研究所： 证券分析师： 刘熹 S0350523040001 liux10@ghzq.com.cn 2025 年 05 月 15 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) [Table_Title] 定增强化信创、AIPC 及智算领域布局，鸿蒙+ 机器人加速发展 ——软通动力（301236）公司点评报告 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/05/14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 软通动力 | 9.5% | -15.1% | 53.0% | | 沪深 300 | 4.9% | 0.1% | 7.8% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/05/14 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 59.84 | | 周价格区间（元） 52 | 29.20-80.50 | | --- | --- | | 总市值（百万） | 57,024.00 | | 流通市值（百万） | 40,710.07 | | 总股本（万股） | 95,294.12 | | 流通股本（万股） | 68,031.54 | | 日均成交额（百万） | 1,17 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhengmei Machine (601717) is "Accumulate" [4] Core Views - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 37.05 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.93 billion yuan, up 20.2%, driven by revenue structure optimization in the coal machinery segment and a decrease in material costs [2][10] - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 9.76 billion yuan, a 0.9% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.5% year-on-year growth, mainly due to the growth of the automotive parts subsidiary Yaxin Technology and increased shareholding in subsidiaries [2] - The company's profitability showed slight fluctuations, with a decrease in expense ratios and significant cost reduction and efficiency improvement effects [2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the gross profit margin was 24.0%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.4%, also up by 1.9 percentage points year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 23.5%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 11.5%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [2][3][15] - The company’s expense ratio for 2024 was 10.9%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points year-on-year, with sales expense ratio at 2.5%, down 0.6 percentage points, and R&D expense ratio at 4.1%, down 0.2 percentage points [3][15] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 38.2 billion yuan, 40.2 billion yuan, and 43.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.11 billion yuan, 4.41 billion yuan, and 4.99 billion yuan for the same years, with a CAGR of 10% [4][5]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 化学制药 健友股份(603707) 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 15 日 生物药进入兑现期，看好向上拐点 ——健友股份点评 投资要点 公司 2024 年实现营业收入 39.24 亿元（YOY-0.20%），归母净利润 8.26 亿元 （YOY+536.09%），扣非后归母净利润 7.82 亿元（YOY+566.00%）。2025Q1 实 现营业收入 8.85 亿元（YOY-11.85%），归母净利润 0.85 亿元（YOY-52.19%）， 扣非后归母净利润 0.75 亿元（YOY-56.05%）。 2025Q1 公司原料药板块受客户采购策略调整影响，肝素原料药收入同比大幅下 降 51.61%，公司制剂业务保持快速发展，整体销售收入同比增长 18.30%。其 中，国内制剂因部分产品续标导致收入阶段性承压。 ❑ 拆分： 非肝素制剂持续放量，看好国际生物药进入兑现期 非肝素制剂放量驱动海外制剂增长，看好国际生物药大分子进入兑现期。收入 看：2024 年制剂实现收入 30.50 亿元（YOY10.05%），占比为 77.74%；其中，非 肝素制剂 14.67 亿元（YOY24. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.358 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.29%. Despite the pressure on the cybersecurity industry due to tightened budgets from downstream clients, the company focused on core customers and high-value markets to achieve growth [2] - The company's net loss narrowed to 365 million yuan in 2024, with a significant improvement in operating quality driven by cost reduction and efficiency enhancement strategies. The gross margin for security products reached 67.87% [3] - The company is targeting AI and security as dual engines for growth, with plans to enhance its technology stack and build ecosystems in the future [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.358 billion yuan, a 40.29% increase year-on-year. The net loss was reduced to 365 million yuan, with a net profit margin improvement from -58.1% to -15.5% [2][3] - For Q4 2024, the revenue was 1.084 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 128.67% [8] - The company forecasts revenues of 2.536 billion yuan, 2.743 billion yuan, and 2.981 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with expected net profits turning positive in 2025 [9][10] Strategic Focus - The company is implementing a "focus strategy" to optimize resource allocation, concentrating on stable core customers in sectors like telecommunications, finance, and energy while reducing inefficiencies in other markets [2] - The introduction of a restricted stock incentive plan for 2024 indicates management's confidence in long-term performance improvement, with revenue targets set for 2025 and 2026 [2] Innovation and Market Position - The company made significant advancements in AI and security, launching the "Fengyunwei AI Security Capability Platform" and the "AI-Scan" risk assessment product [4] - The strategic goal is to solidify domestic leadership while expanding into international markets, aiming to become a leader in digital cybersecurity [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company demonstrates resilience in performance despite industry challenges, with profit margins expected to improve through quality enhancement and efficiency [2][9] - The company has actively closed 1,078 stores in 2024, primarily in the second half of the year, which has had a short-term impact on revenue growth but is anticipated to enhance profitability in the long run [2][9] - The company plans to increase cash dividends to enhance shareholder returns, distributing a total of 788 million yuan in cash dividends in 2024, which represents 51.56% of net profit [2] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 24.062 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.53%, and a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.26% increase [1][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.009 billion yuan, with a net profit of 449 million yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.51% [1] - The company expects to achieve net profits of 1.759 billion yuan, 2.025 billion yuan, and 2.297 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 19, 16, and 14 [9][12] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a well-established specialized store network, with a focus on regional expansion, having opened 2,512 new stores in 2024 [9] - The company has embraced online new retail, generating online revenue of 2.127 billion yuan in 2024, with O2O contributing 1.721 billion yuan [9] - The company continues to enhance its digital transformation and supply chain optimization, which is expected to drive profitability improvements [2][9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company is undergoing a significant transformation driven by "intelligent computing power + data elements," focusing on AI capabilities to enhance its market competitiveness and operational efficiency [3][5][6]. - The financial outlook shows a narrowing of losses, with projected net profits increasing significantly from 2025 to 2027, indicating a potential turning point in profitability [5][6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. AI and Big Data-Driven Core Business Layout - The company is building a digital transformation foundation through a dual-engine strategy of intelligent computing power and data elements, integrating high-performance computing services [13]. - The company plans to change its actual controller, which may accelerate its strategic transformation into a new layout combining 3D printing, AI, and computing power [17][20]. - The company has developed a customer flow analysis system and a remote store inspection system, leveraging AI to enhance decision-making in commercial operations [21][24]. 2. Large Models Driving Industrial Transformation - The emergence of open-source ecosystems is facilitating the rapid development of vertical applications, with the company positioned to leverage these advancements [4][35]. - The introduction of the "Doubao Video World" model represents a breakthrough in visual cognition, allowing for video generation without text prompts, thus reshaping application paradigms [38][42]. 3. Financial Overview: Narrowing Losses and Strengthening Long-Term Value - The company has experienced revenue fluctuations and short-term profit pressures, primarily due to high R&D expenditures and fixed costs [5][59]. - The transition to data services has led to a significant increase in gross margins, indicating the effectiveness of the strategic shift towards becoming a data service provider [61]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to see substantial growth in net profits from 2025 to 2027, with projected earnings per share (EPS) increasing from 0.10 yuan to 0.46 yuan [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the potential for the company's AI and data services to drive future growth, supported by favorable policy trends and market demand [54][64].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of 60.68 RMB per share, reflecting a potential upside from the current price of 47.47 RMB [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's revenue is steadily growing, with a notable performance in recurring net profit attributable to shareholders (NPAtS), which surged nearly 60% in 2024. The education business has rebounded with over 20% growth after a decline in 2023, while smart automotive and open platform businesses have also shown strong performance. The continuous upgrades of the company's foundation models are expected to further solidify its leadership in the AI sector [1][8]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 23.34 billion RMB, representing an 18.79% year-over-year increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 560 million RMB, down 14.78% year-over-year, while the recurring NPAtS reached 188 million RMB, up 59.36% year-over-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 4.66 billion RMB, up 27.74% year-over-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -193 million RMB [3][8]. Revenue Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are set at 28.06 billion RMB and 33.80 billion RMB, respectively, with an additional forecast for 2027 at 41.03 billion RMB. The company is expected to maintain a strong revenue growth rate despite its substantial revenue base [1][8]. Business Performance - The company's various business segments, including smart education, open platform, smart city, consumer, smart automotive, operator, and smart healthcare, reported revenues of 7.23 billion RMB, 5.17 billion RMB, 3.62 billion RMB, 2.71 billion RMB, 0.99 billion RMB, 1.90 billion RMB, and 0.69 billion RMB, respectively, with year-over-year changes of +29.94%, +31.33%, -8.1%, +20.8%, +42.16%, -9.31%, and +28.18% [3][8]. AI Model Development - The Spark foundation model has become a crucial growth driver for the company, leading in project awards in 2024. The model was upgraded on April 21, matching the performance of industry leaders like OpenAI and DeepSeek while maintaining a smaller parameter size [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Views - The company's first-quarter performance met expectations, with a year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 31.8%, reaching 234 million yuan [1]. - The company is expected to experience a slight decline in domestic cement clinker sales in Q1, but prices are projected to increase, with an expected rise of over 30 yuan per ton [2]. - The company's gross margin improved to 26.11%, up 4.23 percentage points year-on-year, although the effective tax rate increased significantly, impacting profit [3]. - The company has a strong outlook for non-cement and overseas businesses, with a cumulative cash dividend of 960 million yuan in 2024, representing a 40% payout ratio [4]. Financial Data Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 7.16 billion yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 1.1% [1]. - The projected revenue for 2023 is approximately 33.76 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 10.79% [5]. - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 3.14 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 30.14% [5]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 1.51 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.29 [5].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [25]. Core Views - The company, Zhenhua Technology, reported a total revenue of 5.219 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 32.99%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 970 million yuan, down 63.83% [6][10]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a slight improvement, with revenue of 908 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 10.4%, and a net profit of 58.51 million yuan, down 42.6% [7][10]. - The company focuses on new electronic components, which accounted for 99.18% of its revenue in 2024, indicating a strong commitment to its core business despite industry challenges [7][10]. - The report highlights that the demand for military defense is expected to improve as the 14th Five-Year Plan approaches its conclusion, potentially leading to a turning point in the company's performance [10][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 5.219 billion yuan, with a significant decline in net profit to 970 million yuan [6][10]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 908 million yuan and a net profit of 58.51 million yuan, indicating a narrowing of the decline compared to the previous year [7][10]. - The gross margin for 2024 was reported at 49.7%, down 9.64 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 18.6%, down 15.85 percentage points [8][10]. Business Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 5.7 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 9.22% year-on-year, with a profit target of 1.145 billion yuan, up 3.06% [11][12]. - New orders in the high-tech electronics sector are expected to continue growing, supporting the outlook for improved military demand [11][12]. - The report anticipates that the military electronics component industry will see a recovery as demand from downstream customers increases [10][11]. Valuation and Forecast - The forecast for 2025 to 2027 includes projected revenues of 6.004 billion yuan, 7.267 billion yuan, and 8.223 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 1.169 billion yuan, 1.513 billion yuan, and 1.831 billion yuan [12][13]. - The report provides a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio forecast of 22.95X for 2025, decreasing to 14.66X by 2027, indicating a potential for valuation improvement as earnings recover [12][13].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [25]. Core Views - The company, Zhenhua Technology, is expected to see a performance turning point as national defense demand is anticipated to improve in the final year of the 14th Five-Year Plan [10][11]. - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for 2024, with total revenue of 5.219 billion yuan, down 32.99% year-on-year, and a net profit of 970 million yuan, down 63.83% year-on-year [6][7]. - Despite the challenges, there are signs of marginal improvement in Q1 2025, with a decrease in revenue and net profit narrowing compared to the previous year [7][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 5.219 billion yuan, a decrease of 32.99% year-on-year, and a net profit of 970 million yuan, down 63.83% year-on-year [6][7]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 908 million yuan, a decline of 10.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 58.51 million yuan, down 42.6% year-on-year [7][8]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 49.7%, down 9.64 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 18.6%, down 15.85 percentage points year-on-year [8]. Business Focus - The company focuses on new electronic components, with 99.18% of its revenue coming from this segment in 2024 [7][10]. - The company is recognized as one of the most comprehensive suppliers of electronic components in the domestic military industry, with products widely used in various sectors including aerospace and defense [10]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 5.7 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.22%, and a profit target of 1.145 billion yuan, up 3.06% [11][12]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of 6.004 billion yuan, 7.267 billion yuan, and 8.223 billion yuan respectively [12][13].