Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant growth in the AI sector, highlighted by the performance of the Yongying AI ETF, which rose by 1.41% with over 40 million CNY in net subscriptions [1][2] - The Yongying AI ETF (159141) is the first of its kind, focusing on the AI industry chain, covering upstream chip and optical module sectors, midstream large models and cloud computing, and downstream applications, with over 78% allocation in AI chips, optical modules, and cloud computing [3][4] - The implementation of national standards for AI large models marks a significant step in establishing a technical evaluation system, filling a gap in the industry [2][3] Group 2 - The demand for high-speed optical modules is strong, driven by the need for AI infrastructure, which is expected to lead to rapid growth in the global optical module market [3] - Chinese manufacturers have secured seven out of the top ten positions in the global optical module market, indicating a strengthening dominance [3] - The "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative is integrated into the 14th Five-Year Plan, aiming for deep integration of AI across various sectors, with targets set for 2027 and 2030 regarding the prevalence of new intelligent terminals and applications [3]

直指港股芯片超级周期！可以T+0的港股芯片产业链ETF来了——全市场首只聚焦"港股芯片"产业链的 港股信息技术ETF（159131），标的指数由"70%硬件+30%软件"构成，重仓港股"半导体+电子+计算机 软件"，涵盖42只港股硬科技公司，其中中芯国际权重达20.48%，小米集团-W权重9.53%，华虹半导体 权重5.80%；不含阿里巴巴、腾讯、美团等大市值互联网企业，锐度更高，更易捕捉港股AI硬科技行 情。（截至2025.11.30） 数据来源：中证指数公司，沪深交易所。 注："全市场首只"是指首只跟踪中证港股通信息技术综合指数的ETF。中证港股通信息技术综合指数设 置单个样本权重上限为15%，伴随个股市值波动权重占比会产生相应变化，可能会出现超过15%的情 形。指数样本每半年调整一次，届时单个样本权重上限一般会平衡至15%。近期市场波动可能较大，短 期涨跌幅不预示未来表现。请投资者务必根据自身的资金状况和风险承受能力理性投资，高度注意仓位 和风险管理。 风险提示：港股通信息技术ETF被动跟踪中证港股通信息技术综合指数，该指数基日为2014.11.14，发 布于2017.6.23。材料中指数成份股仅作展示 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strong performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520), driven by significant developments in the domestic AI industry and the strategic importance of domestic chip procurement. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520) showed strong performance in early trading, with prices rising over 1.8% at one point and currently up 1.38%, recovering the 60-day moving average and aiming for a fourth consecutive daily gain [1][8] - Among the constituent stocks, Chip Original Co. led with a rise of over 7%, followed by Yuntian Lifei with over 5%, and Cambricon Technologies with over 4% [1][8] Group 2: Domestic Chip Procurement - ByteDance is expected to procure Ascend chips from Huawei by 2026, with total orders potentially exceeding 40 billion yuan [3][10] - National Investment Securities notes that the domestic computing power sector is undergoing significant changes, with continuous iterations of domestic chips represented by Huawei's Ascend and major internet companies gradually adapting to these chips [3][10] Group 3: Strategic Importance of AI - The current period is described as a "golden window" for the AI sector, driven by policy support and strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing technological self-reliance [5][12] - The new five-year plan emphasizes improving the level of technological self-reliance as a core goal, providing long-term support for AI and domestic substitution [5][12] Group 4: Industry Performance and Trends - As of the third quarter of 2025, 20 out of 30 constituent companies of the ETF reported profitability, with 22 companies showing year-on-year growth in net profit, indicating strong industry performance [6][12] - There is a significant demand for domestic AI applications to catch up with international counterparts, suggesting a potential for price recovery in the domestic AI application sector [6][12] Group 5: Investment Characteristics of the ETF - The ETF focuses on the domestic AI industry chain, with over 70% of its top ten holdings concentrated in this area, and more than half of its holdings in the semiconductor sector, indicating a high concentration and aggressive investment strategy [13] - The ETF serves as an efficient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to domestic computing power [13]

Core Insights - The article highlights the strong performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Artificial Intelligence ETF (589520), which saw a price increase of over 1.8% in early trading, currently up by 1.38%, recovering the 60-day moving average and aiming for a fourth consecutive daily gain [1] - ByteDance is expected to purchase Ascend chips from Huawei, with total orders potentially exceeding 40 billion yuan by 2026, indicating a significant shift in the domestic computing power landscape [3] - The article emphasizes that the current period is a "golden window" for the Sci-Tech Innovation AI sector, driven by policy support, strong earnings, external pressures for self-sufficiency, and substantial room for price recovery compared to overseas counterparts [5][6] Policy and Market Dynamics - The new five-year plan prioritizes "technological self-reliance," providing robust support for AI and domestic alternatives through national strategies and industrial policies [6] - As of November, 20 out of 30 companies in the ETF's index reported profitability, with 22 showing year-on-year growth in net profit, reflecting strong industry performance [6] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions highlight the importance of technology security, making AI and domestic alternatives a long-term certainty [6] Investment Opportunities - There is a significant demand for price recovery in the domestic AI supply chain, which has lagged behind international counterparts, suggesting a high cost-performance ratio for investments in AI applications [6] - The ETF focuses on the domestic AI industry chain, with over 70% of its top ten holdings and more than half of its weight in the semiconductor sector, indicating a strong offensive strategy [7] - The ETF serves as an efficient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to domestic computing power, being a financing and margin trading target [7]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in Shanghai Fudan's stock price, attributed to the rapid development of the low-orbit satellite industry in China, highlights the potential benefits for companies in the related supply chain [1] Industry Summary - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing significant catalysts, driven by national top-level design and supportive policies, which are expected to accelerate the development of the low-orbit satellite industry in China [1] - Companies involved in satellite manufacturing, launching, and networking face complex technological requirements, particularly regarding the stability, durability, and radiation resistance of chips [1] Company Summary - Fudan Microelectronics, a leader in high-end FPGA technology in China, emphasizes the advantages of FPGA chips, which are essential for space satellites due to their flexibility, high parallelism, and low latency [1] - The company identifies FPGA as an ideal solution for various fields, including wired and wireless communication, low-orbit satellite communication, video imaging, industrial control, artificial intelligence, and high-reliability applications [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Commercial Space Industry Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **commercial space industry** in China, highlighting recent developments and future trends in the sector [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Technological Breakthroughs**: The successful launch of large and medium-sized carrier rockets with payloads into orbit marks a significant advancement, raising technical requirements for commercial rocket companies and accelerating the reusable rocket technology competition [1][2]. - **National Venture Capital Fund**: The establishment of a national venture capital fund with a registered capital of **1 trillion RMB** aims to leverage **10 trillion RMB** in investments, focusing on emerging industries like commercial space to enhance the development of leading domestic companies and reduce valuation gaps with U.S. firms [1][2]. - **Growth Phase of Commercial Space**: By **2026**, the domestic commercial space sector is expected to transition from the introduction phase to the growth phase, with ongoing reusable rocket technology trials likely to catalyze secondary market investments and the potential for the first commercial rocket company IPO in China [1][4]. - **Increased Market Attention**: The secondary market is currently showing heightened interest in the commercial space sector, with significant price increases and long-term growth potential driven by key events such as reusable rocket trials and IPOs of leading companies [1][5]. - **Impact of SpaceX IPO**: SpaceX plans to launch an IPO with a valuation of **1.5 trillion USD**, reflecting strong recognition from the U.S. capital market. This move is expected to encourage Chinese policies that promote domestic companies entering the secondary market to narrow the valuation gap with international leaders [1][6][7]. Additional Important Insights - **Satellite Launch Projections**: It is anticipated that the number of satellite launches and tenders in China will at least double by **2026**, driven by major internet constellation projects and increased policy support [3][9]. - **Optimistic Capital Market Outlook**: The capital market is expected to perform well in **2026**, with rapid industry development and substantial investments in both primary and secondary markets driving overall valuations upward [10]. - **Policy Environment**: The domestic policy framework is actively promoting the development of the commercial space industry, with supportive measures from various government departments aimed at enhancing both upstream rocket capabilities and downstream operational applications [11]. - **Commercial Viability of Satellite Internet**: Satellite internet operators, such as SpaceX's Starlink, demonstrate significant commercial potential, with user growth and revenue projections indicating strong market demand [14]. - **Future Demand for Satellites**: The demand for satellites is projected to increase significantly, influenced by the need to secure frequency and orbital resources, as well as the successful implementation of commercial business models [15][18]. Investment Opportunities - **Focus on Leading Companies**: Investment opportunities are identified in leading companies within the commercial space sector, particularly those involved in satellite manufacturing and launch services, as well as technology providers for key components [18]. - **Attention to Technological Advancements**: The rapid iteration of rocket technology and the ongoing competition among leading commercial rocket companies are expected to create favorable conditions for investment in the sector [17].

债 券 周 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 王明路 A0230525060003 wangml@swsresearch.com 徐亚 A0230524060002 xuya@swsresearch.com 联系人 徐亚 A0230524060002 xuya@swsresearch.com 2025 年 12 月 27 日 主题风格活跃，高价券领涨 ——转债周度跟踪 20251226 ⚫ 1. 周观点及展望 ⚫ 本周中证 2000 领涨，微盘股延续修复，转债风格适配、明显跟涨，商业航天概念持续火 热带动军工板块表现亮眼，金融、消费等临期大盘转债依旧承压，加之强赎风险阶段性回 落，偏股转债受益于平价和估值双击，涨幅明显好于大盘偏债转债。在经历强势修复后， 转债重回前期高点，主要表现为百元溢价率、转债价格中位数等均距离前期高点"一步之 遥"。但与 11 月上旬的修复行情相比，本轮表现较强的主要是偏股型高价转债，而 11 月 上旬则是偏债型低价转债较强，因此本轮强势修复后转债弹性要强于前期，虽然回撤会同 步放大， ...

Group 1 - The market rebound is primarily driven by enhanced logic of market winning rates both domestically and internationally [2] - Global liquidity concerns have significantly eased, particularly in the US, where the November core CPI rose by 2.6% year-on-year, the lowest since April 2021, boosting optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts [3] - Domestic market support stems from increased expectations for policy-driven liquidity easing and strengthened confidence in industrial development, with the central economic work conference setting clear policy goals for economic growth and price recovery [4] Group 2 - Technology assets are experiencing a contraction and differentiation, driven by "winning rate continuation" and "industrial explosion" logic, with telecommunications and defense industries leading the way [5] - In the cyclical sector, non-ferrous metals have performed well, benefiting from the transmission of technology industry chain prosperity and increased macro risk aversion [6] - The index is expected to show a strong upward trend, with the ChiNext index rising by 5.80% and the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.35% as of December 24 [7] Group 3 - The upcoming spring market is likely to focus on high-prosperity industries, with historical patterns indicating that strong economic conditions paired with strong industries lead to broad market gains [8] - Investment strategies should continue to focus on AI and less crowded technology sectors, global pricing resources, and consumer goods benefiting from moderate price recovery [8] - The January stock selection includes a diverse range of companies across various sectors, such as robotics, consumer goods, and advanced industries, indicating a strategic approach to capitalize on market trends [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the potential investment opportunities in the commercial aerospace sector, particularly focusing on the satellite and rocket industries, which are expected to experience significant growth due to advancements in technology and increasing demand for satellite launches [5][27]. Satellite Industry - The satellite industry is likened to "smartphones in space," with core hardware configurations being crucial for communication and remote sensing functions [7]. - The core payload system accounts for approximately 60% of the satellite's value, estimated at around 17.5 million, with the RF communication payload being a significant contributor [8]. - Key segments within the payload system include RF communication payloads (28% of value), onboard routing/processing (20%), and inter-satellite laser communication (11%) [8]. - The satellite platform system represents about 40% of the value, estimated at 13 million, with structural and thermal control systems being the largest components [8]. - The payload's importance is underscored as it constitutes 50%-70% of the total satellite cost, with communication payloads making up over 75% of the payload cost [11]. Rocket Industry - The rocket industry is characterized by a "national team-led, private enterprise collaboration" structure, with the propulsion system being the heart of the rocket, accounting for 30%-40% of the total cost [20][21]. - The propulsion system's demand is expected to grow with the increase in rocket launches, similar to how inverters benefit from the growth in photovoltaic installations [21]. - The estimated value of the rocket propulsion system is around 65 million, with significant components including the engine assembly and thrust chamber [22]. - The rocket's structure system accounts for 25% of the value, while the electrical system represents 10% [22]. Key Companies - Key players in the satellite payload segment include Zhenray Technology, which specializes in RF chips and payload components, and Shanghai Huanxun, a leader in communication payloads [13][17]. - In the rocket propulsion sector, Aerospace Power is noted as the only listed platform providing liquid engines for national rockets, benefiting from increased commercial rocket launches [23]. - Other notable companies include Srey New Materials, which supplies critical components for rocket engines, and High-tech Electronics, a leader in servo and flight control systems [24][25]. Market Outlook - The commercial aerospace sector is viewed as a long-term technology track, with the core logic being "launch volume → demand explosion → core segment performance realization" [27]. - The article suggests that as the three major satellite constellations enter a phase of intensive networking, the efficiency and quantity of satellite launches will significantly increase, leading to performance inflection points for key companies [27]. - Investors are advised to monitor order situations and performance forecasts of relevant companies to capitalize on market opportunities [28].

Core Insights - The commercial aerospace industry is on the brink of a significant boom, with China's plans for satellite constellations and advancements in rocket technology indicating a surge in satellite launches in the coming years [1][17] - Identifying the core segments of the aerospace infrastructure that can replicate the success of previous high-growth sectors like solar inverters and AI computing modules is crucial for investors [1] Satellite Industry - The satellite payload is a critical component, accounting for 50%-70% of the total satellite cost, with communication payloads making up over 75% of the payload cost [4] - The industry exhibits high technical barriers and a concentrated market structure, with a few dominant players [5] - Key companies in the satellite payload segment include: - Zhenray Technology, a leader in RF chips and payload components, breaking foreign monopolies and meeting the demand for miniaturization and low power consumption [6] - Shanghai Hanxun, a leading communication payload provider with a strong market share, benefiting from its relationship with major clients like Qianfan Constellation [6] - Fudan Microelectronics, known for its versatile FPGA chips used in satellites and rockets [7] TR Chip Segment - The TR chip, responsible for signal amplification in satellites, is vital, representing 15%-20% of the total satellite cost, with a market dominated by Chengchang Technology, holding over 80% market share [9] - Key companies in the TR chip segment include: - Zhenray Technology, a significant player in TR components [10] - Chengchang Technology, the only domestic company producing mass-market star-mounted phased array TR chips, with a substantial client base [10] - Guobang Electronics, a leading supplier of TR components and RF chips [11] Rocket Industry - The rocket propulsion system is the heart of the rocket industry, accounting for 30%-40% of total rocket costs, similar to the role of inverters in the solar industry [13] - The industry is characterized by a "state-owned enterprise leading, private enterprise collaborating" structure [14] - Key companies in the rocket propulsion segment include: - Aerospace Power, the only listed platform under the Aerospace Science and Technology Group, providing liquid engines for national rockets [15] - Sry New Materials, supplying critical components for rocket engines [16] Market Dynamics - The commercial aerospace sector is positioned as a long-term technology-driven market, with a focus on increasing launch volumes leading to demand surges and performance improvements in core segments [17] - Continuous monitoring of rocket launches, industry developments, and market funding trends is essential for identifying investment opportunities [17]