天风证券主要观点如下： 智通财经APP获悉，天风证券发布研报称，近期反内卷关注度提升，可以从"价格弹性"角度、下游盈利 改善及资本开支角度、报表改善&"转型升级"角度和新能源材料及工程的相关品种四个角度把握建筑板 块反内卷投资机遇。抓项目促投资工作调度会指出，要紧盯国省"十四五"重大工程、省重点项目、中省 预算内投资项目、地方政府专项债券项目。伴随省内的重点项目加速推进，下半年基本面有望呈现加速 改善的趋势。近期石油沥青开工率回升明显，进入9月随着天气转凉，看好后续实物工作量的转化。 反内卷关注度再提升，重视建筑板块投资机遇 1)9月10日四川路桥(600039.SH)公告，为引入认可公司内在价值和看好未来发展的价值投资者、优化公 司股权结构，蜀道集团计划通过大宗交易方式减持公司股份不超过173,911,812股，即不超过公司总股本 的2%; 2)25H1四川路桥累计新增中标项目218个，金额约722亿元，同比增长22.20%，其中，基建订单增速高 达25.88%，新开工项目受土地组卷报批、项目红线用地征拆等前期工作影响，未能实现大面积动工， 项目接续不足，公司上半年收入有所承压，8月28日，抓项目促投资工作 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Xinjiang region's economic development and infrastructure projects, with a specific emphasis on coal and coal chemical industries, as well as transportation infrastructure related to the Belt and Road Initiative [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][14][18]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Economic Growth Targets**: Xinjiang aims for a GDP growth of approximately 6% in 2025, with fixed asset investment growth targeted at 10%. In 2024, GDP is expected to grow by 6.1%, with per capita GDP increasing by 5.4% [1][7]. - **Infrastructure Investment**: The region plans to implement 500 key projects with a total investment of 3.47 trillion yuan (approximately 0.5 trillion USD) in 2025, with 4.069 billion yuan planned for completion that year. Infrastructure investment will account for 23% of this, while industrial investment will make up 74% [1][12]. - **Coal Production**: Xinjiang's raw coal production is projected to reach 543 million tons in 2024, marking an 18% year-on-year increase. The region has significant coal resources, with a total approved coal mine capacity of 208 million tons [1][14]. - **Belt and Road Initiative**: Xinjiang plays a crucial role in the Belt and Road Initiative, enhancing its strategic position as a hub connecting China with Central Asia and Europe. The region's export growth rate ranks among the top three in the country [3][6][19]. Significant Developments - **Major Projects**: Key projects include coal chemical initiatives, the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, and the New Tibet Railway. Companies like China Chemical and China Railway are expected to benefit from these developments [5][20]. - **Infrastructure Progress**: Xinjiang has made notable advancements in infrastructure, with significant investments in roads and railways. The total road mileage reached 11,000 kilometers, with over 94% of counties connected by expressways [7][9]. - **Policy Support**: The upcoming 70th anniversary celebrations and the Fourth Central Xinjiang Work Conference are anticipated to bring additional policy support and development plans, similar to past events [4][13]. Additional Important Insights - **Water Resource Management**: The South-to-North Water Diversion West Line Project may indirectly enhance water resource management in Xinjiang, improving overall water utilization efficiency [17]. - **Investment from State-Owned Enterprises**: 25 state-owned enterprises have signed contracts for 183 projects in key sectors such as oil, gas, coal, and renewable energy, with expected investments ranging from 400 billion to 500 billion yuan [2][14]. - **Future Outlook**: The ongoing development of coal chemical projects and infrastructure improvements is expected to lead to significant economic growth and increased investment in Xinjiang over the coming years [15][20].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Viewpoints - The focus on "anti-involution" has increased, highlighting investment opportunities in the construction sector. The report suggests four angles to capture these opportunities: 1) "Price elasticity" focusing on benefiting upstream commodities, emphasizing "construction + minerals" and "construction + chemicals" [13][14] 2) Improvement in downstream profitability and capital expenditure, with significant growth in new domestic orders for steel and engineering sectors [14][18] 3) Improvement in financial statements and "transformation and upgrading," with tech-driven construction companies expected to benefit from high demand for tech-based infrastructure [14][15] 4) Related sectors in new energy materials and engineering, particularly in photovoltaic fields [14][15] Summary by Sections Section 1: Investment Opportunities - The report emphasizes the importance of the "anti-involution" theme, with a focus on construction companies that can leverage price elasticity and resource development [13][14] - Specific recommendations include companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Railway, and Shanghai Construction for their resource development capabilities [14][15] Section 2: Market Performance - The construction index rose by 2.16% during the week of September 8-12, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.01 percentage points [26] - Notable stock performances included Dongzhu Ecology and Tianyu Ecology, both increasing by 33.05% [26] Section 3: Company-Specific Insights - Sichuan Road and Bridge announced plans to optimize its shareholding structure by introducing strategic investors, aiming to improve its fundamentals [18][19] - The company secured 218 new projects worth approximately 72.2 billion, marking a 22.20% year-on-year increase, with infrastructure orders growing by 25.88% [18][19] Section 4: Construction Material Indicators - The report highlights a significant recovery in the operating rates of petroleum asphalt and cement, indicating a positive trend in physical workload conversion for construction projects [19][24]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the construction and chemical sectors, particularly focusing on those benefiting from infrastructure development in Xinjiang and coal chemical projects [10][21]. Core Insights - The year 2025 marks the 70th anniversary of the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, with expectations for increased central government support and policies that could significantly boost the performance and valuation of companies in the region [1][2][10]. - Key investment opportunities are identified in two main areas: transportation infrastructure and coal chemical projects, with specific recommendations for companies such as China Communications Construction, North New Road Bridge, and China Chemical [2][10][21]. - The report highlights the potential for substantial investment in coal chemical projects in Xinjiang, estimating annual investments of approximately 997 billion, 2077 billion, and 2326 billion from 2025 to 2027 [2][21]. Summary by Sections Transportation Infrastructure - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing transportation infrastructure in Xinjiang, with ongoing railway projects and expected progress on the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, which has a total investment of 8 billion USD [2][21]. - Recommended companies benefiting from this sector include Xinjiang Communications Construction, North New Road Bridge, and major players in cement and steel production [1][2][10]. Coal Chemical Projects - The report notes that Xinjiang has significant potential for coal chemical development, with over 800 billion in investments planned for ongoing and proposed projects by mid-2025 [2][21]. - Key companies in this sector include China Chemical, Donghua Technology, and Sanwei Chemical, which are expected to benefit from the acceleration of project launches and the rising demand for green methanol [2][10][21]. Valuation Reassessment - The report suggests that companies rich in mineral resources, such as China Metallurgical Group and China Railway Group, are due for a valuation reassessment due to rising prices of gold and copper amid a recovering economy [7][30]. - China Metallurgical Group's estimated value is 732 billion, with a potential upside of 64%, while China Railway Group's estimated value is 1490 billion, with a potential upside of 69% [7][30]. High Dividend Recommendations - The report highlights Sichuan Road and Bridge as a high-dividend stock, projecting a dividend yield of 6.4% for 2025, benefiting from the strategic importance of Sichuan in national infrastructure plans [8][10][21]. - Other companies recommended for their high dividend yields include China Construction and China Railway Group, with respective yields of 5% and 4.6% [6][10].

Core Viewpoint - The construction sector experienced revenue and profit declines in the first half of 2025, but there is optimism for a marginal recovery in the second half due to accelerated issuance of special bonds supporting infrastructure investment [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the construction sector achieved revenue of 39,639 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 5.5%, and a net profit of 913 billion yuan, down 6.03% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.15 percentage points, while the expense ratio increased by 0.23 percentage points to 5.76% [3]. - The overall net profit margin stood at 2.87%, slightly down by 0.04 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Group 2: Subsector Performance - Subsector performance varied, with design consulting, steel structure, and chemical engineering showing better revenue growth than the overall sector, with growth rates of +3.06%, +2.84%, and -1.54% respectively [4]. - The chemical engineering sector saw positive net profit growth, with companies like Donghua Technology and China Chemical reporting increases of 14.6% and 9.3% respectively [4]. Group 3: Resilience of State-Owned Enterprises - Major state-owned enterprises in the construction sector demonstrated resilience, with companies like China State Construction, China Chemical, and China Energy achieving positive net profit growth in H1 2025 [5]. - The market share of new signed orders for the nine major state-owned enterprises increased from 35% in 2019 to 55.5% in H1 2025, indicating a potential for further market share growth [4][5].

Group 1 - The company Sichuan Road and Bridge announced a share repurchase plan on September 12, 2025, through centralized bidding, involving the repurchase of 476,000 shares [2] - The repurchased shares represent 0.0055% of the company's total share capital [2]

Group 1: Company Restructuring and Financial Performance - The company reported a loss of 63.64 million yuan for the first half of 2025 and is undergoing a major asset restructuring to improve profitability [2] - The restructuring plan includes the acquisition of 60% of the shares in the Shudao Clean Energy Group, which is expected to resolve competition issues with Shudao Group [3] - The expected investment return from the sale of shares in Aowei Technology is approximately 85.76 million yuan, positively impacting the company's current performance [3] Group 2: Shareholder Information and Market Management - As of September 10, 2025, the number of shareholders is 28,180 [2] - The company emphasizes the importance of market value management and aims to enhance asset quality and profitability through the restructuring [3] - The company plans to provide updates on the restructuring progress every 30 days until the shareholder meeting notification is issued [4] Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Decisions - The company is focused on divesting from non-profitable assets and enhancing operational capabilities by integrating advantageous resources from the clean energy sector [3] - The timeline for completing the audit and evaluation related to the restructuring is still pending, with no specific completion date provided [3] - The new chairman will be elected from the board of directors at the upcoming shareholder meeting [3]

Group 1 - The company Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039) announced a share buyback plan ranging from 100 million to 200 million yuan [1] - The maximum buyback price is set at 12.16 yuan per share [1]

Group 1 - The company Sichuan Road and Bridge announced a share buyback of approximately 480,000 shares, representing 0.0055% of its total share capital, with a total expenditure of about 4.16 million RMB [1] - The highest and lowest transaction prices during the buyback were 8.76 RMB and 8.70 RMB per share, respectively [1] - As of the report, the market capitalization of Sichuan Road and Bridge is 75.3 billion RMB [1] Group 2 - For the year 2024, the revenue composition of Sichuan Road and Bridge is as follows: logistics trade 6.25%, mining and new materials 3.12%, highway investment and operation 2.69%, other businesses 0.6%, and clean energy 0.57% [1]

证券代码：600039 证券简称：四川路桥 公告编号：2025-100 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司 关于以集中竞价交易方式首次回购股份的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 公司将严格按照《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监 管指引第 7 号——回购股份》等相关规定，在回购期限内根据市场情况择机做出 回购决策并予以实施，同时根据回购股份事项进展情况及时履行信息披露义务， 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 四川路桥建设集团股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 4 月 29 日召开 第八届董事会第五十五次会议，审议通过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司 股份的议案》。公司拟使用自有资金或自筹资金，以集中竞价交易方式回购公司部 分已发行的人民币普通股（A 股）股份，用于股权激励或转换公司发行的可转债。 本次回购金额不低于人民币 10,000 万元且不超过人民币 20,000 万元，回购股份的 价格上限为 12.54 元/股，回购股份期限为自公司董事会审议通过本次回购股份方 案之日起 12 个月 ...