股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.06 地缘局势增加供给不确定性 [Table_Industry] 有色金属 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 刘小华(分析师) | 021-38038434 | liuxiaohua@gtht.com | S0880523120003 | | 王宏玉(分析师) | 021-38038343 | wanghongyu@gtht.com | S0880523060005 | | 梁琳(分析师) | 021-23185845 | lianglin@gtht.com | S0880525070014 | | 李阳(分析师) | 021-23185618 | liyang7@gtht.com | S088052 ...

消息面上，受供应短缺担忧情绪，以及委内瑞拉动荡局势或将加速全球关键矿产争夺的预期推动，周一 大宗商品市场出现明显异动。本周首个交易日，现货黄金价格盘中一度大涨超3%，触及每盎司4467美 元的高点，距离2025年底创下的历史最高纪录仅差约100美元。此外，纽约商品交易所1月交割的 COMEX白银期货收盘大涨7.95%，收复76美元关口。伦敦金属交易所LME工业金属周一集体上扬，伦 铜大涨超4%，突破13000美元/吨，伦铝、伦锌涨超2%，伦铂和伦铂分别上涨6.7%和4.7%，伦铅和伦镍 涨超1%。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 格隆汇1月6日｜地缘因素引爆大宗狂欢，A股市场有色金属板块全线走强，其中，利源股份、常铝股 份、安宁股份、贵研铂业、钒钛股份10CM涨停，锡业股份逼近涨停，宏创控股涨超8%，华友钴业、中 国铝业涨超7%，永杉锂业、洛阳钼业、盛屯矿业（维权）、新威凌涨超6%，寒锐钴业、天山铝业、云 南铜业、紫金矿业、神火股份涨超5%。值得注意的是，宏创控股、洛阳钼业、天山铝业、紫金矿业、 神火股份、江西铜业、云南锗业、中矿资源、电投能源、云铝股份均创历史新高。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅 ...

Group 1 - The aluminum sector experienced a significant upward trend on January 6, with Chang Aluminum reaching its daily limit increase [2] - China Aluminum surged over 8%, hitting a 15-year high [2] - Other companies such as Shenhuo Co., Tianshan Aluminum, and Nanshan Aluminum also saw increases in their stock prices [2]

Group 1 - The aluminum sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with Chang Aluminum Co. hitting the daily limit increase [1] - China Aluminum Industry has seen a rise of over 8%, reaching a 15-year high [1] - Other companies such as Shenhuo Co., Tianshan Aluminum, and Nanshan Aluminum are also witnessing gains [1]

Group 1 - Tianshan Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.03%, reaching 17.76 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 431 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.60%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 82.206 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010, is located in Shanghai and specializes in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes 65.26% from the sale of self-produced aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina sales, 6.89% from aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum sales, and 1.55% from other sources [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Xingzheng Global Fund has a significant position in Tianshan Aluminum, specifically the Xingquan Huihong One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund (010981), which held 1.1558 million shares, accounting for 1.41% of the fund's net value, making it the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Xingquan Huihong One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund was established on March 23, 2021, with a current scale of 677 million CNY, achieving a year-to-date return of 0.65% and ranking 6963 out of 8816 in its category, while its one-year return is 10.49%, ranking 6207 out of 8081 [2]

Group 1 - The non-ferrous metal sector is leading the market, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876), reaching a historical high with an intraday increase of 3.03% and a current increase of 2.45% [1] - As of the report, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) has seen a net subscription of 32.4 million units, with a total inflow of 56.48 million yuan over the past four days, indicating strong investor confidence in the sector [1] - The latest scale of Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) is 879 million yuan, marking a new historical high [1] Group 2 - Leading stocks in the sector include Huayou Cobalt, which rose over 7%, and several others like Zhongkuang Resources, Hanrui Cobalt, and Shenhuo Co., all increasing by more than 5% [3] - Notable stock performances include Huayou Cobalt at 7.44%, Zhongkuang Resources at 5.68%, and Hanrui Cobalt at 5.86%, among others [4] Group 3 - The prices of metals like copper and gold are expected to remain relatively high through 2025, with leading companies such as Chifeng Gold, Huayou Cobalt, and Zijin Mining issuing profit increase announcements [3] - Zijin Mining anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 51 to 52 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 59% to 62% [3] Group 4 - Analysts from CITIC Futures suggest that geopolitical tensions and soft U.S. manufacturing PMI data are contributing to fluctuations in precious metal prices, with a bullish outlook for the non-ferrous metal sector [5] - Institutions generally agree that the non-ferrous metal sector is likely to continue its upward trend, with expectations of a bull market driven by monetary, demand, and supply factors in 2026 [5] Group 5 - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) and its linked funds provide comprehensive coverage of various non-ferrous metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing for risk diversification [6]

Group 1 - The article presents the top 20 stocks in the S&P China A-Share Dividend Opportunity Index (CSPSADRP) based on their daily and year-to-date performance as of January 5, 2026 [1][5]. - The stock with the highest daily increase is LuRi Co., Ltd. (002083.SZ), which rose by 10.00%, and it also has a year-to-date increase of 10.00% with a dividend yield of 1.21% [1][5]. - Other notable performers include Aotaiwei (688516.SH) with a daily increase of 9.15% and a year-to-date increase of 9.15%, and Yiyi Co., Ltd. (001206.SZ) with a daily increase of 5.28% and a year-to-date increase of 5.28% [1][5]. Group 2 - The list includes various sectors, with companies like Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) and Kuka Home (603816.SH) showing daily increases of 4.51% and 3.68%, respectively [1][5]. - The dividend yields for these companies vary, with notable yields such as 7.86% for Wuliangye (000858.SZ) and 7.24% for Nanshan Aluminum (600219.SH) [1][5]. - The data is sourced from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and reflects the closing prices as of January 5, 2026, with dividend yields calculated for the past 12 months ending December 31, 2025 [1][5].

| | 国泰海通证券 | | --- | --- | | 2 | GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES | 目 录 | | 每日报告精选（2025-12-31 09:00——2026-01-05 15:00） 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | |  | 宏观周报：《地缘风险再起，国际油价或迎剧烈波动》2026-01-04 | 3 | |  | 宏观周报：《元旦"微度假"热度高》2026-01-04 | 3 | |  | 宏观快报点评：《PMI 逆季节性回升，预期改善》2025-12-31 | 4 | |  | 策略专题报告：《1 月金股策略：决胜"开门红"》2026-01-05 | 5 | |  | 资产配置周报：《地缘政治突变，建议超配黄金》2026-01-05 | 6 | |  | 策略专题报告：《AI 应用与机器人主题有望接力》2026-01-04 | 6 | |  | 海外策略研究：《长线外资积极增配港股软件服务》2026-01-04 | 7 | |  | 策略周报：《一年之计在于春》2026-01-04 | 8 | |  | 行业月报：房地产《TOP ...

- The report analyzes the characteristics of broker-recommended stocks for January, highlighting that Zijin Mining, Zhongji Xuchuang, Ping An of China, CATL, Tianshan Aluminum, WuXi AppTec, and Yunnan Aluminum were frequently recommended[13][14] - The report categorizes all recommended stocks into new and repeated stocks, with Zijin Mining, Zhongji Xuchuang, Ping An of China, CATL, and China Duty Free being the most recommended repeated stocks, and Tianshan Aluminum, WuXi AppTec, Yunnan Aluminum, SMIC, and Jereh being the most recommended new stocks[13][14] - The report provides a detailed breakdown of the top recommended stocks within major popular industries, such as electronics, non-ferrous metals, electrical equipment, and basic chemicals, with specific stocks like SMIC, Zijin Mining, CATL, Wanhua Chemical, and Hengli Hydraulic being frequently recommended[16][17] - The report notes that the market value and valuation levels of broker-recommended stocks increased in January, indicating a shift towards growth style stocks[18] - The performance review for December shows that the overall return rate of broker-recommended stock portfolios was 5.3%, with new stocks outperforming repeated stocks[21][22] - The report highlights the top ten stocks with the highest monthly returns in December, including Sunway Communication, Hengyi Petrochemical, Lixing Co., Moulding Technology, and USI, with returns of 74.8%, 44.7%, 44.3%, 40.0%, and 36.1% respectively[21][22][23] - The "Kaiyuan Financial Engineering Preferred Stock Portfolio" achieved a return rate of 5.8% in December, with a historical annualized return rate of 23.1%, outperforming the overall broker-recommended stock portfolio[24][27][28] - The report lists the latest holdings of the preferred stock portfolio for January, including stocks like CITIC Securities, Chongqing Bank, Huafeng Measurement & Control, Taotao Vehicle, New China Life Insurance, and Shanghai Lingang, with a focus on industries such as electronics, basic chemicals, building materials, and computers[28][29][30]

Group 1 - Tianshan Aluminum Industry Co., Ltd. experienced a stock price increase of 5.07%, reaching 17.00 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 137 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.20%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 78.689 billion CNY [1] - The company, established on November 3, 1997, and listed on December 31, 2010, is located in Shanghai and specializes in the production and sales of primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing products, prebaked anodes, high-purity aluminum, and alumina [1] - The revenue composition of Tianshan Aluminum includes 65.26% from the sale of self-produced aluminum ingots, 24.20% from alumina sales, 6.89% from aluminum foil and aluminum foil raw materials, 2.10% from high-purity aluminum sales, and 1.55% from other sources [1] Group 2 - E Fund's fund, E Fund CSI 500 Quality Growth ETF (159606), holds Tianshan Aluminum as its seventh-largest position, having reduced its holdings by 250,800 shares to 587,300 shares, which represents 1.9% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has achieved a year-to-date return of 34.65%, ranking 1385 out of 4189 in its category, with the same return over the past year and a total return of 17.09% since its inception on December 17, 2021 [2]