Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the home appliance industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The proportion of actively managed equity funds holding home appliance stocks decreased in Q1 2025, primarily due to a temporary policy gap and consumer concerns leading to preemptive consumption [7][15] - The "old-for-new" policy is expected to expand, alleviating market concerns and boosting domestic demand for home appliances [7][15] - Leading home appliance companies are expanding into emerging markets, which is anticipated to steadily increase export revenues [7][15] - The report highlights the high dividend yield and stable operations of leading companies, indicating strong investment value in home appliance stocks [7][15] Summary by Sections Section 1: Fund Holdings in Home Appliances - The proportion of actively managed equity funds holding home appliance stocks was 5.51% in Q1 2025, down by 0.09 percentage points from the previous quarter [15] - The home appliance sector was over-allocated by 2.99%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points [15] Section 2: Sector Allocation Changes - Funds increased their allocation to the two-wheeler and black appliance sectors, with increases of 0.39 percentage points and 0.04 percentage points, respectively [20] - Conversely, the white appliance and small appliance sectors saw reductions in allocation, with decreases of 0.53 percentage points and 0.01 percentage points [20] Section 3: Key Stocks in Focus - Funds increased their holdings in Ninebot, Yadea, Chunfeng Power, and Hisense Visual, with increases of 0.26 percentage points, 0.04 percentage points, 0.04 percentage points, and 0.05 percentage points, respectively [67][70] - The report suggests that the "old-for-new" policy will continue to stimulate demand and improve product structure in the two-wheeler sector [70] - In the white appliance sector, the report notes a decline in fund holdings for Midea Group, Gree Electric, and Haier Smart Home, with decreases of 0.30 percentage points, 0.20 percentage points, and 0.04 percentage points, respectively [68][69]

2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 及轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 聚焦新技术 拓展新市场 时间： 7月11日 地点： 江苏无锡锡山区 一、活动背景及亮点 二、活动组织架构 活动名称： 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会及轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 起点研究院（SPIR）权威发布《2025中国两轮车换电及电池TOP排行榜及行业白皮书》， 覆盖智能电动两轮车出货量TOP10、两轮车换电运营商TOP10、两轮车电池BMS出货量 TOP5，两轮车换电柜出货量TOP5、中国电动两轮车用锂电池出货量TOP10、中国电动两轮 车用钠电池出货量TOP5等细分权威榜单，为行业树立标杆，为投资及采购决策者提供参 考； 政策支持、即时配送需求及技术升级等主要驱动力影响下，全球两轮车换电市场高速增长， 基于产业链整合优势，中国企业将迎来新一轮布局风口，电池安全、下沉市场覆盖及成本优 化等挑战急需解决； 上下游企业加速研发高安全、高倍率、高能量密度、长循环寿命、低成本、高低温等细分性 能优势电池产品； 海内外轻型动力及中小储能市场高速增长，低空飞行、移动电动工具、人形/智能机器人、 智能家居、智慧储能等热门应用场景进入高速发展期，新一轮增量市 ...

Group 1 - The event focuses on new technologies and expanding new markets in the electric two-wheeler and battery sectors [4][5] - The conference will feature the release of the "2025 China Two-Wheeler Battery and Exchange TOP Rankings and Industry White Paper," which includes rankings for top manufacturers and operators in the industry [4] - The global two-wheeler battery exchange market is experiencing rapid growth driven by policy support, demand for instant delivery, and technological upgrades [4][6] Group 2 - The event will include discussions on high-safety, high-rate, high-energy density, long-cycle life, and low-cost battery products [4][6] - Emerging applications such as low-altitude flight, mobile electric tools, humanoid robots, smart homes, and intelligent energy storage are driving the growth of the lightweight power and small-scale energy storage markets [4][6] - AI technology is accelerating the development and optimization of new battery technologies such as sodium batteries and full-tab cylindrical batteries for two-wheeler exchanges [4][6] Group 3 - The agenda includes specialized sessions on electric two-wheeler and battery technologies, with topics covering trends in lithium battery development, challenges in battery safety, and the impact of new national standards [6][7] - Notable companies participating in the event include major electric two-wheeler manufacturers and battery producers, indicating a strong industry presence [8] - The registration fee for the event is set at 2888 yuan per person, which includes access to the conference and a copy of the industry white paper [9]

2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 及轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 聚焦新技术 拓展新市场 时间： 7月11日 地点： 江苏无锡锡山区 一、活动背景及亮点 二、活动组织架构 活动名称： 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会及轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 起点研究院（SPIR）权威发布《2025中国两轮车换电及电池TOP排行榜及行业白皮书》， 覆盖智能电动两轮车出货量TOP10、两轮车换电运营商TOP10、两轮车电池BMS出货量 TOP5，两轮车换电柜出货量TOP5、中国电动两轮车用锂电池出货量TOP10、中国电动两轮 车用钠电池出货量TOP5等细分权威榜单，为行业树立标杆，为投资及采购决策者提供参 考； 政策支持、即时配送需求及技术升级等主要驱动力影响下，全球两轮车换电市场高速增长， 基于产业链整合优势，中国企业将迎来新一轮布局风口，电池安全、下沉市场覆盖及成本优 化等挑战急需解决； 上下游企业加速研发高安全、高倍率、高能量密度、长循环寿命、低成本、高低温等细分性 能优势电池产品； 海内外轻型动力及中小储能市场高速增长，低空飞行、移动电动工具、人形/智能机器人、 智能家居、智慧储能等热门应用场景进入高速发展期，新一轮增量市 ...

Summary of the Conference Call on the Two-Wheeled Vehicle Industry Industry Overview - The two-wheeled vehicle industry is experiencing significant growth, with an overall market growth rate of approximately 30% in May 2025. Specific companies are seeing varied growth rates due to factors such as channel expansion and new product launches [2][3]. Company Performance Yadea - In Q1 2025, Yadea's sales were approximately 4.006 to 4.007 million units, with April sales around 1.388 million units [2][3]. - Yadea's average selling price (ASP) for 2024 is expected to be around 2,200 RMB, with a projected increase of 3% to 5% in 2025 [10][11]. - Yadea's inventory levels are normal, approximately 1.5 to 1.6 months [7]. Aima - Aima's total sales for 2024 are projected to exceed 10.9 million units, with approximately 10.29 million units being two-wheeled vehicles. Quarterly sales are estimated at 2.5 million, 3.1 million, 3.4 million, and 1.8 million units respectively [5]. - Aima is facing structural shortages in inventory, particularly in first and second-tier cities, with inventory levels around 1.2 to 1.3 months [8]. - Aima's ASP for 2024 is expected to be around 2,100 RMB, with a similar increase projected for 2025 [10]. Tailg - Tailg's total sales for 2024 are estimated to be between 7.2 million and 7.3 million units, with quarterly sales of approximately 1.8 million, slightly over 2 million, 2.4 to 2.5 million, and 0.7 to 0.8 million units respectively [6]. - Tailg's sales for 2023 were between 7.8 million and 8 million units [6]. Ninebot - Ninebot's sales in April 2025 were approximately 480,000 to 490,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of nearly 80% [3]. - Ninebot's ASP for 2024 is projected to be between 2,900 and 3,000 RMB, with a slight increase expected in 2025 [12]. Market Dynamics - The market for products priced above 4,000 RMB is expanding, with approximately 4.5 million units sold in 2024. Ninebot leads this segment with 1.8 to 1.9 million units sold [18]. - The industry is shifting towards higher-end models, driven by subsidies for trade-ins and the introduction of new products [18]. Pricing Strategies - Yadea is adjusting its product pricing strategy, focusing on the 3,300 to 3,600 RMB range while reducing the proportion of models priced below 2,500 RMB [14][15]. - The average selling price for high-end models is expected to be between 3,500 and 3,900 RMB [14]. Inventory and Supply Chain - Yadea's inventory is reported to be at a normal level, while Aima is experiencing structural shortages due to production capacity issues [7][8]. - Ninebot maintains a moderate inventory level, relying on normal retail sales and import/export volumes [9]. R&D and Innovation - Yadea is focusing on integrating smart features into its mid-to-high-end products but has not reached the level of smart development seen in competitors like Ninebot [21]. - The company has established a structured product development cycle of 10 to 12 months for new products and 6 to 8 months for iterations [22][23]. Financial Metrics - Ninebot has a higher average gross margin of 25-26%, while Yadea and Aima have an average gross margin of around 18% [33]. - The gross margin for electric motorcycles varies by model, with high-end models achieving margins over 22% [34]. After-Sales Service - Yadea has approximately 800 to 900 dedicated after-sales service centers, with plans to exceed 1,000 centers this year [42]. - Aima operates 500 to 600 after-sales service centers, while Ninebot has around 150 to 180 [42]. Conclusion - The two-wheeled vehicle industry is poised for growth, with key players adjusting strategies to meet market demands and enhance profitability. The focus on higher-end products and smart features is expected to drive future sales and market share.

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, driven by the "old-for-new" policy and product optimization, indicating a positive outlook for growth in the electric two-wheeler industry [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.232 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 605 million yuan, up 25.12% [1][2]. - The company's gross profit margin increased by 1.59 percentage points to 19.63%, attributed to consumer preference for higher-priced products due to subsidies [3]. - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was 625 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 41.71%, with an operating profit margin of 10.03%, an increase of 1.12 percentage points [3]. Industry Dynamics - The "old-for-new" policy has significantly boosted domestic demand, with 3.341 million electric bicycles sold for replacement from January to April 2025, 2.4 times the total replacement volume from September to December 2024 [2]. - The implementation of the new national standard in 2024 is expected to enhance production qualifications and product consistency, benefiting leading companies in the industry [2][4]. Investment Outlook - The company has established strong brand, channel, and cost advantages over its 20 years in the industry and is now positioned in the high-end market, which is expected to drive profit growth [4]. - Projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 2.607 billion, 3.038 billion, and 3.429 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 14.05, 12.06, and 10.69 [4].

报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨家用电器 [Table_Title] 营收增长提速，盈利呈现弹性—家电行业 2024 年报&2025 年一季报综述 [Table_Summary] 在内销有国补助力，外销新兴市场强劲增长势能延续的背景下，家电行业整体经营趋势加速向 上，其中仅厨电受地产影响仍处于阶段盘整当中。站在当前时点，美国关税政策或有持续反复、 扰动的可能性，我们建议在不确定性中把握确定性，围绕对美净敞口较低以及内销有国补政策 加持，业绩增长确定性较高的细分行业优质龙头进行布局。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈亮 SAC：S0490517070017 SFC：BUW408 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 家用电器 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 营收增长提速，盈利呈现弹性 2] —家电行业 2024 年报&2025 年一季报综述 [Table_Summary2] 整体：收入增长提速，盈利持续改善 2024A/2024Q4/2025Q1 家电行业样本公司营收分别同比+5.23%/+8.37%/+ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.232 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.82%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 605 million yuan, up 25.12% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 593 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 31.57% year-on-year [3][8]. - The growth in revenue is primarily driven by the continuation of the "old-for-new" policy, which has significantly boosted domestic demand. The company has also optimized its product structure, leading to strong market performance [8]. - The gross profit margin increased by 1.59 percentage points to 19.63% in Q1 2025, attributed to consumer preference for higher-priced products due to subsidies [8]. - The company is expected to benefit from the new national standards implemented in 2024, which will enhance production qualifications and product consistency, favoring leading companies in the industry [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 62.32 billion yuan, a 25.82% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 6.05 billion yuan, up 25.12%, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 5.93 billion yuan, reflecting a 31.57% increase [3][8]. - The operating profit for Q1 2025 was 625 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.71%, with an operating profit margin of 10.03%, up 1.12 percentage points [8]. Market Dynamics - The "old-for-new" policy has led to a significant increase in domestic demand, with 3.341 million electric bicycles being replaced from January to April 2025, which is 2.4 times the total replacement volume from September to December 2024 [8]. - The company has launched multiple products across different price ranges, contributing to the optimization of its product structure [8]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in net profit, with projections of 2.607 billion yuan, 3.038 billion yuan, and 3.429 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 14.05, 12.06, and 10.69 [8].

Group 1 - The core event is the second super internal purchase event held by Aima in Guigang City, which attracted significant consumer interest and resulted in the sale of 880 electric vehicles, generating a transaction amount of 2.2 million yuan [1] - The event offered consumers up to 2,000 yuan in subsidies through a combination of government, brand, and manufacturer incentives, making electric vehicles more affordable [1] - Guigang City is a major production area for electric vehicles in China, with a well-established industrial chain that includes over 100 enterprises and an annual production capacity of 5 million two-wheeled electric vehicles [1] Group 2 - The local business bureau has actively promoted the old-for-new subsidy policy, leading to a surge in internal purchase events by major electric vehicle companies, which has stimulated consumer demand [2] - The internal purchase model allows consumers to experience a direct and transparent purchasing process by visiting the factory, which enhances consumer confidence and engagement [2] - As of May 10 this year, Guigang City has recorded 15,700 old-for-new transactions, resulting in 7.65 million yuan in subsidies and driving a total transaction amount of 49.9 million yuan [2] Group 3 - The production of new energy electric vehicles in the Port North District has seen significant growth, with over 1.2 million units produced and a production value exceeding 2 billion yuan from January to April, reflecting year-on-year increases of 48.51% and 56.37% respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent changes in tariffs between the US and China are seen as a significant positive development for the outbound industry, particularly for Chinese Ebike companies [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Changes and Market Impact - The US and China have reached an agreement to temporarily cancel most tariffs imposed since April, with the US reducing tariffs on many Chinese goods from 145% to 30% [2]. - The uncertainty surrounding future actions from the US administration remains, but the current situation allows companies to breathe easier [3]. - The high tariffs previously imposed disrupted the direction of the Ebike industry, causing companies to pause their market entry plans into the US [6][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Opportunities - The US market, despite being smaller than Europe, is seen as a viable opportunity for Chinese Ebike companies due to its growing consumer base and less competition [7][10]. - The US Ebike market has shown significant growth, contributing 63% to the sales growth of the US bicycle industry from 2019 to 2023, and is expected to reach $2.17 billion by 2025 [16]. - As the European market shows signs of stagnation, many Chinese Ebike companies are pivoting towards the US market, which is perceived as a potential escape route [15][18]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Challenges - The US market is characterized by a mix of low-end and high-end Ebike players, with low-cost competition posing a risk to profitability [27][29]. - The increase in tariffs may lead to a shakeout in the market, particularly affecting low-end Ebike sellers on platforms like Amazon [28][29]. - The industry is witnessing a consolidation phase where only companies with strong brand recognition and supply chain advantages are likely to survive [29].