市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 05 月 08 日 星期四 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 证 券 研 究 报 告 周三 A 股三大指数集体收涨，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.8%，深成指收 涨 0.22%，创业板指收涨 0.51%。沪深两市成交额 14680.98 亿元。申 万行业方面，国防军工、银行、基础化工领涨，传媒、计算机、电子 领跌；概念板块方面，兵装重组概念、成飞概念、转基因涨幅居前， 中国 AI 50、华为盘古、Sora 概念跌幅居前。港股方面，恒生指数收 涨 0.13%，恒生科技指数收跌 0.75%；海外方面，美国三大指数集体 收涨，道指收涨 0.7%，标普 500 收涨 0.43%，纳指收涨 0.27%。 【重要新闻】 【三部门发布一揽子金融政策稳市场稳预期】央行宣布推出十项政策 措施，其中包括全面降准 0.5 个百分点，下调政策利率 0.1 个百分 点，降低结构性货币政策工具利率和公积金贷款利率 0.25 个百分点， 设立 5000 亿元"服务消费与养老再贷款"等。金融监管总局将推出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The financial reports of major chain pharmacy companies in A-shares indicate a challenging environment, with only one company, Yifeng Pharmacy, showing profit growth in 2024, while others faced declines, highlighting the difficulties of relying solely on store expansion for growth [1][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Yifeng Pharmacy achieved a revenue of 24.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.53%, and a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, up 8.26% [4]. - In contrast, Shuyu Pingmin reported a revenue of 9.57 billion yuan, a 4.13% increase, but a net loss of 189 million yuan, marking a 241.9% decline compared to the previous year [3][4]. - Other companies like Laobaixing and Yixin Tang also experienced revenue declines, with Laobaixing's revenue at 22.358 billion yuan, down 0.36%, and a net profit decrease of 44.13% [4]. Store Expansion and Closure - Despite the financial struggles, the number of stores for the six major companies continued to grow in 2024, with Yifeng Pharmacy adding 2,512 stores, resulting in a total of 14,684 stores [5]. - Laobaixing reported a total of 15,277 stores, with a net increase of 1,703 stores during the year [6]. - However, the closure rate also increased, with Daclin closing 733 stores due to strategic adjustments [6]. Industry Challenges - The industry is facing significant challenges, including intensified competition, rising costs, and changing consumer purchasing habits, which are reflected in the declining net profits of listed chain pharmacies [4][8]. - The adjustment of medical insurance policies has also impacted the performance of chain pharmacies, leading to a shift in consumer purchasing behavior and a decrease in foot traffic to physical stores [8][9]. Future Directions - Experts suggest that the future development of chain pharmacies should focus on high-quality services rather than mere expansion, as the market becomes saturated [7]. - Companies are encouraged to enhance operational efficiency and improve service quality to remain competitive in a challenging environment [7][9].

医药·掘金 年报一季报总结电话会议 20250504 摘要 • 医药行业在 2023 年和 2024 年面临增长放缓，预计营收增长率分别为 1%和-1%，利润增速分别为-20%和-13%，表明行业面临显著的下行压 力。 • 行业下滑的核心因素包括医保支付压力、行业秩序整顿、海外贸易不确定 性以及消费环境变化等多重因素叠加影响。 • 预计 2025 年医药板块将迎来反转，政策端已呈现缓和改善迹象，包括集 采优化、政府医保补助提升及商业医保目录扩容等积极因素。 • 医疗设备招标恢复、医疗反腐常态化以及中国创新药出海加速等因素，预 计将推动医药企业业绩改善，二三四季度业绩有望逐步好转。 • 投资策略上，重点关注创新药和左侧反转两大主线。创新药板块受益于高 景气度和对外授权，部分品种已在中国获批放量。 • 左侧反转领域，连锁药房（如益丰）、大型医疗服务公司及医疗设备招标 恢复预示着复苏机会，相关公司有望受益于基数降低带来的业绩提升。 • 建议关注科伦博泰生物、康方生物、信达生物、华东医药、石药集团等创 新药企，以及益丰连锁、人福医药、新产业生物、安图生物等左侧反转标 的。 Q&A 2024 年和 2025 年医药板块 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the pharmaceutical industry, with a focus on recovery in 2024 after a challenging 2023 due to anti-corruption measures [6][19]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical industry is projected to see a decline in sales revenue and net profit for 2024 compared to 2023, with total sales revenue growth at -0.46%, net profit at -6.73%, and non-recurring net profit at -11.97% [2][13]. - The fastest-growing segments in Q4 2024 are expected to be CXO, medical devices, and pharmaceutical distribution, while in Q1 2025, the growth leaders will shift to CXO, pharmacies, and pharmaceutical distribution [22]. - The report highlights a significant slowdown in growth for traditional Chinese medicine and a mixed performance across various sectors, with some showing resilience and others facing challenges [5][24]. Summary by Sector Pharmaceutical Industry - In 2024, the total revenue growth for 405 pharmaceutical companies is projected at -0.46%, with net profit declining by 6.73% [2][13]. - Q1 2025 shows a continued decline in revenue and net profit, indicating ongoing challenges [13]. Traditional Chinese Medicine - For 62 listed companies in traditional Chinese medicine, revenue and net profit are expected to decline by -3.9% and -14.6% respectively in 2024, with further declines in Q1 2025 [24][32]. Chemical Preparations - The 96 chemical preparation companies are expected to see revenue growth of 1.2% and net profit growth of 15.7% in 2024, with a slight slowdown in Q1 2025 [2][5]. Research Services - The 16 research service companies are projected to experience a revenue increase of 6.56% in 2024, despite a significant drop in net profit [2][5]. Medical Services - The 11 medical service companies are expected to face revenue growth of 1.4% in 2024, with a notable recovery in Q1 2025 [2][5]. Medical Devices - The 97 medical device companies are projected to see a slight revenue increase of 1.16% in 2024, with a decline in net profit [2][5]. Biopharmaceuticals - The 54 biopharmaceutical companies are expected to see a revenue decline of -6.9% in 2024, with a significant drop in Q1 2025 [3][5]. CXO - The 22 CXO companies are projected to experience a revenue decline of -4.14% in 2024, but a recovery is anticipated in Q1 2025 with a revenue increase of 13.1% [3][5]. Raw Materials - The 50 raw material companies are expected to see a slight revenue increase of 2.48% in 2024, with a recovery trend starting in Q1 2025 [3][5]. Pharmacies - The 7 pharmacy companies are projected to see revenue growth of 4.9% in 2024, but face challenges in Q1 2025 [2][5]. Pharmaceutical Distribution - The 22 pharmaceutical distribution companies are expected to see a slight revenue increase of 0.27% in 2024, with ongoing challenges in Q1 2025 [2][5].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the pharmaceutical sector in 2024 and early 2025, with a strong focus on the innovative drug segment as a key investment opportunity [1][5]. Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to face continued pressure on overall performance and profit margins due to factors such as healthcare payment environment, industry regulation, and changing consumer conditions in 2024 and Q1 2025 [1][18]. - Despite the challenges, there is optimism for a recovery in the pharmaceutical sector in the second half of 2025, driven by easing pressures from policies and fundamentals, leading to a potential turnaround in performance and stock prices [1][21]. - The innovative drug segment is highlighted as a primary focus for investment, with expectations for significant growth and valuation recovery for leading companies in this space [2][5]. Summary by Sections Pharmaceutical Sector Overview - The innovative drug segment is performing well, with leading companies like BeiGene and Hengrui Medicine showing strong revenue and business development (BD) income growth [2][22]. - The overall pharmaceutical sector is under pressure, with profit margins declining, except for the innovative drug segment which is experiencing independent growth [1][18]. Biopharmaceuticals - The biopharmaceutical sector is facing challenges, but there are opportunities for growth in specific areas such as long-acting interferons and insulin products, which are expected to see a turnaround [2][4]. Retail Pharmacy - The retail pharmacy sector is showing signs of marginal improvement, with expectations for a gradual return to normal growth in 2025 [2][4]. Medical Services and Aesthetic Medicine - The medical services and aesthetic medicine sectors are experiencing a mild recovery, with expectations for sustained performance in 2025 [3][4]. Traditional Chinese Medicine - The traditional Chinese medicine sector is expected to improve gradually throughout the year, following a challenging 2024 [4][12]. Medical Devices - The medical device sector is anticipated to recover gradually, with significant growth expected from overseas market expansion [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on innovative drug opportunities throughout 2025, particularly in companies with strong international capabilities and those involved in business development [5][21].

证券代码：603939 证券简称：益丰药房 债券代码：113682 债券简称：益丰转债 3、公司参会人员： 董事长兼总裁、常务副总裁、副总裁、助理总裁、董事会秘书。 4、机构参会人员：中信证券、东北证券、国金医药、UBS、国盛证券、华 创证券、光大证券、野村证券、开源证券、国海证券、信达证券、中金公司、平 安证券、华鑫证券、财信证券、雪石资产、高毅资产、华泰证券、摩根士丹利、 花旗、首域、西部证券、国寿养老、景林资产、中金公司、君和资本、申万宏源、 华鑫证券、东吴证券、AIHCCapital、国寿养老、中金公司国寿养老、中邮证券、 招银国际、Nomura、Golden Nest 鑫巢、华宝基金、鑫元基金、平安养老、青榕 资产、华夏久盈、中银基金、中海基金、东海基金、上海东方资产管理、中国国 际金融、嘉实基金、易方达、上海睿郡、景泰利丰、君和资本、Point72 等 200 多位全球机构及个人投资者。 二、会议内容 （一）董事会秘书范炜先生介绍公司主要经营情况 1、2024 年及 2025 年一季度业绩基本情况： 益丰大药房连锁股份有限公司 投资者关系活动会议纪要 一、会议基本情况 1、 会议时间：2025 年 ...

公 司 报 告 医药 2025年04月30日 益丰药房(603939.SH) 经营稳健，业绩持续增长 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:28元 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】益丰药房（603939.SH）*季报点评*业 绩稳健增长，利润率持续提升*推荐20241101 证券分析师 叶寅 投资咨询资格编号 S1060514100001 BOT335 平安观点： 证 券 公 司 年 报 点 评 研 究 报 告 YEYIN757@pingan.com.cn 倪亦道 投资咨询资格编号 S1060518070001 021-38640502 NIYIDAO242@pingan.com.cn 王钰畅 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524090001 WANGYUCHANG804@pingan.com.cn | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 22,588 | 24,062 | 27,626 | 31,736 | 36,180 | | YOY(%) | 13.6 | 6.5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The retail pharmaceutical industry is undergoing significant adjustments due to deepening medical reform policies, increased competition, and the impact of e-commerce, leading to a decline in customer traffic and a challenging environment for store openings and closures [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Performance - The performance of listed chain pharmacies in 2024 shows a polarization, with Yifeng Pharmacy achieving revenue and net profit growth, while Lao Bai Xing experienced declines in both metrics [1][3]. - Shuyu Pingmin reported a substantial net profit decline of 241.90%, marking its first loss after years of profitability, while Yixin Tang's net profit fell to a ten-year low of 1.14 billion yuan, down 79.23% [1][3]. - The overall number of retail pharmacies is expected to decrease, with an estimated 39,000 closures in 2024, resulting in a closure rate of 5.7%, up from 3.8% in 2023 [4]. Group 2: Store Expansion and Strategy - Dacaren's expansion rate has slowed, with a net increase of 2,479 stores in 2024 compared to 4,029 in 2023, while other companies like Yifeng Pharmacy and Lao Bai Xing also reported slower store growth [1][4]. - Many companies are adjusting their store opening strategies, with Jianzhijia reducing its annual expansion plan to around 400 stores [4]. Group 3: Transformation and Innovation - Pharmaceutical retail enterprises are accelerating their transformation, with leading companies adopting the "pharmacy + clinic" model to create community health ecosystems [2][5]. - Companies are focusing on digital transformation and exploring synergies between e-commerce and physical stores to adapt to the changing market landscape [2][5]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Challenges - Shuyu Pingmin's revenue reached 9.57 billion yuan in 2024, a 4.13% increase, but its net profit turned negative due to various operational challenges [3]. - The decline in net profit for many companies is attributed to increased operational costs and the impact of new store openings, which, while contributing to revenue, also lead to higher expenses during their cultivation period [3][5]. Group 5: Market Trends and Consumer Behavior - The retail pharmacy industry is witnessing a shift towards diversified product offerings and a focus on patient-centered health services, moving away from reliance solely on pharmaceutical sales [5][6]. - The proportion of income from medical insurance settlements is decreasing for many companies, indicating a shift towards non-insurance revenue streams [8]. Group 6: O2O and Membership Growth - The O2O (Online to Offline) retail model is becoming a key growth driver, with significant increases in sales through this channel expected in 2024 [8][9]. - Membership numbers are growing across various companies, with Yifeng Pharmacy reporting a membership increase of 19.50% and a membership sales ratio of 82.03% [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [10][16]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady growth in revenue and profit, with 2024 revenue reaching 24.062 billion yuan, a 6.53% increase, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.529 billion yuan, up 8.26% [3][10]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 40.12%, reflecting a 1.91 percentage point increase, primarily due to improved margins in retail sales of traditional Chinese and Western medicines [4]. - The company has adopted a strategy of "regional focus and steady expansion," successfully increasing its store count to 14,684 by the end of 2024, with a net addition of 1,434 stores [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company reported a net operating cash flow of 4.221 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.70% year-on-year, while the investment cash flow was negative at -3.609 billion yuan, down 21% [5]. - The company expects revenue growth to continue, with projected revenues of 26.497 billion yuan, 29.168 billion yuan, and 32.131 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of 1.762 billion yuan, 2.028 billion yuan, and 2.336 billion yuan for the same years [10][12]. - The company’s financial ratios indicate a healthy growth trajectory, with a projected PE ratio decreasing from 21.82 in 2024 to 14.28 by 2027, suggesting increasing valuation attractiveness [12][15].

Core Viewpoint - Yifeng Pharmacy reported stable financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, while expanding its retail network and enhancing its digital capabilities [1][2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 24.062 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.529 billion yuan [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.009 billion yuan and a net profit of 449 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.51% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 485 million yuan, which represents 51.56% of the annual net profit [1][5] Store Expansion - Yifeng Pharmacy has been actively expanding its store network, reaching a total of 14,684 stores by the end of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 10.82% [2] - The company has developed a diverse store layout, including flagship stores, regional centers, and community pharmacies, while also focusing on the DTP pharmacy model and 24-hour service pharmacies [2] Digital Innovation - The company has launched five intelligent warehouse projects to enhance logistics efficiency, with the Suqian distribution center officially starting operations by the end of 2024 [3] - Yifeng Pharmacy has developed multiple smart retail channels, including B2C, O2O, and mobile applications, with over 10,000 O2O direct-operated stores online by the end of 2024 [2] ESG Performance - Yifeng Pharmacy received an MSCI-ESG rating upgrade from BB to A, becoming the only chain pharmacy in China with an A rating or above [3][4] - The company has made significant progress in environmental responsibility, saving 1.46 million kWh of electricity in 2024 and achieving 100% photovoltaic power generation at its headquarters [4]