（图片来源：摄图网） 马年新春，当宇树科技的人形机器人在春晚舞台上完成后空翻、精准挥舞棍术时，全球观众见证的不仅是一 场科技表演，更是一个时代的序章。短短一年，从2025年扭秧歌的笨拙可爱，到2026年展现武术功底的灵活 矫健，国产人形机器人的运动能力与智能水平实现了跨越式提升。这个曾经只存在于科幻电影中的钢铁伙 伴，正以惊人的速度从实验室走向工厂，从科技前沿走向日常生活。 近日，清华大学智能产业研究院院长张亚勤预测，未来10年机器人数量会超过人类数量，替代人类的一些工 作。人类未来一周只需工作2天，工资不会减少甚至还会变高。 张亚勤表示："在2035年，就是10年，我们的机器人数目会超过人类的数目，超过70亿80亿，它代替了工 作，然后也会创造很多新的一些工作，我乐观认为，再过10年可能我们工作两天一周，拿的薪水不能减少， 薪水还是更高，这是一个前提。" 张亚勤预测背后折射出的是人形机器人产业正以指数级速度重构人类生产生活方式的深层现实。这种速度首 先体现在技术迭代的颠覆性节奏上——曾经需要数十年才能成熟的工业技术，如今在人工智能与高端制造的 交叉领域被压缩至以月为单位进化，机器人的运动控制能力从蹒跚学步到 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant advancements in robotics showcased during the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala, emphasizing the progress in hardware, control systems, and bionic technologies [2][11] - The polyester industry is experiencing a recovery, with leading companies benefiting from an integrated supply chain and improved demand dynamics [3][12] Mechanical Industry - The 2026 Spring Festival Gala featured performances by four companies, demonstrating cutting-edge achievements in embodied intelligence, including hardware, control, and bionic operations [2][11] - The performance of robots exceeded expectations, serving as a catalyst for the sector, with recommendations to focus on domestic robot supply chain companies [2][11] Polyester Industry - The polyester supply chain is witnessing a recovery, with profits shifting towards the filament segment due to improved supply-demand dynamics [3][12] - Zhejiang Petrochemical is expected to contribute stable investment returns, with projected annual contributions exceeding 1.5 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, significantly smoothing out the cyclical fluctuations of the filament business [3][12] - The report forecasts a steady increase in net profit for the company, with estimates of 2.046 billion yuan, 3.693 billion yuan, and 4.987 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a strong growth potential [3][12]

知名私募投资人葛卫东，在此前密集投资GPU等人工智能产业之后，开始押宝机器人行业了。 2月24日，记者自具身智能企业千寻智能获悉，该公司于近日连续完成两轮融资，规模近20亿元，云锋 基金、某头部国资机构、混沌投资、红杉中国等机构参投。此外，Synstellation Capital、TCL创投、明 荟致远等产业资本，重庆产业投资母基金、杭州金投等国有资本，360基金、厚雪资本等战投机构共同 参与。 随着本轮融资的落地，千寻智能估值一举突破百亿大关，正式跻身具身智能赛道"百亿俱乐部"。 千寻智能成立于2024年1月，是一家专注于构建机器人"通用大脑"的具身智能公司。成立以来，千寻智 能吸引了多元产业资本：从宁德时代、汇川技术、TCL等工业制造龙头，到京东、招商局创投代表的物 流零售与金融基础设施，再到华为、小米两大消费电子巨头。 公司创始人兼CEO韩峰涛是一名机器人行业连续创业者，曾担任珞石机器人联合创始人、CTO。联合创 始人高阳是具身智能领域"伯克利归国四子"之一，也是清华大学交叉信息研究院助理教授。 韩峰涛此前在接受上海证券报采访时表示，千寻智能采用"软硬协同"发展策略，在强化AI算法同时，重 点突破硬件 ...

February 22, 2026 08:06 PM GMT China Industrials | Asia Pacific Humanoid Robots Take Spotlight at China Spring Festival Gala Unitree, Galbot, Noetix and MagicLab appeared at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala. Beyond the headlines and videos, the humanoids showcased different abilities as well as signaling an industry pivot from just locomotive performance. Key Takeaways Well-showcased performance from locomotion to real tasks and emotional value: We view the trajectory as constructive for mass-market adoption. ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong opening on the first trading day after the Spring Festival, with all three major indices closing higher, indicating a positive sentiment among investors [2][3] - The trading volume exceeded 2 trillion yuan, with over 4,000 stocks rising, showcasing significant profit potential [2][3] Sector Performance - The oil and petrochemical sector led the market with a 5.53% increase, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [3] - Other strong performers included cultivated diamonds and optical modules, with notable stocks like Sifangda and Tianfu Communication showing impressive gains [3][4] ETF Market Dynamics - The ETF market saw a surge in trading volume, particularly for oil and gas-related products, with several ETFs recording gains of over 9.5% [4] - Technology-related ETFs also experienced significant increases in trading volume, reflecting heightened investor interest in sectors like AI and robotics [4][5] Investment Trends and Insights - Analysts predict a more diverse investment landscape in 2026, driven by macroeconomic cycles and technological innovations [2][6] - Key investment themes identified include AI and humanoid robotics, cyclical sectors like oil and petrochemicals, high-dividend stocks in banking and energy, and domestic consumption sectors [6][7] Institutional Interest - Several companies in the robotics industry have attracted significant institutional attention, with multiple rounds of research conducted by institutions [5] - Companies like Huichuan Technology and Anpeilong have been highlighted for their advancements in robotics, indicating strong future potential [5] Future Outlook - The overall sentiment remains optimistic for the A-share market, with expectations of a continued upward trend driven by structural highlights in various sectors [6][8] - The focus on technology growth, particularly in AI and semiconductors, is expected to present substantial investment opportunities moving forward [8]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong opening on the first trading day after the Spring Festival, with all three major indices closing higher, indicating a positive sentiment among investors [1][2] - The trading volume exceeded 2 trillion yuan, with over 4,000 stocks rising, showcasing significant profit potential [1][2] Sector Performance - The oil and petrochemical sector led the market with a 5.53% increase, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit [2] - Other strong performers included the cultivated diamond and optical module sectors, with notable stocks like Sifangda and Tianfu Communication showing impressive gains [2][3] ETF Market Dynamics - The enthusiasm in the oil and gas sector translated into strong performance for related ETFs, with several products seeing gains of over 9.5% [2] - Technology-related ETFs, particularly those tracking AI and software, also saw a significant increase in trading volume, with some doubling their transaction amounts [3] Institutional Interest - The robotics sector has garnered significant attention from institutional investors, with multiple companies in the industry receiving numerous inquiries [4] - Companies like Huichuan Technology and Anpeilong have been highlighted for their advancements in robotics, attracting institutional focus [4] Future Investment Trends - Analysts predict a more diverse investment landscape in 2026, driven by macroeconomic cycles and technological innovations [1][6] - Key investment themes include AI and humanoid robotics, cyclical commodities like oil and gas, high-dividend sectors such as banking and energy, and domestic consumption in automotive and home appliance sectors [6][7] AI and Technology Focus - The technology sector remains a focal point for investment, with expectations for breakthroughs in AI and semiconductors to drive future opportunities [7][8] - The potential for significant advancements in AI is seen as a critical factor for the growth of the industry, with current market perceptions possibly underestimating its development potential [8]

Group 1: Macroeconomic Insights - In 2023, the market discussed a peak of 16 trillion yuan in "excess savings," with approximately 76-77 trillion yuan of residential time deposits maturing in 2026, indicating a historical peak[5] - The maturing deposits in the first quarter of 2026 are expected to reach 32-34 trillion yuan, highlighting a significant seasonal pattern[6] - The actual pressure from maturing deposits is limited, with a year-on-year increase of 9.6-10.8 trillion yuan in 2026, corresponding to a growth rate of 14.4%-16.3%, which is lower than the 17.7% growth rate in 2025[6] Group 2: Interest Rate and Asset Allocation - Approximately 25 trillion yuan of high-interest deposits are set to mature, with 32% of the total maturing deposits being two years or older, indicating a core pressure for renewal[6] - The renewal rate for deposits in 2025 remained close to 90%, suggesting that low interest rates do not automatically trigger a shift in risk appetite among residents[7] - The anticipated migration of deposits to other assets is expected to occur slowly and in a dispersed manner, with a potential 10% outflow rate from the 77 trillion yuan in time deposits being a marginal pricing variable for equity and bond markets[7] Group 3: Trade and Tariff Impacts - As of November 2025, the effective tariff rate in the U.S. reached 9.8%, the highest since 1946, with China facing the highest actual tariff rate of 30.9%[9] - The actual tariff increases have significantly impacted trade dynamics, with China and India experiencing the largest increases in effective tariffs compared to 2024, at 20.2 and 17.3 percentage points respectively[10] - Despite tariff pressures, China's export position remains robust, maintaining the largest share of global exports, while the U.S. has shifted its import structure towards North America and Europe[11] Group 4: Economic Recovery and Consumer Behavior - The Chinese economy is shifting focus towards domestic demand as a long-term strategy, with consumer spending projected to account for 56.6% of GDP by 2024, still below developed economies[39] - Consumer confidence is stabilizing, with improvements in disposable income growth and a reduction in the crowding-out effect of precautionary savings on consumption[40] - The recovery in domestic demand is supported by a reasonable rise in prices, which is expected to stimulate consumption and improve corporate profitability[40]

| 国泰海通证券 | | --- | | GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES | 目 录 | | 每日报告精选（2026-02-13 09:00——2026-02-24 15:00） 3 | | | --- | --- | --- | |  | 宏观专题：《有多少存款：可供"搬家"》2026-02-22 3 | | |  | 宏观专题：《关税一周年：全球贸易重塑的"真相"》2026-02-22 3 | | |  | 宏观周报：《春节期间：海外有何变化》2026-02-22 4 | | |  | 宏观周报：《新春经济温和修复》2026-02-22 5 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《特朗普关税被否：后续如何演绎》2026-02-21 5 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《"K 型分化"的边际收敛》2026-02-21 6 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《超级核心通胀压力仍存》2026-02-14 7 | | |  | 宏观快报点评：《M2 增速：创新高的背后》2026-02-14 8 | | |  | 策略专题报告：《中国股市上升的关键动力三：中国内需提振的"有力转折"》2 ...

相关产品： 机器人ETF易方达（159530）通过跟踪国证机器人产业指数，为投资者提供一键布局机器人全产业链的 高效工具。 截至13:18，机器人产业指数（980022.CNI）跌0.62%。指数成分股科沃斯涨4.09%、中信重工涨3.4%、 凌云光涨2.7%，步科股份跌6.63%、绿的谐波跌4.98%、奥比中光跌4.7%。 资金方面，机器人ETF易方达（159530）跟踪国证机器人产业指数，备受资金青睐，近10日资金净流入 超11亿，近60日资金净流入超46亿，盘中资金净申购 8800万份。 借春晚亮相，多家机器人企业展示了最新进展：宇树科技目标2026年出货1万至2万台，2025年已交付超 5500台；松延动力计划加速海外认证，拓展北美、中东、欧洲、东南亚及日韩五大市场，力争二季度实 现千台级出货；银河通用则已在颐和园、陆家嘴、前海、西湖、春熙路、狮山广场等地部署超100台"银 河太空舱"。 银河证券研报称，人形机器人是2026年央视马年春晚核心亮点，宇树科技、银河通用、松延动力、魔法 原子四家机器人公司亮相，其中最具代表性的为宇树科技带来的第4个节目——武术《武BOT》。具身 机器人行业未来市场空间广大 ...

春晚技术秀：宇树科技、松延动力、银河通用、魔法原子4家头部企业200余台机器人贯穿武术、小品、 歌舞、微电影四大节目，整体表现超市场预期。 大家好，我是天弘基金祁世超。关注机器人板块的伙伴，投资路上我们相伴前行。 2026年春节，国产机器人迎来历史性时刻。央视春晚200余台机器人实现现象级出圈，叠加全国文旅、 消费、民生全场景规模化"上岗"，机器人成为新春年味的科技新符号。全球产业形成"中美双轮驱动"格 局，机器人正从"技术验证"迈入"规模化落地"窗口期。 宇树科技（三度登台）展现技术绝对领先：全球首次无外部定位的全自主集群武术表演，20余台H1机 器人完成3米弹射空翻、双节棍挥舞、醉拳踉跄倒地后自主起身等高难度动作；高速跑位变阵同步误差 低于0.01秒，在春晚复杂灯光、电磁干扰环境下实现零失误，刷新行业技术标杆。宇树自研M107关节 扭矩密度达45Nm/kg以上，毫秒级重心补偿技术实现动态平衡控制。 银河通用完成春晚首个全程自主感知决策表演，依托自研具身大模型与沈腾、马丽同台完成盘核桃、串 烤肠、拾取透明玻璃碎片等精细操作，展现环境自适应能力。 松延动力仿生机器人通过32组面部微型电机精准复刻拟人微表情，口 ...