Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the green power sector, with the Guozheng Green Power Index rising by 0.90% and significant gains in constituent stocks such as Nanwang Energy (+4.87%) and solar energy companies (+3.54%) [1] - The Aisa Wind Power Project in Ethiopia, constructed by a Chinese company, has commenced operations with a total installed capacity of 120 MW, marking a significant milestone in international renewable energy projects [1] - A new pricing mechanism for independent new-type energy storage capacity has been established by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, enhancing the investment attractiveness and revenue certainty for energy storage projects [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Green Power Index include major players like China Nuclear Power and Three Gorges Energy, collectively accounting for 52.75% of the index [2] - The Green Power ETF (159625) closely tracks the Guozheng Green Power Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the overall performance of listed companies in the green power sector [2] - Investors can also access investment opportunities through the corresponding Green Power ETF linked fund (017057) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment of the market-oriented grid connection project list in Shandong Province, which removed 63 photovoltaic power station projects with a total capacity of 5.839 million kilowatts, has raised significant concerns in the market due to the involvement of 35 central state-owned enterprises [1][4]. Group 1: Project Adjustments - The Shandong Provincial Energy Bureau has emphasized strict scrutiny for future new energy project applications following the removal of the delayed projects [1]. - The 63 projects removed include significant capacities from major state-owned enterprises, with China Power Investment Corporation losing 1.598 million kilowatts, and other companies like Huaneng and Huadian also facing substantial cuts [2][5]. - A total of 29 projects with a capacity of 2.978 million kilowatts have been granted a reprieve, allowing them to be included in the 2026 construction list, requiring completion by the end of 2026 [4][5]. Group 2: Broader Industry Trends - The trend of project cancellations is not limited to Shandong; various regions have seen similar phenomena, with significant withdrawals from projects by major state-owned enterprises across the country [6]. - In Yunnan, over 800,000 kilowatts of photovoltaic projects have been withdrawn, with some projects being offered for transfer at symbolic prices [6]. - A total of 143 wind and solar projects have been canceled across six provinces, amounting to 10.67 gigawatts, with 67 of those being solar projects totaling 546.81 megawatts [6][7]. Group 3: Financial Viability Concerns - The primary reason for the withdrawal of projects by state-owned enterprises is financial losses due to plummeting electricity prices and reduced generation capacity [9]. - The average market price for photovoltaic electricity has dropped significantly, with some regions reporting prices as low as a few cents per kilowatt-hour, which is far below the benchmark coal price [9][10]. - The phenomenon of electricity curtailment has also worsened, with some regions experiencing curtailment rates exceeding 30%, further impacting the financial viability of photovoltaic projects [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector [6] Core Insights - The commercial model of the power sector is continuously transforming, with a reduced reliance on annual long-term contracts for electricity and prices. The sector is shifting towards mid-to-long-term markets, spot markets, and capacity markets, indicating a comprehensive push for marketization [19][3] - The capacity price mechanism is being refined, with the aim to optimize the electricity market and ensure fair compensation reflecting the contributions of different power plants to peak demand [15][3] - The report highlights the importance of capacity market development, with current subsidies in Gansu and Yunnan reaching 330 RMB/kW·year, which helps offset the decline in electricity prices [19][3] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The SW public utility sector index fell by 1.66% this week, ranking 16th among 31 SW sectors. In comparison, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.44% and 1.62%, respectively [33][33] - Within sub-sectors, thermal power decreased by 2.78%, hydropower increased by 0.3%, while solar and wind power fell by 4.53% and 2.49%, respectively [33][33] Price Updates - Domestic and imported thermal coal prices have rebounded slightly, with domestic Qinhuangdao port 5500 kcal thermal coal rising by 4 RMB/ton, remaining below 700 RMB/ton. Imported coal prices also saw a slight increase [12][12] - The average clearing price for electricity in Shanxi and Guangdong has significantly increased due to cold weather, while the monthly agent purchase electricity costs are trending upwards due to rising capacity prices and the entry of renewable energy into the settlement cycle [13][12] Key Events - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes optimizing compensation for coal and gas power generation [3][15] - Recent policy changes include relaxing the annual long-term contract signing ratio for coal-fired power companies and the cancellation of time-of-use electricity pricing in multiple regions [3][15] Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable cash dividends. The profitability of thermal power is anticipated to gradually detach from coal cost dependency, shifting towards multiple influencing factors [19][3] - For long-term stable investment needs, the report recommends attention to companies like Yangtze Power, State Power Investment Corporation, and China National Nuclear Power [19][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power generation sector, including Huaneng International, Guodian Power, Huaren Power, and others [6][10][12]. Core Insights - The new capacity price mechanism for power generation is expected to enhance the fixed income proportion of regulating power sources, thereby improving profitability stability [1]. - The coal power capacity price is set to increase to no less than 165 yuan/kW, with decision-making authority delegated to local governments, which may help ensure the survival of less profitable coal power plants [2]. - The new capacity price mechanism for pumped storage projects will allow for a market-driven reflection of their value, potentially leading to a decrease in average internal rate of return (IRR) levels for these projects [3]. - Independent new energy storage systems on the grid will now be included in the capacity price compensation framework, which is expected to stimulate investment in these projects [4]. - A reliable capacity compensation mechanism will be established in the spot market, reflecting the peak contribution of different units [5]. Summary by Sections Power Generation Sector - The report highlights the expected improvements in profitability for coal power plants due to the increased capacity price mechanism, which will recover a higher proportion of fixed costs [2]. - The introduction of a new capacity price for pumped storage projects aims to reflect their market value, with operators expected to achieve above-average profitability if they maintain strong cost control and operational efficiency [3]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommended stocks include: - ChuanTou Energy (600674 CH) with a target price of 21.25 yuan - Guodian Power (600795 CH) with a target price of 6.87 yuan - Huaren Power (836 HK) with a target price of 25.49 HKD - Gansu Energy (000791 CH) with a target price of 9.55 yuan - Changjiang Power (600900 CH) with a target price of 36.55 yuan - Guotou Power (600886 CH) with a target price of 17.35 yuan - Huaneng International (600011 CH) with a target price of 9.47 yuan - Huaneng International Power (902 HK) with a target price of 7.33 HKD - Hubei Energy (000883 CH) with a target price of 5.88 yuan - Nanshan Storage (600995 CH) with a target price of 15.81 yuan - Inner Mongolia Huadian (600863 CH) with a target price of 5.55 yuan [7][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies in the power generation sector, including Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and China Power Investment, indicating a positive outlook for these stocks [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, aimed at addressing the challenges of the new energy transition and ensuring the development of regulating power sources [1]. - The notification highlights the need for a balanced approach to "new energy consumption, power security, and regulating power source profitability," which is crucial for the construction of a new power system [1]. - The report emphasizes the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for four types of regulating power sources, including independent new energy storage and pumped storage, to ensure fair competition and adequate compensation for capacity [1]. Summary by Sections Capacity Price Mechanism - The notification introduces a differentiated capacity pricing mechanism for various regulating power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on factors such as coal power capacity standards and peak contribution [1]. - The policy aims to ensure that the capacity value of regulating power sources is adequately recognized and compensated, addressing previous issues of insufficient cost coverage [1]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - A key breakthrough in the notification is the establishment of a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation [1]. - This mechanism aims to avoid inefficient resource allocation by linking compensation to the actual contribution of each unit to the power system [1]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies for investment based on their integrated operations and stable profit potential, including Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng [1]. - It also highlights the potential for hydropower companies to benefit from increased output and stable dividends, recommending companies like Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [1].

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...

分析师 陶贻功 ☎：010-80927673 行业点评报告 · 公用事业行业 源装机创新高,用电量结构优化 -- 2025年全年电力数据点评 2026年1月 30 日 公用事亦 推荐 维持评级 网: taoyigong_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030001 梁悠南 ☎：010-80927656 网: liangyounan_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：s0130523070002 研究助理:马敏 z: mamin_yj @chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-1-30 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 【银河环保公用】行业点评_风光装机增速分化,用 电量增速放缓 【银河环保公用】行业点评_水电电量降幅扩大，用 电量增速放缓 【银河环保公用】行业点评_风光新增装机下滑，用 电量增速加快 【银河环保公用】行业点评_太阳能单月装机创新高, 火电发电量由降转增 【银河环保公用】行业点评_太阳能装机持续高增长, 水核发电量增速下降 www.chinastock.com.c ...

01 生态环境部党组书记孙金龙、部长黄润秋在2026年全国生态环境保护工作会议上的讲话和工作报告 全文发布 1月14日至15日，生态环境部在京召开2026年全国生态环境保护工作会议。生态环境部党组书记孙金龙 出席会议并讲话，生态环境部部长黄润秋出席会议并作工作报告。 ▶全文 | 生态环境部党组书记孙金龙在2026年全国生态环境保护工作会议上的讲话 ▶全文 | 生态环境部部长黄润秋在2026年全国生态环境保护工作会议上的工作报告 02 生态环境部党组召开会议 1月27日，生态环境部党组书记孙金龙主持召开部党组会议，传达学习习近平总书记在省部级主要领导 干部学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神专题研讨班开班式上的重要讲话精神，传达学习全国组织部长会 议精神、中央政法工作会议精神。>>>更多内容，点击阅读 03 生态环境部召开部常务会议 ▶1月例行新闻发布会最新情况通报 ▶"持续改善生态环境质量 全面推进美丽中国建设"有关情况 ▶1月例行新闻发布会答问实录 ▶图说发布会 | 2025年全国环境空气质量和地表水环境质量状况 ▶新闻发言人："宽严相济""轻微不罚"让生态环境执法有力度更有温度 1月26日，生态环境部部长黄润秋 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the industry [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a record high in new energy installations, with total installed wind power reaching 640.0 GW, a year-on-year increase of 22.9%, and solar power installations at 1201.7 GW, up 35.5% year-on-year [4]. - Total electricity consumption in 2025 was 10,368.2 billion kWh, reflecting a growth of 5.0% compared to the previous year [4]. - The report anticipates that the growth rate of new energy installations will return to rational levels during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, with an expected addition of over 200 GW in 2026 [4]. Summary by Sections New Energy Installations - In 2025, new installations of wind and solar power reached 434 GW, marking a historical high, with year-on-year growth rates of 50.4% and 13.7%, respectively [4]. - The report notes that the growth rate of wind and solar installations is diverging due to the impact of policy changes on electricity pricing and output characteristics [4]. Electricity Consumption Trends - The report indicates that traditional industrial electricity consumption is slowing down, while new infrastructure and emerging industries are showing significant growth [4]. - In 2025, the share of secondary industry in total electricity consumption was 64.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points, while the tertiary industry's share increased to 19.2%, up 0.6 percentage points [4]. Company Recommendations - For thermal power, the report recommends companies with diversified regional layouts and those with relatively small expected price declines in 2026, such as Huaneng International and Datang Power [4]. - For hydropower, it suggests focusing on companies with high dividend yields like Yangtze Power and those with stable pricing mechanisms like Guizhou Power [4]. - In the nuclear power sector, it highlights the growth potential of China General Nuclear Power and China National Nuclear Power despite short-term pricing pressures [4]. - For new energy, it recommends companies like Longyuan Power and Jilin Electric Power, which are positioned to benefit from supportive pricing and consumption trends [4].