Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Baidu with a target price of US$180.50, down from the previous target of US$183.00, indicating an upside potential of 101.1% from the current price of US$89.74 [3]. Core Insights - Baidu's 2Q24 revenue was RMB33.9 billion, a slight decline of 0.4% year-over-year, aligning with Bloomberg consensus. Non-GAAP net income was RMB7.4 billion, exceeding consensus by 9% due to effective control over sales and marketing expenses [2]. - The company is focusing on enhancing user experience through Gen-AI generated results, prioritizing this over short-term monetization, which may temporarily hinder ad revenue growth but is expected to improve long-term monetization prospects [2][10]. - Non-ad revenue grew by 10% year-over-year to RMB7.5 billion, now accounting for 28.2% of Baidu Core revenue, driven by AI-related GPU cloud revenue and cross-selling of CPU cloud services [2]. Financial Performance - In 2Q24, Baidu Core's online ads revenue was RMB19.2 billion, down 2.2% year-over-year, but slightly better than consensus expectations. The company anticipates a further decline in ad revenue growth in the near term, projecting a 3.4% year-over-year decline to RMB19.0 billion in 3Q24E [2][7]. - Baidu Core's gross profit margin (GPM) was 59.4% in 2Q24, down 1.1 percentage points year-over-year, while non-GAAP operating profit margin (OPM) improved to 26.1%, exceeding consensus by 1.4 percentage points due to stringent cost control [2][7]. Valuation and Forecast - The SOTP-based target price of US$180.5 reflects a valuation of US$71.6 for Baidu Core, US$1.8 for Apollo ASD, US$32.2 for Baidu Cloud, and US$64.1 in net cash. The valuation for iQIYI and other investments is set at US$10.8 [10][11]. - Revenue forecasts for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB135.8 billion, RMB146.9 billion, and RMB157.9 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit estimates of RMB27.96 billion, RMB28.72 billion, and RMB31.94 billion [6][9].

23 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update AAC Tech (2018 HK) Riding on new upgrade cycle; Upgrade to BUY We upgrade AAC to BUY with SOTP-based TP of HK$37.8 (19.6x FY25E P/E), as we believe spec upgrade in acoustics/optics/haptics and upcoming AI smartphone cycle will boost earnings growth into FY25/26E. AAC's 1H24 revenue/net profit growth of 22%/257% YoY is ahead of market expectations, thanks to stronger margin recovery (+7.4 ppts YoY/+2.3 ppts HoH), better product m ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Willsemi, with a target price adjusted to RMB 115.39, based on a 2024E price-to-earnings ratio of 40.7 times [1][2]. Core Insights - Willsemi reported a robust performance in 1H24, with revenue increasing by 36.5% year-on-year to RMB 12 billion and net profit soaring by 790% to RMB 13.7 billion, attributed to improved consumer sentiment and growth in high-end smartphone and automotive CIS markets [1][2]. - The company's CIS sales in mobile, automotive, IoT, and medical sectors showed strong growth, with year-on-year increases of 78.5%, 53.0%, 77.8%, and 41.6% respectively, despite a decline in security and notebook sectors [1][2]. - The report anticipates a 15% growth in CIS sales for the second half of 2024, projecting an annual growth rate of 29% for the year [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to reach RMB 26.1 billion in FY24, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.3%. The gross profit margin is expected to be 29.7% [3][9]. - Net profit for FY24 is estimated at RMB 3.37 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 507.2% [3][9]. - The report indicates a gradual recovery in the touch/display business, with a forecasted return to growth starting in 2025 due to the introduction of low-power and automotive-grade products [2][3]. Market Performance - Willsemi's sales in the CIS segment for the first half of 2024 continued to show strong momentum, with a 49.8% year-on-year increase in sales to the CIS market [1][2]. - The report highlights the company's leading position in the market and ongoing market share growth, despite a challenging overall market environment [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Willsemi with a target price adjusted to RMB115.39, based on a 40.7x 2024E P/E ratio [2][3]. Core Insights - Willsemi reported solid 1H24 results, with revenue increasing by 36.5% YoY to RMB12 billion and net profit growing 790% YoY to RMB1.37 billion [2]. - The company achieved record quarterly revenue of RMB6.4 billion in 2Q24, reflecting a 42.5% YoY increase and a 14.2% QoQ increase [2]. - The growth in net profit for 2Q24 was RMB809 million, up 45.1% QoQ, indicating a strong recovery from a net loss in 2Q23 [2]. - Gross profit margin (GPM) improved to 30.2% in 2Q24, up from 27.9% in 1Q24 and 17.3% in 2Q23, suggesting a favorable product mix [2]. - Net profit margin (NPM) expanded to 12.6% in 2Q24, compared to 9.9% in 1Q24 and a negative margin in 2Q23, attributed to a better cost structure [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB21.021 billion in FY23 to RMB26.119 billion in FY24, representing a 24.3% YoY growth [3][9]. - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from RMB555.6 million in FY23 to RMB3.3738 billion in FY24, reflecting a 507.2% YoY growth [3][9]. - The company anticipates continued growth in CIS sales, projecting a 15% HoH increase in 2H24, leading to a 29% YoY growth in 2024 [2]. Segment Performance - CIS sales showed strong growth, with mobile, auto, IoT, and medical segments growing 78.5%, 53.0%, 77.8%, and 41.6% YoY, respectively [2]. - The touch/display business remains weak, with a 28.6% YoY revenue decline due to inventory digestion and ASP pressure, while the analog segment grew by 24.7% YoY [2]. - The report expects the touch/display segment to recover in 2025, driven by new product introductions [2]. Financial Metrics - The report revises net profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 by -1% and +3%, respectively, due to higher R&D costs as the company enhances its competitiveness [2]. - The projected P/E ratio for FY24 is 32.5x, which is significantly lower than the previous year's 196.3x, indicating improved valuation [3][9].

22 Aug 2024 CMB 国际全球市场 | 股票研究 | 公司更新 小米 （ 1810 HK ） 第二季度在 EV GPM 和弹性核心收益方面表现突 出 ； 重申买入 小米在2024年第二季度实现了强劲的收入/调整后净利润增长，同比增长32%/20%。调整后 净利润比我们的预测高出21%/27%，主要是由于电动汽车（EV）/互联网业务的毛利率更强 以及运营效率的提升所驱动。小米首次公布了其电动汽车业务的财务数据，季度毛利率为 15.7%，远高于市场预期的5%-10%，管理层预计下一季度的毛利率将实现环比增长。展望未 来，我们对小米在全球智能手机市场份额的增长、新零售战略的执行、AIoT业务的增长势头 以及电动汽车出货量的交付以推动FY24E-25E的盈利增长持乐观态度。我们将FY24-26E的每 股收益上调6-8%，以反映强劲的第二季度结果和更佳的电动汽车盈利能力，并将基于SOTP的 股价目标上调至港币24.4元，相当于FY24E的市盈率23.9倍。即将到来的催化剂包括每月出货 量SU7和智能手机市场份额的增加。 2Q24 盈利超过强劲的物联网 / 互联网 / 电动汽车利润率。小米2024年第二季度全球 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Sunny Optical, with a target price (TP) raised to HK$72.52 from the previous HK$67.88, indicating a potential upside of 47.3% [2][23]. Core Insights - Sunny Optical's 1H24 revenue and net profit grew by 32% and 145% year-on-year, respectively, driven by a recovery in average selling prices (ASP) and gross profit margins (GPM) in the smartphone segment, as well as strong growth in automotive and XR (extended reality) products [2][12]. - The company has revised its shipment guidance for HLS (High-Level Sensors) and VLS (Vehicle Lens Systems) for 2024, expecting a year-on-year increase of 5-10% and 10-15%, respectively [2][12]. - The report highlights upcoming catalysts, including the iPhone 16 launch and the rise of Android AI smartphones, which are expected to drive further growth [2][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1H24 revenue reached HK$16,225 million, with a gross profit margin of 17.2%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.3 percentage points [12][14]. - The net profit for 1H24 was HK$2,452 million, exceeding consensus estimates by 4% [12][14]. - Revenue projections for FY24E are set at HK$39,765 million, with expected growth continuing into FY25E and FY26E [14][26]. Market Position and Growth Drivers - Sunny Optical is positioned as a leader in the optical components market, with significant growth expected from the smartphone and automotive sectors [2][12]. - The report emphasizes the positive outlook for the company's ASP and GPM, particularly in the high-end smartphone segment and automotive lenses, which are projected to grow significantly [2][12]. Valuation Metrics - The new target price of HK$72.52 is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, reflecting a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.9x for FY25E [2][23]. - The report assigns different P/E multiples to various business segments, with 18x for camera modules, 25x for smartphone lenses, and 35x for automotive lenses, indicating strong growth potential across these areas [2][23].

22 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK) Gearing up for new growth cycle; Raise TP to HK$72.52 Sunny's 1H24 revenue/NP growth of 32%/145% YoY is largely in-line with prior positive profit alert, driven by smartphone's HLS/HCM ASP/GPM recovery and rapid auto/XR growth. Mgmt. raised 2024 shipment guidance for HLS/VLS to 5-10% YoY /10-15% YoY (vs prior +5%/10% YoY), and guided ASP/GPM improvement into 2H24E and 2025. For 2025, we are positive on Ap ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to HKD 67.87, indicating a potential upside of 74.9% from the current price of HKD 38.80 [3][16]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue increase of 38.4% year-on-year to RMB 1.37 billion, with adjusted net profit rising 45.3% to RMB 150 million for the first half of 2024 [1]. - The management has raised the annual store expansion target from 10-15 to 18-25 new stores, reflecting a faster-than-expected pace of growth [1]. - The company continues to strengthen its competitive advantage in doctor resources, with a total of 26 medical alliance units established, enhancing its reputation and quality of service [1]. Financial Performance - Revenue for FY24E is projected at RMB 3.112 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 33.9%, and adjusted net profit expected to reach RMB 417 million, reflecting a growth of 36.9% [2][11]. - The adjusted earnings per share for FY24E is forecasted to be RMB 1.70, with a decreasing adjusted P/E ratio from 27.8 in FY23A to 21.0 in FY24E [2][14]. Store Expansion and Market Position - As of July 2024, the company has added 16 new stores, bringing the total to 74, with a focus on high-potential regions such as the Yangtze River Delta and major cities [1]. - The management aims to increase store density in cities where it already operates, leveraging economies of scale [1]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to increase the proportion of dividends and buybacks to 30-50% of net profit over the next 3-5 years, with an interim dividend of approximately HKD 31.54 million announced [1].

22 Aug 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Xiaomi (1810 HK) 2Q24 beat on EV GPM and resilient core earnings; Reiterate BUY Xiaomi delivered strong 2Q24 revenue/adj.net profit growth of 32%/20% YoY. Adj. net profit is 21%/27% ahead of our/consensus estimates, mainly driven by stronger EV/internet GPM and improving efficiency. Xiaomi reported its first EV business financials with a quarterly GPM at 15.7%, well above market expectation of 5-10%, and mgmt. guided QoQ GPM exp ...

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating with a target price of HK$14.00, implying a 77.7% upside from the current price of HK$7.88 [2][4]. Core Insights - Geely's 1H24 core earnings exceeded prior forecasts by 18%, driven by a lower R&D capitalization ratio and improved gross margins [2]. - The Galaxy E5 BEV, based on the GEA platform, is expected to drive sales volume and improve margins compared to previous models [2]. - Zeekr's introduction of hybrid models is anticipated to enhance competitiveness in the premium vehicle segment [2]. - The current valuation of Geely is considered attractive, with a projected net profit of RMB4.1 billion for 2H24 and a 12% increase in FY25E net profit to RMB8.7 billion [2][3]. Financial Performance - 1H24 revenue was RMB107.3 billion, slightly below forecasts, with a gross margin of 15.1%, which is 1 percentage point higher than estimates [2][7]. - The net profit for 1H24, excluding certain items, was approximately RMB4 billion, marking an 18% increase over forecasts [2]. - Revenue projections for FY24E have been raised from RMB227.5 billion to RMB227.6 billion, with net profit estimates increasing significantly from RMB7 billion to RMB14.7 billion [7][9]. Sales and Production Outlook - The order backlog for the Galaxy E5 BEV is estimated to exceed 25,000 units, supported by competitive pricing [2]. - Sales volume forecast for FY24E has been increased from 1.98 million units to 2.01 million units [2]. - Geely's total revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 27.0% for FY24E, followed by 9.3% and 7.3% for FY25E and FY26E, respectively [3][9]. Valuation Metrics - Zeekr is valued at 0.7x FY25E core revenue, translating to a valuation of approximately US$8.4 billion [2][8]. - Geely's other businesses are valued at a P/E of 12x for FY25E, reflecting a comprehensive valuation approach [2][8]. - The projected P/E ratio for FY24E is 5.0, significantly lower than historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation [9].