Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in bank stocks, with several banks reaching historical highs, indicates a strong performance in the banking sector, significantly outperforming the broader market indices like the CSI 300 [1][2]. Group 1: Bank Stock Performance - Major banks such as Bank of Communications, CITIC Bank, and Jiangsu Bank have reached historical highs in their stock prices [1]. - The Bank ETF has seen a 27% increase over the past year and a 50% increase over the past three years, outperforming the CSI 300 index [1][2]. Group 2: Fund Inflows and Market Dynamics - The banking sector is expected to attract more funds due to new public fund regulations and the influx of medium to long-term capital, as banks are seen as stable with low valuations and consistent dividends [3]. - The proportion of bank holdings in actively managed equity funds is currently at 3.35%, significantly lower than the 13.67% weight in the CSI 300 index, indicating potential for increased allocation [3]. Group 3: Historical Context and Valuation - Over the past decade, the banking index has increased by 61% since the peak of the 2015 bull market, ranking second among various sectors, outperforming TMT and equity funds [4][5]. - The banking sector's strong performance is attributed to low valuations and high dividend yields, providing a safety margin for investors [7][8].

Group 1 - The A-share market opened slightly lower on May 23, with the semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors experiencing minor pullbacks [1] - The electronic ETF (159997) saw a net inflow of over 2 million yuan on May 22, while the chip ETF Tianhong (159310) received over 5.7 million yuan, leading to a total inflow of over 10 million yuan in the past two days [1] - The electronic ETF (159997) tracks the CSI Electronic Index, which includes companies involved in semiconductor production, computer storage, and consumer electronics, making it the only ETF tracking this index in the market [1] Group 2 - The chip ETF Tianhong (159310) tracks the CSI Chip Industry Index, which includes companies engaged in chip design, manufacturing, and testing, reflecting the overall performance of the chip industry [2] - Xiaomi recently launched its 15th-anniversary flagship processor, the玄戒O1, which is designed with a second-generation 3nm process and features 190 billion transistors, showcasing significant advancements in chip technology [2] - The consumer electronics supply chain is experiencing improvements in innovation trends, particularly in core components such as main chips and optical displays, driven by the increasing demand for AI-enabled devices [2]

Market Overview - As of May 22, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.22% at 3380.19 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.72% at 10219.62 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.96% at 2045.57 points, indicating a broad market decline [1] - The total trading volume across both markets reached 1.10 trillion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The top three sectors in terms of gains were rural commercial banks (+1.95%), ground weaponry (+1.62%), and gaming (+1.51%) [1] - The sectors with the largest declines were animal health (-2.63%), cosmetics (-2.50%), and non-metallic materials (-2.45%) [1] ETF Performance - A total of 116 non-currency ETFs rose, with an increase rate of 10% [1] - The China Animation and Gaming Index rose by 1.99%, with the following ETFs performing well: Huatai-PB Gaming ETF (+2.21%), Gaming ETF (+2.01%), and another Gaming ETF (+1.84%) [1] - The China Banking Index increased by 1.00%, with the following ETFs also showing positive performance: Bank ETF Index Fund (+1.02%), E Fund Bank ETF (+0.98%), and Tianhong Bank ETF (+0.97%) [1] Notable ETFs - The S&P 500 ETF (159612.SZ) saw a rise of 4.51%, with a total share size of 347 million [3] - The Huatai-PB Gaming ETF (516770.SH) increased by 2.21%, with a share size of 117 million [4] - The E Fund Bank ETF (516310.SH) rose by 0.98%, with a total share size of 1.047 billion [4] Valuation Metrics - The current P/E ratio for the S&P 500 Index is 26.14, which is below 71.18% of the time over the past three years [4] - The P/E ratio for the China Animation and Gaming Index is 53.77, also below 54.89% of the time in the last three years [4] - The P/E ratio for the China Banking Index stands at 6.71, lower than 99.74% of the time in the past three years [5] Market Sentiment - The S&P 500 Consumer Select Index showed a premium of 27.47%, while the S&P 500 ETF had a premium of 18.74%, indicating positive market sentiment [8][10] - Overall, the A-share market is experiencing a rebound with bullish stocks emerging, supported by favorable policy developments [10]

5月22日，A股三大指数开盘后走弱，创新药概念盘中震荡，三生国健走出20CM4连板。 湘财证券认为，2025年国内创新药产业有望迎来拐点，产业运行趋势由资本驱动转向盈利驱动，板块有 望迎来业绩与估值双重修复投资机会。技术周期维度，ADC、PD-1 2.0、TCE等技术平台不断获得资本 与临床数据相互印证，新一轮技术周期开启有望推动国产创新药步入发展新阶段。 相关ETF方面，创新药ETF天弘（517380）截至发稿震荡走低，盘中交投活跃。成分股方面，金斯瑞生 物科技涨超9%，睿智医药、汇宇制药-W、成都先导等多股涨幅居前。 东海证券指出，我国创新药具备研发成本低、效率高的优点，或成为BD交易首选，中国有望成为低成 本研发与生产中心，加速从"仿制跟随"向"创新主导"转型。大型跨国药企在更严格的定价体系下可能积 极寻求降低研发生产成本的路径，我国CXO产业链或将进一步巩固市场地位。 创新药ETF天弘（517380）紧密跟踪恒生沪深港创新药50指数（HSSSHID.HI），该指数为唯一横跨三 地的创新药指数，精选50只优质创新药龙头。创新药ETF天弘（517380）100%布局创新药产业链，前 十大权重合计占比超50 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a high and then a pullback, with the three major indices showing slight increases and a divergence in performance between large and small-cap stocks [1] - Key sectors that saw strong performance included solid-state battery stocks, innovative drug concepts, and gold-related stocks, while robotics stocks underwent adjustments [1] ETF Fund Flows - On May 21, significant inflows were observed in the non-monetary ETF market, with the following funds seeing notable increases in shares and net inflows: - Fortune CSI Military Leaders ETF: 767 million shares added, net inflow of 473 million yuan - Penghua CSI Defense ETF: 623 million shares added, net inflow of 443 million yuan - Guotai CSI Military ETF: 412 million shares added, net inflow of 430 million yuan [1][2] - Conversely, the following ETFs experienced substantial outflows: - E Fund ChiNext ETF: 557 million shares decreased, net outflow of 1.133 billion yuan - Huaxia CSI A500 ETF: 804 million shares decreased, net outflow of 764 million yuan - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF: 163 million shares decreased, net outflow of 655 million yuan [2] Top ETF Inflows - As of May 21, the top 20 ETFs by net inflow for the month included: - 511360.SH: 6.562 billion yuan - 588000.SH: 4.060 billion yuan - 511070.SH: 1.796 billion yuan - 512480.SH: 1.632 billion yuan - 511090.SH: 1.537 billion yuan [4] Overall Market Statistics - As of May 21, the total ETF shares in the market amounted to 27,421.54 billion shares, with a total scale of 41,383.41 billion yuan [4] - The sector with the largest increase in shares was information technology, with four funds tracking it, while the largest thematic increase was in the CSI Military Leaders Index, tracked by one fund [4]

Core Insights - On May 20, stock ETFs experienced a net outflow of over 4 billion yuan, despite the overall market rising, indicating a trend of profit-taking among investors [1][2] - Since the beginning of May, stock ETFs have seen cumulative outflows exceeding 57 billion yuan, reflecting a broader market sentiment shift [1][6] Fund Flow Analysis - As of May 20, there are 1,091 stock ETFs in the market with a total scale of 3.53 trillion yuan [2] - On May 20, eight stock ETFs recorded net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan, with military, AI, and non-bank financial sectors leading the inflows [2] - The top three ETFs by net inflow on May 20 were military-themed ETFs, with net inflows of 7.1 billion yuan, 2.8 billion yuan, and 1.9 billion yuan respectively [2] Sector Performance - The sectors with significant net inflows included defense and military (7.1 billion yuan), non-bank financial (2.8 billion yuan), and artificial intelligence (1.6 billion yuan) [2] - Conversely, sectors experiencing the largest net outflows included innovative pharmaceuticals and Hong Kong internet ETFs, with the former losing nearly 10 billion yuan [5][7] ETF Rankings - The top three ETFs by net inflow on May 20 were: 1. Military Leading ETF: 86.57 billion yuan, net inflow of 2.37 billion yuan 2. Military ETF Leader: 44.51 billion yuan, net inflow of 1.92 billion yuan 3. Military ETF: 135.07 billion yuan, net inflow of 1.56 billion yuan [4] - The top three ETFs by net outflow were: 1. Hong Kong Innovative Pharmaceutical ETF: 101.76 billion yuan, net outflow of 5.14 billion yuan 2. Hang Seng Medical ETF: 98.59 billion yuan, net outflow of 4.30 billion yuan 3. Hong Kong Internet ETF: 472.57 billion yuan, net outflow of 3.41 billion yuan [7] Market Sentiment - Analysts suggest that the recent outflows may be influenced by a decrease in urgency for domestic policy support due to easing US-China trade tensions, leading to potential market volatility [6] - The focus for future investments is expected to shift towards sectors driven by technological growth, particularly in AI and biomedicine, which are seen as having strong investment value [6]

Group 1 - The dividend sector remains strong, with the banking sector being a key representative, showing continued activity [1] - Popular ETFs such as the Tianhong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (159549) and the Tianhong Bank ETF (515290) have seen increases of 0.43% and 0.56% respectively, with trading volumes exceeding 43 million yuan [1] - The Tianhong Dividend Low Volatility ETF closely tracks the CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 Index, which selects 100 stocks from the A-share market based on liquidity, continuous dividends, high dividend yield, and low volatility [1] Group 2 - As of May 21, 15 national banks, including six state-owned banks, have collectively announced reductions in deposit rates [2] - The recent LPR and deposit rate cuts are expected to positively impact banks, with estimated increases in net interest margin, revenue, and profit by 7 basis points, 3%, and 6% respectively [2] - The current market environment is characterized by a phase of external disturbances calming down, with expectations for short-term fluctuations and a focus on defensive dividend sectors [2]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.38% to close at 3380.48 points, with an intraday high of 3387.8 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.77% to close at 10249.17 points, reaching a high of 10273.59 points [1] - The ChiNext Index also saw a rise of 0.77%, closing at 2048.46 points, with a peak of 2059.52 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return for stock ETFs was 0.53%, with the highest return from the China Securities 500 Healthcare ETF at 2.16% [2] - The top three performing stock ETFs were: - Guotai China Securities Hong Kong and Shanghai Innovation Drug Industry ETF (3.11%) - Tianhong Hang Seng Hong Kong and Shanghai Innovation Drug Selected 50 ETF (2.6%) - Huatai-PB China Securities Hong Kong and Shanghai Innovation Drug Industry ETF (2.55%) [5] - The worst-performing stock ETFs included: - Fortune China Securities Military Industry Leader ETF (-0.81%) - Penghua China Securities Defense ETF (-0.7%) - Huaxia National Defense Aerospace Industry ETF (-0.6%) [6] ETF Fund Flows - The top three stock ETFs with the highest inflows were: - Fortune China Securities Military Industry Leader ETF (inflow of 237 million yuan) - GF China Securities Military ETF (inflow of 192 million yuan) - Guotai China Securities Military ETF (inflow of 156 million yuan) [8] - The top three stock ETFs with the highest outflows were: - E Fund CSI 300 Healthcare ETF (outflow of 235 million yuan) - Yinhua China Securities Innovation Drug Industry ETF (outflow of 228 million yuan) - Fortune CSI A500 ETF (outflow of 207 million yuan) [9] ETF Margin Trading Overview - The top three stock ETFs by margin buying were: - Huaxia Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF (340 million yuan) - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (295 million yuan) - E Fund ChiNext ETF (293 million yuan) [11] - The top three stock ETFs by margin selling were: - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (45.72 million yuan) - Southern CSI 500 ETF (27.63 million yuan) - Southern CSI 1000 ETF (12.56 million yuan) [12] Industry Insights - According to Zhongyou Securities, the military industry is expected to see a turning point in orders by 2025, driven by new technologies and products aimed at enhancing equipment performance and reducing costs [13] - Investment focus areas include: - Aerospace and new key areas for "gap-filling" - New technologies, products, and market directions with greater elasticity [13]

证券研究报告 | 基金研究（公募） 2025 年 5 月 20 日 群策群力，锚定绝对收益目标 天弘基金固收+基金分析 天弘基金旗下固收+业务追求绝对收益，以回撤作为产品定位目标，并以此设定资 产配置中枢。公司实行团队制管理，在资产配置、行业配置和个股选择等关键环节 倾向群策群力。稳健型和积极型固收+基金（详细划分标准参考全文）成立以来整 体实现了较好的收益风险性价比，大部分年份实现了平均正收益。本报告将针对天 弘基金固收+业务产品布局、业绩表现、团队建设、投资风格等方面展开分析。 ❑ 风险提示：本报告仅作为投资参考，基金过往业绩并不预示其未来表现，亦不构 成投资收益的保证或投资建议。 徐燕红 S1090524120003 xuyanhong@cmschina.com.cn 高艺 S1090524020001 gaoyi2@cmschina.com.cn 敬请阅读末页的重要说明 ❑ 天弘含权债基发展概况：天弘基金布局含权债基时间较早，产品线在 2021 年 迎来规模大发展，主要为二级债基贡献。2021 年之前主要被机构持有，之后 个人增持相对较多，目前机构与个人持有份额各半。 ❑ 天弘固收+基金布局情况：天弘 ...

过去几年，辜朝明是国内金融圈绕不过去的一个名字。在股市、楼市的各种鬼故事里， " 日本式的资产 负债表衰退 " 一度是最为撩拨的话题。 但天弘基金的姜晓丽并不跟从这种叙事的引力，她养成了一个新的习惯 —— 每天研读《人民日报》。 以下文章来源于远川投资评论 ，作者张婕妤 远川投资评论 . 看更好的资管内容 在探索绝对收益方法论的最开始的起点上，天弘与几乎所有公募绝对收益团队一样，瞄准债券市场，做 好固收投资。可实际上，一旦遇到债券熊市，就算满仓配置货币，还是没有办法抵抗下跌。 通过报刊史料，在微观文本和宏观结构之间建立桥梁，是不少研究中国近现代史的历史学者所常见的方 法。但在投资领域，这条理解宏观的分析路径在大部分时间里称不上主流。 作为债券出身的基金经理，姜晓丽在此前大部分从业时间里也并不是一个会把投资胜率建立在政策分析 上的人。但身处 2022 年的波动中，她明确地感受到，现实世界里一些底层的框架和规律正在发生深刻 的变化： 政策对经济和市场的影响力正在日益增强，政府对特定产业的重视往往决定了市场的方向。 在这种脉络下，权威媒体的印刷物成为了她不能忽视的参考资料，政府对经济运行、产业方向的调整意 图，显露 ...