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中泰资管天团 | 王路遥:投研人员的DeepSeek打开方式
中泰证券资管· 2025-03-06 08:58
Core Viewpoint - DeepSeek-R1 has achieved performance comparable to OpenAI's O1 model, indicating significant advancements in AI capabilities and its integration into everyday life, with over 1.1 billion app downloads and nearly 97 million weekly active users [1][6]. Group 1: Problem-Solving Approach - The initial step in problem-solving is redefining complex issues into clear, actionable sub-questions, which can be facilitated by DeepSeek's ability to break down problems into manageable parts [2][3]. - DeepSeek can help users generate a structured thought process, allowing for a more systematic approach to tackling complex problems, thus bridging the gap between broad questions and specific solutions [2][3]. Group 2: Question Formulation - Effective questioning is crucial; narrow and specific questions yield better responses from AI models. For instance, asking "What are the energy bureau's generator assembly targets?" is more effective than asking about broader industry trends [3][4]. - Users can leverage DeepSeek's contextual understanding to refine questions further, enhancing the depth of inquiry and leading to more insightful answers [3][4]. Group 3: AI as an Assistant - DeepSeek should be viewed as an assistant rather than a definitive source of truth, as it may generate inaccurate or misleading information, a phenomenon referred to as "hallucination" [4][5]. - The hallucination rate for DeepSeek-R1 is reported at 14.3%, highlighting the importance of verifying information and using the model for brainstorming and idea generation rather than for precise answers [5][6]. Group 4: Implications for Work and Life - The increasing integration of AI into daily tasks suggests that repetitive jobs will be increasingly automated, necessitating a shift towards independent thinking and judgment in professional settings [6][7]. - The ability to think critically and independently will become a key differentiator between human capabilities and AI, emphasizing the need for professionals to adapt to this evolving landscape [6][7].
独家洞察 | 用FactSet解码AI新贵DeepSeek:崛起与影响
慧甚FactSet· 2025-03-06 04:33
点击图片查看大图 自上个月国产大模型DeepSeek R1上线以来,就迅速引发了大量的关注和讨论。在上周的文章中,我们着 重探讨了DeepSeek对金融行业的作用。在金融这个数据密集、决策复杂的领域,DeepSeek展现出了令人 瞩目的应用潜力。从年报解读到纪要整理,从数据分析到策略复现等,它将成为金融从业者的得力助手。 不过,我们也认识到,像策略复现、因子挖掘这类问题,其过程本身就相对复杂。DeepSeek 虽然能够生 成相关代码,但却无法在后台对这些代码进行运算检验,也无法获取策略中所需的具体数据。这就意味 着,其生成的代码仅仅只能作为参考,在实际应用于投资决策之前,用户还需要进行严谨的核验和细致的 调 试 。 毕 竟 , 金 融 市 场 容 不 得 半 点 马 虎 , 每 一 个 决 策 都 关 乎 着 巨 大 的 利 益 得 失 。 下 图 1 是 FactSet Workstation中关于DeepSeek的资本情况介绍。 图1: 点击图片查看大图 资料来源:FactSet 在本文中,我们将研究DeepSeek公司本身以及其带来的影响。如下图2所示,DeepSeek自今年1月发布新 模型以来,其网上 ...
独家洞察 | 用FactSet解码AI新贵DeepSeek:崛起与影响
慧甚FactSet· 2025-03-06 04:33
自上个月国产大模型DeepSeek R1上线以来,就迅速引发了大量的关注和讨论。在上周的文章中,我们着 重探讨了DeepSeek对金融行业的作用。在金融这个数据密集、决策复杂的领域,DeepSeek展现出了令人 瞩目的应用潜力。从年报解读到纪要整理,从数据分析到策略复现等,它将成为金融从业者的得力助手。 不过,我们也认识到,像策略复现、因子挖掘这类问题,其过程本身就相对复杂。DeepSeek 虽然能够生 成相关代码,但却无法在后台对这些代码进行运算检验,也无法获取策略中所需的具体数据。这就意味 着,其生成的代码仅仅只能作为参考,在实际应用于投资决策之前,用户还需要进行严谨的核验和细致的 调 试 。 毕 竟 , 金 融 市 场 容 不 得 半 点 马 虎 , 每 一 个 决 策 都 关 乎 着 巨 大 的 利 益 得 失 。 下 图 1 是 FactSet Workstation中关于DeepSeek的资本情况介绍。 图1: 点击图片查看大图 资料来源:FactSet 在本文中,我们将研究DeepSeek公司本身以及其带来的影响。如下图2所示,DeepSeek自今年1月发布新 模型以来,其网上搜索热度飙升,关于 ...
Why Alibaba, JD, and Other Chinese Tech Stocks Rallied Wednesday Morning
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-05 19:01
Group 1 - The Chinese government has pledged support for the technology industry, which has led to a rally in tech stocks [1][3][4] - Major Chinese tech companies such as Alibaba, JD.com, and Tencent saw significant stock price increases, with Alibaba rising 7.7%, JD.com climbing 5.7%, and Tencent increasing 5.3% [2][4] - The MSCI China Index rose by 2.7% following the government's announcement, contributing to a year-to-date gain of 21% since January [4] Group 2 - China's economic growth target remains at 5%, indicating potential for additional economic stimulus to support AI and quantum computing developments [5] - Chinese AI start-up DeepSeek has made headlines with its R1 reasoning model, which is claimed to compete with OpenAI's model, although its development cost has been questioned [6] - Alibaba's stock has surged 73% since mid-January, while JD and Tencent have increased by 41% and 30%, respectively, indicating a strong performance in the tech sector [8][9] Group 3 - Alibaba is collaborating with Apple to introduce AI features in China, while JD is enhancing its JD Cloud offerings with AI capabilities [10] - Tencent has released a new AI model that competes with DeepSeek's R1, showcasing advancements in AI technology among these companies [10] - Current valuations for Tencent, Alibaba, and JD.com are 16 times, 12 times, and 11 times trailing-12-month earnings, respectively, which are considered reasonable given their growth potential [11]
「实习生也月入过万」,这一行业严重缺人
36氪· 2025-03-05 13:17
以下文章来源于盐财经 ,作者张旦珺 盐财经 . 洞察趋势,睿智人生。《南风窗》旗下专业财经媒体。 技术的时代,终归属于人才。 文 | 张旦珺 编辑 | 何子维 来源| 盐财经(ID:nfc-yancaijing) 封面来源 | Pexels 市场对寻求AI人才的渴望,到了按图索骥的程度。 晚点latepost曾在报道中记录过这样一个细节:当一位投资人循着AI论文上的名字一个个去拜访时,发现他们此前都与张一鸣单独见过面,其中包括尚未毕 业的博士生。 这是一个信号,意味着互联网大厂正在使用它们的最大能量挖掘AI领域的人才。 不只是顶尖精英,对于任何一个处于快速爆发期的行业来说,支撑业务落地的基础岗位员工也会成为争夺的焦点。2月中旬,阿里巴巴AI To C业务开启大规 模招聘,开放岗位达到数百个;几乎在同一时间,腾讯旗下AI助手腾讯元宝开启"热招"。 腾讯元宝开启"热招"/图源:腾讯招聘 当焦灼、激烈、残酷的AI竞赛发生时,属于个人的机会就出现了——各大公司率先捧出的招聘诚意,就是薪资。 今年农历新年之初,超级独角兽DeepSeek就曾因高薪招人引发了大量关注。 根据DeepSeek母公司幻方量化发布的招聘信息,所 ...
Prediction: Nvidia Stock Is Going to Soar in 2025, Thanks to This Incredible News From Jensen Huang
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-05 09:04
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock experienced a decline of 16% following news of a Chinese AI start-up, DeepSeek, which developed a cost-effective training method for AI models, raising concerns about demand for Nvidia's GPUs. However, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang suggested that the emergence of new AI models could actually increase GPU demand instead [1][2][17]. Financial Performance - Nvidia reported record revenue of $130.5 billion for fiscal 2025, marking a 114% increase from the previous year and surpassing management's forecast of $128.6 billion [5]. - The data center segment contributed $115.1 billion to total revenue, reflecting a significant 142% increase year-over-year [5]. - The company began shipping its new Blackwell GB200 GPUs in fiscal 2025's fourth quarter, generating $11 billion in sales, the fastest product ramp-up in Nvidia's history [6]. Product Innovation - The Blackwell GB200 GPU can perform AI inference at speeds up to 30 times faster than Nvidia's previous flagship chip, the H100, enhancing the efficiency of AI applications [7]. - Nvidia plans to scale up production of the Blackwell GPUs due to high demand from customers, indicating a robust market appetite for AI computing power [8]. Market Dynamics - DeepSeek's V3 model was trained for only $5.6 million, raising concerns about the competitive landscape for AI development and the potential impact on Nvidia's market position [9]. - Despite DeepSeek's innovations, major AI developers like OpenAI are shifting towards "reasoning" models that require significantly more computational resources, which could drive demand for Nvidia's chips [14][15]. Stock Valuation - Nvidia's fiscal 2025 earnings per share (EPS) was $2.99, resulting in a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 42.5, which is 28% lower than its 10-year average of 59.3 [16]. - Wall Street's consensus estimates suggest Nvidia could achieve an EPS of $4.49 in fiscal 2026, leading to a forward P/E ratio of 27.7, indicating potential for significant stock price appreciation [16].
行业周观点:2025年第八期:2月24日-2月28日
Zhongyuan Securities· 2025-03-05 03:50
Group 1: Lithium Battery - The lithium battery index increased by 1.31%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index which decreased by 2.22% [2][18] - The macro policy encourages the development of the new energy vehicle industry, with significant sales growth in January 2025 [18] - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested based on industry prosperity and market trends [18] Group 2: Chemical Industry - The CITIC basic chemical industry index fell by 0.27%, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell by 2.22%, indicating better performance than the benchmark [3][21] - 26 sub-industries within the chemical sector increased, with modified plastics and electronic chemicals leading the gains [21] - Investment focus is recommended on potassium fertilizer, polyester filament, and organic silicon industries due to their growth potential [21][24] Group 3: New Materials - The new materials index decreased by 0.46%, slightly outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [4][26] - New materials are supported by national policies as a strategic emerging industry, with growth driven by advancements in commercial aerospace and robotics [26][27] - Investment suggestions include thermal barrier coatings and rare earth permanent magnet materials [27] Group 4: Light Industry Manufacturing - The light industry manufacturing index rose by 0.38%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 2.60 percentage points [5][29] - The paper industry is expected to benefit from rising prices of imported pulp and government policies to stimulate consumption [29][31] - The home furnishing sector is showing signs of recovery, with potential growth driven by promotional activities [29][31] Group 5: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery index fell by 0.91%, but still outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.31 percentage points [6][34] - The pig farming sector is expected to see improved profitability in 2024 due to reduced supply and cost pressures [37] - Investment focus is suggested on the pig farming and pet food sectors as they approach performance turning points [34][37] Group 6: Securities - The securities index fell by 2.97%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.75 percentage points [9][42] - Despite recent declines, the securities sector is expected to enter a new upward cycle, with average valuations remaining below historical levels [42][43] - Continuous attention to the securities sector is recommended as it maintains a structural market [42] Group 7: Machinery - The CS machinery sector decreased by 1.84%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 0.38 percentage points [10][44] - Investment suggestions include traditional engineering machinery and high-speed rail equipment due to stable fundamentals [44][48] - The sector is experiencing adjustments in AI and robotics themes, indicating potential volatility [48] Group 8: Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic industry rose by 1.01%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [11][50] - The sector is experiencing significant transaction volume, with expectations for continued growth in global photovoltaic installations [50][51] - Investment focus is recommended on leading companies in the photovoltaic supply chain, particularly in polysilicon and module manufacturing [51] Group 9: Power and Utilities - The power and utilities index fell by 1.03%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.19 percentage points [12] - The sector is poised for growth due to increasing electricity demand from new energy systems and market reforms [12] - Investment suggestions include large hydro and nuclear power companies with strong dividend yields [12] Group 10: Media - The media sector fell by 8.06%, significantly underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [13] - The impact of AI on the media industry is highlighted, with potential for growth in gaming and content creation [13][14] - Long-term investment focus is suggested on gaming companies benefiting from AI integration [14]
盘前有料丨十四届全国人大三次会议今日上午9时开幕……重要消息还有这些
证券时报· 2025-03-04 23:56
Group 1 - The 14th National People's Congress (NPC) is set to open at 9 AM today in Beijing, with Premier Li Qiang delivering the government work report [2] - The NPC spokesperson highlighted the rise of companies like DeepSeek as evidence of China's innovative and inclusive approach to technological development [3] - The Ministry of Commerce has placed 15 US entities, including Lidos, on an export control list, indicating ongoing tensions in US-China trade relations [6] Group 2 - Guizhou Moutai has repurchased 822,200 shares at a cost of 1.2 billion yuan [9] - SF Holding has repurchased 20.77 million shares for 758 million yuan [9] - The company Jiangnan Yifan's board members and shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 4% [9] Group 3 - Ningbo Port reported a container throughput of 3.35 million TEUs in February, a year-on-year increase of 11% [10] - The North Bay Port achieved a cargo throughput of 23.98 million tons in February, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.56% [10] - Hainan Huatie's subsidiary signed a 3.69 billion yuan computing power service agreement [10] Group 4 - Long-term demand for computing power remains strong, with leading cloud service providers benefiting from enhanced resource utilization [12] - The trend of decreasing model usage costs and improving model performance is expected to drive further AI application scenarios [12] - Private cloud solutions are anticipated to maintain investment value due to the demand for localized AI model deployment [12]
Amazon is reportedly developing its own AI ‘reasoning' model
TechCrunch· 2025-03-04 19:27
Group 1 - Amazon is developing an AI model with advanced reasoning capabilities, similar to OpenAI's o3-mini and DeepSeek's R1, expected to launch under the Nova brand as early as June [1] - The new reasoning model will adopt a hybrid reasoning architecture, potentially allowing for quick answers and complex extended thinking within a single system, akin to Anthropic's Claude 3.7 Sonnet [2] - Amazon aims to make its Nova reasoning model more price-efficient than competitors, although this may be challenging given DeepSeek's reputation for low pricing [3]
国内第一波官宣弃用DeepSeek的公司出现了
虎嗅APP· 2025-03-04 13:32
Core Viewpoint - The announcement by Lu Chen Technology to suspend DeepSeek API services is primarily driven by cost considerations, despite DeepSeek's high theoretical profit margin of 545% [2][4][5]. Group 1: Company Actions and Decisions - Lu Chen Technology is the first company to officially announce the suspension of DeepSeek API services, coinciding with DeepSeek's announcement of a 545% theoretical profit margin [2][5]. - The decision to halt the DeepSeek API service was made without public explanation from Lu Chen Technology, but internal sources indicate that cost issues are the main reason [4][9]. - The official communication from Lu Chen Technology to users stated that the API service would be suspended due to business adjustments, allowing users to request refunds for unused balances [9]. Group 2: Cost Analysis and Industry Implications - The cost of providing stable access to DeepSeek services is significantly high, requiring substantial redundant computing resources that smaller cloud service providers like Lu Chen Technology cannot afford [10]. - DeepSeek's recent open-sourcing of many inference components has made it challenging for third-party MaaS providers to match official costs, leading to a narrowing of profit margins for these companies [10]. - The competitive landscape for smaller MaaS providers is deteriorating as DeepSeek's open-source initiatives disrupt existing business models, making it difficult for them to maintain a competitive edge [10]. Group 3: Founder’s Perspective - Founder You Yang of Lu Chen Technology has publicly expressed concerns about DeepSeek's cost structure, arguing that the reported training costs for models are misleading and that the actual costs for sustained operations are much higher [6][8]. - You Yang's analysis suggests that the profitability of third-party MaaS providers is questionable, as they often operate at a loss while trying to offer DeepSeek services [9].