Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The new ship orders for dry bulk carriers have dropped to a near historical low, with a 92% year-on-year decline in the first two months of 2025, marking the lowest level in at least 30 years. Factors such as low freight rates, high new ship costs, long delivery times, and market uncertainty are suppressing new orders [3][15] - South Korea plans to implement a phased visa exemption for Chinese group tourists, with the International Air Transport Association (IATA) projecting that China will become the world's largest air passenger market by 2030 [3][16][17] - In February 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 13.59 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 58.8%, indicating a strong recovery and robust market demand in the industry [3][25] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - The U.S. Trade Representative proposed fees on ships built in China, leading to a significant drop in new dry bulk carrier orders [14] - South Korea's phased visa exemption for Chinese tourists aims to boost tourism and economic cooperation [16] - February's express delivery volume reached 13.59 billion pieces, reflecting a strong recovery in the postal industry [24][25] 2. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - Air logistics: Stable capacity on routes from China to the Asia-Pacific region [28] - Shipping ports: Container shipping price index decreased while dry bulk freight rates increased [42] - Express logistics: February express delivery volume increased by 58.75% year-on-year [54] - Air travel: Daily average international flights increased by 21.09% year-on-year in March [84] - Road and rail: Nationwide highway truck traffic increased by 3.45% [98] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping and China Merchants Energy Shipping [5] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Investment opportunities in cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Straits Shares [5] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express and Jitu Express [5] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China Southern Airlines and Spring Airlines [5]

证券代码：600029 证券简称：南方航空 公告编号：临 2025-010 中国南方航空股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完 整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： http://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） ● 会议召开方式：上证路演中心视频直播和网络文字互动 ● 投资者可于 2025 年 3 月 21 日（星期五）至 3 月 26 日（星 期三）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏 目或通过公司邮箱 ir@csair.com 进行提问，邮件标题请注明"600029 业绩说明会"，公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回 答。 中国南方航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025 年 3 月 27 日发布公司 2024 年度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了 1 ● 会议召开时间：2025 年 3 月 27 日（星期四）16:00-17:00 ● 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心（网址： 解公司 2024 年度经营成果、财务状况， ...

证券代码：600029 证券简称：南方航空 公告编号：临2025-011 特此公告。 中国南方航空股份有限公司董事会 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假 记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性 和完整性承担法律责任。 2025 年 3 月 21 日 2025 年 3 月 21 日，中国南方航空股份有限公司（以下简称 "公司"）董事会收到罗来君先生提交的辞任申请。因工作变动， 罗来君先生申请辞去公司执行董事、董事会提名委员会委员及薪 酬与考核委员会委员职务。 1 鉴于罗来君先生的辞任不会导致公司董事会低于法定最低 人数要求，根据法律法规和公司章程的规定，罗来君先生的辞任 自 2025 年 3 月 21 日起生效。 中国南方航空股份有限公司 关于董事辞任的公告 罗来君先生确认与公司董事会和公司无不同意见，亦不存在 公司股东需要知悉有关其辞任的其他事宜。董事会对罗来君先生 在任职期间作出的重要贡献表示诚挚的感谢。 ...

作 者丨 刘婧汐 据不完全统计，仅今年以来世界范围内就发生了三起因充电宝爆炸而引发机舱火情的事故。 1月2 8日，釜山航空一架预计飞往中国香港的A3 2 1客机在釜山金海国际机场突发火灾，经机 场消防人员扑救无果后焚毁。机上1 6 9名乘客和7名机组人员安全撤离，四人受伤，其中两人 送医院救治。韩国国土交通部航空铁道事故调查委员会当天对外发布釜山航空客机起火事故 调查显示，乘客携带的充电宝起火导致飞机发生火灾可能性较大。 2月1 9日，菲律宾皇家航空一架由菲律宾长滩岛直飞上海的航班上，一名乘客的充电宝突然发 生爆炸后起火，导致航班备降香港机场。经过香港机场消防及应急救援人员的专业处置，未 造成人员伤亡。涉事乘客被罚款 2 万美元，还需赔偿备降香港停场费。 事发后，韩国、泰国方面陆续加强了对乘客携带充电宝搭乘飞机的管制措施。 韩国国土交通部称，从3月1日起包括充电宝额定能量超过 1 0 0Wh 需单独申报；每位乘客限 带2个充电设备且必须全程保持关闭；机场增设便携式电池专用 X 光检测通道；乘务员获得 强制处置权，可对可疑电子设备进行二次检查。釜山航空宣布将建立1 0 0亿韩元的航空安全基 金，用于升级机载消防 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the aviation transportation industry is "Positive" [2][8] Core Viewpoints - The industry has maintained a high passenger load factor since the beginning of 2025, with a slight year-on-year decline in domestic capacity in January and February. The recent decline in ticket prices has narrowed, and if travel demand continues to grow, ticket prices may turn positive year-on-year in the second and third quarters [3][10] - The supply growth rate for capacity in 2025 is expected to slow down, and with ticket prices at low levels following significant declines in 2024, there is potential for airline performance to rebound with economic recovery and increased travel demand. Factors such as declining oil prices and stable exchange rates also suggest upward potential for airline profits [3][10] Summary by Sections Industry Supply and Demand - The monthly passenger load factor remains high, with January 2025 data showing a year-on-year increase in Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) and Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) of 13.7% and 18.1%, respectively. The load factor reached 82.8%, up 3.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][13] - Domestic line turnover increased by 10% year-on-year in January 2025, while international and regional lines recovered to 107.5% of 2019 levels [18] Ticket Pricing - After the Spring Festival, the year-on-year difference in ticket prices has gradually narrowed. As of early March 2025, the average ticket price was 560 yuan, down 12.6% year-on-year. The weekly average ticket prices showed a decreasing trend in year-on-year declines, indicating a potential stabilization in pricing [20][21] Oil and Exchange Rates - The average price of aviation kerosene in Q1 2025 was 5,952 yuan per ton, down 10% year-on-year. Brent crude oil prices were stable, with a settlement price of $71.07 per barrel as of March 17, 2025, a decrease of 4.8% from the end of 2024. The exchange rate remained stable, with the USD to RMB exchange rate at 7.1733 as of March 18, 2025, a slight decrease of 0.21% from the end of 2024 [5][32] Airline Operations - In January and February 2025, domestic airline capacity saw a slight year-on-year decline, while the passenger load factor remained high. Most airlines reported international capacity and turnover exceeding 2019 levels, although there were still discrepancies in load factors [38][40] - In February, China Eastern Airlines had the highest net increase in aircraft, adding 5 aircraft, while other airlines also saw increases. Cumulatively, China Eastern, China Southern, and Air China saw net increases of 8, 6, and 4 aircraft, respectively [52]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [8] Core Insights - The 2025 summer and autumn flight schedule shows a year-on-year decline in flight slots, indicating a tightening supply and a reduction in redundant slots [3][12] - Domestic passenger traffic shows a slight increase, while prices continue to decline at a slower rate [4][42] - Oil shipping has seen a slight rebound, while bulk shipping continues to rise [5] - The logistics sector reports a year-on-year increase in bulk transportation prices, although coal transport volumes have weakened [6] Summary by Sections Flight Schedule Analysis - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has released the 2025 summer and autumn flight schedule, indicating a 3.3% year-on-year decline in weekly passenger flights compared to the summer of 2024 [3][12] - The report highlights that the increase in flight slots from previous airport capacity expansions is coming to an end, leading to tighter control over capacity release [3][12] Passenger Transport - As of March 15, 2025, the seven-day moving average for domestic flight volume shows no change year-on-year, while passenger volume has increased by 3% [4] - International flight volume has increased by 21%, and international passenger volume has risen by 24% compared to 2024 [4] - Domestic ticket prices have decreased by 11% year-on-year, with a current average price of 560 yuan [4][38] Shipping Sector - Oil shipping rates have increased by 3.1% to 35,000 USD per day, driven by tightening sanctions on Iran and increased demand for compliant oil transport [5] - The shipping container index has dropped by 8.1% to 1,319 points, indicating ongoing challenges in the container shipping market [5] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has risen by 19.2% to 1,669, supported by increased shipments of bauxite and other bulk commodities [5] Logistics Overview - The total express delivery volume for the week of March 3-9, 2025, reached approximately 3.885 billion items, a year-on-year increase of 24.2% [6] - The national average price for bulk commodity road transport has risen by 4.2% month-on-month and 3.2% year-on-year [6] - Recommendations include focusing on companies with stable performance and high dividend ratios, such as SF Express [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines and related companies [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, reflecting a 5% increase compared to 2024 [7][50]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,519 flights, an 18% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,081 flights, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [5][11]. - The total daily flight schedule for coordinated airports is projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [50][61]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 95% for Northeast Asia [50][51]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - Recommended airlines include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others, with a focus on the overall aviation sector's recovery potential [76][77].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the aviation sector, recommending a focus on specific airlines such as Air China, Spring Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and others [77]. Core Insights - Domestic flight schedules have decreased by 4% compared to 2024, but show a 22% increase compared to 2019, indicating a further easing of domestic supply [7][8]. - International flight schedules are steadily recovering, with plans to restore to 81% of 2019 levels, while flights to Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan have slightly decreased [7][8]. - The overall daily flight schedule for domestic airlines is projected at 17,500 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [7][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Overview - Domestic flight schedules for the summer-autumn season of 2025 are expected to average 16,100 flights per day, down 4% from 2024 but up 22% from 2019 [11][12]. - The total daily coordinated flight schedules are projected at 8,041 flights, a 21% increase from 2019 [11][12]. - The domestic airlines plan to operate 6,866 domestic routes during the summer-autumn season of 2025 [11]. International Market Overview - The average daily international and regional flights are set at 2,487, recovering to 81% of 2019 levels [51][62]. - Specific regional recovery rates include 78% for Australia, 26% for North America, and 84% for Southeast Asia [51][62]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests that external factors such as oil prices and currency exchange rates are improving, which could enhance airline profitability as domestic demand recovers [7][76]. - The report recommends continued attention to the aviation sector, highlighting the potential for revenue growth if ticket prices rebound [76]. Airline Performance - Major airlines like China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and Air China maintain stable market shares, with slight variations in flight schedules compared to previous years [11][12]. - The report provides detailed statistics on individual airline performance, showing changes in flight schedules and market shares [16][17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express logistics sector shows strong demand with a year-on-year growth of 22.4% in the volume of express deliveries for January and February, totaling 28.48 billion pieces and generating revenue of 221.04 billion yuan, which is an 11.2% increase [4] - The airline industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with long-term supply-demand trends indicating potential for upward movement in stock prices. Current booking data suggests a short-term rebound, presenting a value opportunity for investors [10][12] - The shipping sector is experiencing a tightening supply due to limited new orders for oil tankers and an aging fleet, while demand is expected to rise due to increased non-OPEC production and sanctions on oil trade with Iran and Russia [12] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - The express delivery industry reported a total of 135.9 billion pieces in February, with a year-on-year growth of 58.8% and revenue of 99.09 billion yuan, up 30.4% [21][24] - Major companies to watch include Zhongtong Express, YTO Express, and Shentong Express, which are positioned for long-term growth and recovery [12] Airline Industry - The airline sector is characterized by low long-term supply growth, with demand expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery. The current booking data indicates a potential rebound, making it a good time for investment [10] - Key companies to focus on include China National Aviation Holding, Southern Airlines, and Hainan Airlines [10][12] Shipping and Vessels - The oil tanker market is expected to see sustained demand growth due to limited new orders and increased sanctions on oil trade, while the dry bulk shipping market is anticipated to recover as environmental regulations push out older vessels [12] - Companies to consider include China Shipping Development and COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation [12]