证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_Title] 雅迪控股：业绩增速靓丽，旗舰系列推动结构 优化 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 8 月 27 日 [Table_S 事件：雅迪控股 ummary]发布 2025 年中期业绩公告。2025H1 公司实现收入 191.86 亿元（+33.1%），归母净利润 16.49 亿元（+59.5%），归母净利率 8.6% （+1.4pct）。 [Table_StockAndRank] 雅迪控股(1585.HK) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮 箱： jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 骆峥 轻工制造行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525020001 邮 箱： luozheng1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 电动两轮车主业实现销售规模&盈利能力双增长。2025H ...

中金发布研报称，雅迪控股(01585)产品结构改善、多措施降本，上调25E/26E归母净利润12%/12%至 30/35亿元。当前股价对应12x/10x25/26E P/E。维持跑赢行业评级，维持目标价18港元，对应 17x/14x25E/26E P/E，较当前有40.4%的上行空间。公司公布1H25业绩：1H25公司实现营业收入191.9亿 元，同比+33.1%;归母净利润16.5亿元，同比+59.5%。 中金主要观点如下： 上半年销量如期高增，产品结构环比改善 毛利率同环比增长，单车净利润创新高 1H25毛利率19.6%，同比+1.6ppt/环比+7.4ppt，该行认为主要系产品结构改善、电池自供比例提升、平 台化生产研发等因素共同带动。从分部资料来看，电池及电驱动业务毛利率为11%，1H25公司销售/研 发/管理费用分别为8.2/5.3/6.2亿元，对应费率分别为4.3%/2.8%/3.3%，合计同比-0.2ppt/环比-2.4ppt。 1H25净利率为8.6%，同比+1.4ppt，单车净利润188元/扣除其他收益的单车净利润150元，均创新高。 旺季动销无虞，积极推进高质量增长 考虑到8月31日生产端 ...

Core Viewpoint - Company Yadea Holdings (01585) has improved its product structure and implemented cost-reduction measures, leading to an upward revision of its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 12% to 30 billion and 35 billion respectively, with a current stock price corresponding to 12x/10x P/E for 2025/2026 [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved sales of 8.794 million units, a year-on-year increase of 37.8%, driven by low base effects and the old-for-new replacement program [2] - The sales breakdown shows electric scooters sold 2.128 million units (up 12% YoY) and electric bicycles sold 6.666 million units (up 49% YoY), with battery sales reaching 9.384 million units (up 40% YoY) [2] - The average revenue per vehicle was 2,182 yuan, an increase of 99 yuan from the previous period, with a higher proportion of high-priced products contributing to this growth [2] Group 2: Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 19.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.6 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.4 percentage points, attributed to improved product structure and increased self-supply of batteries [3] - The net profit margin was 8.6%, up 1.4 percentage points year-on-year, with a record high net profit per vehicle of 188 yuan [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates strong sales growth in the third quarter, supported by the cessation of production of old national standard models, which will meet terminal sales demand from September to November [4] - The company is focusing on high-quality growth through product innovation and market expansion, including the introduction of high-end brands and deepening its presence in the commercial market [4] - The potential of the battery aftermarket is recognized, with expectations for significant contributions to incremental performance [4]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Yadea Holdings [3][5]. Core Views - The industry is expected to experience a resurgence in demand driven by the "old-for-new" policy and the implementation of new national standards, with projected sales of 56 million and 61.75 million units in 2025 and 2026, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12% and 10% [1][40]. - Yadea and Aima dominate the market, with a combined market share of nearly 50% in 2024, benefiting from significant advantages in product pricing and distribution channels [2][42]. - The company is anticipated to recover its sales and profitability rapidly following a period of aggressive expansion and subsequent adjustments in 2024, aided by the launch of new products and the easing of channel pressures [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler industry is poised for growth due to favorable policies and changing consumer demands, with the new national standards set to enhance safety and performance requirements [10][34]. - The "old-for-new" policy has already seen significant uptake, with over 334,100 units exchanged by April 2025, indicating strong consumer interest and government support [38][40]. Company Analysis - Yadea Holdings has a strong historical performance, being the global leader in electric two-wheeler sales for eight consecutive years, with over 100 million units sold [13][19]. - The company has a diversified product lineup, including classic, modern, and high-end models, catering to various consumer segments [21][22]. - Financial projections indicate a recovery in net profit from 1.27 billion RMB in 2024 to 2.93 billion RMB in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios decreasing from 27.8 to 12.1 [4][3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to rebound significantly, with expected revenues of 38.34 billion RMB in 2025, up from 28.24 billion RMB in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 35.8% [4][3]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 17% in the coming years, reflecting improved operational efficiency and market conditions [30][4].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Yadea Holdings [3][5]. Core Views - The industry is expected to experience a resurgence in demand driven by the "old-for-new" policy and the implementation of new national standards, with projected sales of 56 million and 61.75 million units in 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 12% and 10% [1][40]. - Yadea and Aima dominate the market, with a combined market share of approximately 47% in 2024, indicating strong competitive advantages in pricing and distribution channels [2][42]. - The company is anticipated to recover its sales and profitability rapidly following a period of aggressive expansion and subsequent adjustments in 2024, aided by the launch of new products and the easing of channel pressures [3][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The electric two-wheeler industry is poised for growth due to favorable policies and changing consumer demands, with the new national standards set to enhance safety and performance requirements [10][34]. - The "old-for-new" policy has shown significant results, with over 334,100 units exchanged by April 2025, indicating strong consumer interest and government support [38][40]. Company Analysis - Yadea Holdings has a robust product lineup, including the Classic, Modern, and Crown series, catering to various market segments with a focus on quality and innovation [21][19]. - The company has experienced fluctuations in revenue, with a projected revenue of 38.34 billion RMB in 2025, rebounding from a decline in 2024 [4][19]. - Profitability is expected to improve significantly, with net profit forecasts of 2.93 billion, 3.55 billion, and 4.11 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a recovery from previous lows [4][3]. Financial Projections - The report outlines financial forecasts with a projected revenue growth rate of 35.8% in 2025, followed by more moderate growth in subsequent years [4][19]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.94 RMB in 2025 to 1.32 RMB in 2027, indicating a positive outlook for shareholder returns [4][3].

两轮车行业品牌经营分享 20250515 摘要 • 2025 年第一季度，雅迪销量约为 400.6 万至 400.7 万，爱玛约为 310 万， 台铃约为 195 万至 196 万。九号公司四月份销量约为 48 万至 49 万辆， 同比增长接近 80%。 • 爱玛 2024 年总销量超 1,090 万辆，其中两轮车约 1,029 万辆。各季度销 量分别为：一季度约 250 万辆，二季度约 310 万辆，三季度近 340 万辆， 四季度约 180 万辆。 • 台铃 2024 年总销量 720 万至 730 万辆。各季度销量分别为：一季度约 180 万辆，二季度略超 200 万辆，三季度 240 万至 250 万辆，四季度 70 万至 80 万辆。2023 年全年销量 780 万-800 万辆。 • 雅迪渠道库存正常，约 1.5 至 1.6 个月。爱玛存在结构性缺货，一二线城 市库存约 1.2 至 1.3 个月，北方市场 1.5 至 1.7 个月。小牛电动车库存水 平中等。 • 2024 年雅迪含电池单车均价约 2,200 元，爱玛约 2,100 元。预计 2025 年两家均价将增长 3%至 5%。九号电动车 2 ...