Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro Finance**: Long - term bullish on stock indices, suggesting buying on dips; government bonds to trade in a range [1][5] - **Black Building Materials**: Short - term trading for coking coal; range trading for rebar; glass to trade weakly in a range [1][7][8][9] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Suggest buying copper on dips; strengthening observation for aluminum; waiting and seeing for nickel; range trading for tin, gold, silver; range - bound oscillation for lithium carbonate [1][10][11][13][14][16] - **Energy and Chemicals**: Range trading for PVC; low - level rebound for caustic soda; selling short on rallies for soda ash; strong - biased oscillation for styrene; range trading for rubber, urea, methanol; weak - biased oscillation for polyolefins [1][16][18][19][20][21][22][23][24] - **Cotton and Textile Industry Chain**: Strong - biased oscillation for cotton and cotton yarn; oscillation for apples and jujubes [1][24][26] - **Agriculture and Animal Husbandry**: Cautious about short - selling the May contract of live pigs, selling short on rallies; selling short on rallies for near - month egg contracts if culling does not accelerate; range trading for corn; short - selling on rallies for soybean meal; buying on dips for oils [1][28][29][30] Core Views - The report provides trading suggestions for various futures products based on their market fundamentals, supply - demand relationships, and macro - economic factors. It also analyzes the impacts of policies, geopolitical events, and seasonal factors on different futures markets [1][5][8][10] Summary by Category Macro Finance - **Stock Indices**: Short - term oscillation, long - term bullish, buy on dips. AI concerns boost precious metals, and the market may be strong before the Two Sessions [5] - **Government Bonds**: Oscillation. Despite supply pressure, the bond market may continue the bull market if the pressure can be digested [5] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal**: Short - term trading. After the Spring Festival, the coking coal market is weak and stable, with slow demand recovery [7][8] - **Rebar**: Range trading. The tariff game continues, and the steel price is expected to be weak in the short - term due to low valuation and weak driving forces [8] - **Glass**: Weak - biased oscillation. Supply reduction and demand weakness coexist, and there are potential risks and uncertainties [9] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Suggest buying on dips. Supply is tight, demand is resilient, and copper remains a strategic resource [10][11] - **Aluminum**: Strengthen observation. Supply is expected to improve, but the bullish sentiment in the non - ferrous market remains [11] - **Nickel**: Suggest buying on dips moderately. The reduction of nickel ore quotas in Indonesia supports the price [13] - **Tin**: Range trading. Supply is tight, and downstream demand is in a recovery trend [13] - **Silver and Gold**: Range trading. Geopolitical events and economic data affect the prices, and the mid - term price centers are rising [14] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Range - bound oscillation. Supply and demand factors coexist, and attention should be paid to the disturbances in Yichun's mining end [16] Energy and Chemicals - **PVC**: Range trading. Low valuation, weak domestic demand, and high inventory, but there are potential opportunities from policies and exports [16][18] - **Caustic Soda**: Low - level rebound. Supply pressure is large, and the price may be supported if the market atmosphere of related commodities improves [18] - **Soda Ash**: Selling short on rallies. Supply is excessive, and the price may be under pressure in the short - term [24] - **Styrene**: Strong - biased oscillation. Low inventory during the Spring Festival and export support the price, but supply may increase in March [19][20] - **Rubber**: Range trading. Supply is in the off - season, and demand is expected to support the price [20] - **Urea**: Range trading. Supply increases, and demand is supported by agricultural and industrial needs, with stable prices [21] - **Methanol**: Range trading. Supply decreases, demand is weak, and the market is weak [22][23] - **Polyolefins**: Weak - biased oscillation. Supply is high, demand is weak during the Spring Festival, and inventory accumulates [23] Cotton and Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: Strong - biased oscillation. Global cotton supply and demand change, and the price is expected to be strong after the festival [24] - **Apples**: Oscillation. The trading volume of different grades of apples varies in different regions [26] - **Jujubes**: Oscillation. The purchase price of Xinjiang gray jujubes varies by region [26] Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - **Live Pigs**: Cautious about short - selling the May contract, selling short on rallies. Short - term price is under pressure, and long - term price depends on capacity reduction [28] - **Eggs**: Selling short on rallies for near - month contracts if culling does not accelerate. Supply is sufficient, and demand is weak after the festival [28] - **Corn**: Range trading. Short - term supply - demand game is intense, and long - term supply is relatively loose [29] - **Soybean Meal**: Short - selling on rallies. Global supply is abundant, and domestic supply is loose from March to June [29][30] - **Oils**: Buying on dips. After the Spring Festival, domestic oils are expected to follow the external market higher, with different performances among varieties [30][31][32][33][34][35]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 中证500成长ETF银华（562340）业绩比较基准为中证500质量成长指数收益率×100%，管理人为银华基 金管理股份有限公司，基金经理为张亦驰，成立（2024-04-25）以来回报为39.20%，近一个月回报为 3.00%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月24日，截止午间收盘，中证500成长ETF银华（562340）涨1.73%，报1.415元，成交额45.79万元。中 证500成长ETF银华（562340）重仓股方面，巨人网络截止午盘跌4.69%，西部矿业涨2.60%，天山铝业 涨1.05%，厦门钨业涨0.82%，通富微电涨2.12%，宏发股份涨2.38%，杰瑞股份涨5.15%，睿创微纳涨 0.17%，豪迈科技涨0.16%，金诚信涨2.94%。 ...

铝：截至2月12日，电解铝库存89.2万吨，周度累库5.6万吨，较2025年同期增加36万吨，社库规模为近三年同期高 位，供需错配的压力逐步凸显。供应端，国内及印尼电解铝项目稳步爬产。需求端，春节来临，下游对原料需求 边际转弱，叠加铝价较高，企业铸锭意愿大幅增强，2月铝水比例走低，成为驱动国内铝库存上行的核心因素。展 望后市，当前电解铝锭累库驱动逻辑未发生实质改变，铝水比例下滑进一步加剧铝锭供给压力，叠加春节假期临 近市场交投氛围逐步进入停滞状态，国内铝锭累库节奏将明显加快，预计节后首周国内铝锭库存将攀升至120万吨 附近。重点关注：中国宏桥、天山铝业、神火股份、云铝股份、中国铝业、创新实业、百通能源。 # 领导开工大吉，祝您# 2026年投资马到成功！ 有色观点更新120260223 铜：宏观层面，国内因春节前资金偏谨慎，海外方面，上周五美国最高法院裁决废除特朗普部分全球关税成为最 大催化剂，显著缓解贸易不确定性，风险偏好回升推动铜价反弹，但特朗普迅速援引1974年《 # 领导开工大吉，祝您# 2026年投资马到成功！ 有色观点更新120260223 铜：宏观层面，国内因春节前资金偏谨慎，海外方面，上周五美 ...

根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国原铝(电解铝)产量为387万吨，同比增长3%；2025年1-12月 中国原铝(电解铝)累计产量为4501.6万吨，累计增长2.4%。 上市企业：中国铝业（601600）,南山铝业（600219）,云铝股份（000807）,新疆众和（600888）,神火股 份（000933）,中孚实业（600595）,焦作万方（000612）,东阳光（600673）,天山铝业（002532）,闽发 铝业（002578） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国原铝（电解铝）行业发展战略规划及投资机会预测报 告》 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 2020-2025年中国原铝(电解铝)产量统计图 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing trend of cash dividends among listed companies in the Shenzhen market, with a significant number of companies distributing cash dividends as a sign of confidence in their financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders [2][3]. Group 1: Dividend Distribution Trends - Since the release of the new "National Nine Articles," listed companies have consistently raised their dividend levels, with multiple distributions per year becoming the norm [2]. - As of December 2025, nearly 120 companies in the Shenzhen market have implemented profit distributions, totaling over 37.5 billion yuan [2]. - In 2025, Shenzhen companies distributed a total of 547.56 billion yuan in cash dividends, marking the second consecutive year exceeding 500 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: Performance and Profitability - As of January 31, 2026, 1,714 out of 2,866 Shenzhen companies pre-disclosed their 2025 operating performance, with nearly 60% reporting improved results [2]. - The pre-disclosed companies collectively achieved a net profit of 82.01 billion yuan, an increase of 155.67 billion yuan year-on-year [2]. - Among the top 100 companies by market capitalization in Shenzhen, 40 reported pre-disclosed operating performance, all of which are expected to be profitable with a projected growth of over 60% [2]. Group 3: Private Enterprises and Dividend Policies - Approximately 60% of the companies that distributed dividends since December 2025 are private enterprises, indicating a strong presence in the dividend distribution landscape [3]. - Leading companies like Luxshare Precision and Tianshan Aluminum have shown confidence in their growth by announcing substantial dividend payouts [3][4]. - Tianshan Aluminum committed to a minimum cash dividend of 50% of its net profit for 2025, up from 41% in 2024, positioning itself as one of the highest dividend-paying companies in the non-ferrous metal sector [4]. Group 4: Long-term Dividend Strategies - Companies are revising their articles of association and establishing long-term dividend plans to enhance transparency and predictability in dividend distributions [5]. - Yilian Network, a typical "cash cow" among growth enterprises, has maintained a high dividend payout ratio, distributing 5 yuan per 10 shares in 2025, which accounted for over 50% of its net profit for the first half of the year [5]. - The company has a policy mandating that at least 20% of its distributable profits be allocated as cash dividends, ensuring a stable return for investors [5]. Group 5: Shareholder Return Planning - GoerTek implemented a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares for the first three quarters of 2025, totaling approximately 521 million yuan [6]. - The company has established a rolling and periodic review mechanism for its shareholder return plan, ensuring long-term stability in its dividend policy [6].

中证500成长ETF银华（562340）业绩比较基准为中证500质量成长指数收益率×100%，管理人为银华基 金管理股份有限公司，基金经理为张亦驰，成立（2024-04-25）以来回报为41.77%，近一个月回报为 3.78%。 2月13日，截止午间收盘，中证500成长ETF银华（562340）跌1.13%，报1.403元，成交额51.53万元。中 证500成长ETF银华（562340）重仓股方面，巨人网络截止午盘涨0.02%，西部矿业跌2.88%，天山铝业 跌2.57%，厦门钨业跌3.98%，通富微电跌0.33%，宏发股份跌1.92%，杰瑞股份跌4.72%，睿创微纳涨 0.94%，豪迈科技跌4.28%，金诚信跌1.79%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing trend of cash dividends among listed companies in the Shenzhen market, with a significant rise in the number of companies distributing dividends and the total amount of cash dividends paid out, reflecting a positive outlook on corporate performance and a commitment to returning value to shareholders [3][4]. Summary by Sections Dividend Distribution Trends - Since December 2025, nearly 120 companies in the Shenzhen market have implemented profit distributions, totaling over 37.5 billion yuan in cash dividends [3]. - In 2025, the total cash dividends distributed by Shenzhen companies reached 547.56 billion yuan, marking the second consecutive year exceeding 500 billion yuan [3]. - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total cash dividends from Shenzhen companies surpassed 2 trillion yuan, indicating a growing ecosystem of companies willing to distribute dividends regularly [3]. Corporate Performance - As of January 31, 2026, 1,714 out of 2,866 Shenzhen companies pre-disclosed their 2025 operating performance, accounting for 59.39% of the total number of companies and 48.48% of market capitalization [3]. - Nearly 60% of these companies reported improved performance, with a combined net profit of 82.01 billion yuan, an increase of 155.67 billion yuan year-on-year [3]. - Among the top 100 companies by market capitalization in Shenzhen, 40 companies pre-disclosed their 2025 performance, all of which are expected to be profitable, with anticipated growth exceeding 60% [3]. Notable Companies and Their Dividends - Lixun Precision (002475.SZ) announced a cash dividend of 1.6 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 1.165 billion yuan, with a projected net profit for 2025 between 16.518 billion yuan and 17.186 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.59% to 28.59% [5]. - Tianshan Aluminum (002532.SZ) implemented a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares, totaling about 459 million yuan, with a commitment to a minimum cash dividend of 50% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, up from 41% in 2024 [5]. - Yilian Network (300628.SZ) distributed a cash dividend of 5 yuan per 10 shares, amounting to 633 million yuan, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio of over 50% of its net profit [6]. - GoerTek (002241.SZ) distributed a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 521 million yuan, and has established a long-term stable dividend policy through a rolling planning mechanism [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing trend of cash dividends among listed companies in the Shenzhen market, particularly as the Chinese New Year approaches, with a significant number of companies distributing cash dividends to shareholders, reflecting their strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to investors. Group 1: Cash Dividends in Shenzhen Market - Since December 2025, nearly 120 companies in the Shenzhen market have implemented profit distributions, totaling over 37.5 billion yuan [1] - In 2025, Shenzhen companies distributed a total of 547.56 billion yuan in cash dividends, marking the second consecutive year of exceeding 500 billion yuan [1] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the total cash dividends distributed by Shenzhen companies surpassed 2 trillion yuan, indicating a growing ecosystem of companies willing to distribute dividends regularly [1] Group 2: Performance and Dividend Distribution - As of January 31, 2026, 1,714 out of 2,866 companies in the Shenzhen market pre-disclosed their 2025 operating performance, with nearly 60% showing improvement [1] - The pre-disclosed companies collectively achieved a net profit of 82.01 billion yuan, an increase of 155.67 billion yuan year-on-year [1] - Among the top 100 companies by market capitalization in Shenzhen, 40 companies pre-disclosed their 2025 performance, all of which are expected to be profitable with a projected growth of over 60% [1] Group 3: Private Enterprises and Dividend Trends - Approximately 70 of the companies that distributed dividends since December 2025 are private enterprises, accounting for about 60% of the total [2] - Leading companies like Luxshare Precision and Tianshan Aluminum have actively announced dividend distributions, reflecting their confidence in business growth and commitment to rewarding investors [2] - Luxshare Precision announced a cash dividend of 1.6 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 1.165 billion yuan, with a projected net profit growth of 23.59% to 28.59% for 2025 [2] Group 4: Specific Company Dividend Policies - Tianshan Aluminum plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 459 million yuan, with a commitment to a minimum cash dividend of 50% of the net profit for 2025 [3] - Yilian Network, a typical "cash cow" on the Growth Enterprise Market, distributed a cash dividend of 5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 633 million yuan, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio [4] - The company has a policy ensuring that cash distributions will not be less than 20% of the annual distributable profits, which has resulted in a cumulative cash dividend of over 8.5 billion yuan since its listing [4]

Core Viewpoint - A-share listed companies are increasingly distributing cash dividends, with nearly 120 companies in the Shenzhen market having completed profit distribution, totaling over 37.5 billion yuan in cash dividends since December 2025, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns [1] Group 1: Dividend Distribution Trends - Private enterprises are the main contributors to pre-holiday dividends, with nearly 70 out of the 120 companies being private, accounting for about 60% of the total [1] - The trend of multiple dividends per year and concentrated distributions before the Spring Festival is becoming a norm in the market, enhancing investor satisfaction [2] - In 2025, Shenzhen listed companies issued a total of 547.56 billion yuan in cash dividends, maintaining over 500 billion yuan for two consecutive years, indicating a positive ecosystem for dividends [2] Group 2: Company Performance and Dividend Policies - As of January 31, 2026, 1,714 out of 2,866 listed companies in Shenzhen have pre-disclosed their 2025 performance, with nearly 60% showing improved results, collectively achieving a net profit of 82.01 billion yuan, a significant increase of 155.67 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Yilian Network, a representative "cash cow" enterprise, has implemented a consistent dividend policy since its listing in 2017, with a total cash dividend exceeding 8.5 billion yuan and an average dividend rate close to 60% [3] - Companies are enhancing the transparency and predictability of their dividend policies by revising company charters and establishing medium to long-term dividend plans [2][3]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macro Finance**: Bullish on stock indices in the medium to long term, suggesting buying on dips; expecting treasury bonds to trade in a range [1][5] - **Black Building Materials**: Short - term trading for coking coal; range trading for rebar; buying on dips for glass [1][7] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Reducing trading positions for general traders before the holiday for copper, increasing hedging coverage; strengthening observation for aluminum; observing for nickel; range trading for tin, gold, and silver; expecting lithium carbonate to trade in a range [1][9] - **Energy and Chemicals**: Range trading for PVC, styrene, rubber, urea, and methanol; temporarily observing for caustic soda and soda ash; expecting polyolefins to trade weakly [1][15] - **Cotton Textile Industry Chain**: Expecting cotton and cotton yarn to adjust in a range; expecting apples and jujubes to trade in a range [1][25] - **Agriculture and Animal Husbandry**: Partially taking profits on short positions in hogs before the year, adopting a rolling short strategy on rebounds; reducing positions in eggs before the holiday, avoiding short - chasing; being cautious about chasing highs in corn, suggesting hedging on rebounds for grain - holding entities; observing the performance of the M2605 contract at 2700 for soybean meal, shorting on highs [1][27] - **Oils and Fats**: High - level oscillation, suggesting buying on dips, paying attention to position risks before the holiday [3][32] 2. Core Views - The report provides investment suggestions for various futures products based on their fundamentals, market trends, and macro - economic factors. It takes into account factors such as supply and demand, inventory, cost, and policy to analyze the price trends of different futures and gives corresponding trading strategies [1][5][9] 3. Summary by Directory Macro Finance - **Stock Indices**: In the medium to long term, they are bullish, and investors can buy on dips. Before the holiday, they may trade in a range, and it is advisable to hold positions lightly and focus on defense [1][5] - **Treasury Bonds**: They are expected to trade in a range. Although the overall price level shows a mild recovery, the bond market's reaction to price data is limited. After the holiday, there are uncertainties regarding important meetings and bond supply [5] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal**: Short - term trading is recommended as the coal market shows short - term fluctuations, but the sustainability of the price increase is limited [1][7] - **Rebar**: It is expected to trade in a range. The futures price is undervalued, but the demand has declined, and the inventory is accumulating. It is advisable to trade lightly before the holiday [7] - **Glass**: Buying on dips is recommended. Although there are supply and demand constraints, the futures price has fallen to a relatively low level, and there may be variables before the contract expires [7][8] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: It is expected to trade in a range. The recent sharp decline is mainly due to macro - level panic. Although the supply is tight, the demand is weakening, and the inventory is increasing. General traders are advised to reduce positions, while hedgers are advised to increase hedging coverage [9] - **Aluminum**: It is expected to trade at a high level. The supply is increasing, but the demand is weakening. It is advisable to strengthen observation and reduce positions before the holiday [10] - **Nickel**: It is expected to trade in a range. Although the nickel ore supply is strong, the fundamentals are weak. It is recommended to observe [12] - **Tin**: It is expected to trade in a range. The supply of tin ore is tight, and the downstream demand is stable. It is recommended to trade in a range and pay attention to supply and demand changes [13][14] - **Silver and Gold**: They are expected to trade in a range. The market is affected by factors such as the nomination of the Fed chairman and economic data. The medium - term price center is rising, and short - term adjustment is expected. It is recommended to trade in a range [14][15] - **Lithium Carbonate**: It is expected to trade in a range. The supply is increasing, and the demand is in the off - season. It is necessary to pay attention to the impact of mine - end disturbances [15] Energy and Chemicals - **PVC**: It is expected to trade in a wide range at a low level. The supply is high, the demand is weak, but the valuation is low. It is necessary to pay attention to policies and cost factors [15][17] - **Caustic Soda**: It is expected to trade at a low level. The demand is weak, and the supply pressure is high. It is recommended to observe [17] - **Styrene**: It is expected to trade in a range. The inventory is expected to decrease, but the valuation is high. It is necessary to be cautious about chasing highs [19] - **Rubber**: It is expected to trade in a range. The supply is in the off - season, and the demand is weak before the holiday. It is necessary to pay attention to inventory and downstream consumption [19][20] - **Urea**: It is expected to trade in a range. The supply is increasing, the demand is stable, and the inventory is at a low level. It is recommended to trade in the range of 1730 - 1830 [20] - **Methanol**: It is expected to trade in a range. The supply is decreasing, the demand is weak, and the price is affected by geopolitical and port factors [21] - **Polyolefins**: They are expected to trade weakly. The supply is high, the demand is weak, and the inventory is accumulating. It is recommended to short on highs [22][24] - **Soda Ash**: It is recommended to observe. The supply is in surplus, but the cost support is strong, and the downward space may be limited [24] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: They are expected to adjust in a range. Although the long - term outlook is optimistic, the short - term is under pressure from the internal - external price difference [25] - **Apples**: They are expected to trade in a range. The market is stable during the Spring Festival stocking period, and the trading volume of different grades of fruits varies [25] - **Jujubes**: They are expected to trade in a range. The acquisition price in the production area is based on quality [27] Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - **Hogs**: They are expected to build a bottom in a range. Before the year, partial profit - taking on short positions is recommended, and a rolling short strategy on rebounds can be adopted. In the long - term, the supply is expected to increase in the first half of the year, and the price may be under pressure [27] - **Eggs**: They are expected to rebound from a low level. Before the holiday, the position should be reduced, and short - chasing should be avoided. It is advisable to hedge on rebounds for the 05 and 06 contracts [29] - **Corn**: The price increase is limited. In the short - term, it is necessary to be cautious about chasing highs, and grain - holding entities can hedge on rebounds. In the long - term, the supply - demand pattern is relatively loose [30][31] - **Soybean Meal**: It is expected to trade in a range at a low level. The M2605 contract should pay attention to the support at 2700, and short positions can be established on highs [31] Oils and Fats - They are expected to oscillate at a high level. The fundamentals of the three major oils are mixed, with soybean oil expected to be relatively strong, and palm oil and rapeseed oil relatively weak. It is recommended to buy on dips and pay attention to position risks before the holiday [32][37]