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绷不住的先是美国!中美经济较量:中国产能硬到美元霸权顶不住
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-02 06:26
更让美国担忧的是,它赖以维持优势的"美元霸权"正在动摇。美元在全球外汇储备中的占比跌到数十年来最低,越来越多国家 开始绕开美元做生意:沙特卖石油给中国,可以用人民币结算;巴西、阿根廷和中国直接用本币结账,省去了汇率损失。不是 各国不想用美元,而是美国把美元当武器用得太狠:今天冻结某国资产,明天制裁另一国储备,缺钱时就疯狂印钞,让世界埋 单。美元的根基原本是"能买到好货",如今既买不到中国的产能,又要眼睁睁看着中东石油避开美元结算,这份底气已经所剩 无几。 全球的目光都盯在中美的经济较量上,各国的态度和动作其实早就说明了一切。东南亚接下了美国转移出来的产业链订单,但 转过头来又急着从中国大量采购——因为少了那超过六成的电子零部件,新工厂根本运转不起来;欧洲表面上说要寻找替代货 源,可商场货架上中国小家电依旧占大多数,所谓替代品不是故障频出,就是质量不过关,零售商只能悄悄为中国供应商保留 补货渠道;中东的石油商人则更精明,一边不敢得罪美国老客户,一边稳定地把原油源源不断地送往中国,毕竟中国是真金白 银付款,这样的买卖没人舍得放弃。如今,全球都在看:曾经说一不二的美国,这回还能撑多久? 这场博弈的核心,老一辈一句话 ...
越南被左右夹击,刚为美国作出让步,欧盟也来了:要求其撤销非关税壁垒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 04:56
Group 1 - Vietnam is facing unprecedented trade challenges due to increased tariff pressures from the US and strong debt demands from the EU, leading to severe economic tests [1][3] - The trade relationship between the US and Vietnam has dramatically changed, with Vietnam required to reduce tariffs on US imports to nearly zero and facing potential punitive tariffs of up to 40% if its exports contain excessive Chinese components [3][5] - The EU has highlighted a trade deficit exceeding $50 billion with Vietnam, demanding the removal of non-tariff barriers on agricultural products, pharmaceuticals, and automobiles, which exposes Vietnam's passive position in international trade [3][5] Group 2 - Vietnam's economic structure heavily relies on export trade, with nearly 30% of its total exports going to the US, making it vulnerable to systemic risks from changes in trade partner policies [5] - In response to the crisis, the Vietnamese government is taking urgent actions to promote exports and explore new markets, signaling a strategic shift to reduce dependence on a single market [5] - Despite efforts to negotiate free trade agreements with emerging markets in the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America, these markets do not match the scale and consumption capacity of traditional markets, leaving Vietnam's economy still reliant on established markets [5]
环联连讯与Mile Green订立谅解备忘录 有意在实物资产领域探索潜在商机
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 11:34
Core Viewpoint - The company has entered into a memorandum of understanding with Mile Green Company Limited to explore potential opportunities in the physical asset sector, leveraging blockchain technology and tokenization [1][2] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The collaboration aims to jointly invest in a physical asset ecosystem, identifying and evaluating potential opportunities in the sector [1] - The partnership is expected to provide strategic opportunities for the company to discover physical asset business prospects and potentially yield returns through investments in the ecosystem [2] Group 2: Technological Integration - The company plans to utilize its proprietary artificial intelligence, Internet of Things (IoT), and digital solutions during the tokenization process [2] - The collaboration may also serve as a platform for the company to gain valuable knowledge and operational expertise from Mile Green, which can be applied to future developments in the digital asset field [2] Group 3: Market Expansion - The company anticipates exploring additional opportunities with Mile Green's affiliates, which may involve upgrading WiFi systems and power generation facilities using the company's electronic components [2] - The favorable regulatory environment in Hong Kong, along with recent supportive policies for stablecoins and cryptocurrency development, provides a conducive setting for the company to explore these opportunities in the Web3 space [1]
环联连讯(01473)与Mile Green订立谅解备忘录 有意在实物资产领域探索潜在商机
智通财经网· 2025-08-26 11:31
Core Viewpoint - The company has entered into a memorandum of understanding with Mile Green Company Limited to explore potential opportunities in the physical asset sector, leveraging blockchain technology and tokenization [1][2] Group 1: Strategic Collaboration - The collaboration aims to jointly invest in a physical asset ecosystem, identifying and evaluating potential opportunities in the sector [1] - The partnership is expected to provide strategic opportunities for the company to discover business prospects in physical assets and potentially yield returns through investments in the ecosystem [2] Group 2: Technological Integration - The company plans to utilize its proprietary artificial intelligence, Internet of Things, and digital solutions during the tokenization process [2] - The collaboration may also serve as a platform for the company to gain valuable knowledge and operational expertise from Mile Green, which can be applied to future developments in the digital asset space [2] Group 3: Market Expansion - The company anticipates exploring additional opportunities with Mile Green's affiliates, which may involve upgrading its WiFi systems and power generation facilities using the group's electronic components [2] - The favorable regulatory environment in Hong Kong, along with recent supportive policies for stablecoins and cryptocurrency development, provides a conducive setting for the company to explore these opportunities in the Web3 domain [1]
日本4~6月实际GDP年化增长率为1%
日经中文网· 2025-08-15 03:01
Core Viewpoint - Japan's GDP for the April to June period shows a seasonally adjusted growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, translating to an annualized growth rate of 1.0%, marking five consecutive quarters of growth [2][5]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - The actual GDP growth exceeded the median forecast of 0.3%, with personal consumption contributing to a 0.2% increase, consistent with the previous quarter [4]. - Equipment investment rose by 1.3%, particularly in software, while public investment decreased by 0.5% and government consumption remained flat [4]. - Exports grew by 2.0%, driven by increases in electronic components and equipment, while imports rose by 0.6%, primarily due to higher oil and natural gas imports [4]. Group 2: Contributions to GDP Growth - Domestic demand contributed negatively by 0.1 percentage points, marking a return to negative contributions after two quarters, largely due to inventory effects [5]. - External demand contributed positively by 0.3 percentage points, indicating a stronger performance in exports compared to imports [5]. - The revised GDP growth for January to March was adjusted to a positive 0.1%, transitioning from a previously reported negative growth [5].
每周日企观察|日本对华投资为什么会逆势增长?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 08:56
Group 1 - The core reason for the increase in Japanese investment in China is the warming of China-Japan relations, which is influenced by the trade war initiated by the United States [1][4] - Japanese investment in China has shown a significant increase, with a 59.1% growth projected for the first half of 2025 [2] - A report indicates that 16% of Japanese companies plan to significantly increase their investment in China, while 42% will maintain their current investment levels, marking a new high since 2024 [2] Group 2 - The presence of seven Japanese companies in the top 30 foreign manufacturing investors in China highlights Japan's leading position in foreign investment [3] - The recent high-level economic dialogue between China and Japan has led to important agreements that facilitate Japanese investment in China [4] - The trend of Japanese companies integrating into the local supply chain in China has allowed smaller firms to grow significantly by securing orders from local enterprises [4][5] Group 3 - Yokohama Rubber Company has completed the acquisition of the remaining 22.98% stake in its joint venture in China, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its competitiveness in the Chinese tire market [5] - China is recognized as the largest tire consumer and a leader in the development of the new energy vehicle industry, creating substantial demand for high-performance and green tires [6] - Yokohama aims to replicate its successful localization strategy in China across other Asian markets, establishing a robust tire business network centered in China [7]
村田制作所季度净利润降25%,与中企竞争激化
日经中文网· 2025-07-31 08:00
村田制作所开发和销售的面向智能手机的电子零部件 4~6月的净利润同比减少25%,作为4~6月的业绩,2年来首次陷入利润减少。在智能手机市场上,零 部件数量较少的中低价位手机的比例上升,与在中低价位具有优势的中国零部件厂商的竞争激化…… 按领域观察4~6月的营收,包括智能手机等在内的主力的"通信"领域的营收减少11%,降至1376亿日 元。在智能手机市场上,零部件数量较少的中低价位手机的比例上升,与在中低价位具有优势的中国零 部件厂商的竞争激化。在高价位终端的零部件方面,树脂基板的营收减少。 占整体27%的"移动出行"领域的营收减少1%,降至1133亿日元。来自中国汽车厂商的用于自动驾驶的 定位传感器等的洽购增加,但受关税拖累,日欧大型汽车的销量减少带来负面影响。 4~6月的净利润比最近的Quick Consensus(410亿日元)高出21%。中岛解释称,受加征关税的影响, 部分客户"出现了赶早购买村田生产的电子零部件的动向"。据推测,此举是为了在未成为关税对象之前 确保零部件。 客户提前采购零部件的反作用有可能在10月以后的下半年显现。 村田制作所7月30日公布的2025年4~6月的合并财报(国际会计准则) ...
以案明纪释法丨准确认定以购买原始股为名受贿行为
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a case of potential bribery involving state officials and private companies, highlighting the complexities of identifying corrupt practices disguised as legitimate transactions [1][4]. Basic Case Facts - A state employee, referred to as A, was involved in facilitating the IPO of a private company, B, through his relative, C, who was the legal representative of another private company [2]. - B's actual controller approached C to leverage A's position to expedite the IPO process, leading to a series of actions that benefited B [2]. Key Events - In June 2013, as B was preparing for its IPO, the controller of B promised to gift shares to C as a thank-you for the assistance provided by A and C [3]. - C made a nominal investment of 540,000 yuan for shares valued significantly higher at the time of the IPO, with the understanding that there would be no risk involved [3]. Diverging Opinions - Three differing opinions exist regarding the classification of A and C's actions, ranging from not constituting bribery to being classified as joint bribery due to the nature of the transactions [4][5][6]. Analysis of Opinions - The third opinion, which views the actions of A and C as a form of bribery, is supported by the argument that C's investment was merely a facade for receiving substantial profits from the IPO [7][8]. - The nature of C's investment and the subsequent profits are analyzed, indicating that the transaction was not a legitimate investment but rather a means to facilitate a corrupt exchange [9][10]. Conclusion on Criminality - A and C are deemed to have committed joint bribery, as A utilized his position to benefit B, while C received shares under the guise of investment, ultimately profiting significantly from the IPO [11][12][13]. - The total amount of bribes is suggested to be the entire profit C received from the shares, amounting to 26 million yuan, rather than just the nominal investment [14][15][16].
美国贸易谈判言易行难 关税再次延迟坐实“TACO”窘况
智通财经网· 2025-07-08 14:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the challenges faced by the Trump administration in implementing its trade policies, particularly the tariffs, which were initially expected to be straightforward but have proven to be complex and slow to execute [1][6][9] - The U.S. stock market showed stability as optimism grew regarding ongoing trade negotiations, alleviating fears caused by previous tariff warnings from Trump [2] - The U.S. is negotiating with various countries, including India and the EU, with significant breakthroughs expected to be difficult to announce before the upcoming deadlines [5] Group 2 - The tariff rates for imports from various countries are set at 25% for Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and Kazakhstan, while South Africa has a 30% tariff, and Laos and Myanmar face 40% tariffs [3] - The potential for tariffs to increase consumer prices in the U.S. is a concern, with industry leaders warning that high tariffs could lead to higher costs for imported goods [8] - The Trump administration's approach to trade negotiations is characterized by a willingness to extend deadlines and consider alternative arrangements, reflecting a more flexible stance than initially presented [7][9]
加税25%,特朗普高估了美国,日本不是英国越南,对美握有3张底牌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 09:45
Group 1 - The core issue revolves around Trump's decision to impose a 25% tariff on Japanese exports to the U.S., affecting key industries such as automobiles and semiconductors, which has led to significant political backlash in Japan [3][5] - Japan's Prime Minister expressed strong opposition to the tariffs, indicating that this action undermines trade rules and has prompted Japan to seek negotiations to prevent escalation [3][5] - The tariffs are seen as a strategic move by Trump to pressure Japan into concessions, but it overlooks Japan's significant role in the global economy and its potential countermeasures [5][7] Group 2 - Japan holds over $1.1 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds, giving it substantial leverage; a large-scale sell-off could destabilize U.S. financial markets and impact interest rates [7][9] - Japan's position in the rare earth supply chain is critical, as it could collaborate with China to restrict exports, severely impacting U.S. high-tech industries reliant on these materials [9][11] - Japan is diversifying its investments away from the U.S. and strengthening ties with ASEAN and India, indicating a shift in its economic strategy that could affect U.S. job markets and economic recovery [11][13] Group 3 - The trade conflict highlights the complexities of global economic interdependence and the potential for mutual harm, as tariffs could increase costs for U.S. consumers and businesses [7][15] - Trump's approach reflects a misunderstanding of the current geopolitical landscape, where Japan is not as easily pressured as other nations, leading to a potential long-term trade standoff [13][15] - Japan's response serves as a model for other countries facing similar pressures, emphasizing the importance of maintaining strategic autonomy and global partnerships [15]