在经历上周的几次震荡后，今日国内黄金市场再次迎来强劲回升，所有主流品牌金价均呈现显著上涨， 市场情绪明显回暖。目前金价整体区间已上移至1530-1566元/克，老庙黄金报价1566元/克成为今日最高 价金店，上海中国黄金和菜百黄金并列最低价金店。今日金店高低价差再度扩大至36元/克。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价： 今日金价 单位 变动幅度 涨跌 老庙黄金价格 1566 元/克 81 元/克 78 涨 周大福黄金价格 1560 元/克 78 涨 涨 六福黄金价格 1558 周六福黄金价格 1555 元/克 78 涨 今日金店黄金价格一览（2026年2月9日） 金店报价 金至尊黄金价格 1560 元/克 80 涨 老凤祥黄金价格 1556 元/克 17 涨 潮宏基黄金价格 1560 元/克 78 35 涨 周生生黄金价格 1560 元/克 76 涨 菜百黄金价格 1530 元/克 涨 上海中国黄金价格 1530 元/克 32 涨 涨 今日黄金价格大涨，黄金回收价格也是出现不同程度的上涨，考虑到不同品牌回收价差也较大，以下为 部分金店回收参考价： 今日金价 单位 黄金 1114.00 元/克 菜百黄金 1157.0 ...

报告摘要： [Table_Summary] 周专题：金价上涨带来的库存升值 [Table_Info1] 商贸零售 [Table_Date] 发布时间：2026-02-09 $$i k\neq\pm i k$$ [Table_Title] 证券研究报告/行业动态报告 关注珠宝股的黄金库存升值——商贸零售周报 260208 金价持续上涨推动库存升值，关注对 2025 年业绩弹性贡献。金价上涨直 接推动黄金珠宝公司存货账面价值提升，叠加 2024 年以来企业普遍加大 备货力度，存货升值对 2025 年全年业绩弹性贡献值得关注。 存货水平分化，老铺黄金贡献主要增量。2025 年 H1，受金价大幅上涨 影响，黄金珠宝行业存货水平呈现明显分化态势。周大福存货体量远超 其他同行；从增速来看，剔除同期 COMEX 黄金涨价 26%因素后，除老 铺黄金外，各家黄金珠宝公司存货量实质环比下降，呈现"温和备货+谨 慎扩产"态势。中国黄金、周大生、曼卡龙等公司库存结构以"原材料+库 存商品"为主，跌价准备占比较小，短期内更多体现为金价上涨带来的存 货升值与毛利改善。 周转效率承压，行业盈利能力分化。2025 年上半年行业整体存货周转 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates that the rising gold prices have significantly suppressed domestic gold jewelry consumption, while the consumption of gold bars and coins, which have more investment attributes, has rapidly increased year-on-year, greatly exceeding that of gold jewelry [1] Group 1: Industry Trends - In 2025, China's gold consumption is projected to be 950.096 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.57%. Gold jewelry consumption is expected to decline to 363.836 tons, down 31.61%, while gold bars and coins are anticipated to rise to 504.238 tons, an increase of 35.14% [1] - The closing price of Au9999 gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange at the end of December 2025 is expected to rise by 58.78% compared to the opening price at the beginning of the year [1] - The impact of high gold prices on the consumption structure of gold jewelry is expected to continue into 2026 [1] Group 2: Company Performance - In 2025, companies with strong brand operations and clear product differentiation are expected to show rapid growth despite industry pressures. Notable examples include: - Chao Hong Ji, with a projected non-recurring profit growth of 125%-175% [2] - Cai Bai Co., with a projected non-recurring profit growth of 39%-64% [2] - Man Ka Long, with a projected non-recurring profit growth of 26% [2] - Chow Tai Fook, with a 16.9% sales growth in mainland China in Q4 2025, and a 53.4% increase in same-store sales for fixed-price products [2] - Luk Fook Holdings, with a projected non-recurring profit growth of 43% for FY2026H1 [2] - Companies that rely on wholesale and franchise models, with weak brand operation and digital capabilities, are facing significant operational pressure due to the sustained rise in gold prices in 2024 and 2025 [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The report highlights that the rise of Chinese culture and confidence presents significant opportunities for domestic gold jewelry brands to expand internationally, particularly in Southeast Asia, Australia, and North America [3] - The focus for investment opportunities in 2026 will be on companies with strong branding, differentiation, and active international expansion, such as Chao Hong Ji, Lao Pu Gold, Chow Tai Fook, and Luk Fook Holdings [4]

Group 1 - The cultivated diamond sector experienced an initial rise on February 9, with significant gains in several companies [1] - Sifangda saw an increase of nearly 9%, while Huanghe Xuanfeng and Power Diamond both rose over 5% [1] - Jing Sheng Mechanical and Chao Hong Ji also showed positive movement, with increases exceeding 4% [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to multiple companies in the discretionary consumption sector, including Nike, Li Ning, Midea Group, JD Group, Haier Smart Home, Gree Electric, Anta Sports, and many others [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that overseas consumer earnings releases have led to stock price volatility, with A/H shares anticipating a recovery in discretionary consumption in 2026 [1]. - The performance of various sectors is analyzed, with gaming, U.S. hotels, snacks, and retail showing positive trends, while luxury goods and overseas cosmetics are experiencing declines [4][12]. - The report notes that the gaming sector saw a strong increase in gross gaming revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 24%, exceeding market expectations [6][14]. Sector Performance Summary - **Gaming Sector**: Increased by 5.5%, driven by strong January gross gaming revenue growth and positive earnings from MGM China [6][14]. - **U.S. Hotels**: Also up by 5.5%, with Marriott and Hilton showing positive earnings forecasts [6][14]. - **Snacks**: Grew by 3.6%, with companies like Youyou Foods and Qiaqia Foods reporting significant growth expectations [6][14]. - **Retail Sector**: Increased by 3.5%, led by Walmart and Target, which exceeded market sales forecasts [8][14]. - **Domestic Sportswear**: Rose by 2.6%, with Li Ning benefiting from its partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee [8][14]. - **Credit Card Sector**: Gained 2.3%, supported by strong earnings from Visa and Mastercard [8][14]. - **Domestic Cosmetics**: Increased by 2.1%, benefiting from overall strength in the beauty and skincare sector [8][14]. - **Luxury Goods**: Slightly up by 0.9%, influenced by a rebound in the U.S. market [8][14]. - **Overseas Cosmetics**: Decreased by 5.7%, with concerns over the sustainability of growth for Estée Lauder [9][15]. - **Pet Sector**: Down by 0.7%, with companies like Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co. experiencing declines [8][14]. - **Gold and Jewelry**: Fell by 1.2%, affected by fluctuations in gold prices [8][14]. Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the valuation of various sectors remains below their historical averages, with expected P/E ratios for 2025 showing significant discounts compared to the past five years [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the gold and jewelry sector [6] Core Insights - In 2025, despite a significant increase in gold prices, domestic consumption of gold jewelry is expected to decline sharply, while the consumption of gold bars and coins is projected to grow rapidly [2][4] - The report highlights that high gold prices will continue to impact the consumption structure of gold jewelry in 2026, with a notable shift towards investment-oriented products [2] - The differentiation and branding of leading companies in the sector are expected to drive growth, even amidst market pressures [3][9] Summary by Sections - **Market Trends**: In 2025, China's total gold consumption is estimated at 950.096 tons, a decrease of 3.57% year-on-year, with gold jewelry consumption dropping by 31.61% to 363.836 tons, while gold bars and coins consumption is expected to rise by 35.14% to 504.238 tons [2] - **Company Performance**: Companies with strong branding and differentiation, such as潮宏基,菜百股份, and周大福, are projected to show significant profit growth, with潮宏基's non-net profit growth estimated at 125%-175% [9] - **Investment Recommendations**: The report recommends focusing on companies with strong branding and international expansion strategies, specifically suggesting to "buy" or "hold" stocks of潮宏基,老铺黄金,老凤祥, and周大生 [4][9]

明日主题前瞻 1、算力 | 2月6日，工信部印发《关于开展国家算力互联互通节点建设工作的通知》，提出建立"1+M+N"国家算力互联互通节点体系，通过构建"统一标识、 统一标准、统一规则"运行机制，实现不同区域、主体、架构的算力资源标准化互联和高效流动应用，有效提高公共算力资源使用效率和服务水平。下一 步，工信部将加快推进国家算力互联互通节点建设，促进算力产业高质量发展，助力制造强国、网络强国和数字中国建设。 点评：工信部正式启动国家算力互联互通节点建设，标志着我国算力基础设施从"分散建设"迈入"网络化调度"的新阶段。政策明确提出建设区域节点 + 行业 节点的双层算力网络架构，实现不同区域、不同主体、不同架构算力资源的标准化互联与高效流动。这是继"东数西算"之后，对算力供给侧结构的一次系统 性重塑。分析师认为，此次通知对于我国算力行业的意义体现在当下算力规模高速扩张时期资源利用的一体性以及资源利用的强化上，以及结合此前相关政 策，对于国产算力建设的进一步规范化，展望未来，在"十四五"期间算力蓬勃发展的基础上，该通知为"十五五"期间内算力发展初步规划了较明确的方 向，"十五五"首年，算力基础设施仍是值得重点关注的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Li Ning, Anta Sports, Shenzhou International, and Huayi Group [11][25][34]. Core Insights - Adidas is expected to see a 10% revenue growth in Q4 2025, with a 13% increase for the full year, driven by strong performance across all channels and regions [1][15]. - VF Corporation reported a revenue of $2.88 billion for FY2026Q3, with a 2% year-over-year growth on a currency-neutral basis, and an improved operating profit margin [2][16]. - The North Face and Timberland brands showed strong growth, while Vans experienced a revenue decline of 10% [3][18]. - The overall performance of the sportswear sector is expected to outperform the broader apparel market, with strong inventory management capabilities among key companies [4][19]. Summary by Sections Adidas Performance - In Q4 2025, Adidas brand revenue is projected to grow by 11% on a currency-neutral basis, with a gross margin increase to 50.8% [1][15]. - For the full year 2025, revenue growth is expected at 13%, with a gross margin of 51.6% and an operating profit margin of 8.3% [1][15]. VF Corporation Financials - VF Corporation's FY2026Q3 revenue reached $2.88 billion, with a currency-neutral growth of 2% [2][16]. - The gross margin improved to 57%, and the operating profit margin increased to 12.1% [2][16]. Brand Performance - The North Face saw a 5% revenue growth in Q3, with strong performance across all product categories [3][18]. - Timberland also reported a 5% revenue increase, while Vans faced a 10% decline [3][18]. Market Outlook - The sportswear sector is expected to maintain resilience and long-term growth potential, with a focus on brands like Li Ning and Anta Sports [4][19]. - Li Ning's profit is projected to decline by 9% in 2025 but grow by 5.8% in 2026, while Anta Sports is expected to see a 15% profit decline in 2025, followed by a 6.4% increase in 2026 [4][19]. Inventory and Supply Chain - The industry inventory is reported to be healthy, with expectations for downstream replenishment to drive upstream order growth [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for specific sectors during the upcoming Spring Festival season [5]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of service consumption and product consumption during the Spring Festival, suggesting a focus on sectors related to the holiday, including duty-free shopping, travel chains (scenic spots, hotels, dining), tea beverages, gold and jewelry, and supermarkets [1][2][8]. - The duty-free shopping sector in Hainan is expected to remain strong, with significant year-on-year growth in shopping amounts and visitor numbers during the Spring Festival [1]. - The travel chain is anticipated to see increased participation due to the extended holiday, with diverse travel needs emerging, leading to multiple travel peaks during the festival [2]. - The tea beverage industry is benefiting from promotional activities, such as the "Spring Festival 3 Billion Big Free Order" campaign, which has generated substantial order volumes and is expected to enhance online penetration and market concentration [3]. - Despite fluctuations in gold prices, the report remains optimistic about the gold and jewelry sector, citing improved product strength and operational capabilities among leading brands [4][7]. - Supermarkets are expected to benefit from CPI elasticity during the Spring Festival, with historical data showing a positive correlation between CPI and supermarket same-store sales [7]. Summary by Sections Duty-Free Shopping - Hainan's duty-free shopping is projected to maintain strong performance during the Spring Festival, with shopping amounts reaching 4.53 billion yuan and a year-on-year increase of 44.8% [1]. Travel Chains - The extended holiday is expected to boost travel participation, with a notable increase in travel demand and multiple peaks in travel activity during the festival [2]. Tea Beverages - The tea beverage sector is experiencing a surge in orders due to AI-driven promotional campaigns, with over 10 million orders placed within hours of the campaign launch [3]. Gold and Jewelry - The report highlights that leading brands in the gold and jewelry sector have developed stronger product and operational capabilities, which will support sales during the Spring Festival despite price volatility [4][7]. Supermarkets - Supermarkets are expected to see improved sales due to the correlation between CPI and same-store sales, with the Spring Festival effect anticipated to manifest more strongly in Q1 2026 [7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with performance elasticity during the Spring Festival, including duty-free, travel chains, supermarkets, and gold and jewelry, while also considering the potential of AI in e-commerce marketing [8].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 08 年 月 日 纺织服饰 周专题：adidas 披露业绩 2025Q4 业绩预告；VF FY2026Q3 经 营表现优异 【专题一：adidas 披露 2025 年度业绩预告】 adidas 披露 2025Q4 业绩预告，经营表现优异，公司启动股票回购。根 据公司披露，货币中性基础上 2025Q4 adidas 品牌营收同比增长 11%， 若考虑到同期的 Yeezy 产品销售收入后，2025Q4 公司营收增长 10%，毛 利率同比提升 1pcts 至 50.8%。2025 全年来看，货币中性基础上 adidas 品牌营收增长 13%，所有渠道以及地区均有双位数增长，若考虑到同期的 Yeezy 产品销售收入后，2025 年公司营收增长 10%，公司毛利率同比提 升 0.8pcts 至 51.6%，经营利润率同比提升 2.6pcts 至 8.3%。基于强劲的 基本面表现及管理层对未来的信心，公司宣布启动股票回购，计划从 2026 年 2 月初开始，回购价值高达 10 亿欧元的股票。 【专题二：VF 公司披露 FY2026Q3 季报】 FY20 ...