, with Yutong and King Long holding significant market shares in both bus types [54].

人形机器人量产在即，锂电需求略有好转 2025 年 05 月 26 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 021-60199793 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 许钧赫 执业证书：S0600123070121 xujunhe@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -18% -14% -10% -6% -2% 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 22% 2024/5/27 2024/9/24 2025/1/22 2025/5/22 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 《电力设备行业跟踪周报：人形机器 人如火如荼，关税下降或带动美国储 能抢装》 2025-05-18 《电力设备行业跟踪周报：人形量产 稳步推进，欧洲电车销量恢复》 2025-05-11 东吴证券研究所 1 / 41 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao (06862.HK) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with expectations for revenue growth and profit improvement through various strategic initiatives [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with the company successfully incubating new brands and expanding its store network [8] - The company is enhancing its operational model through a bottom-up site selection mechanism and strict control over franchisee standards [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million RMB in 2023 to 47,244 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million RMB in 2023 to 5,269 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 RMB in 2023 to 0.95 RMB in 2027 [1] Operational Strategies - The company is implementing a dual management model and exclusive customer manager system to optimize its management practices [8] - A strict selection mechanism for franchisees is in place, ensuring quality and operational capability [8] - Digital upgrades and supply chain optimization are being pursued through the use of big data and AI technologies [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haidilao (06862.HK) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on steady progress and active advancement, with expectations for revenue and profit growth driven by operational optimizations and new brand incubations [8] - The "Red Pomegranate" plan has shown positive results, with 11 new restaurant brands and 74 new stores established by the end of 2024, indicating a potential second growth curve for the company [8] - The company is implementing a strict selection mechanism for franchisees to ensure quality and service standards, with 13 franchise stores already operational by the end of 2024 [8] - Digital upgrades and supply chain optimizations are being pursued through AI technology and data analysis, enhancing customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 41,622 million RMB in 2023 to 47,244 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.62% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 4,499 million RMB in 2023 to 5,269 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 4.77% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.81 RMB in 2023 to 0.95 RMB in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 17.21 to 14.70 over the same period [1]